• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.246-246
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• 2023

Multi-purpose dams are operated accounting for both physical and socioeconomic factors. This study aims to evaluate the utility of a deep learning algorithm-based model for three multi-purpose dam operation (Seomjin River dam, Juam dam, and Juam Control dam) in Seomjin River. In this study, the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) algorithm is applied to predict hourly water level of the dam reservoirs over 2002-2021. The hyper-parameters are optimized by the Bayesian optimization algorithm to enhance the prediction skill of the GRU model. The GRU models are set by the following cases: single dam input - single dam output (S-S), multi-dam input - single dam output (M-S), and multi-dam input - multi-dam output (M-M). Results show that the S-S cases with the local dam information have the highest accuracy above 0.8 of NSE. Results from the M-S and M-M model cases confirm that upstream dam information can bring important information for downstream dam operation prediction. The S-S models are simulated with altered outflows (-40% to +40%) to generate the simulated water level of the dam reservoir as alternative dam operational scenarios. The alternative S-S model simulations show physically inconsistent results, indicating that our deep learning algorithm-based model is not explainable for multi-purpose dam operation patterns. To better understand this limitation, we further analyze the relationship between observed water level and outflow of each dam. Results show that complexity in outflow-water level relationship causes the limited predictability of the GRU algorithm-based model. This study highlights the importance of socioeconomic factors from hidden multi-purpose dam operation processes on not only physical processes-based modeling but also aritificial intelligence modeling.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.351-365
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• 2019

본 연구의 목적은 주요 이동요인별 인구이동 및 인구분포의 시공간적 특징을 분석하고 장래 지역별 인구분포의 변화를 예측하고 전망하는 것이다. 이를 위해 직업, 가족, 주택, 교육 등 주요 이동요인별 거주지 변화로 나타나는 지역별 인구이동의 추이를 파악하고, 장래 지역별 인구 유출입에 의한 인구분포의 변화를 추정하는 예측 시뮬레이션을 진행한다. 분석결과, 거주지를 변경함에 있어 대도시지역과 시 단위 중심의 지리적 이동이 나타나고 있으며 대도시와 시 단위 내에서도 지역별 인구 유출입에 영향을 미치는 주요 이동요인별 구성 비율은 각기 상이하게 나타난다. 또한 이동요인별 시군구별 추이확률과 상태확률을 토대로 6단계-정상 마르코프 연쇄 프로세스를 진행한 결과, 각 이동요인에 따라 장래 시군구별 인구분포의 변화 정도도 차이가 나타날 것으로 추정된다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 방법론과 분석결과는 특히 인구감소로 지방소멸이 우려되는 지역에서 인구의 유입요인은 강화하고 유출요인은 개선하는 지역 맞춤형 인구 및 각종 정책을 계획하고 마련하는데 활용될 수 있다.

• 융합정보논문지
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• 제10권12호
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• pp.126-131
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• 2020

본 연구는 전라도 지역 시·군·구의 지역 유형 변화를 파악하기 위하여 응급실 환자들의 유출입 현황을 분석하였다. 2014-2018년의 국가응급진료정보망에서 전라도 지역의 자료를 추출하였고, 환자의 주소와 응급의료기관 주소를 활용하여 지역친화도(Relevance index, RI)와 지역환자구성비(Commitment index CI)를 계산하였다. 계산된 지표들을 적용하여 군집분석으로 지역유형을 분류하였고, 비모수적 방법인 크루스칼-왈리스 검정을 사용하여 지역유형에 대한 RI와 CI의 연도별 차이를 살펴보았다. RI와 CI를 활용한 군집분석 결과는 3개의 지역유형으로 구분되었고, 군집 1은 유출형, 군집 2는 유입형, 군집 3은 자체충족형으로 분류되었다. 각 군집(지역유형)에 대한 RI와 CI의 연도별 차이에서는 군집 2(유입형)와 군집 3(자체충족형)은 유의한 차이가 없었다. 군집 1(유출형)은 CI에서는 유의한 차이가 없었고, RI에서 2004년은 2017년과 2018년에 유의한 차이가 있었다. 이는 응급의료 집중화가 심해진 반면, 응급의료 환경이 개선되었다고 보기는 어려운 것으로 해석된다.

