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An Intelligent Decision Support System for Selecting Promising Technologies for R&D based on Time-series Patent Analysis (R&D 기술 선정을 위한 시계열 특허 분석 기반 지능형 의사결정지원시스템)

  • Lee, Choongseok;Lee, Suk Joo;Choi, Byounggu
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.79-96
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    • 2012
  • As the pace of competition dramatically accelerates and the complexity of change grows, a variety of research have been conducted to improve firms' short-term performance and to enhance firms' long-term survival. In particular, researchers and practitioners have paid their attention to identify promising technologies that lead competitive advantage to a firm. Discovery of promising technology depends on how a firm evaluates the value of technologies, thus many evaluating methods have been proposed. Experts' opinion based approaches have been widely accepted to predict the value of technologies. Whereas this approach provides in-depth analysis and ensures validity of analysis results, it is usually cost-and time-ineffective and is limited to qualitative evaluation. Considerable studies attempt to forecast the value of technology by using patent information to overcome the limitation of experts' opinion based approach. Patent based technology evaluation has served as a valuable assessment approach of the technological forecasting because it contains a full and practical description of technology with uniform structure. Furthermore, it provides information that is not divulged in any other sources. Although patent information based approach has contributed to our understanding of prediction of promising technologies, it has some limitations because prediction has been made based on the past patent information, and the interpretations of patent analyses are not consistent. In order to fill this gap, this study proposes a technology forecasting methodology by integrating patent information approach and artificial intelligence method. The methodology consists of three modules : evaluation of technologies promising, implementation of technologies value prediction model, and recommendation of promising technologies. In the first module, technologies promising is evaluated from three different and complementary dimensions; impact, fusion, and diffusion perspectives. The impact of technologies refers to their influence on future technologies development and improvement, and is also clearly associated with their monetary value. The fusion of technologies denotes the extent to which a technology fuses different technologies, and represents the breadth of search underlying the technology. The fusion of technologies can be calculated based on technology or patent, thus this study measures two types of fusion index; fusion index per technology and fusion index per patent. Finally, the diffusion of technologies denotes their degree of applicability across scientific and technological fields. In the same vein, diffusion index per technology and diffusion index per patent are considered respectively. In the second module, technologies value prediction model is implemented using artificial intelligence method. This studies use the values of five indexes (i.e., impact index, fusion index per technology, fusion index per patent, diffusion index per technology and diffusion index per patent) at different time (e.g., t-n, t-n-1, t-n-2, ${\cdots}$) as input variables. The out variables are values of five indexes at time t, which is used for learning. The learning method adopted in this study is backpropagation algorithm. In the third module, this study recommends final promising technologies based on analytic hierarchy process. AHP provides relative importance of each index, leading to final promising index for technology. Applicability of the proposed methodology is tested by using U.S. patents in international patent class G06F (i.e., electronic digital data processing) from 2000 to 2008. The results show that mean absolute error value for prediction produced by the proposed methodology is lower than the value produced by multiple regression analysis in cases of fusion indexes. However, mean absolute error value of the proposed methodology is slightly higher than the value of multiple regression analysis. These unexpected results may be explained, in part, by small number of patents. Since this study only uses patent data in class G06F, number of sample patent data is relatively small, leading to incomplete learning to satisfy complex artificial intelligence structure. In addition, fusion index per technology and impact index are found to be important criteria to predict promising technology. This study attempts to extend the existing knowledge by proposing a new methodology for prediction technology value by integrating patent information analysis and artificial intelligence network. It helps managers who want to technology develop planning and policy maker who want to implement technology policy by providing quantitative prediction methodology. In addition, this study could help other researchers by proving a deeper understanding of the complex technological forecasting field.

Similar Patent Search Service System using Latent Dirichlet Allocation (잠재 의미 분석을 적용한 유사 특허 검색 서비스 시스템)

  • Lim, HyunKeun;Kim, Jaeyoon;Jung, Hoekyung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.1049-1054
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    • 2018
  • Keyword searching used in the past as a method of finding similar patents, and automated classification by machine learning is using in recently. Keyword searching is a method of analyzing data that is formalized through data refinement. While the accuracy for short text is high, long one consisted of several words like as document that is not able to analyze the meaning contained in sentences. In semantic analysis level, the method of automatic classification is used to classify sentences composed of several words by unstructured data analysis. There was an attempt to find similar documents by combining the two methods. However, it have a problem in the algorithm w the methods of analysis are different ways to use simultaneous unstructured data and regular data. In this paper, we study the method of extracting keywords implied in the document and using the LDA(Latent Semantic Analysis) method to classify documents efficiently without human intervention and finding similar patents.

