• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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• v.42 no.12
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• pp.9-16
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• 2005

A new online routing algerian is proposed in this paper, which use the interference-prediction to solve the network congestion originated from extension of Internet scope and increasing amount of traffic. The end-to-end QoS has to be guaranteed in order to satisfy service level agreements (SLAs) in the integrated networks of next generation. For this purpose, bandwidth is allocated dynamically and effectively, moreover the path selection algorithm is required while considering the network performance. The proposed algorithm predicts the level of how much the amount of current demand interferes the future potential traffic, and then minimizes it. The proposed algorithm considers the bandwidth on demand, link state, and the information about ingress-egress pairs to maximize the network performance and to prevent the waste of the limited resources. In addition, the interference-prediction supports the bandwidth guarantee in dynamic network to accept more requests. In the result, the proposed algorithm performs the effective admission control and QoS routing. In this paper, we analyze the required conditions of routing algorithms, the aspect of recent research, and the representative algorithms to propose the optimized path selection algorithm adequate to Internet franc engineering. Based on these results, we analyze the problems of existing algorithms and propose our algorithm. The simulation shows improved performance by comparing with other algorithms and analyzing them.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.71-79
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• 2011

Traditionally, a dynamic network model is considered as a tool for solving real-time traffic problems. One of useful and practical ways of using such models is to use it to produce and disseminate forecast travel time information so that the travelers can switch their routes from congested to less-congested or uncongested, which can enhance the performance of the network. This approach seems to be promising when the traffic congestion is severe, especially when sudden incidents happen. A consideration that should be given in implementing this method is that travel time information may affect the future traffic condition itself, creating undesirable side effects such as the over-reaction problem. Furthermore incorrect forecast travel time can make the information unreliable. In this paper, a network-wide travel time prediction model under incidents is developed. The model assumes that all drivers have access to detailed traffic information through personalized in-vehicle devices such as car navigation systems. Drivers are assumed to make their own travel choice based on the travel time information provided. A route-based stochastic variational inequality is formulated, which is used as a basic model for the travel time prediction. A diversion function is introduced to account for the motorists' willingness to divert. An inverse function of the diversion curve is derived to develop a variational inequality formulation for the travel time prediction model. Computational results illustrate the characteristics of the proposed model.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.19 no.12
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• pp.2779-2784
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• 2015

The prediction of the accurate traffic information can provide an optimal route from the place of departure to a destination, therefore, this makes it possible to obtain a saving of time and money. To predict traffic information, we use a Bayesian network method based on probability model in this paper. Existing researches predicting the traffic information based on a Bayesian network generally used to study the data for all time. In this paper, however, only data corresponding to same time and day of the week to predict selectively will be used for learning. In fact, the experiment was carried out for 14 links zone in Seoul, also, the accuracy of the prediction results of the two different methods should be tested with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) which is commonly used. In view of MAPE, experimental results show that the proposed method may calculate traffic prediction value with a higher accuracy than the method used to learn the data for all time zones.

• Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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• v.1 no.2
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• pp.15-20
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• 2023

This study aims to enhance the accuracy of fine dust predictions by analyzing various factors within the local environment, in addition to atmospheric conditions. In the atmospheric environment, meteorological and air pollution data were utilized, and additional factors contributing to fine dust generation within the region, such as traffic volume and electricity transaction data, were sequentially incorporated for analysis. XGBoost, Random Forest, and ANN (Artificial Neural Network) were employed for the analysis. As variables were added, all algorithms demonstrated improved performance. Particularly noteworthy was the Artificial Neural Network, which, when using atmospheric conditions as a variable, resulted in an MAE of 6.25. Upon the addition of traffic volume, the MAE decreased to 5.49, and further inclusion of power transaction data led to a notable improvement, resulting in an MAE of 4.61. This research provides valuable insights for proactive measures against air pollution by predicting future fine dust levels.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.1-8
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• 2009

The distributed war-game simulation system has been used to represent the virtual battlefield environment. In order to produce a simulation result, simulators connected from a network transfer messages with location information of simulated objects to a central simulation server. This network traffic is an immediate cause of system performance degradation. Therefore, the paper proposes a system to manage and control network traffic generated from distributed war-game simulation. The proposed system determines the moving distance of simulated objects and filters location messages by a distance threshold which is controlled according to system conditions like network traffic and location error. And, the system predicts the next location of simulated objects to minimize location error caused by message filtering. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed system is effective to control the network traffic of distributed war-game simulation systems and reduce the location error of simulated objects.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.33-41
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• 2014

