• Title/Summary/Keyword: panel model

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Longitudinal Study on Factors Affecting Older Adults' Welfare Service Utilization (노인의 노인복지서비스 이용경험에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 종단연구 -서울과 춘천 노인들을 중심으로)

  • Lim, Yeon Ok;Yoon, Hyunsook
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.1063-1085
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    • 2009
  • The purposes of this study were to investigate the transition of elderly's welfare service utilization and to examine the factors affecting their utilization as time passed. To solve these research questions, the behavioral model presented by Andersen and Newman(1973) was applied. Using Hallym Aging Panel data consisted of 3 waves from 2003 to 2007, autoregressive modeling and regression analysis were applied for research purposes. The results of this study were as follows; (1) The experiences of welfare service utilization were increasing gradually. The complimentary service for the aged was utilized generally, but leisure service and community service were not used in common. (2) Past experience of service affected service utilization in the following times. (3) The factors affecting older adult's service utilization were different among the types of services. Nonetheless, the factors affecting continuously during the periods were found: age as predisposing factor and area as enabling factor in the complimentary service; area and existence of spouse as enabling factor in leisure service; education as predisposing factor and service cognition as enabling factor in community service. Enabling factor has affected more consistently than other factors. The results showed that special attention should be paid to balanced regional arrangement for welfare resources and the public relation considering the elderly's intellectual level.

Longitudinal Dynamic Relationships of Delinquent Peers and Delinquency Trajectories (비행또래집단과 청소년비행 간의 종단적인 역동적 관계)

  • Chung, Ick-Joong;Lee, Eun-Ju
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.119-144
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    • 2010
  • This study advances the knowledge of developmental patterns in affiliation with delinquent peers and delinquency during adolescence; data were obtained from waves 1-5 (2003-2007) of the Korea Youth Panel Survey. Semi-parametric group-based modeling (SGM) identified 3 affiliative trajectories of delinquent peers from age 13 to 16: rarely or never, persistently affiliative, and declining groups; and five developmental trajectories of delinquency: non-offending, late onset, low-level continuous, desisting, and chronic groups. A joint trajectory analysis predicted the membership of delinquency trajectories conditional on delinquent peer trajectories. Persistently affiliative group was more likely than others to follow chronic trajectory of delinquency; the rarely or never affiliative group was more likely to be non-offending. This study may help reconcile different theoretical models such as influence, selection, and enhancement models with respect to the role of delinquent peers in delinquency. The distinct theoretical models are equally valid, albeit each model pertains to a specific aspect of longitudinal patterns of affiliation with delinquent peers. Implications of this study for youth welfare were discussed to reduce increased risks for both affiliation with delinquent peers and delinquency.

Poverty Status Transition and Mental Health: The Effect of Mental Health on the Poverty Status Transition (빈곤지위의 변화에 정신건강이 미치는 영향 - 우울과 자아존중감의 영향을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Sang-Rok;Lee, Soon-A
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.277-311
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    • 2010
  • The powerful association between poverty and mental health has been recognized for many decades in the Western Countries. Despite growing poverty studies, there has been little attention to the association between poverty and mental health in Korea. In this article we examine the effects of the mental health on the poverty status transition. In this study we draw on nationally representative data from the The Korean Welfare Panel Study, to estimate the effects of depression and self-respects on the poverty status transition. Major findings are as follows. First, we find that there are mental health disparities between poor and non-poor classes. The mental health conditions of the poor are worse than the non-poor. Second, we find the strong correlations between the mental health and poverty status transition. Whether poor family exits poverty or not depends on the household head's mental health. Third, poverty experiences are different depending on the mental health conditions. To the mental ill-health family, the probabilities of poverty-exit are much lower and poverty duration is more long. Fourth, we find that family poverty status transitions are very significantly related with household head's mental health from the logistic model analysis. These findings suggest that there is a strong relationship between poor mental health and the experience of poverty in Korea. They also suggest that intervention programs to enhance the mental health of the poor are needed in order to reduce the poverty problem in Korea.

Economic Effects of Policy Loans: Focusing on Alleviation Effect of Investment Liquidity Constraint (정책융자의 경제적 성과분석: 투자의 유동성 제약완화 중심으로)

  • Nam, Joo-ha
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.173-193
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    • 2011
  • Most of the research regarding economic effects of policy loans has thus far been focused on whether policy loans can improve the financial status or the management performance of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Unlike previous researches, this study implemented an empirical analysis focused on the contribution of policy loans to easing the liquidity restriction of investment. To analyze whether investment liquidity restriction can be alleviated or not, this study attempted an empirical analysis utilizing the nonlinear Euler equation induced through optimization of investment and GMM (generalized method of moments) as its analysis methodology. With the SMEs that received policy financing from the Small and medium Business Corporation (SBC) in 2004, this study analyzed three years of panel data before(2001~2003) and after(2004~2006) receipt of policy loans. According to the empirical results, it appears that policy loans had effects on resolving liquidity restriction of investment, implying that policy financing eases the liquidity restriction of SME investment and would contribute to the growth and development of SMEs. Further, I checked robustness of empirical results using Tobin's q model. The empirical results also support that policy loans help to resolve liquidity constraint. With these results, it is understood that the critical view to date, which has emphasized the ineffectiveness of policy financing due to it having no or insignificant economic effects, may be wrong.