A review on development trends of arterial pulse simulators (맥파 재현장치 개발 동향)

  • Min, Sang-Won;Ko, Bok-Yung;Chang, Jae-Soon;Kim, Ki-Wang
    • The Journal of the Society of Korean Medicine Diagnostics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • Objectives : Recently, for over ten years, various arterial pulse simulators have been developed for training of pulse palpation technique. In this paper, we summarized development trends of those apparatuses. Materials and methods : To search the cases of development, we mainly used China Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), National Discovery for Science Leaders (NDSL), Korean Traditional Knowledge Portal, Patent Search by Baidu (百度專利搜索), and some general search engines. Some domain cases introduced were collected based on personal experience. Results : It was found that there were two types of arterial pulse simulators. The first type uses fluids and pumps, while the second type uses actuators without fluid circulation parts. Conclusion : From year 2000, various arterial pulse simulators have been developed. In general, they could be classified two types. Further effort toward Maixiang (脈象) simulation and validation in field is needed.

A Joint Effort between Academia and Industry in the Eastern Part of Kagawa Prefecture in Japan

  • Sato, Kazuishi;Okajima, Kunihiko;Nakajima, Ken-Ichiro
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2012
  • The Regional Cooperative Development Center (RCDC) at Tokushima Bunri University was established in 2005. The role of the RCDC is to make a social contribution and to assist in the development of human resources. The RCDC has made contributions to society by organizing meetings to facilitate the exchange of technology, holding public lectures, supporting joint research projects, providing technical assistance for manufacturers, making available the free use of equipment owned by the university and so on. Additionally, the RCDC has put much effort into giving undergraduate students internship opportunities at industries in the eastern part of Kagawa Prefecture (the TOSAN area) in Japan. The RCDC also trained a contracted researcher from a small company about the creation of intellectual property, including how to conduct a patent prior art search, how to prepare a patent specification, etc. The RCDC has worked in partnership with industry, Sanuki City Society of Commerce and Industry and Higashi-Kagawa City Society of Commerce and Industry in order to revitalize local communities.

Trend for Waste Plastic Recycling Technology by Patent Analysis (특허분석(特許分析)에 의한 폐플라스틱 재활용(再活用) 기술(技術) 동향(動向))

  • Kim, Tae-Hyun;Rhee, Kang-In;Kim, Yu-Ri
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2010
  • The patents were searched to investigate the trend of recycling technologies about plastic waste. Database was collected from WIPS site and the range of the search was limited to patents opened in U.S.A (US), European Union (EU), Japan (JP) and Korea (KR) to september 2009. In this paper, 4,795 patents were selected by investigation abstracts and the trend of the recycling technologies relating to waste plastic were investigated through the analyzing by the years, countries, companies. The patents were occupied 65% by Japan and the most of the patents were about chemical recycling. In the case of Korea, material recycling was major in the patents of waste plastic recycling.

Technology Trend for Carbon Nanomaterials Hydrogen Storage by the Patent Analysis (특허분석에 의한 탄소 나노재 수소저장 기술 동향)

  • Park, Soo-Jin;Lee, Young-Seak;Kang, Kyung-Seok;Choi, Mi-Jeong;Kim, Jong-Wook
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.77-89
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    • 2008
  • There are several materials for the hydrogen storage such as hydrogen storage alloy, carbon nanomaterials, non-carbon nanomaterials, compounds etc. Efficient and inexpensive hydrogen storage is an essential prerequisite for the utilization of hydrogen, one of the new and clean energy sources. Many researches have been widely performed for the hydrogen storage techniques and materials having high storage capacity and stability. In this paper, the patents concerning the carbon nanomaterial hydrogen storage method were gathered and analyzed. The search range was limited in the open patents of Korea(KR), Japan(JP), USA(US) and European Union(EP) from 1996 to 2006. Patents were gathered by using key-words searching and filtered by filtering criteria. The trends of the patents was analyzed by the years, countries, companies, and technologies.

