• Title/Summary/Keyword: optimal cutoff point

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Determination of the Optimal Cutoff Point using Adjusted Stratum-Specific Likelihood Ratios when Disease Verification is subject to Verification Bias (선택편향이 존재할 때, 수정 층화우도비를 이용한 최적절사점의 결정)

  • Kim, Hu-Nam;Park, Yong-Gyu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.515-530
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    • 2007
  • Stratum-specific likelihood ratio, which is ratio of the sensitivity to 1-the specificity in each stratum of the test, could be biased if the sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic test are affected by verification bias. Therefore, the optimal cutoff point determined by biased stratum-specific likelihood ratios is incorrect. In this study, we derived adjusted stratum-specific likelihood ratios using the adjusted sensitivity and specificity, and obtained the adjusted optimal cutoff point. The influence of the verification bias on the optimal cutoff point was described through the relation between adjusted and unadjusted stratum-specific likelihood ratios.

Determining the Optimal Cut-off Point According to the Outcome Variables Using R (R을 이용한 결과 변수에 따른 최적의 Cut-off Point 결정)

  • Juyeon Yang;Hye Sun Lee
    • Journal of Digestive Cancer Research
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2022
  • Clinical research ultimately aimed to promptly diagnose and prevent diseases through precise biomarker development. Finding the optimal cut-off point of a regularly measured biomarker can help its interpretation and ultimately help in disease investigation and diagnosis, more specifically in determining the presence of diseases. Therefore, this study aimed to use the characteristics of outcome variables in clinical research to explain how to determine the optimal cutoff point. The outcome variables can be divided into dichotomous, ordinal, and survival types. The optimal cut-off point can be determined by finding points that maximize the Youden index, extended Youden index, and log-rank statistics. This study will enable clinical researchers to accurately determine the optimal cut-off points for regularly measured biomarkers, thereby enabling prompt disease diagnosis for effective treatment.

Mid-upper-arm circumference as a screening measure for identifying children with elevated body mass index: a study for Pakistan

  • Asif, Muhammad;Aslam, Muhammad;Altaf, Saima
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.61 no.1
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    • pp.6-11
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: Mid-upper-arm circumference (MUAC) is considered an alternative screening method for obesity. The aims of this investigation were to examine the ability of MUAC to correctly identify children with elevated body mass index (BMI) and to determine the best MUAC cutoff point for identification of children with high BMI. Methods: Anthropometric measurements (height, weight, and MUAC) from a cross-sectional sample of 7,921 Pakistani children aged 5-14 years were analyzed. Pearson correlation coefficients between MUAC and other anthropometric measurements were calculated. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to determine the optimal MUAC cutoff point for identifying children with high BMI. Results: Among 7,921 children, the mean (${\pm}$standard deviation) age, BMI, and MUAC were 10.00 (${\pm}2.86years$), 16.16 (${\pm}2.66kg/m^2$), and 17.73 (${\pm}2.59cm$), respectively. The MUAC had a strong positive correlation with BMI. The optimal MUAC cutoff points indicating elevated BMI in boys ranged from 16.76 to 22.73, while the corresponding values in girls ranged from 16.38 to 20.57. Conclusion: MUAC may be used as a simple indicator of overweight/obesity in children, with reasonable accuracy in clinical settings.

Usefulness of the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Korean Revised Version in Screening for Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders 5th Edition Alcohol Use Disorder among College Students

  • Kim, Sun-Jin;Kim, Jong-Sung;Kim, Sung-Soo;Jung, Jin-Kyu;Yoon, Seok-Joon;Lee, Jung-Yoon;Kim, Ji-Han
    • Korean Journal of Family Medicine
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.333-339
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    • 2018
  • Background: There is a distinction in alcohol consumption behavior between adults and college students. This study aims to verify the usability and the optimal cutoff point of Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Korean revised version (AUDIT-KR) for screening alcohol use disorder in college students when the diagnostic and statistical manual of mental disorders (DSM), 5th edition diagnostic criteria is applied. Methods: A total of 922 college students living in Daejeon were enrolled and divided into two groups based on how many items they corresponded to among DSM-5 alcohol use disorder diagnostic criteria: those who corresponded to ${\geq}2$ of the 11 items were classified into the patient group (107 males, 89 females) while the others into the control group (311 males, 415 females). The participants were evaluated using AUDIT-KR to find the optimal cutoff point for screening alcohol use disorder, sensitivity, and specificity. Results: The mean${\pm}$standard deviation scores in the AUDIT-KR were $12.76{\pm}7.27$, $10.72{\pm}4.62$ for males and females, respectively, in the patient group. In contrast, in the control group the scores were $6.26{\pm}5.23$ and $3.95{\pm}3.59$ in males and females, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (95% confidence interval) regarding alcohol use disorder screening by AUDIT-KR was 0.768 (0.715-0.821) and 0.883 (0.848-0.919) for males and females, respectively. The optimal cutoff point of alcohol use disorder for males was >9, sensitivity 64.49%, and specificity 76.85%. The optimal cutoff point for females was >6, sensitivity 82.02%, and specificity 80.48%. Conclusion: This study suggested that AUDIT-KR can be used as a screening tool for alcohol use disorder in groups of college students when DSM-5 diagnosis criteria are applied.

