• 제목/요약/키워드: over run

검색결과 611건 처리시간 0.028초

기단변질형 한반도 강설 모의에 있어서 물리과정 모수화 과정의 효과 (Effects of Physical Parameterizations on the Simulation of a Snowfall Event over Korea Caused by Air-mass Transformation)

  • 설경희;홍성유
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제16권3호
    • /
    • pp.203-213
    • /
    • 2006
  • The objective of this paper is to investigate the effects of physical parameterization on the simulation of a snowfall event over Korea caused by air-mass transformation by using the PSU/NCAR MM5. A heavy snowfall event over Korea during 3-5 January 2003 is selected. In addition to the control experiments employing simple-ice microphysics scheme, MRF PBL scheme, and original surface layer process, three consequent physics sensitivity experiments are performed. Each experiment exchanges microphysics (Reisner Graupel), boundary layer (YSU PBL) schemes, and revised surface layer process with a reduced thermal roughness length for the control run. The control run reproduces an overall pattern of snowfall over Korea, but with a high bias by a factor of about 2. As revealed in the previous studies, the cloud microphysics and PBL parameterizations do not show a significant sensitivity for the case of snowfall. A more sophisticated cloud processes does not reveal a discernible effect on the simulated snowfall. Further, high bias in snowfall is exaggerated when a more realistic PBL scheme is employed. On the other hand, it is found that the revised surface layer process plays a role in improving the prediction of snowfall by reducing it. Thus, it is found that a realistic design of surface layer physics in mesoscale models is an important factor to the reduction of systematic bias of the snowfall over Korea that is caused by air-mass transformation over the Yellow sea.

한국(韓國)의 물가모형(物價模型) (A Long Run Classical Model of Price Determination)

  • 박우규;김세종
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • 제14권4호
    • /
    • pp.3-26
    • /
    • 1992
  • 본고(本稿)에서는 물가변동(物價變動)의 구조(構造), 주요거시정책변수(主要巨視政策變數)의 변동이 물가에 미치는 영향 및 파급구조(波及構造) 등을 파악하고 물가안정을 위한 적절한 정책대응방안을 제시하기 위하여 물가모형(物價模型)을 작성하였다. Keynesian 거시경제모형(巨視經濟模型) 형태로 작성하되, 임금(賃金), 이자율(利子率), 물가(物價)와 같은 주요가격변수(主要價格變數)를 내생화(內生化)하고 잠재(潛在)GNP의 추정 역시 내생화(內生化)함으로써 가격 및 실물변수의 장기적(長期的) 상호변동관계(相互變動關係)를 파악하였다. 어떠한 충격에 의해 초과수요(超過需要)(실질GNP-잠재GNP)가 변화하면 이는 임금(賃金), 금리(金利), 물가(物價), 실질실효환율(實質實效換率) 등과 같은 가격변수에 영향을 미치고 이는 다시 초과수요(超過需要)를 변동시키는 실물(實物)-가격(價格)-실물(實物)의 순환변동관계(循環變動關係)에 의해 물가가 변동되는 것으로 나타났다. 본 모형(模型)은 Keynesian모형(模型)이나, 장기(長期)에는 고전파적(古典派的)(Classical) 정책함의를 가지는바, 통화공급증가(通貨供給增加), 재정지출증가(財政支出增加), 환율절하(換率切下) 등은 단기(短期)에는 경기부양효과를 가지나 장기(長期)에는 이러한 경기부양효과가 소멸되는 반면 물가(物價)는 높은 수준을 유지하는 결과를 초래하는 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

산지개발을 위한 경사도별 초지조성초기의 토양유실량측정시험 (Soil Erosion From Slope Land at Early Stage of Grasses for Development of Mountainous Area)

  • 황은
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제31권1호
    • /
    • pp.71-81
    • /
    • 1989
  • Soil erosion was investigated to find out difference in amount of soil eroded from slope land at early stage of young grasses and at later stage with sufficient cover with different slopes. The six experimental plots were formed on 8$^{\circ}$, 10$^{\circ}$, 15$^{\circ}$, 20$^{\circ}$, and 25$^{\circ}$, with 2m width and 20m length located at the Hwak Kok Ri, Chun Sung Gun, Kang Weon Do. The amount of soil eroded and run-off were collected from 1. May 1987. to 30. October 1988, growing with grasses sowed 2. September 1987. The results were as follows : 1. The amount of soil eroded from the plots except 8$^{\circ}$ plot exceeded the allowable soil erosion with 14 ton/ha during the land formuing before establishment of sufficient surface cover with grasses. Therefore, proper soil conservation practice should be recommeneed. 2. The amount of soil eroded increased exponentially with increased slope as 1.24 times for 15$^{\circ}$1.65 times for 20*, and 2.94 times for 25$^{\circ}$, m comparing with standared 10$^{\circ}$ polt. 3. The erosion occurred mainly by high density of rainfall exceeding lOOmm as consecutive precipitation during the raining peried or accompanied by typhoon passing. 4. The significant soil erosion, when the land covering ratio was over 95% after seeding of grass, was recorded only by the single continuous storms over lOOmm of concentrated precpitation, of which amounts were 1/73~/250 of the allowable soil erosion. 5. The amount of soil erosion from the plots with sufficient surface cover with grasses increased as the slope increased however the amounts were small enough to be neglected. 6. Desolation by soil erosion would be minor problem up to the slope of 20$^{\circ}$ when the mountainous area developed to the grassland with sufficient cover. But it could be concerned on the turn to the hare land by the treading of livestocks with the land slope over 25$^{\circ}$. 7. The run-off of rainfall increased by the increament of slope but it was not exponentially increased. 8. The run-off of rainfall after seeding of grass reduced by 20% in comparison with the run-off of rainfall before seeding, which might be due to infiltration of rainfall promoted by the grass roots.

