• Title/Summary/Keyword: operational estimation

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A Research on Process of Estimation about Frequency and Loss of Risk by distribution of Probability (확률분포에 의한 리스크 빈도수와 손실규모 추정 프로세스 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Jai;Lee, Seong-Il
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.67-82
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    • 2008
  • Risk that breed large size disaster is happening variously for cause at social. natural a management. Incidence and damage scale are trend that increase rapidly than past. In these circumstance, to keep operational continuity of organization, area, society, risk management action that establish systematic counter measure estimating and analyze occurrence possibility and expectation damage of risk is essential indispensable issue and the best countermeasure. Risk management action does by main purpose establish optimum disaster reduction countermeasure. To deduce various countermeasure, process that estimate and analyze occurrence possibility and expectation damage of risk is essential indispensable issue. Therefore, this paper studies process design that can presume risk occurrence frequency and damage scale through distribution of probability.

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Estimation of the Dynamic Load of the Utility in Building by TPA Method (TPA 기법을 이용한 건물 내 설비 동하중 산정)

  • Jeong, Min-Ki;Kim, Yong-Ku;Ahn, Sang-Kyung;Lee, Sang-Yeop;Lee, Seong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.452-457
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, the vibrations of floor systems of which buildings are under construction are studied by experimental and analysis method. The first step is to measure the operational response data and FRF at the supporting points of the utility and the second step is to calculate the dynamic load by TPA Method which provided by LMS VirtualLab System Analysis Module. The dynamics we used to identify is expressed by below equation; $$\{F_{oper}\}=[H]^{-1}\;{\cdot}\;\{{.. \atop x_{oper}}\}$$ Where, H(Transfer function between position of the force and response) and x(response) are measured by vibration test.

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Analysis of Scoliosis Correction Effects according to Instrumentation Devices using a Finite Element Model (유한요소 모델을 이용한 척추 측만증 교정 시 교정 기구에 따른 효과 분석)

  • 김영은;손창규;이광희;최형연;이춘기
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.21 no.8
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2004
  • Scoliosis is a complex musculoskeletal dieses requiring 3-D treatment with surgical instrumentation. To investigate the effects of correction surgery, a finite element model of personalized model of the scoliotic spine that will allow the design of clinical test providing optimal estimation of the post-operation results was developed. Three dimensional skeletal parts, such as vertebrae, clavicle and scapular were modeled as rigid bodies with keeping their morphologies. Kinematical joints and spring elements were adapted to represent the inter-vertebral disc and ligaments respectively. With this model, two types of surgery procedure, distraction procedure with Harrington device and rod derotation procedure with pedicle screw and rod system had been carried out. The obtained simulation results were comparatively corresponding to the post operational outcomes and successfully demonstrated qualitative analysis of surgical effectiveness. From this analysis, it has been found that the preparing of appropriate rod curvature and its insertion was more important than just performing the excessive derotation for scoliosis correction.

Temporal variability of Evapotranspiration simulated by different models at the croplands

  • Choi, Min-Ha;Lee, Jin-Woo;Kim, Tae-Woong;Cho, Yong-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.535-539
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    • 2009
  • Evapotranspiration (ET) is one of the main factor to understand the hydrologic cycle on land surfaces of entire globe. It accounts for about 65% of precipitation returning to the atmosphere. Accurate estimation of the ET is essential to many applications of water resources management, hydrology, meteorology, climatology, and agriculture. Over the past few decades, there have been extensive efforts to develop and validate a number of ET models. Priestley-Taylor (P-T) and Food and Agriculture Organization Penman-Monteith (P-M) models are generally recognized as simple, but great operational approaches to estimate ET over different land cover types. In this study, we compare/validate different models of increasing complexity, P-T, P-M, and Common Land Model (CLM) in croplands, IA.

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A Study on The Estimation of Effective Bulk Modulus of Hydraulic Oil With Pressure Variation (압력변동에 따른 유압유의 유효체적탄성계수 측정에 대한 연구)

  • 이재천;정용승
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.179-184
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    • 2003
  • It has been recognized that the compressibility of hydraulic fluid, which is characterized by the value of its bulk modulus, heavily affects on the system behavior and performance. In practice, the value of the oil bulk modulus varies by the operational and structural characteristics of the hydraulic system. This study presents the theoretical derivation of the effective bulk modulus and describes an experimental impulse technique that allows accurate measurement of oil effective bulk modulus with pressure variation in a hydraulic system. Experimental and analytical results show that the value of the effective bulk modulus varies a lot in low pressure region by the effect of entrained air, while the effective bulk modulus can be estimated just using the oil and container bulk modulus on the other high pressure region.