A New D-dimer Cutoff Value to Improve the Exclusion of Deep Vein Thrombosis in Cancer Patients

  • Chen, Chong;Li, Gang;Liu, Yun-De;Gu, Ya-Jun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.1655-1658
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    • 2014
  • Objective: To find a more appropriate alternative to D-dimer cutoff value for the diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in cancer patients. Methods: A total of 711 cancer patients with symptoms suspicious of DVT were included in the study. D-dimer levels were assessed using ELISA. All patients were subjected to imaging procedures. Results: Among 711 patients with cancer, 466 (65.5%) were females and 245 (34.5%) were males, with an average age of $57.3{\pm}13.23$ years. The mean age in the DVT group was significantly higher than in the non-DVT group (P<0.05). The D-dimer levels of the DVT group were significantly higher than those of the non-DVT group (P<0.05). The incidence rate of DVT varied significantly according to cancer type (P<0.05). Increasing age and lung cancer were significantly correlated with D-dimer levels (P<0.05), and a one-year increase in age was associated with a 14.28 ng/ml increase in the D-dimer value. The optimal cutoff point for D-dimer was found to be 981 ng/ml, with a sensitivity of 86.4%, specificity of 79.4%, and accuracy of 82.6%. If the D-dimer cutoff point was set to 981ng/ml, the specificity would increase from 61.8% to 85.5% without loss of sensitivity in patients aged 40 years or younger. In patients aged more than 40 years, the new cutoff almost doubled the specificity with slightly reduced sensitivity. Conclusion: In cancer patients, a new cutoff value of 981 ng/ml effectively improved the exclusion of DVT, especially for patients aged more than 40 years.

Development of a Korean Geriatric Suicidal Risk Scale (KGSRS) (한국형 노인자살위험 사정도구 개발)

  • Lee, Sang Ju;Kim, Jung Soon
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: Increase in suicide rate for senior citizens which has become widespread in our society today. It is not a normal social phenomenon and is beyond the danger level. The contents of this study include Korean senior citizens' suicide related risk factors and warning signs, and the development of a simple Geriatric Suicide Risk Scale. Methods: This study is Methodological Research to verify reliability and validity of the Geriatric Suicide Risk Scale according to the tool development process suggested by Devellis (2012). Results: For predictive validity assessment, high suicide screening accuracy was showed with an Area under the ROC curve (AUC) of .93. For the optimal cutoff point of 11, sensitivity was 93.9%, and specificity, 75.7% which are excellence levels. Cross validity for assessment of generalization possibility showed the Area under the ROC curve (AUC) as .82 and in case of a cutoff point of 11, sensitivity was 73.7%, and specificity, 65.9%. Conclusion: When it comes to practical nursing, it is significant that the Korean Geriatric Suicide Risk Scale has high reliability and validity through adequate tool development and the tool assessment step to select degree of suicide risk of senior citizens. Also, it can be easily applied and does not take a long time to administer. Further, it can be used by health care personnel or the general public.

Validity of MAST-CLA for diagnosis of arthropod allergy using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis

  • Park, Joon-Soo;Nam, Hae-Seon;Kim, Yong-Bae;Choi, Young-Jin;Lee, Sang-Han;Kim, Sung-Ho
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.239-243
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    • 2007
  • Many allergists are currently focusing on the development of new diagnostic tools, and are attempting to improve both the sensitivity and specificity. A multiple allergen simultaneous test-chemiluminescent assay (MAST-CLA) is one of the most popular diagnostic tools used in the Republic of Korea. However, there remains controversy among allergists with regard to the cut-off point for a positive result. The present study was conducted in order to determine the validity of MAST-CLA as compared with that of the skin prick test, with particular emphasis on arthropod allergens, on the basis of percentage agreement rates and k-values, and also to suggest the optimal positive cutoff points using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The study was conducted with 97 subjects (54 men, 43 women). Optimal individual cut-off points were calculated as follows; class II for Dermatophagoides farinae, class I for Dermatophagoides pteronyssinus, and trace for a cockroach mix. These findings suggest that attempting to apply optimal individual cut-off points will be a good way of improving diagnostic tests, particularly MAST-CLA.

