• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.581-605
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• 2018

In the soft drink industry, especially small and medium enterprises in Japan, there is a possibility of conversion from a labor-intensive industry to a capital-intensive. The demand for soft drinks may not be satisfied in the summer because the supply is too low to meet the demand. To address this situation, this paper proposes optimal investment that integrates demand uncertainty, based on real options approach (ROA) and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average. Two alternative options are compared and evaluated. One is the Bermudan option: to employ additional workers to elevate efficiency in summer and laying off in winter, this attitude is repeated each year. The other is the American option: to replace equipment to increase machine ability throughout the year. Results in ROA show that the highest improvement is gained if the two options are in a symbiotic relationship. Soft drink producers should search for replacing equipment, using the employees repeatedly. A temporary decision is not equal to an infinite decision.

• 방사성폐기물학회지
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.181-189
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• 2017

방사성금속폐기물의 관리 옵션들을 안전성, 경제성, 작업자 피폭, 부피 감용 등의 선별 기준을 적용하여 비교 평가하였다. 원전 해체로부터 발생하는 금속폐기물의 관리 옵션에는 무구속 방출, 제한적 재사용, 그리고 직접 처분이 있다. 고려된 각각의 옵션들은 금속폐기물의 절단과 용융에 의한 부피감용을 수반한다. AHP기법을 적용하여 각 옵션들의 순위를 부여하였다. 방사성금속폐기물을 용융하여 금속 잉곳을 제조한 후 제한적 재이용 또는 무구속 방출하는 방안이 가장 효율적인 옵션으로 도출되었다.

• 한국주거학회논문집
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.67-76
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• 2010

The purposes of this study are to understand residents' needs in regard to living space and to suggest how to provide layout options for the infill, based on their needs, so that the residents can change their living space to suit their own need. This study analyzed residents' needs in terms of living spaces through literature reviews on apartment remodeling and related previous studies. The results are as follows: First, the residents remodeled the various infill, and remodeling works are then classified into five infill groups according to the flexible features: 1) structural elements, such as flooring, ceilings, interior walls, and windows/doors; 2) equipment elements, such as lighting and electricity, electrical wiring, heating arrangements, and water supply & drainage systems: 3) finishing material elements, such as finishing materials for floors, walls, and ceilings, skirting boards, moldings, and art walls; 4) furniture elements, such as built-in wardrobes, storage closets, and kitchen cabinets; and 5) bathroom facility elements such as faucets and sinks. Second, based on the remodeling features, four ways to provide options can be suggested. 1) options are provided for each room; 2) options are provided in connection with structural elements; 3) options are provided for each finishing material element; and 4) options are provided with the combinations of different bathroom facilities.

• 재무관리연구
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.85-114
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• 2010

본 연구에서는 성과연동형 스톡옵션을 가장 활발하게 부여한 국내 금융업을 대상으로 경영자에 대한 성과연동형 스톡옵션 부여가 과연 기업가치를 유효하게 증가시켰는지를 실증분석을 통해 검증하였다. 2002~2005년 동안 스톡옵션을 부여한 금융기관을 대상으로 실증분석을 수행하여 다음과 같은 결과를 얻었다. 첫째, 스톡옵션 부여공시에 따른 단기 주가반응을 분석한 결과, 고정형 스톡옵션 부여공시는 기업가치에 별다른 영향을 미치지 않았다. 반면, 성과연동형 스톡옵션을 부여한 경우 기대와 달리 공시일 전후 유의한 음(-)의 초과수익률이 발견되었다. 금융기관별로는 은행의 성과 연동형 스톡옵션 부여공시가 강하고 유의한 음(-)의 초과수익률을 산출하였는데, 이는 선행연구에서 제시한 것처럼 은행처럼 규제가 많은 산업에서는 경영자가 경영의사결정을 내릴 때 재량권이 제한적이므로 투자자들이 스톡옵션 부여에 따른 유효성을 낮게 평가하기 때문으로 해석된다. 둘째, 스톡옵션 부여 이후 기업의 장기성과를 검증한 결과, 스톡옵션 부여가 기업가치를 증가시켰다는 증거를 발견하지 못했으며 이는 선행연구와 동일한 결과이다. 성과연동형 스톡옵션을 부여한 금융기관에서도 장기성과가 개선되었다는 결과를 얻지 못했으나, 고정형 스톡옵션 부여와 비교하여 볼 때, 스톡옵션 부여 후 1~24개월 및 1~36개월의 초과수익률이 상대적으로 높게 나타났다. 이는 향후 성과연동형 스톡옵션제도가 보완되고 보다 정교하게 설계되어 실행된다면 기업가치 개선에 기여할 여지가 있음을 시사한다.

