• Title/Summary/Keyword: opinion decision

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Stock-Index Invest Model Using News Big Data Opinion Mining (뉴스와 주가 : 빅데이터 감성분석을 통한 지능형 투자의사결정모형)

  • Kim, Yoo-Sin;Kim, Nam-Gyu;Jeong, Seung-Ryul
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.143-156
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    • 2012
  • People easily believe that news and stock index are closely related. They think that securing news before anyone else can help them forecast the stock prices and enjoy great profit, or perhaps capture the investment opportunity. However, it is no easy feat to determine to what extent the two are related, come up with the investment decision based on news, or find out such investment information is valid. If the significance of news and its impact on the stock market are analyzed, it will be possible to extract the information that can assist the investment decisions. The reality however is that the world is inundated with a massive wave of news in real time. And news is not patterned text. This study suggests the stock-index invest model based on "News Big Data" opinion mining that systematically collects, categorizes and analyzes the news and creates investment information. To verify the validity of the model, the relationship between the result of news opinion mining and stock-index was empirically analyzed by using statistics. Steps in the mining that converts news into information for investment decision making, are as follows. First, it is indexing information of news after getting a supply of news from news provider that collects news on real-time basis. Not only contents of news but also various information such as media, time, and news type and so on are collected and classified, and then are reworked as variable from which investment decision making can be inferred. Next step is to derive word that can judge polarity by separating text of news contents into morpheme, and to tag positive/negative polarity of each word by comparing this with sentimental dictionary. Third, positive/negative polarity of news is judged by using indexed classification information and scoring rule, and then final investment decision making information is derived according to daily scoring criteria. For this study, KOSPI index and its fluctuation range has been collected for 63 days that stock market was open during 3 months from July 2011 to September in Korea Exchange, and news data was collected by parsing 766 articles of economic news media M company on web page among article carried on stock information>news>main news of portal site Naver.com. In change of the price index of stocks during 3 months, it rose on 33 days and fell on 30 days, and news contents included 197 news articles before opening of stock market, 385 news articles during the session, 184 news articles after closing of market. Results of mining of collected news contents and of comparison with stock price showed that positive/negative opinion of news contents had significant relation with stock price, and change of the price index of stocks could be better explained in case of applying news opinion by deriving in positive/negative ratio instead of judging between simplified positive and negative opinion. And in order to check whether news had an effect on fluctuation of stock price, or at least went ahead of fluctuation of stock price, in the results that change of stock price was compared only with news happening before opening of stock market, it was verified to be statistically significant as well. In addition, because news contained various type and information such as social, economic, and overseas news, and corporate earnings, the present condition of type of industry, market outlook, the present condition of market and so on, it was expected that influence on stock market or significance of the relation would be different according to the type of news, and therefore each type of news was compared with fluctuation of stock price, and the results showed that market condition, outlook, and overseas news was the most useful to explain fluctuation of news. On the contrary, news about individual company was not statistically significant, but opinion mining value showed tendency opposite to stock price, and the reason can be thought to be the appearance of promotional and planned news for preventing stock price from falling. Finally, multiple regression analysis and logistic regression analysis was carried out in order to derive function of investment decision making on the basis of relation between positive/negative opinion of news and stock price, and the results showed that regression equation using variable of market conditions, outlook, and overseas news before opening of stock market was statistically significant, and classification accuracy of logistic regression accuracy results was shown to be 70.0% in rise of stock price, 78.8% in fall of stock price, and 74.6% on average. This study first analyzed relation between news and stock price through analyzing and quantifying sensitivity of atypical news contents by using opinion mining among big data analysis techniques, and furthermore, proposed and verified smart investment decision making model that could systematically carry out opinion mining and derive and support investment information. This shows that news can be used as variable to predict the price index of stocks for investment, and it is expected the model can be used as real investment support system if it is implemented as system and verified in the future.

An Investigation on Problems in the Procedures of Exper t Opinion and Estimation of Future Medical Expenditure of Medical Institutions (의료기관 내부의 신체감정절차와 향후치료비 산정에 대한 문제점의 고찰)

  • Kang, John;Kim, Pill S.;Moon, Sang Hyuk
    • The Korean Society of Law and Medicine
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.115-139
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    • 2012
  • Civil proceedings, surveyed results and medical expenses that are evidenced by expert witness are just one of the methods of proof. Since a judge makes decision by synthesizing all evidences on a concerned case, thus the judgement would be different from that of expert witness. It is not rational for medical institutions, of which priorities are medical treatment, to give priority to disability decision. However, despite of its importance, medical institutions less recognize about the necessity of procedural stability and predictability in expert valuation. It is necessary to identify actual problems and investigate rational alternatives to acquire fairness in valuation procedures and accuracy in calculating future medical expenses. Therefore, this research explores the problems and realities of evaluation process in medical treatments, and then discuss the alternatives of written expert opinion and estimation of future medical expenses.

