• Title/Summary/Keyword: orbit prediction

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Parametric Analysis of the Solar Radiation Pressure Model for Precision GPS Orbit Determination

  • Bae, Tae-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2017
  • The SRP (Solar Radiation Pressure) model has always been an issue in the dynamic GPS (Global Positioning System) orbit determination. The widely used CODE (Center for Orbit Determination in Europe) model and its variants have nine parameters to estimate the solar radiation pressure from the Sun and to absorb the remaining forces. However, these parameters show a very high correlation with each other and, therefore, only several of them are estimated at most of the IGS (International GNSS Service) analysis centers. In this study, we attempted to numerically verify the correlation between the parameters. For this purpose, a bi-directional, multi-step numerical integrator was developed. The correlation between the SRP parameters was analyzed in terms of post-fit residuals of the orbit. The integrated orbit was fitted to the IGS final orbit as external observations. On top of the parametric analysis of the SRP parameters, we also verified the capabilities of orbit prediction at later time epochs. As a secondary criterion for orbit quality, the positional discontinuity of the daily arcs was also analyzed. The resulting post-fit RMSE (Root-Mean-Squared Error) shows a level of 4.8 mm on average and there is no significant difference between block types. Since the once-per-revolution parameters in the Y-axis are highly correlated with those in the B-axis, the periodic terms in the D- and Y-axis are constrained to zero in order to resolve the correlations. The 6-hr predicted orbit based on the previous day yields about 3 cm or less compared to the IGS final orbit for a week, and reaches up to 6 cm for 24 hours (except for one day). The mean positional discontinuity at the boundary of two 1-day arcs is on the level of 1.4 cm for all non-eclipsing satellites. The developed orbit integrator shows a high performance in statistics of RMSE and positional discontinuity, as well as the separations of the dynamic parameters. In further research, additional verification of the reference frame for the estimated orbit using SLR is necessary to confirm the consistency of the orbit frames.

ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECT OF UTI-UTC TO HIGH PRECISION ORBIT PROPAGATION

  • Shin, Dong-Seok;Kwak, Sung-Hee;Kim, Tag-Gon
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 1999
  • As the spatial resolution of remote sensing satellites becomes higher, very accurate determination of the position of a LEO (Low Earth Orbit) satellite is demanding more than ever. Non-symmetric Earth gravity is the major perturbation force to LEO satellites. Since the orbit propagation is performed in the celestial frame while Earth gravity is defined in the terrestrial frame, it is required to convert the coordinates of the satellite from one to the other accurately. Unless the coordinate conversion between the two frames is performed accurately the orbit propagation calculates incorrect Earth gravitational force at a specific time instant, and hence, causes errors in orbit prediction. The coordinate conversion between the two frames involves precession, nutation, Earth rotation and polar motion. Among these factors, unpredictability and uncertainty of Earth rotation, called UTI-UTC, is the largest error source. In this paper, the effect of UTI-UTC on the accuracy of the LEO propagation is introduced, tested and analzed. Considering the maximum unpredictability of UTI-UTC, 0.9 seconds, the meaningful order of non-spherical Earth harmonic functions is derived.

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Development of Onboard Orbit Generation Algorithm for GEO Satellite (정지궤도 위성의 탑재 궤도 생성 알고리듬 개발)

  • Yim, Jo Ryeong;Park, Bong-Kyu;Park, Young-Woong;Choi, Hong-Taek
    • Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2014
  • This technical paper deals with development of on-board orbit generation algorithm for GEO Satellite. This paper presents the research analysis results performed in order to improve the accuracy of the existing algorithm used for generating real-time orbit information for GEO satellite. The error impact on orbit accuracy due to the orbit error sources were analyzed with the algorithm suggested by this research. As a result of the analyses, it is found that the initial orbit should be determined with an accuracy of less than 50 m and the reference position angle error for the ground station and the satellite should be maintained within ${\pm}0.0025deg$ in order to meet the orbit accuracy specification. The development of on-board flight software based on the new algorithm was accomplished and the performance verification is ongoing by using a software based performance verification tool.

Observational Arc-Length Effect on Orbit Determination for KPLO Using a Sequential Estimation Technique

  • Kim, Young-Rok;Song, Young-Joo;Bae, Jonghee;Choi, Seok-Weon
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.295-308
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    • 2018
  • In this study, orbit determination (OD) simulation for the Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter (KPLO) was accomplished for investigation of the observational arc-length effect using a sequential estimation algorithm. A lunar polar orbit located at 100 km altitude and $90^{\circ}$ inclination was mainly considered for the KPLO mission operation phase. For measurement simulation and OD for KPLO, the Analytical Graphics Inc. Systems Tool Kit 11 and Orbit Determination Tool Kit 6 software were utilized. Three deep-space ground stations, including two deep space network (DSN) antennas and the Korea Deep Space Antenna, were configured for the OD simulation. To investigate the arc-length effect on OD, 60-hr, 48-hr, 24-hr, and 12-hr tracking data were prepared. Position uncertainty by error covariance and orbit overlap precision were used for OD performance evaluation. Additionally, orbit prediction (OP) accuracy was also assessed by the position difference between the estimated and true orbits. Finally, we concluded that the 48-hr-based OD strategy is suitable for effective flight dynamics operation of KPLO. This work suggests a useful guideline for the OD strategy of KPLO mission planning and operation during the nominal lunar orbits phase.