Technology Trend for Non-carbon Nanomaterials Hydrogen Storage by the Patent Analysis (특허분석에 의한 비탄소계 나노재료 수소저장 기술 동향)

  • Lee, Jin-Bae;Kang, Kyung-Seok;Han, Hye-Jeong;Kim, Jong-Wook;Kim, Hae-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.248-259
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    • 2008
  • There are several well-known materials for the hydrogen storage such as metallic alloy, carbon nanomaterials, non-carbon nanomaterials, and compounds etc. Efficient and inexpensive hydrogen storage methods are an essential prerequisite for the utilization of hydrogen, one of the new and clean energy sources. Many researches have been widely performed for the hydrogen storage techniques and materials to improve the high storage capacity and stability. In this paper, the patents concerning the non-carbon nanomaterial hydrogen storage method were collected and analyzed. The search range was limited in the open patents of Korea(KR), Japan(JP), USA(US) and European Union(EP) from 1996 to 2007. Patents were collected by using key-words searching and filtered by filtering criteria. The trends of the patents was analyzed by the years, countries, companies. and technologies.

Design and Implementation of Topology Map and Contour Map for Project Map Analysis System (프로젝트 맵 분석 시스템을 위한 위상 맵과 등고선 맵의 설계 및 구현)

  • Yea, Sang-Jun;Jang, Hyun-Chul;Kim, Chul;Kim, Jin-Hyun;Kim, Sang-Kyun;Song, Mi-Young
    • Korean Journal of Oriental Medicine
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2010
  • When researchers plan R&D projects, they usually use patent map or paper map for the objective decision-making, but in traditional korean medicine field, domestic patents and papers have been mainly proposed as results of many R&D projects, while most of patent or paper map tools support international patents and SCI papers, respectively. Therefore, as an alternative one KIOM constructed the project map which can provide the technology landscape for R&D project information in traditional korean medicine field. But the functions of the system is limited to the search and analysis with chart. So sophisticated analysis results are hard to get from the existing system. This research's goal is to upgrade the web based project map analysis system to provide researcher rich functionality and advanced analysis tools.

Implementation of Reference Linking Service between Patent and Scientific Paper (참고문헌을 이용한 유럽특허와 학술논문간 링킹서비스 구현)

  • Noh, Kyung-Ran;Kim, Wan-Jong;Yae, Yong-Hee;Choi, Hee-Yu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.851-854
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    • 2008
  • Science-based Industry which is future growth industry leading national competitiveness in knowledge-based society is highly science-dependent field when developing technologies. And highly science-based field is absolutely dependent on core scholarly papers. Due to researchers' need of academic papers related to developing technologies and advances of linking technologies, it is possible to link service between patents and scholarly papers. This paper's purpose is to describe on implementation linking service between EPO patent and papers that cited on search reports. First, it describe case study of other linking services. Second, it describes a kinds of data used in linking services. Lastly, it describe implementation of linking different kinds of contents (patents and papers) in KISTI.

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Trend on the Metallurgical Technologies for the Platinum Group Metal by the Patent Analysis (특허(特許)로 본 백금족(白金族) 금속(金屬)의 제련기술(製鍊技術) 동향(動向))

  • Shin, Shun-Myung;Park, Jin-Tae;Lee, Jae-Chun;Son, Jeong-Soo;Yoon, Ho-Sung;Kim, Min-Seuk
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2009
  • The demand for platinum group metals for various advanced industries has been growing due to their excellent physical and chemical properties. Since the deposit of platinum minerals are restricted to few countries, their recovery from various secondary resources has becomes an important issue to related industries for keeping the supply reliably. In this paper, patents on the metallurgical technologies for the platinum group metals were analyzed. The search of patent was limited to the open patents of USA (US), European Union (EP), Japan (IP), and Korea (KR) from 1986 to 2006. Patents were surveyed using key-words searching and selected by filtering criteria. The trend of patents was analyzed by the years, countries, companies, and technologies.