• Title/Summary/Keyword: opinion poll

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First Experience: Citizens' Perception, Participation, and Evaluation of the New Legislative Electoral System in Taiwan

  • Yu, Ching-Hsin
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.61-64
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    • 2013
  • In 2008, Taiwan adopted a new mixed member system which is significantly different from the long-implemented SNTV-MMD system for the election of legislators. The new system cuts the number of legislative seats from 225 to 113, extends legislators' terms of office from three years to four, and most importantly, adopts a new mixed-member majoritarian (MMM) electoral system to replace the SNTV system for legislative elections. The election of legislators in 2008 was the first time that this new mixed electoral system was implemented in Taiwan. Mainstream literature continues to discuss the electoral impact on political parties and candidates by the new system while citizens' knowledge of the new system and its concomitant effects on citizens' behavior receive less attention. Worse still, almost all of the literature assumes that voters were fully aware of the operation and impact of the new electoral system and cast their ballots wisely. The purpose of this paper is to explore citizen's perceptions, participation and evaluation of this new system.

The Third- and First-Person Effects of Election Polling News Through Emotions

  • Kim, Hyunjung
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.262-276
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we examine how the third- and first-person perceptions of election polling news are linked to voters' political behaviors through anxiety and pride. The results of two web-based surveys conducted before and after the 2022 local elections in South Korea demonstrate that the third-person perception of election polling news is directly and indirectly linked to support for restrictions on media reports of election poll results through anxiety. The first-person perception of polling news is positively associated with reinforcement of support for the preferred candidate. These results suggest that how voters perceive the effects of polling news may have actual impacts on their political behaviors.

The Fukushima Nuclear Accident and Environmental Risk: A Survey of Fukushima Residents

  • Miyawaki, Takeshi;Sasaoka, Shinya
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2017
  • The Fukushima nuclear accident caused by an earthquake and a subsequent tsunami on March 11, 2011 has seriously impacted the environment surrounding the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant. While all the residents near the plant were evacuated from the area deemed uninhabitable after the accident, residents of the neighboring area outside of the evacuation zone still seem to live in fear of invisible radiation. To understand Fukushima residents' thinking about the environmental risks that accompany a nuclear disaster, we utilize a poll of the residents of Fukushima conducted in 2013. Based on the survey data, we reveal factors that seem to strongly affect their knowledge and concerns about nuclear power plants. The results of the multivariate analysis show the importance of the following two factors: (1) confidence in mass media, and (2) trust in institutions in charge of administering the accident, especially the central government, the Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency, and Tokyo Electric Power Company. We conclude that the more people trust mass media and particular institutions, the more likely it is that they are have an elevated sense of anxiety and fear of the presence of nuclear plants.

Elementary School Teacher's Recognition on Establishing the Concept of Software Gifted Persons (소프트웨어 영재상 정립을 위한 초등교사의 인식 조사)

  • Lee, Jaeho;Jang, Junhyung;Shin, Hyunkyung
    • Journal of Gifted/Talented Education
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.97-118
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    • 2017
  • This paper aims to provide reference model for directions and objectives of Software(SW) gifted education. In order to achieve the goals introduced above, we conducted the research in the following steps. First, we selected the concept of ICT-based creative talented person as a base model to establish the concept of SW gifted person. The selected base model composed three core competencies which were 'knowledge and technology competencies', 'synthesizing and creativity competencies', and 'personality competencies'. Second, we developed survey tools, like questionnaires, to investigate participant's recognition of SW gifted person. The survey tools composed three components 'computational thinking', 'entrepreneurship', and 'social responsibility'. Each of the components composed seven elements. Third, after selecting the opinion poll participants as an elementary school teacher, we surveyed opinion polling. By selecting an elementary school teacher as the opinion poll participants, we wanted to identify theirs ' opinions which are thought to be the starting point for gifted education. To survey we developed on-line survey system by using Google functions. Fourth, we analyzed the collected opinion data. To identify we summarized and synthesized participant's opinions that average values and agreement level by using frequency analysis. Also, in order to compare opinions that average values and agreement level based on whether or not participant's various experiences and competencies we computed t-value, F-value, and ${\chi}^2$ verification.