• 재무관리연구
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.61-92
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• 2003

스톡옵션 부여 공시가 비정상적인 양(+)의 초과수익률을 가져온다는 선행 연구의 연장선상에서, 본 연구에서는 스톡옵션 부여 공시가 야기하는 초과수익률이 시간 및 부여횟수에 따라 변하는가를 검증해 보았다. 스톡옵션 도입 초기부터 스톡옵션 부여가 보편화된 시기까지에 대해 스톡옵션 부여공시에 따른 주가반응이 동일한가를 검증한 결과, 2000년 이후에는 스톡옵션 부여공시가 뉴스로서 가지는 의미가 점차 약해짐을 발견했다. 또한, 한 기업이 여러 차례에 걸쳐 스톡옵션을 부여할 경우, 부여횟수가 증가함에 따라 초과수익률이 점차 감소함을 발견했다. 이는 기업의 스톡옵션 부여가 보다 보편화될수록 스톡옵션 부여공시가 가지는 뉴스로서의 긍정적인 영향이 상대적으로 감소됨을 의미한다. 주식시장에서 보다 많은 수의 기업이 스톡옵션을 부여할수록, 또 한 기업이 여러 차례에 걸쳐 스톡옵션을 부여할수록, 투자자들은 기업의 스톡옵션 부여가 기업가치 증대에 미치는 영향이 상대적으로 적어질 것이라 기대함을 시사한다.

• 한국게임학회 논문지
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.67-74
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• 2014

초기 온라인 게임 개발사의 기업가치를 평가함에 있어서 실물옵션이 효과적이라는 것은 이론적으로나 실증적으로 이미 밝혀진 바가 있다. 하지만, 실물옵션 방법론 역시도 비재무정보를 효과적으로 반영하는 데에는 한계가 있기 때문에 이를 효과적으로 반영할 수 있는 수정 실물옵션 방법론이 이론적으로 제안된 바가 있다. 하지만, 이에 대한 실증 연구가 미비해서 그 효과성을 검증하는 데에는 한계가 있었다. 따라서 본 연구는 사례 연구를 통해 수정 실물옵션 방법론이 초기 게임 개발사의 가치를 효과적으로 측정할 수 있는지에 대해 검증하고자 하였다. 분석 결과, 수정 실물옵션 모형은 초기 단계의 게임 개발사의 비재무적 정보를 모형 내에 효과적으로 반영하며, 이로 인해 예측 오차를 크게 감소시키는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국방사성폐기물학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방사성폐기물학회 2005년도 춘계 학술대회
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• pp.56-66
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• 2005

