• Title/Summary/Keyword: option market

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The Stochastic Volatility Option Pricing Model: Evidence from a Highly Volatile Market

  • WATTANATORN, Woraphon;SOMBULTAWEE, Kedwadee
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.685-695
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    • 2021
  • This study explores the impact of stochastic volatility in option pricing. To be more specific, we compare the option pricing performance between stochastic volatility option pricing model, namely, Heston option pricing model and standard Black-Scholes option pricing. Our finding, based on the market price of SET50 index option between May 2011 and September 2020, demonstrates stochastic volatility of underlying asset return for all level of moneyness. We find that both deep in the money and deep out of the money option exhibit higher volatility comparing with out of the money, at the money, and in the money option. Hence, our finding confirms the existence of volatility smile in Thai option markets. Further, based on calibration technique, the Heston option pricing model generates smaller pricing error for all level of moneyness and time to expiration than standard Black-Scholes option pricing model, though both Heston and Black-Scholes generate large pricing error for deep-in-the-money option and option that is far from expiration. Moreover, Heston option pricing model demonstrates a better pricing accuracy for call option than put option for all level and time to expiration. In sum, our finding supports the outperformance of the Heston option pricing model over standard Black-Scholes option pricing model.

코스피 200 주가지수옵션 데이터의 효율적 가공을 통한 다양한 옵션 전략들의 사후검증에 관한 연구 (Study of validation process according to various option strategies in a KOSPI 200 options market)

  • 송치우;오경주
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.1061-1073
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    • 2009
  • 주가지수 옵션투자는 과학적인 투자기법이며 다양한 지표 및 투자전략이 개발되어 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 현재 까지 시장에 소개된 다양한 옵션투자 기법들을 적용하여 과거 옵션 데이터를 통해 사후 검증하는데 있다. 옵션 데이터는 2001년 9월부터 2007년 1월까지 실제 증권거래소에서 거래되었던 틱 데이터를 기반으로 하고 있으며 비주얼 베이직을 활용하여 옵션 백 테스팅 모델을 제안하였다. 사후 검증은 틱 데이트를 10분봉으로 변형하여 실증분석 하였으며 옵션에 관한 모든 전략을 모델에 적용시킨 만큼 전략의 유용성을 쉽게 알아 볼 수 있다. 옵션투자는 레버리지가 높아 높은 위험, 높은 이익 구조를 가치는 만큼 시장상황에 맞게 옵션전략을 구사한다면 낮은 위험으로 안정적 수익을 추구할 수 있다.

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불완전시장 하에서의 옵션가격의 결정 (Valuation of Options in Incomplete Markets)

  • Park, Byungwook
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this paper is studying the valuation of option prices in Incomplete markets. A market is said to be incomplete if the given traded assets are insufficient to hedge a contingent claim. This situation occurs, for example, when the underlying stock process follows jump-diffusion processes. Due to the jump part, it is impossible to construct a hedging portfolio with stocks and riskless assets. Contrary to the case of a complete market in which only one equivalent martingale measure exists, there are infinite numbers of equivalent martingale measures in an incomplete market. Our research here is focusing on risk minimizing hedging strategy and its associated minimal martingale measure under the jump-diffusion processes. Based on this risk minimizing hedging strategy, we characterize the dynamics of a risky asset and derive the valuation formula for an option price. The main contribution of this paper is to obtain an analytical formula for a European option price under the jump-diffusion processes using the minimal martingale measure.

THE PRICING OF VULNERABLE POWER OPTIONS WITH DOUBLE MELLIN TRANSFORMS

  • HA, MIJIN;LI, QI;KIM, DONGHYUN;YOON, JI-HUN
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제39권5_6호
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    • pp.677-688
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    • 2021
  • In the modern financial market, the scale of financial instrument transactions in the over-the-counter (OTC) market are increasing. However, in this market, there exists a counterparty credit risk. Herein, we obtain a closed-form solution of power option with credit risks, using the double Mellin transforms. We also use a numerical method to compare the differentiations of option price between the closed-form solution and Monte-Carlo simulation. The result shows that the closed-form solution is precise. In addition, the option's price is sensitive to the exponent of the maturity stock price.