The Analysis of Hysteresis in Youth Unemployment (청년실업의 이력현상 분석)

  • Kim, Namju
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.96-131
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    • 2019
  • Initially entering into the job market during hard times with unfavorable market institutions has a persistent, negative effect on young workers' subsequent employment. This paper analyzes hysteresis in youth unemployment by using a composite fixed-effect panel data model. Data sets for the age-cohort unemployment rate and for labor market institutions are constructed from OECD statistics from 21 advanced economies, including Korea, from 1985 to 2017, and are then readjusted to match with the peculiarities of the Korean market. In Korea, with a less-aggressive stance on active labor market policy spending, a male worker who experiences a one percentage point higher youth unemployment rate when he was 20- to 29-years-old has a 0.146 percentage point higher unemployment rate at the ages of 30-to 34-years-old and a 0.035 percentage point higher unemployment rate at the age of 35- to 39-years-old. These figures are larger than those in most countries that have more aggressive spending schemes. These findings point out that hysteresis in the Korean labor market can be mitigated by expanding active labor market policy spending more aggressively and more effectively.

Import Demand in Developed Economies & Korean Exports (선진국 수입수요가 우리나라 수출에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Moon Jung;Kim, Kyung Kuen
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.34-65
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    • 2019
  • This paper investigates the effects on Korean exports of demand in developed economies, and how these effects have changed since the global financial crisis. As a measure of import demand, we use import intensity-adjusted demand to take into account heterogenous import intensities across components of aggregate demand. Our estimation of a dynamic panel regression model reveals that Korea's exports to the G7 countries were elastic with respect to the import demand of these countries until the global financial crisis, but have shifted to become inelastic since. Furthermore, we separately estimate the effects of the different components of the G7 countries' aggregate demand (private consumption, public consumption, investment and exports). The results show that the decrease in private consumption in the G7 countries during the crisis had a significant impact in causing the decline in Korea's exports to them, but that the increase in their public consumption since the crisis has had a significant effect on driving increased Korean exports to them. The effects of the G7 countries' exports on Korea's exports to them remain positive and significant during both the pre- and post-crisis periods. The effects of the G7 countries' investments on Korea's exports are also positive and significant, but the positive effect has weakened since the crisis. Our findings suggest that the overall effect of changes in the G7 countries' import demand on Korea's exports to them has weakened compared to the pre-crisis period.

Factors Influencing the Health Care Utilization of Disabled Workers Who Returned to Their Original Workplace after Occupational Accident (원직복귀 산업재해 근로자의 의료이용에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Hyun-Joo Lee
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.167-180
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    • 2023
  • The aim of this study is to explore the factors that influence the health care utilization of disabled workers who returned to their original workplace after an occupational accident. The study sample consisted of 457 workers who suffered from occupational accidents and were rated as disabled based on the data from the PSWCI in 2021. Data analysis was performed using a hierarchical multiple regression analysis with SPSS WIN 26.0. The study findings revealed that the number of outpatient visits was affected by factors such as daily wage payment, economic status, physical activity limitations, subjective health status, and chronic diseases. Moreover, health care expenditures were determined by factors such as having a caregiver for daily living, burn injuries, and physical activity limitations. Therefore, to increase the accessibility of health care utilization for disabled workers, the role of nurses in the workplace should be expanded, employers should include a health care utilization plan when developing a return-to-work plan, and research on the introduction of a paid sick leave system that allows workers to rest when they are sick is needed. It is also necessary to alleviate the economic burden by increasing the coverage of benefits for burn and rehabilitation treatments.