• Tribology and Lubricants
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• 제33권1호
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• pp.1-8
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• 2017

Drag torque reduction in a wet clutch pack is a key aspect of the design process of the dual clutch transmission (DCT) system. In order to reduce the drag torque caused by lubricant shear resistance, recently developed wet clutch pack systems of DCT, as well as automatic transmission and other four-wheel drive (4WD) couplings, frequently utilize wavy wet clutch pads. Therefore, wavy shape of friction pad are made on the groove patterns like waffle pattern for the reduction of drag torque. Additionally, the groove patterns are designed with larger channels at several locations on the friction pad to facilitate faster outflow of lubricant. However, channel performance is a function of the waviness of the friction pad at the location of the particular channel. This is because the discharge sectional area varies according to the waviness amplitude at the location of the particular channel. The higher location of the additional channel on the friction pad results in a larger cross-sectional area, which allows for a larger flow discharge rate. This results in reduction of the drag torque caused by the shear resistance of DCTF, because of marginal volume fraction of fluid (VOF) in the space between the friction pad and separator. This study computes the VOF in the space between the friction pad and separator, the hydrodynamic pressure developed, and the shear resistance of friction torque, by using CFD software (FLUENT). In addition, the study investigates the dependence of these parameters on the location and waviness amplitude of the channel pattern on the friction pad. The paper presents design guidelines on the proper location of high waviness amplitude on wavy friction pads.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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• pp.208-208
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• 2022

Recently, the frequency of abnormal weather due to complex factors such as global warming is increasing frequently. From the past rainfall patterns, it is evident that climate change is causing irregular rainfall patterns. This phenomenon causes difficulty in predicting rainfall and makes it difficult to prevent and cope with natural disasters, casuing human and property damages. Therefore, accurate rainfall estimation and rainfall occurrence time prediction could be one of the ways to prevent and mitigate damage caused by flood and drought disasters. However, rainfall prediction has a lot of uncertainty, so it is necessary to understand and reduce this uncertainty. In addition, when accurate rainfall prediction is applied to the rainfall-runoff model, the accuracy of the runoff prediction can be improved. In this regard, this study aims to increase the reliability of rainfall prediction by analyzing the uncertainty of the Korean rainfall ensemble prediction data and the outflow analysis model using the Limited Area ENsemble (LENS) and the Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model (GRM) models. First, the possibility of improving rainfall prediction ability is reviewed using the QM (Quantile Mapping) technique among the bias correction techniques. Then, the GRM parameter calibration was performed twice, and the likelihood-parameter applicability evaluation and uncertainty analysis were performed using R², NSE, PBIAS, and Log-normal. The rainfall prediction data were applied to the rainfall-runoff model and evaluated before and after calibration. It is expected that more reliable flood prediction will be possible by reducing uncertainty in rainfall ensemble data when applying to the runoff model in selecting behavioral models for user uncertainty analysis. Also, it can be used as a basis of flood prediction research by integrating other parameters such as geological characteristics and rainfall events.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제12권5호
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• pp.771-783
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• 2017

Using a transparent fracture replica with aperture size and water-cement ratio (w/c), the factors affecting the penetration behavior of rock grouting were investigated through laboratory experiments. In addition, the waterproof efficiency was estimated by the reduction of water outflow through the fractures after the grout curing process. Penetration behavior shows that grout penetration patterns present similarly radial forms in all experimental cases; however, velocity of grout penetration showed clear differences according to the aperture sizes and water-cement ratio. It can be seen that the waterproof efficiency increased as the aperture size and w/c decreased. During grout injection or curing processes, air bubbles formed and bleeding occurred, both of which affected the waterproof ability of the grouting. These two phenomena can significantly prevent the successful performance of rock grouting in field-scale underground spaces, especially at deep depth conditions. Our research can provide a foundation for improving and optimizing the innovative techniques of rock grouting.

