• Title/Summary/Keyword: negative binomial analysis

Search Result 156, Processing Time 0.021 seconds

The Selection and Decision in R&D and Patents: A Hurdle Negative Binomial Approach (허들음이항모형을 이용한 기업의 혁신선택과 특허성과의 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jaemin
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.449-466
    • /
    • 2014
  • There have been various researches on the relationship between a company's R&D investment and the outcome from innovation. However, these studies failed to effectively analyze the decision-making process followed by companies in relation to knowledge production. Especially, in analyzing the patent of companies, the Poisson model has been commonly used, but its limitations have been pointed out. In recent years, many studies have adopted negative binomial models, but they still pose limitations in analyzing the selection process. This paper proposed a hurdle negative binomial model to effectively reflect the company's decision embedded within patent information and conduct an empirical analysis on a survey of businesses' activities. In particular, the study analyzed the selection process of companies in determining the number of patents. As a result of estimation, the presence of over-dispersion was identified. In addition, the Wald-test confirmed that setting up of hurdles was valid, and there was a difference between the results of hurdle models and those of general negative binomial settings.

Mixed Effects Kernel Binomial Regression

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1327-1334
    • /
    • 2008
  • Mixed effect binomial regression models are widely used for analysis of correlated count data in which the response is the result of a series of one of two possible disjoint outcomes. In this paper, we consider kernel extensions with nonparametric fixed effects and parametric random effects. The estimation is through the penalized likelihood method based on kernel trick, and our focus is on the efficient computation and the effective hyperparameter selection. For the selection of hyperparameters, cross-validation techniques are employed. Examples illustrating usage and features of the proposed method are provided.

  • PDF

An Analysis of the Control Limit in p-chart Applying Binomial Distribution Using Commercial Software

  • Yoo Wang-Jin;Park Won-Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
    • /
    • 1998.11a
    • /
    • pp.198-207
    • /
    • 1998
  • The p chart approximate to the normal distribution has a difficulty to analyze the process condition precisely when the negative LCL is occurred. Furthermore, the probability of Type I error increases compared with using its original binomial distribution. For a long time the p chart has been used as approximated to the normal distribution because of its easy use. However, it becomes rapid and convenient to calculate the binomial distribution through the development of computer and software, so it is strongly suggested to use the binomial distribution determining control limits to reduce the probability of Type I error. In this study, I suggest that the control limits can be designed in use of binomial distribution and they can be utilized without special software by illustrating the certain work for establishing p-chart with the commercial one(EXCEL).

  • PDF

Risk Factors Influencing Probability and Severity of Elder Abuse in Community-dwelling Older Adults: Applying Zero-inflated Negative Binomial Modeling of Abuse Count Data (영과잉 가산자료(Zero-inflated Count Data) 분석 방법을 이용한 지역사회 거주 노인의 노인학대 발생과 심각성에 미치는 위험요인 분석)

  • Jang, Mi Heui;Park, Chang Gi
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
    • /
    • v.42 no.6
    • /
    • pp.819-832
    • /
    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to identify risk factors that influence the probability and severity of elder abuse in community-dwelling older adults. Methods: This study was a cross-sectional descriptive study. Self-report questionnaires were used to collect data from community-dwelling Koreans, 65 and older (N=416). Logistic regression, negative binomial regression and zero-inflated negative binomial regression model for abuse count data were utilized to determine risk factors for elder abuse. Results: The rate of older adults who experienced any one category of abuse was 32.5%. By zero-inflated negative binomial regression analysis, the experience of verbal-psychological abuse was associated with marital status and family support, while the experience of physical abuse was associated with self-esteem, perceived economic stress and family support. Family support was found to be a salient risk factor of probability of abuse in both verbal-psychological and physical abuse. Self-esteem was found to be a salient risk factor of probability and severity of abuse in physical abuse alone. Conclusion: The findings suggest that tailored prevention and intervention considering both types of elder abuse and target populations might be beneficial for preventative efficiency of elder abuse.

Traffic Accident Models using a Random Parameters Negative Binomial Model at Signalized Intersections: A Case of Daejeon Metropolitan Area (Random Parameters 음이항 모형을 이용한 신호교차로 교통사고 모형개발에 관한 연구 -대전광역시를 대상으로 -)

  • Park, Minho;Hong, Jungyeol
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.119-126
    • /
    • 2018
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to develop a crash prediction model at signalized intersections, which can capture the randomness and uncertainty of traffic accident forecasting in order to provide more precise results. METHODS : The authors propose a random parameter (RP) approach to overcome the limitation of the Count model that cannot consider the heterogeneity of the assigned locations or road sections. For the model's development, 55 intersections located in the Daejeon metropolitan area were selected as the scope of the study, and panel data such as the number of crashes, traffic volume, and intersection geometry at each intersection were collected for the analysis. RESULTS : Based on the results of the RP negative binomial crash prediction model developed in this study, it was found that the independent variables such as the log form of average annual traffic volume, presence or absence of left-turn lanes on major roads, presence or absence of right-turn lanes on minor roads, and the number of crosswalks were statistically significant random parameters, and this showed that the variables have a heterogeneous influence on individual intersections. CONCLUSIONS : It was found that the RP model had a better fit to the data than the fixed parameters (FP) model since the RP model reflects the heterogeneity of the individual observations and captures the inconsistent and biased effects.