Systematic Parameter Analysis for Line Capacity (용량모수 평가체계)

  • Kim Dong Hee;Hong Sun Heum;Lee Weon Soon;Cho Min Young
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2003.10b
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    • pp.326-333
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    • 2003
  • Railway system is consisted of resources such as rail-line, signalling system, and railcars. It is necessary to efficiently utilize these limited and expensive resources as much as possible up to given line capacity. So far, we treat the line capacity as the criteria for evaluating investment alternatives or for restricting train frequencies, and this criteria is calculated statical and experimental numerical formula. But, line capacity has special attribute that changes dynamically according to operational conditions, so there is a need of new line capacity estimation system. In this paper, we present systematic line capacity analysis model. The proposed model has three main components; TPS(tain performance simulator), PES(parameter evaluation simulator), LCS(line capacity simulator).

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Quantitative Comparison of Probabilistic Multi-source Spatial Data Integration Models for Landslide Hazard Assessment

  • Park No-Wook;Chi Kwang-Hoon;Chung Chang-Jo F.;Kwon Byung-Doo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.622-625
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents multi-source spatial data integration models based on probability theory for landslide hazard assessment. Four probabilistic models such as empirical likelihood ratio estimation, logistic regression, generalized additive and predictive discriminant models are proposed and applied. The models proposed here are theoretically based on statistical relationships between landslide occurrences and input spatial data sets. Those models especially have the advantage of direct use of continuous data without any information loss. A case study from the Gangneung area, Korea was carried out to quantitatively assess those four models and to discuss operational issues.

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An Estimation Method of the Operational Cost for Weapon Systems Acquisition (신무기체계구매에 따른 운영비의 추계 방법론 -항공기 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Hyung-Ki
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.103-117
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    • 1977
  • 국방조직과 규모의 대형화와 군사위협에 따른 전략전술개념의 변동은 방위비의 부담을 가속화시킬 것이다. 군사력 증강소요의 제기와 국민경제에 의한 가용자원의 합목적적인 자원배분과정은 능률적인 정책과제의 선택과 결정을 위한 기본정보자료가 정책법정권자나 입안자들에게 요구된다. 따라서 신무체계의 구매우선순위 결정은 물론 기존 무기체계의 경제적 운용 기간에 대한 운영총괄비용의 추계방법론을 시도하였다. 이는 분석내용이나 결과의 사용에 대한 관점의 상이성을 제시해 주고 있다. 또한 신항공무기체계를 중심으로 운영총괄비용의 추계를 위한 일반적인 개념정립은 물론 비용산정의 구체적인 절차와 기법을 기구하였다.

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Cooperative Interference Mitigation Using Fractional Frequency Reuse and Intercell Spatial Demultiplexing

  • Chang, Jae-Won;Heo, Jun;Sung, Won-Jin
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2008
  • For mobile wireless systems with full frequency reuse, co-channel interference near the cell coverage boundaries has a significant impact on the signal reception performance. This paper addresses an approach to efficiently mitigate the effect of downlink co-channel interference when multi-antenna terminals are used in cellular environments, by proposing a signal detection strategy combined with a system-level coordination for dynamic frequency reuse. We demonstrate the utilization of multi-antennas to perform spatial demultiplexing of both the desired signal and interfering signals from adjacent cells results in significant improvement of spectral efficiency compared to the maximal ratio combining (MRC) performance, especially when an appropriate frequency reuse based on the traffic loading condition is coordinated among cells. Both analytic expressions for the capacity and experimental results using the adaptive modulation and coding (AMC) are used to confirm the performance gain. The robustness of the proposed scheme against varying operational conditions such as the channel estimation error and shadowing effects are also verified by simulation results.

Impedance characteristic of human arm for cooperative robot

  • Rahman, Mozasser;Ikeura, Ryojun;Mizutani, Kazuki
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.85.3-85
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    • 2002
  • In this study, we tried to investigate the impedance characteristic of human arm in a cooperative task. Human arm was moved in a desired trajectory. The motion was actuated by a 1 degree-of-freedom robot system. As the muscle is mechanically analogous to a spring-damper system, a second-order equation was considered as the model for arm dynamics. In the model, inertia, stiffness and damping factor were considered. The impedance parameter was estimated from the position and torque data obtained from the experiment and based on the "Estimation of Parametric Model". It was found that the inertia is almost constant over the operational time. The damping factor and stiffness were high...

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