  • PDF

잠제 설치 연안의 처오름 높이 특성 : PART I - 잠제의 평면배치에 의한 영향 (Characteristics of Run-up Height over Sandy Beach with Submerged Breakwaters : PART I - Effect of Plane Arrangement of Submerged Breakwaters)

  • 허동수;이우동
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제28권3B호
    • /
    • pp.345-354
    • /
    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 잠제의 평면배치형상(이안거리, 개구율)에 따라 해빈상을 전파하는 풍파의 처오름 높이 변화특성을 논의하기 위하여, 파 투과성구조물 해빈의 상호간섭을 직접해석할 수 있는 3D-수치모델(LES-WASS-3D; 허와 이, 2007)을 이용하였다. 먼저, 기존의 수리모형 실험치와 본 연구의 계산치를 비교 검토하여 이용한 수치모델의 타당성 및 유효성을 검증한 후, 잠제 2기의 평면배치의 변화에 따른 수치시뮬레이션을 실시하였다. 결과로서 얻어진 잠제 주변의 파고분포 및 상층흐름 특성 등과 관련하여 연안에서의 처오름 높이를 검토한 결과, 처오름 높이 감소에 효율적인 잠제의 이안거리는 $Y/L_i=1.50{\sim}1.75$, 개구율은 $W/L_r=0.50$인 것을 확인하였다.

Does CO2 and Its Possible Determinants are Playing Their Role in the Environmental Degradation in Turkey. Environment Kuznets Curve Does Exist in Turkey.

  • RAHMAN, Zia Ur
    • 웰빙융합연구
    • /
    • 제2권2호
    • /
    • pp.19-37
    • /
    • 2019
  • Over the last few decades, the atmospheric carbon dioxide emission has been amplified to a great extent in Turkey. This amplification may cause global warming, climate change and environmental degradation in Turkey. Consequently, ecological condition and human life may suffer in the near future from these indicated threats. Therefore, an attempt was made to test the relationship among a number of expected factors and carbon dioxide emissions in the case of Turkey. The study covers the time series data over the period of 1970-2017. We employed the modern econometric techniques such as Johansen co-integration, ARDL bound testing approach and the block exogeneity. The results of the Johansen co-integration test show that there is a significant long-run relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and expected factors. The long-run elasticities of the ARDL model show that a 1% increase in the GDP per capita, electric consumption, fiscal development and trade openness will increase carbon dioxide emissions by 0.14, 0.52, 0.09 and 0.20% respectively. Further, our findings reveal that the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis and inverted U-shaped relationship between carbon dioxide emission and economic growth prevails. Therefore, the EKC hypothesis is valid and prevailing in the Turkish economy. The diagnostic test results show that the parameters of the ARDL model are credible, sTable and reliable in the current form. Finally, Block exogeneity analysis displays that all the expected factors are contributing significantly to carbon dioxide emissions in the Turkish economy.

Global Oil Prices and Exchange Rate: Evidence from the Monetary Model

  • ZAFAR, Sadaf;KHAN, Muhammad Arshad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제9권1호
    • /
    • pp.189-201
    • /
    • 2022
  • The study empirically examines the impact of monetary fundamentals along with global oil prices on the Pak-rupee exchange rate using the monthly data over 2001-2020. Employing the cointegrating vector autoregressive with exogenous variables (VARX) and vector error correction model with exogenous variables (VECMX), the study analyzes the impact of domestic monetary fundamentals while considering the foreign variables as weakly exogenous. In order to account for the structural breaks in the data, the Lagrange multiplier (LM) unit root test with two structural breaks has been used (Lee & Strazicich, 2003). The empirical results reveal that the domestic and foreign monetary variables significantly explain the exchange rate movements in Pakistan both in the long run and in the short run. The dynamic properties of the monetary model of exchange rate have been analyzed using the persistence profile analysis and generalized impulse response functions (GIRFs). The results reveal that the responses of shocks to domestic monetary fundamentals are consistent with the predictions of the monetary model of the exchange rate. Furthermore, being a net oil importer, a rise in global oil prices significantly depreciated the Pak-rupee exchange rate over the period of study. The global financial crisis (GFC) and pandemic (COVID-19) were also found to cause the Pak-rupee exchange rate depreciation.