The Serial Multiple Mediation Effect of Smart-media Addiction and ADHD-related Behaviors on the Relation between the Maternal Parenting Behavior and Children's Prosocial Behavior (어머니의 역기능적 양육행동과 아동의 친사회적 행동의 관계에서 아동의 스마트미디어 중독과 ADHD관련문제의 직렬다중매개효과)

  • Sung-eun Baek
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.229-235
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    • 2023
  • This study was to examine the role for children's prosocial behavior in terms of maternal parenting behavior, smart-media addiction and ADHD-related behaviors. The study sample was 537 children who had participated in the tenth wave of the Panel Study on Korean Children. The data were analyzed for descriptive statistics, correlation, and serial multiple mediation analysis. The results of this study are as follows. First, it was found that the direct effect of maternal parenting behavior on children's prosocial behavior was not significant. Second, in the relationship between the maternal parenting behavior and the children's prosocial behavior, the mediating effects of smart-media addiction and ADHD-related behaviors were significant, respectively. Third, in the effect of maternal parenting behavior on children's prosocial behavior, it was found that smart-media addiction and ADHD-related behaviors mediate it in series. These results provide to a better understanding of the process between maternal parenting behavior to children's prosocial behavior and especially emphasize the importance of smart-media addiction and ADHD-related behaviors.

Habitat characteristics and prediction of potential distribution according to climate change for Macromia daimoji Okumura, 1949 (Odonata: Macromiidae) (노란잔산잠자리(Macromia daimojiOkumura, 1949)의 서식지 특성 및 기후변화에 따른 잠재적 분포 예측)

  • Soon Jik Kwon;Hyeok Yeong Kwon;In Chul Hwang;Chang Su Lee;Tae Geun Kim;Jae Heung Park;Yung Chul Jun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2024
  • Macromia daimoji Okumura, 1949 was designated as an endangered species and also categorized as Class II Endangered wildlife on the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List in Korea. The spatial distribution of this species ranged within a region delimited by northern latitude from Sacheon-si(35.1°) to Yeoncheon-gun(38.0°) and eastern longitude from Yeoncheon-gun(126.8°) to Yangsan-si(128.9°). They generally prefer microhabitats such as slowly flowing littoral zones of streams, alluvial stream islands and temporarily formed puddles in the sand-based lowland streams. The objectives of this study were to analyze the similarity of benthic macroinvertebrate communities in M. daimoji habitats, to predict the current potential distribution patterns as well as the changes of distribution ranges under global climate change circumstances. Data was collected both from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) and by field surveys from April 2009 to September 2022. We adopted MaxEnt model to predict the current and future potential distribution for M. daimoji using downloaded 19 variables from the WorldClim database. The differences of benthic macroinvertebrate assemblages in the mainstream of Nakdonggang were smaller than those in its tributaries and the other streams, based on the surrounding environments and stream sizes. MaxEnt model presented that potential distribution displayed high inhabiting probability in Nakdonggang and its tributaries. Applying to the future scenarios by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), SSP1 scenario was predicted to expand in a wide area and SSP5 scenario in a narrow area, comparing with current potential distribution. M. daimoji is not only directly threatened by physical disturbances (e.g. river development activities) but also vulnerable to rapidly changing climate circumstances. Therefore, it is necessary to monitor the habitat environments and establish conservation strategies for preserving population of M. daimoji.

A Study on the Overall Economic Risks of a Hypothetical Severe Accident in Nuclear Power Plant Using the Delphi Method (델파이 기법을 이용한 원전사고의 종합적인 경제적 리스크 평가)

  • Jang, Han-Ki;Kim, Joo-Yeon;Lee, Jai-Ki
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2008
  • Potential economic impact of a hypothetical severe accident at a nuclear power plant(Uljin units 3/4) was estimated by applying the Delphi method, which is based on the expert judgements and opinions, in the process of quantifying uncertain factors. For the purpose of this study, it is assumed that the radioactive plume directs the inland direction. Since the economic risk can be divided into direct costs and indirect effects and more uncertainties are involved in the latter, the direct costs were estimated first and the indirect effects were then estimated by applying a weighting factor to the direct cost. The Delphi method however subjects to risk of distortion or discrimination of variables because of the human behavior pattern. A mathematical approach based on the Bayesian inferences was employed for data processing to improve the Delphi results. For this task, a model for data processing was developed. One-dimensional Monte Carlo Analysis was applied to get a distribution of values of the weighting factor. The mean and median values of the weighting factor for the indirect effects appeared to be 2.59 and 2.08, respectively. These values are higher than the value suggested by OECD/NEA, 1.25. Some factors such as small territory and public attitude sensitive to radiation could affect the judgement of panel. Then the parameters of the model for estimating the direct costs were classified as U- and V-types, and two-dimensional Monte Carlo analysis was applied to quantify the overall economic risk. The resulting median of the overall economic risk was about 3.9% of the gross domestic products(GDP) of Korea in 2006. When the cost of electricity loss, the highest direct cost, was not taken into account, the overall economic risk was reduced to 2.2% of GDP. This assessment can be used as a reference for justifying the radiological emergency planning and preparedness.