변동성위험프리미엄을 이용한 일중변동성매도전략의 수익성에 관한 연구 (Profitability of Intra-day Short Volatility Strategy Using Volatility Risk Premium)

  • 김선웅;최흥식;배민근
    • 경영과학
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2010
  • A lot of researches find negative volatility risk premium in options market. We can make a trading profit by exploiting the negative volatility premium. This study proposes negative volatility risk premium hypotheses in the KOSPI 200 stock price index options market and empirically test the proposed hypotheses with intra-day short straddle strategy. This strategy sells both at-the-money call option and at-the-money put option at market open and exits the position at market close. Using MySQL 5.1, we create our database with 1 minute option price data of the KOSPI 200 index options from 2004 to 2009. Empirical results show that negative volatility risk premium exists in the KOSPI 200 stock price index options market. Furthermore, intra-day short straddle strategy consistently produces annual profits except one year.

중앙은행의 OTC 통화옵션시장을 활용한 외환시장 개입 전략에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Central Bank's Foreign Exchange Market Intervention Strategies with OTC Currency Option Market)

  • 박재관
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.103-120
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    • 2022
  • This paper studies the possibility of options as an instrument for central bank to intervene foreign exchange market. As opposed to spot transaction or forward transaction, which impacts spot exchange rate only once, currency options can continuously resist a directional speculative pressure on spot market due to the dynamic delta hedging of OTC currency options market maker. This research also analyzes whether and how central banks can use currency options to lower exchange rate volatility and maintain (implicit) target zones in foreign exchange markets. It argues that short position rather than long position in options will result in market makers dynamically hedging their long option exposure in a stabilizing manner, consistent with the first objective. Selling a "Strangle" allows a central bank to increase the credibility of its commitment to a target zone, and could have a lower expected cost than spot market interventions. However, this strategy also exposes the central bank to an unlimited loss potential. Therefore these kinds of intervention strategies must be used in the short run and temporarily.

Nonlinear Regression for an Asymptotic Option Price

  • Song, Seong-Joo;Song, Jong-Woo
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.755-763
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    • 2008
  • This paper approaches the problem of option pricing in an incomplete market, where the underlying asset price process follows a compound Poisson model. We assume that the price process follows a compound Poisson model under an equivalent martingale measure and it converges weakly to the Black-Scholes model. First, we express the option price as the expectation of the discounted payoff and expand it at the Black-Scholes price to obtain a pricing formula with three unknown parameters. Then we estimate those parameters using the market option data. This method can use the option data on the same stock with different expiration dates and different strike prices.

현물, 선도, 옵션 시장 간의 동태적 관계에 대한 시스템 사고적 접근 (Systems Thinking Approach to the Dynamic Relationship between Cash Market, Forward Market, and Options Market)

  • 권오상
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.5-23
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    • 2012
  • This paper studies dynamic relationship between cash market, forward market, and options market, from the perspective of systems thinking. It is shown that an exogenous shock to forward market can yield almost the same impact to the cash market, given a practically reasonable condition, but not vice versa. As far as options market is concerned, it matters what kind of options we deal with, who are long the option, and whether the option market maker performs dynamic hedging or not. In some cases, it is possible for the spot price to become unstable and diverge rather violently due to a strong negative feedback between the markets.

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DIGITAL OPTION PRICING BASED ON COPULAS WITH STOCHASTIC SIMULATION

  • KIM, M.S.;KIM, SEKI
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈B:순수및응용수학
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.299-313
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we show the effectiveness of copulas by comparing the correlation of market data of year 2010 with those of years 2006-2009 and investigate copula functions as pricing methods of digital and rainbow options through real market data. We propose an accurate method of pricing rainbow options by using the correlation coefficients obtained from the copula functions depending on strike prices between assetes instead of simple traditional correlation coefficients.

Performances of Simple Option Models When Volatility Changes

  • Jung, Do-Sub
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2009
  • In this study, the pricing performances of alternative simple option models are examined by creating a simulated market environment in which asset prices evolve according to a stochastic volatility process. To do this, option prices fully consistent with Heston[9]'s model are generated. Assuming this prices as market prices, the trading positions utilizing the Black-Scholes[4] model, a semi-parametric Corrado-Su[7] model and an ad-hoc modified Black-Scholes model are evaluated with respect to the true option prices obtained from Heston's stochastic volatility model. The simulation results suggest that both the Corrado-Su model and the modified Black-Scholes model perform well in this simulated world substantially reducing the biases of the Black-Scholes model arising from stochastic volatility. Surprisingly, however, the improvements of the modified Black-Scholes model over the Black-Scholes model are much higher than those of the Corrado-Su model.

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