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An Analysis of the Group Decision Making for the Development of a Korean Group Support System: The Field Experiment using Office Workers (우리나라 Group Support System 개발을 위한 집단 의사 결정 특성 분석: 사무실 근로자들을 대상으로 한 실험 연구)

  • Chun, Ki-Jeong
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.143-163
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    • 1999
  • This study investigates the effect of group size on group performance, here the quality of group decision, Four effects are proposed and tested in a field experimental setting : (1) the relationship between the group size and the distribution of individual's problem-solving ability ; (2) the change of the group decision quality as group size increases ; (3) the relationship between the group decision quality and the quality of the best/worst member as group size increases ; (4) the relationship between the group decision quality and the average quality of individuals in the group as group size increases. Data showed that contrary to the exiting results, group decision quality was not improved with the group size. Rather, it showed a little tendency that group decision quality was worsened with the group size. Data also showed that consensus-oriented group decision making process produced the compromised output. Thus, group decision quality was not better than the average group members'. The opinion of the best member was not accepted. The implications of the findings are discussed for the development of a Korean GSS.

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A Study on the Relationship-Orientation of Customers toward Business (고객 관계지향성 형성에 관한 연구)

  • 오세조;박진용;김평래
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.41-58
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    • 1999
  • The relationship-orientation is an important concept for understanding both of marketing theory and practice. However, not many research have focused on how to develop the relationship-orientation of end users. Therefore, the objective of this research is to confirm the key factors relevant to the relationship-orientation. This research studies(1) the transaction style of individuals, and (2) social influences on the relationship-orientation. Customers want to reduce the number of choice sets because of transaction style, including (1) efficiency of decision making, (2) simplification of information processing, (3) avoidance of future perceived risk, and (4) pursuit of cognitive consistency. Customers are influenced by social factors such as family members, reference groups, and opinion leaders. The following conclusions were drawn based on results of research analysis: (1) efficiency of decision making and avoidance of future perceived risk affect the relationship-orientation, and (2) influences of family members and opinion leaders to the focal relationship affect the relationship-orientation of individuals.

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Crowdfunding Research in the Information Systems Discipline and Beyond: Development and Outlook

  • Sunghan Ryu;Keongtae Kim;Jungpil Hahn
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.575-581
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    • 2021
  • In this opinion article, we review the current streams of the information systems (IS) literature on crowdfunding and discuss how the literature has contributed to expanding our understanding of crowdfunding. Reflecting on the review, we propose avenues for future research to expand the existing knowledge on this impactful topic for the benefit of researchers and practitioners.

Decision Tree Algorithm with Improved Entropy Using an Expert Opinion (전문가 의견을 반영하는 향상된 의사결정나무의 엔트로피 기법)

  • Bak, Sun-Bin;Kim, Dong-Moon;Yoon, Tae-Bok;Lee, Jee-Hyong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.239-242
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    • 2007
  • 최근 데이터의 양이 많아지고 다양해짐에 따라서 데이터를 활용하기 위한 데이터 마이닝에 관한 관심이 중대되고 있다. 데이터 분석을 위한 수집 데이터에는 수집 과정에서 분석가가 원치 않은 데이터 잡음이 발생하는 경우가 있고 그 데이터가 다른 데이터들과 같은 가중치로 데이터 마이닝에 반영되는 경우 예상과 다른 결과를 얻을 수 있다. 따라서 데이터 분석 시 데이터와 전문가 의견이 고려된 데이터 엔트로피(Entropy)를 사용하여 잡음 데이터를 다를 필요가 있다. 본 논문에서는 전문가의견을 이용한 전문가 의견 목록을 만들고 이를 데이터와 비교하여 유사한 정도에 따라 각 데이터에 가중치를 부여한다. 그리고 이 데이터를 활용한 의사결정나무(Decision Tree)를 사용하여 기존 데이터를 이용한 의사결정나무 보다 데이터 잡음의 영향을 줄이는 방법을 제안한다. 제안한 방법은 학습자의 학습 활동에서 수집된 학습 행위 데이터를 사용하여 실험하였다.