In response to the increasing emphasis being placed on the importance of international cooperation as part of global efforts to cope with growing non proliferation, and security, concerns in the nuclear field, the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Mohamed ElBaradei, appointed an international group of experts to consider possible multilateral approaches to the nuclear fuel cycle. The mandate of the Expert Group was three fold: ${\bullet}$ To identify and provide an analysis of issues and options relevant to multilateral approaches to the front and back ends of the nuclear fuel cycle; ${\bullet}$ To provide an overview of the policy, legal, security, economic, institutional and technological incentives and disincentives for cooperation in multilateral arrangements for the front and back ends of the nuclear fuel cycle; and ${\bullet}$ To provide a brief review of the historical and current experiences and analyses relating to multilateral fuel cycle arrangements relevant to the work of the Expert Group. The overall purpose was to assess MNAs in the framework of a double objective: strengthening the international nuclear non proliferation regime and making the peaceful uses of nuclear energy more economical and attractive. The Group identifies options for MNAs - options in terms of policy, institutional and legal factors - for those parts of the nuclear fuel cycle of greatest sensitivity from the point of view of proliferation risk. It also reflects the Groups deliberations on the corresponding benefits and disadvantages (pros and cons) of the various options and approaches. Although the Expert Group was able to agree to forward the resulting report to the Director General, it is important to note that the report does not reflect agreement by all of the experts on any of the options, nor a consensus assessment of their respective value. It is intended only to present options for MNAs, and to reflect on the range of considerations which could impact on the desirability and feasibility of those options.

• 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.43-58
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• 2013

This work investigates factors that may affect the choice of real options by ERP project managers. Financial theory suggest that these factors include risk-free interest rate, time to maturity, volatility of net present value, and options exercise price. Other than these factors, we are interested in the exogenous risks related to external uncertainties about technological cost, user learning and consulting, and so forth and we argue these risks should have a significant impact upon the volatility of net present value. To validate these factors empirically, we collected survey questionnaires from ERP project managers in Korea. We find that perceived exogenous risks with regard to ERP projects influence volatility and additionally find that ERP project managers prefer contract options of the project when the volatility of the project is expected to be high. We expect that this work will not only validate theoretical propositions but help project managers consider ERP options strategically based on these factors.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.1-21
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• 2015

This paper presents two algorithms based on the Jamshidian equation which is from the Black-Scholes partial differential equation. The first algorithm is for American call options and the second one is for American put options. They compute numerically free boundary and then option price, iteratively, because the free boundary and the option price are coupled implicitly. By the upwind finite-difference scheme, we discretize the Jamshidian equation with respect to asset variable s and set up a linear system whose solution is an approximation to the option value. Using the property that the coefficient matrix of this linear system is an M-matrix, we prove several theorems in order to formulate a bisection method, which generates a sequence of intervals converging to the fixed interval containing the free boundary value with error bound h. These algorithms have the accuracy of O(k + h), where k and h are step sizes of variables t and s, respectively. We prove that they are unconditionally stable. We applied our algorithms for a series of numerical experiments and compared them with other algorithms. Our algorithms are efficient and applicable to options with such constraints as r > d, $r{\leq}d$, long-time or short-time maturity T.

• 기술경영경제학회:학술대회논문집
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• 기술경영경제학회 2001년도 제19회 하계학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.117-130
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• 2001

R&D is the core competence of an enterprise. Furthermore, R&D requires huge capital investment and has very risky characteristics. Therefore, to be successful in R&D process, several approaches of engineering economics are used prior to decision-making. Until now, typical approaches of engineering economics such as NPV(net present value) or DCF(Discounted cash flow) have been used. But, they cannot properly capture managerial flexibility to adapt and revise later decisions in response to unexpected market development. In a constantly changing and always uncertain marketplace, managerial operation flexibility and strategic adaptability have become vital in order to successfully capitalize on favorable future investment opportunities and limit losses from adverse market development. For the alternatives of conventional static decision-making approaches, new concept of using real options is introduced. Real option theory is based on financial option's characteristics and checks every revision interval whether situation have changed favorable to decision maker or not. In advantageous situation, the decision maker has only to go on. In contrast, with unfavorable situation, he abandons the investment immediately. In this aspect, real option model is more suitable in very uncertain and dynamic business environment in that it can provide the opportunity to cope with flexibility. This paper suggests efficient and effective R&D investment strategy by using real options model. In addition, this paper compares financial options and real options.