Unlike the existing regression analysis, this study anticipated future marine traffic volume using time series analysis and artificial neural network model. Especially, it tried to anticipate future marine traffic volume by applying predictive value through time series analysis on artificial neural network model as an additional input variable. This study used monthly observed values of Incheon port from 1996 to 2013. In order for the verification of the forecasting of the model, value for 2013 is anticipated from the built model with observed values from 1996 to 2012 and a proper model is decided by comparing with the actual observed values. Marine traffic volume of Incheon port showed more traffic than average for May and November by 5.9 % and 4.5 % respectably, and January and August showed less traffic than average by 8.6 % and 4.7 % in 2015. Thus, it is found that Incheon port has difference in monthly traffic volume according to the season. This study can be utilized as a basis to reflect the characteristics of traffic according to the season when investigating marine traffic field observation.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.29 no.2B
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• pp.217-227
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• 2004

With a rapid growth in the Internet technology, the network traffic is increasing swiftly. As for the increase of traffic, it had a large influence on performance of a total network. Therefore, a traffic management became an important issue of network management. In this paper, we study a forecast plan of network traffic in order to analyze network traffic and to establish efficient correspondence. We use time series forecast models and determine fitness whether the model can forecast network traffic exactly. In order to predict a model, AR, MA, ARMA, and ARIMA must be applied. The suitable model can be found that can express the nature of traffic for the forecast among these models. We determines whether it is satisfied with stationary in the assumption step of the model. The stationary can get the results by using ACF(Auto Correlation Function) and PACF(Partial Auto Correlation Function). If the result of this function cannot satisfy then the forecast model is unsuitable. Therefore, we are going to get the correct model that is to satisfy stationary assumption. So, we proposes a way to classify in order to get time series materials to satisfy stationary. The correct prediction method is managed traffic of a network with a way to be better than now. It is possible to manage traffic dynamically if it can be used.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.266-279
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• 2014

For the evaluation of roadway safety, diverse methods, including before-after studies, simple comparison using historic traffic accident data, methods based on experts' opinion or literature, have been applied. Especially, many research efforts have developed traffic accident prediction models in order to identify critical elements causing accidents and evaluate the level of safety. A traffic accident prediction model must secure predictability and transferability. By acquiring the predictability, the model can increase the accuracy in predicting the frequency of accidents qualitatively and quantitatively. By guaranteeing the transferability, the model can be used for other locations with acceptable accuracy. To this end, traffic accident prediction models using non-linear regression, artificial neural network, and structural equation were developed in this study. The predictability and transferability of three models were compared using a model development data set collected from 90 signalized intersections and a model validation data set from other 33 signalized intersections based on mean absolute deviation and mean squared prediction error. As a result of the comparison using the model development data set, the artificial neural network showed the highest predictability. However, the non-linear regression model was found out to be most appropriate in the comparison using the model validation data set. Conclusively, the artificial neural network has a strong ability in representing the relationship between the frequency of traffic accidents and traffic and road design elements. However, the predictability of the artificial neural network significantly decreased when the artificial neural network was applied to a new data which was not used in the model developing.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.229-234
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• 2021

The explosive growth of video-based services is considered as the dominant contributor to Internet traffic. Hence it is very important for video service providers to meet the quality expectations of end-users. In the past, the Quality of Service (QoS) was the key performance of networks but it considers only the network performances (e.g., bandwidth, delay, packet loss rate) which fail to give an indication of the satisfaction of users. Therefore, Quality of Experience (QoE) may allow content servers to be smarter and more efficient. This work is motivated by the inherent relationship between the QoE and the QoS. We present a no-reference (NR) prediction model based on Deep Neural Network (DNN) to predict video QoE. The DNN-based model shows a high correlation between the objective QoE measurement and QoE prediction. The performance of the proposed model was also evaluated and compared with other types of neural network architectures, and three known machine learning methodologies, the performance comparison shows that the proposed model appears as a promising way to solve the problems.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.44-57
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• 2019

Various studies have been conducted to solve traffic congestions in many metropolitan cities through accurate traffic flow prediction. Most studies are based on the assumption that past traffic patterns repeat in the future. Models based on such an assumption fall short in case irregular traffic patterns abruptly occur. Instead, the approaches such as predicting traffic pattern through big data analytics and artificial intelligence have emerged. Specifically, deep learning algorithms such as RNN have been prevalent for tackling the problems of predicting temporal traffic flow as a time series. However, these algorithms do not perform well in terms of long-term prediction. In this paper, we take into account various external factors that may affect the traffic flows. We model the correlation between the multi-dimensional context information with temporal traffic speed pattern using deep neural networks. Our model trained with the traffic data from TOPIS system by Seoul, Korea can predict traffic speed on a specific date with the accuracy reaching nearly 90%. We expect that the accuracy can be improved further by taking into account additional factors such as accidents and constructions for the prediction.