지진해일 중 해안안벽 주변의 부유체 거동에 관한 2차원 입자법 시뮬레이션 (Two-Dimensional Particle Simulation for Behaviors of Floating Body near Quaywall during Tsunami)

  • 박지인;박종천;황성철;허재경
    • 한국해양공학회지
    • /
    • 제28권1호
    • /
    • pp.12-19
    • /
    • 2014
  • Tsunamis are ocean waves generated by movements of the Earth's crust. Several geophysical events can lead to this kind of catastrophe: earthquakes, landslides, volcanic eruptions, and other mechanisms such as underwater explosions. Most of the damage associated with tsunamis are related to their run-up onto the shoreline. Therefore, effectively predicting the run-up process is an important aspect of any seismic sea wave mitigation effort. In this paper, a numerical simulation of the behaviors of a floating body near a quaywall during a tsunami is conducted by using a particle method. First, a solitary wave traveling over shallow water with a slope is numerically simulated, and the results are compared with experiments and other numerical results. Then, the behaviors of floating bodies with different drafts are investigated numerically.

The Effect of External Shocks on Food Price in Indonesia: A VECM Analysis

  • Nurvitasari, Ari;Nasrudin, Nasrudin
    • 산경연구논집
    • /
    • 제8권7호
    • /
    • pp.7-12
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose - This research examines the short-run and long-run effect of external shocks (oil price and exchange rate) on domestic food price in Indonesia. Research design, data, and methodology - Three variables are used in this research. The variables are food price index, Rupiah's exchange rate of Indonesia, and crude oil price from 1998 until 2015 using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Results - The increasing of oil price and the depreciation of Rupiah's rate push the domestic food price in long-run, but do not impact significantly in short- term. The response of food price to oil prices shock and exchange rate shock are positive and persistent throughout the entire sample period. The exchange rate and oil price shocks have a small proportion explaining for the fluctuations of food price index but increasing over time. Conclusions - The policymaker should concern on solving the problem of oil price increase and depreciation of exchange rate on Indonesia's food price as they are important factors that can affect the price stability. The government should not rely on food imports because the price is strongly influenced by the movements in the exchange rate.

Rum-Length code를 이용한 제약없이 쓰여진 한글 필기체 주소열 분할 (An Approach to Segmentation of Address Strings of unconstrained handwritten Hangul using Run-Length Code)

  • 김경환;윤정석
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
    • /
    • 제28권11호
    • /
    • pp.813-821
    • /
    • 2001
  • 대부분의 문자 인식기들이 인식대상영상이 인식단위로 분할되어있다는 가정아래 개발되고 있으나, 실제 필기한글의 분할에 대한 연구는 미미한 실정이다. 본 논문은 Run-length code를 이용한 능동적인 한글 분할방법을 제시한다. 전처리와 인식단위 분할에 응용할 수 있는, 한글의 구조적 특성을 반영한, 기울기 보정 알고리즘을 제안하고, 필기자들이 일반적인 필기 습관과 한글이 갖는 2차원 구조의 특성을 반영하면서 문자의 접촉점을 적극적으로 찾아내기 위한 기초 함수들과 접촉점들의 분류 방법을 제시한다. 임의의 필기자로부터 수집한 필기 한글 주소열 데이터를 이용해 수행한 실험을 통해, 초과분할을 포함하여, 88.2%의 접촉 문자들을 분리할 수 있었다.

  • PDF

The Impact of R&D on the Singaporean Economy

  • Ho, Yuen-Ping;Wong, Poh-Kam
    • STI Policy Review
    • /
    • 제8권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-22
    • /
    • 2017
  • There has been a pronounced increase in research and development (R&D) expenditure in Singapore over the last two decades, with government spending accounting for a sizeable share. This increase has been spurred by public policy emphasis on research and innovation as engines of economic growth. This paper analyses the impact of R&D on economic performance in Singapore from 1978 to 2012 through the use of time series analysis. The Cobb-Douglas based analysis shows a long-run equilibrium relationship between Total Factor Productivity (TFP) and R&D investments. We found that the short-run productivity of R&D in Singapore is comparable to smaller advanced economies in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). However, in terms of long-run R&D productivity, Singapore lags slightly behind the smaller OECD nations and far behind the G7 countries. This suggests leakage of value capture and low absorptive capacity in local firms. Possibility of productivity improvements induced by policy changes in the 1990s was considered, but no evidence of significant structural breaks was found. Lastly, Granger causality analysis reveals that public sector R&D augments private sector R&D capital, thus playing an important role in generating externalities and spillover effects. Policy implications and lessons for other middle-income countries are discussed.