• 한국해양학회지
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.29-38
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• 1989

동해 해수순환의 특징은 대한해협으로부터 유입된 난수가 동한난류를 형성하여 한국연안을 따라 북상한 후 다시 외해로 분리되어 나간다는 것과 북쪽에서부터 연안을 따라 남하하는 북한한류가 형성하는 반시계 방향의 순환류가 동해 북부에 존재한다는 사실일 것이다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 사실을 설명하기 위하여 간단한 역학적 모델을 수립하였다. 동해 해수순환을 기본적으로 유입-유출 형태라 한 후 여기에 해양-대기 열 교환을 적용하였으며 해수혼합에 의한 열의 소멸, 마찰에 의한 운동량의 소멸도 고려하였다. 결과에 의하면, 상기의 순환특징은 열역학적 요인에 의하여 기인됨이 밝혀졌다. 또한, 열교환의 정도에 따라 여러가지 순환형태가 나타날 수 있음도 보였다.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.121-130
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• 2010

In today's uncertain economic environment, economic risk is inherent in making large investments on manufacturing facilities. It is, therefore, practically meaningful to divide investment over multiple periods, reducing the risk of investment. Then, the cash-flow over the entire planning horizon would comprise positive inflow and negative outflow. In this case, in general, evaluation by internal rate of return (IRR) is not feasible, because multiple IRRs are involved. This paper deals with a problem of evaluating profitability, as well as risk, of investment alternatives made in multiple times of investment over the entire horizon. Typically, an additional investment is required after the initial one, for expanding manufacturing capacity or other reasons. The paper pays attention to a unit cash-flow over two periods, decomposing the total cash-flow into a series of unit cash-flow patterns. It is easy to evaluate profitability of a unit cash-flow by using IRR. The total cash-flow can be decomposed into the series of two types of unit cash-flows: an investment type one (negative-positive) and the borrowing type one (positive-negative). This paper, therefore, proposes a method in which only the borrowing type unit cash-flow is eliminated in the series by converting total cash-flow using capital interest rate. Then, a unique IRR can be obtained and the profitability is evaluated. Thus, the paper extends the method of IRR so that it may help decision making in complicated cash-flow pattern observed in practice.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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• pp.126-126
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• 2021

Stormwater reduction plays an important role in the safety and resilience to flooding in urban areas. Due to rapid climate change, the world is experiencing abnormal climate phenomena, and sudden floods and concentrated torrential rains are frequently occurring in urban basins and the amount of outflow due to stormwater increases. In addition, the damage caused by urban flooding and inundation due to extreme rainfall exceeding the events that occurred in the past increases. To solve this problem, water supply, drainage, and water supply for sustainable urban development, the water management paradigm is shifting from sewage maintenance to water circulation and water-sensitive cities. So, in this study, The purpose of this study is to examine measures to increase the resilience of urban ecosystem systems for urban excellence reduction by analyzing the effects of green infra structures and LID techniques and evaluating changes in resilience. In this study, for simulating and analysis of runoff for various stormwater patterns and LID applications, Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) was used.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제36권4호
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• pp.33-69
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• 2014

본 논문은 펀드투자의 유입자금흐름과 유출자금흐름을 별도로 구분하여 결정요인을 실증분석하였다. 과거 성과, 펀드연령, 펀드규모, 판매보수 등 주요 요인의 자금흐름에 대한 효과는 유입자금과 유출자금 사이에 큰 차이가 있었다. 과거 성과와의 양(+)의 관계, 펀드연령과의 음(-)의 관계 등 순유입자금을 기반으로 한 기존 연구에서 확립된 실증 결과는 유출자금에 대해서는 반대로 나타났다. 특히 과거 성과의 유출자금과의 관계는 '처분효과(disposition effect)'의 존재를 시사하였다. 한편, '계열 펀드'와 '비계열 펀드'를 구분할 경우 판매보수의 유입자금과 유출자금에 대한 효과가 두 펀드그룹 사이에 상이하여, 판매사 간의 유인체계 차이가 펀드선택시장에서 중요한 요인인 것으로 나타났다. '처분효과'의 존재 등 본 논문에서 미국의 기존 연구와 다른 분석 결과가 얻어진 이유는 표본의 차이에 기인하였을 가능성이 있다.