Analysis of public opinion in the 20th presidential election using YouTube data (유튜브 데이터를 활용한 20대 대선 여론분석)

  • Kang, Eunkyung;Yang, Seonuk;Kwon, Jiyoon;Yang, Sung-Byung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.161-183
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    • 2022
  • Opinion polls have become a powerful means for election campaigns and one of the most important subjects in the media in that they predict the actual election results and influence people's voting behavior. However, the more active the polls, the more often they fail to properly reflect the voters' minds in measuring the effectiveness of election campaigns, such as repeatedly conducting polls on the likelihood of winning or support rather than verifying the pledges and policies of candidates. Even if the poor predictions of the election results of the polls have undermined the authority of the press, people cannot easily let go of their interest in polls because there is no clear alternative to answer the instinctive question of which candidate will ultimately win. In this regard, we attempt to retrospectively grasp public opinion on the 20th presidential election by applying the 'YouTube Analysis' function of Sometrend, which provides an environment for discovering insights through online big data. Through this study, it is confirmed that a result close to the actual public opinion (or opinion poll results) can be easily derived with simple YouTube data results, and a high-performance public opinion prediction model can be built.

The Present and Future of Research Industry in Korea (우리날 조사산업의 현황과 전망)

  • 박무익
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.161-177
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    • 2000
  • Research industry in Korea has shown remarkable development in the past decade, mainly owing to the fact that the confidence level on the research itself has been largely improved as the major predictions based on poll result hit the mark in the past presidential elections, and also the change of management style in Korean business based on the rational decision making process. In the article, I will analyze the change of Korean\\\\`s behavior toward public opinion research in diachronic manner and show the number and activities of Research Organizations in order to look into the present condition of research industry and then think about the future and the desirable direction of Korea research industry.

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The Present and Future of Research Industry in Korea (우리나라 조사산업의 현황과 전망)

  • Park, Moo-Ik
    • Survey Research
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.161-177
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    • 2000
  • Research industry in Korea has shown remarkable development in the past decade, mainly owing to the fact that the confidence level on the research itself has been largely improved as the major predictions based on poll result hit the mark in the past presidential elections, and also the change of management style in Korean business based on the rational decision making process. In this article, I will analyze the change of Koreans behavior toward public opinion research in diachronic manner and show the number and activities of Research Organizations in order to look into the present condition of research industry and then think about the future and the desirable direction of Korean research industry.

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Southeast Asian Studies and the Reality of Southeast Asia

  • Henley, David
    • SUVANNABHUMI
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.19-52
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    • 2020
  • Southeast Asianists have a perennial tendency to question the reality of the region in which they are specialized. Yet while scholars have doubted, Southeast Asians at large have become increasingly sure that Southeast Asia does exist, and increasingly inclined to identify with it. This article summarizes a range of evidence to that effect, from opinion poll research and from the history of ASEAN and other pan-Southeast Asian institutions, and uses it to construct a critique of the relativistic view that Southeast Asia is a fluid and ill-defined concept. Southeast Asians today tend to see Southeast Asia as a cultural as well as a geographical and institutional unit. The nature of the perceived cultural unity remains unclear, and further research is called for in this area. There are reasons to think, however, that it reflects real inheritances from a shared past, as well as shared aspirations for the future.

A Study on Correlation of Voting Behavior and Attitude and Vote Intention in the Poll Survey (사전 태도 및 투표 의향과 실제 투표행동간 상관성 연구)

  • Lee, Kay-O;Jang, Deok-Hyun
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2011
  • The purposes of the present study were to analyze correlation of vote behavior and attitude and vote intention in the pre-survey, and to investigate the efficient method of predicting the voting result from the pre-surveys. The previous attitude is measured by the support for the candidate, political self-confidence, self-efficacy and opinion on present issues. The vote intention is surveyed by the past election participation and degree of election interest. Real voting behavior is surveyed by the post enumeration, and the pre-survey and both post-survey are conducted to the same person to analyze the correlation of voting behavior and pre-survey. The real election participation is highly correlated with vote intention, election interest and past election participation. Almost respondents did not change the supporting candidate from the poll survey to the election vote. It is shown that the voting behavior at election of the nonrespondent of pre-survey can be predicted with the demographic charater and attitude of present issues.

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