Estimating the Economic Value of Recreational Fishing in the Jeonnam Marine Ranching Area (여행비용모형을 이용한 전남 바다목장 해역 유어활동의 경제적 가치 추정)

  • Seo, Ju-Nam;Kim, Do-Hoon;Kang, Sung-Kyung
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.43 no.2
    • /
    • pp.41-49
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study aimed to estimate the economic value of the recreational fishing in the Jeonnam marine ranching area as a part of the total socioeconomic evaluation of the Jeonnam marine ranching program. A travel cost method was applied to the estimation of economic value of the recreational fishing in the Jeonnam marine ranching area and input variables included annual fishing trip days, average travel cost per trip, average catch amount, monthly income, marriage, age, and personal perception on the marine ranching program. In the analysis, due to its characteristic of count data, both poisson model and negative binomial model were used. Model results indicated that a negative binomial model was statistically more suitable than the poisson model as the overdispersion problem occurred in the poisson model. All signs of the estimated parameters were estimated as previous studies showed. Based on the results, the economic value per trip of the recreational fishing in the Jeonnam marine ranching area was estimated to be 145,000 won and the annual total economic value of the recreational fishing in the Jeonnam marine ranching area was analyzed to be 2,514,000 won. In addition, the change of total value by catch rate showed that the economic value could be increased by 180,900 won as the catch increased by one kilogram.

The effect of mutual cooperation between the Patent applicants on the Technological Innovation in ICT (특허 출원인 간 상호협력이 기술혁신에 미치는 영향)

  • Ju, Seong-Hwan
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.14 no.10
    • /
    • pp.83-93
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this paper, I study to determine the effect on patent applicants across the network characteristics of innovation in the ICT sector in Korea. For that, I use the Social Network Analysis(SNA) and the Negative Binomial Regression(NBR). The results about the innovation network in Korea ICT is very dense type. And the degree centrality and the closeness centrality had such a positive effect on innovation performance. Also, the efficiency had not reached a significant effect and the constraint was found to have a negative effect on innovation performance. In the future, based on these results, we need to plan a proper policy of the Korea Technology Innovation Policy.

Traffic Accident Models of 3-Legged Signalized Intersections in the Case of Cheongju (3지 신호교차로의 교통사고 발생모형 - 청주시를 사례로 -)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Han, Sang-Uk;Kim, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.94-99
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents at the 3-legged signalized intersections in Cheongu. The goals are to analyze the geometric, traffic and operational conditions of intersections and to develop a various functional forms that predict the accidents. The models are developed through the correlation analysis, the multiple linear, the multiple nonlinear, Poisson and negative binomial regression analysis. In this study, two multiple linear, two multiple nonlinear and two negative binomial regression models were calibrated. These models were all analyzed to be statistically significant. All the models include 2 common variables(traffic volume and lane width) and model-specific variables. These variables are, therefore, evaluated to be critical to the accident reduction of Cheongju.

A Study on Impact of Factors Influencing Maritime Freight Rates Using Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Analysis on Blank Sailings of Shipping Companies (포아송 및 음이항 회귀분석을 이용한 해상운임 결정요인이 해운선사의 블랭크 세일링에 미치는 영향 분석 연구)

  • Won-Hyeong Ryu;Hyung-Sik Nam
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.48 no.1
    • /
    • pp.62-77
    • /
    • 2024
  • In the maritime shipping industry, imbalance between supply and demand has persistently increased, leading to the utilization of blank sailings by major shipping companies worldwide as a key means of flexibly adjusting vessel capacity in response to shipping market conditions. Traditionally, blank sailings have been frequently implemented around the Chinese New Year period. However, due to unique circumstances such as the global pandemic starting in 2020 and trade tensions between the United States and China, shipping companies have recently conducted larger-scale blank sailings compared to the past. As blank sailings directly impact freight transport delays, they can have negative repercussions from perspectives of both businesses and consumers. Therefore, this study employed Poisson regression models and negative binomial regression models to analyze the influence of maritime freight rate determinants on shipping companies' decisions regarding blank sailings, aiming to proactively address potential consequences. Results of the analysis indicated that, in Poisson regression analysis for 2M, significant variables included global container shipping volume, container vessel capacity, container ship scrapping volume, container ship newbuilding index, and OECD inflation. In negative binomial regression analysis, ocean alliance showed significance with global container shipping volume and container ship order volume, the alliance with container ship capacity and interest rates, non-alliance with international oil prices, global supply chain pressure index, container ship capacity, OECD inflation, and total alliance with container ship capacity and interest rates.

Regional Disparities of Suicide Mortality by Gender (성별에 따른 지역 간 자살률 차이 및 영향요인 분석)

  • Seo, Eun-Won;Kwak, Jin-Mi;Kim, Da-Yang;Lee, Kwang-Soo
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.285-294
    • /
    • 2015
  • Background: Suicide is one of important health problems in Korea. Previous studies showed factors associated with suicide in individual levels. However, suicide was influenced by society that individuals belong to, so it was required to analyze suicide in local levels. The purpose of this study was to analyze the regional disparities of suicide mortality by gender and the association between local characteristics and suicide mortality. Methods: This study included 229 city county district administrative districts in Korea. Age- and sex-standardized suicide mortality and age-standardized suicide mortality (male/female) were used as dependent variables. City county district types, socio-demographics (number of divorces per 1,000 population, number of marriages per 1,000 population, and single households), financial variable (financial independence), welfare variable (welfare budget), and health behavior/status (perceived health status scores and EuroQol-5 dimension [EQ-5D]) were used to represent the local characteristics. We used hot-spot analysis to identify the spatial patterns of suicide mortality and negative binomial regression analysis to examine factors affecting suicide mortality. Results: There were differences in distribution of suicide mortality and hot-spot regions of suicide mortality by gender. Negative binomial regression analysis provided that city county district types (city), number of divorces per 1,000 population, financial independence, and EQ-5D had significant influences on the age- and sex-standardized suicide mortality per 100,000. Factor influencing suicide mortality was the number of divorces per 1,000 population in both male and female. Conclusion: Study results provided evidences that suicide mortality among regions was differed by gender. Health policy makers will need to consider gender and local characteristics when making policies for suicides.