Adaptive Compensation Method Using the Prediction Algorithm for the Doppler Frequency Shift in the LEO Mobile Satellite Communication System

  • You, Moon-Hee;Lee, Seong-Pal;Han, Young-Yearl
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 2000
  • In low earth orbit (LEO) satellite communication systems, more severe phase distortion due to Doppler shift is frequently detected in the received signal than in cases of geostationary earth orbit (GEO) satellite systems or terrestrial mobile systems. Therefore, an estimation of Doppler shift would be one of the most important factors to enhance performance of LEO satellite communication system. In this paper, a new adaptive Doppler compensation scheme using location information of a user terminal and satellite, as well as a weighting factor for the reduction of prediction error is proposed. The prediction performance of the proposed scheme is simulated in terms of the prediction accuracy and the cumulative density function of the prediction error, with considering the offset variation range of the initial input parameters in LEO satellite system. The simulation results showed that the proposed adaptive compensation algorithm has the better performance accuracy than Ali's method. From the simulation results, it is concluded the adaptive compensation algorithm is the most applicable method that can be applied to LEO satellite systems of a range of altitude between 1,000 km and 2,000 km for the general error tolerance level, M = 250 Hz.

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A Short-Term Prediction Method of the IGS RTS Clock Correction by using LSTM Network

  • Kim, Mingyu;Kim, Jeongrae
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.209-214
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    • 2019
  • Precise point positioning (PPP) requires precise orbit and clock products. International GNSS service (IGS) real-time service (RTS) data can be used in real-time for PPP, but it may not be possible to receive these corrections for a short time due to internet or hardware failure. In addition, the time required for IGS to combine RTS data from each analysis center results in a delay of about 30 seconds for the RTS data. Short-term orbit prediction can be possible because it includes the rate of correction, but the clock correction only provides bias. Thus, a short-term prediction model is needed to preidict RTS clock corrections. In this paper, we used a long short-term memory (LSTM) network to predict RTS clock correction for three minutes. The prediction accuracy of the LSTM was compared with that of the polynomial model. After applying the predicted clock corrections to the broadcast ephemeris, we performed PPP and analyzed the positioning accuracy. The LSTM network predicted the clock correction within 2 cm error, and the PPP accuracy is almost the same as received RTS data.

Life Prediction of Failure Mechanisms of the CubeSat Mission Board using Sherlock of Reliability and Life Prediction Tools (신뢰성 수명예측 도구 Sherlock을 이용한 큐브위성용 임무보드의 고장 메커니즘별 수명예측)

  • Jeon, Su-Hyeon;Kwon, Yae-Ha;Kwon, Hyeong-Ahn;Lee, Yong-Geun;Lim, In-OK;Oh, Hyun-Ung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.172-180
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    • 2016
  • A cubesat classified as a pico-satellite typically uses commercial-grade components that satisfy the vibration and thermal environmental specifications and goes into mission orbit even after undergoing minimum environment tests due to their lower cost and short development period. However, its reliability exposed to the physical environment such as on-orbit thermal vacuum for long periods cannot be assured under minimum tests criterion. In this paper, we have analysed the reliability and life prediction of the failure mechanisms of the cubesat mission board during its service life under the launch and on-orbit environment by using the sherlock software which has been widely used in automobile fields to predict the reliability of electronic devices.

Simulator Development for GEO (Geostationary Orbit)-Based Launch Vehicle Flight Trajectory Prediction System (정지궤도 기반 발사체 비행 궤적 추정시스템의 시뮬레이터 개발)

  • Myung, Hwan-Chun
    • Journal of Space Technology and Applications
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 2022
  • The missile early-warning satellite systems have been developed and upgraded by some space-developed nations, under the inevitable trend that the space is more strongly considered as another battle field than before. As the key function of such a satellite-based early warning system, the prediction algorithm of the missile flight trajectory is studied in the paper. In particular, the evolution computation, receiving broad attention in the artificial intelligence area, is applied to the proposed prediction method so that the global optimum-like solution is found avoiding disadvantage of the previous non-linear optimization search tools. Moreover, using the prediction simulator of the launch vehicle flight trajectory which is newly developed in C# and Python, the paper verifies the performance and the feature of the proposed algorithm.

Implementation and Test of the Automatic Flight Dynamics Operations for Geostationary Satellite Mission

  • Park, Sang-Wook;Lee, Young-Ran;Lee, Byoung-Sun;Hwang, Yoo-La;Galilea, Javier Santiago Noguero
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.635-642
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes the Flight Dynamics Automation (FDA) system for COMS Flight Dynamics System (FDS) and its test result in terms of the performance of the automation jobs. FDA controls the flight dynamics functions such as orbit determination, orbit prediction, event prediction, and fuel accounting. The designed FDA is independent from the specific characteristics which are defined by spacecraft manufacturer or specific satellite missions. Therefore, FDA could easily links its autonomous job control functions to any satellite mission control system with some interface modification. By adding autonomous system along with flight dynamics system, it decreases the operator's tedious and repeated jobs but increase the usability and reliability of the system. Therefore, FDA is used to improve the completeness of whole mission control system's quality. The FDA is applied to the real flight dynamics system of a geostationary satellite, COMS and the experimental test is performed. The experimental result shows the stability and reliability of the mission control operations through the automatic job control.

Orbit Prediction using Almanac for GLONASS Satellite Visibility Analysis (GLONASS 위성 가시성 분석을 위한 알마낙 기반 궤도 예측)

  • Kim, Hye-In;Park, Kwan-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2009
  • Even though there are next generation Global Navigation Systems in development, only GPS and GLONASS are currently available for satellite positioning. In this study, GLONASS orbits were predicted using Keplerian elements in almanac and the orbit equation. For accuracy validation, predicted orbits were compared with precise ephemeris. As a result, the 3-D maximum and RMS (Root Mean Square) errors were 155.4 km and 56.3 km for 7-day predictions. Also, the GLONASS satellite visibility predictions were compared with real observations, and they agree perfectly except for several epochs when the satellite signal was blocked nearby buildings.