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Ethical Awareness and Attitudes of Patients' Families towards DNR(Do-Not-Resuscitate) (심폐소생술금지(Do-Not-Resuscitate)에 대한 환자보호자의 윤리적 인식 및 태도)

  • Song, Kyung Ok;Jo, Hyun Sook
    • Journal of Korean Clinical Nursing Research
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate the ethical awareness and attitude of patients' families towards Do-Not-Resuscitate(DNR), and thus provide basic information required to develop Korean appropriate DNR instructions and practice informed consent for DNR. Methods: During April 2010, 219 patient family members visiting the hospital were surveyed using a questionnaire. Results: Most of the participants preferred DNR to meaningless treatment for incurable patients. They recognized the necessity of explaining DNR to the patient with a terminal disease. They also requested DNR orders for themselves if they were in the same medical condition. In making a DNR decision, the patient's family agreed and preferred that it reflect the opinion of the patient and the doctor in charge. They also agreed that treatment should be given with the best efforts even if a DNR decision had been made for the patient. Conclusion: To make a decision on DNR for a patient who is terminally ill or for whom survival is not possible, a practice of informed consent and guidelines for executing the DNR reflecting the patient's opinion are required.

Foreign Affairs, the National Interest, and Secular-Religious Identities in Israel

  • Hamanaka, Shingo
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.176-197
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    • 2016
  • Despite being a key concept of International Relations theory, there is no consensus about what the national interest is. It is almost impossible for political leaders of democratic states to make a crucial decision in foreign policies when considering only the national interest without public support. Rather, we are unable to imagine the national interest without public opinion. In general, international crises galvanize people who held different opinions and unify social cleavages, such as secular-religious identities, into a nation that acts in its national interest. The author proposes a method to operationalize the key concept and describes a relationship between the national interest and religious identities in a democratic state. The selected case is the state of Israel. It is believed that Israel is a good example to think about the association between foreign affairs and political attitudes since it is characterized as a socio-religious divided society and has often waged war against Arab military forces.

Performance Analysis of Opinion Mining using Word2vec (Word2vec을 이용한 오피니언 마이닝 성과분석 연구)

  • Eo, Kyun Sun;Lee, Kun Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.7-8
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    • 2018
  • This study proposes an analysis of the Word2vec-based machine learning classifiers for the sake of opinion mining tasks. As a bench-marking method, BOW (Bag-of-Words) was adopted. On the basis of utilizing the Word2vec and BOW as feature extraction methods, we applied Laptop and Restaurant dataset to LR, DT, SVM, RF classifiers. The results showed that the Word2vec feature extraction yields more improved performance.

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A Study on the Budget Allocation to Public Health Programs Using Matrix Delphi Technique (매트릭스 구성 델파이법을 이용한 공공보건사업 예산배분 연구)

  • 장원기;정경래
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.99-115
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    • 2000
  • This study was conducted to get a resonable set of budget allocation to public health programs. Matrix Delphi technique was used to obtain the logic of study results and eventually to form a human model which could predict opinion of professionals on budget allocation. Thirty-two professionals in academic and governmental area responded to Delphi survey. Questionnaire was developed using matrix formation, and the matrix was formed by 6 decision criteria on budget allocation and 26 public health programs. The decision criteria are as following: size of problem(morbidity), severity of problem, social equity, importance of prevention, technical feasibility and efficiency of programs. Severity of problem dropped out of the model because it had significant correlation with the size of problem. A total score of each program was obtained by weighting the relative importance of each criteria which also were given by survey respondents. These total scores indicate that the most important public health program is vaccination for infants and children in terms of budget allocation. Monitoring communicable diseases, mental health program, and anti-smoking program are the next. In addition, respondents were asked of the desirable budget size of each program. The result was rearranged by multiple regression model using the scores of each decision criteria. In this process, the current budget size of central government was provided to the respondents, and included in the model. h set of desirable budgets modified using tile model was obtained. Considering the current size of budget, tile results of the model is very different from that of the total score. Managing dementia is ranked the first. Health promotion program for the elderly, rehabilitation of the disabled and monitoring communicable diseases are the next. The need to increase the budget of vaccination for the infants and children was not found as so high. The matrix structure in Delphi survey gave us the precise basis to make optimal decision, and made it possible to develop an opinion predicting model. However the plentifulness and diversity of professional opinions were not fully obtained due to the limited number of decision criteria.

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