What will be the Proper Criteria for Impaired Fasting Glucose for Korean Men? - Based on Medical Screening Data from a General Hospital - (공복혈당장애의 기준 하한치에 관한 코호트연구 - 일개병원 종합건강자료를 중심으로 -)

  • Ryu, Seung-Ho;Kim, Dong-Il;Suh, Byung-Seong;Kim, Woon-Sool;Chang, Yoo-Soo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.203-207
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    • 2005
  • Objectives: Recently, the American Diabetes Association (ADA) redefined the criteria of prediabetes, which has lowered the diagnostic level of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) from 110 to 125 mg/dl, down to levels between 100 to 125mg/dl. The purpose of this study was to determine the predictive cutoff level of FPG as a risk for the development of diabetes mellitus in Korean men. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 11,423 (64.5%) out of 17,696 males $\leq$30 years of age, and who met the FPG of $\leq$125 mg/dl and hemoglobin A1c of $\leq$ 6.4% criteria, without a history of diabetes, and who were enrolled at the screening center of a certain university hospital between January and December 1999. The subjects were followed from January 1999 to December 2002 (mean follow-up duration; 2.3(${\pm}0.7$) years). They were classified as normal (FPG <100mg/dl), high glucose (FPG $\geq$100mg/dl and <110mg/dl) and impaired fasting glucose (FPG $\geq$110mg/dl and $\leq$125mg/dl) on the basis of their fasting plasma glucose level measured in 1999. We compared the incidence of diabetes between the 3 groups by performing Cox proportional hazards model and used receiver operating characteristic analyses of the FPG level, in order to estimate the optimal cut-off values as predictors of incident diabetes. Results: At the baseline, most of the study subjects were in age in their 30s to 40s (mean age, 41.8(${\pm}7.1$) year). The incidence of diabetes mellitus in this study was 1.19 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI=0.68-1.79), which was much lower than the results of a community-based study that was 5.01 per 1,000 person-years. The relative risks of incident diabetes in the high glucose and impaired fasting glucose groups, compared with the normal glucose group, were 10.3 (95% CI=2.58-41.2) and 95.2 (95% CI= 29.3-309.1), respectively. After adjustment for age, body mass index, and log triglyceride, a FPG greater than 100mg/dl remained significant predictors of incident diabetes. Using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the optimal cutoff level of FPG as a predictor of incident diabetes was 97.5 mg/dl, with a sensitivity and a specificity of 81.0% and 86.0%, respectively. Conclusion: These results suggest that lowering the criteria of impaired fasting glucose is needed in Korean male adults. Future studies on community-based populations, including women, will be required to determine the optimal cutoff level of FPG as a predictor of incident diabetes.

Determining the correlation between outdoor heatstroke incidence and climate elements in Daegu metropolitan city

  • Kim, Jung Ho;Ryoo, Hyun Wook;Moon, Sungbae;Jang, Tae Chang;Jin, Sang Chan;Mun, You Ho;Do, Byung Soo;Lee, Sam Beom;Kim, Jong-yeon
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.241-248
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    • 2019
  • Background: Heatstroke is one of the most serious heat-related illnesses. However, establishing public policies to prevent heatstroke remains a challenge. This study aimed to investigate the most relevant climate elements and their warning criteria to prevent outdoor heatstroke (OHS). Methods: We investigated heatstroke patients from five major hospitals in Daegu metropolitan city, Korea, from June 1 to August 31, 2011 to 2016. We also collected the corresponding regional climate data from Korea Meteorological Administration. We analyzed the relationship between the climate elements and OHS occurrence by logistic regression. Results: Of 70 patients who had heatstroke, 45 (64.3%) experienced it while outdoors. Considering all climate elements, only mean heat index (MHI) was related with OHS occurrence (p=0.019). Therefore, the higher the MHI, the higher the risk for OHS (adjusted odds ratio, 1.824; 95% confidence interval, 1.102-3.017). The most suitable cutoff point for MHI by Youden's index was $30.0^{\circ}C$ (sensitivity, 77.4%; specificity, 73.7%). Conclusion: Among the climate elements, MHI was significantly associated with OHS occurrence. The optimal MHI cutoff point for OHS prevention was $30.0^{\circ}C$.

The cutoff criterion and the accuracy of the polygraph test for crime investigation (범죄수사를 위한 거짓말탐지 검사(polygraph test)의 판정기준과 정확성)

  • Yu Hwa Han ;Kwangbai Park
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.103-117
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    • 2008
  • The polygraph test administered by the Korean Prosecutors Office for crime investigations customarily uses the score of -12 as the cutoff point separating the subjects who lie from those who tell the truth. The criterion used by the KPO is different from the one (-13) suggested by Backster (1963) who invented the particular method for lie detection. Based on the signal detection theory applied to the real polygraph test data obtained from real crime suspects by the KPO, the present study identified the score of -8 as an optimal criterion resulting in the highest overall accuracy of the polygraph test. The classification of the subjects with the score of -8 as the criterion resulted in the highest accuracy (83.17%) compared with the accuracies of classifications with the Backster's criterion (76.24%) and the KPO's criterion (80.20%). However, the new criterion was also found to result in more false-positive cases. Based on the results from the present study, it was recommended to use the score of -8 as the criterion when the overall accuracy is important but the score of -12 or -13 when avoiding false-positive is more important than securing the overall accuracy.

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