• 제목/요약/키워드: national statistical system

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통계전문가시스템을 위한 통계처리과정의 공학적 접근 연구 (Engineering approach of Statistics Processing for the Statistical Expert System)

  • 차홍준
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 1990
  • 본 연구는 통계처리과정을 공학적인 접근으로한 인공지능화를 시도하려는 개념화에 있는데, 이는 전산학에서의 소프트웨어공학과 같이 통계지식공학으로 확대 적용하고, 더불어 그 관계를 일반화 해보려는 것이다. 그러므로 방법적인 도출은 통계전문가시스템 설계를 하는데 불변성으로 명확하게 나타내려는 것이 아니라 발전적으로 요구되는 편의를 위해서 유연한 대처로 했으며, 이를 위한 지식의 표현 방안을 확실히 구성했다. 따라서 이를 확대 적용할 수 있도록 공학적 처리 모형을 개념화 하여서 이러한 문제의 공학적인 접근 방안을 제안했다.

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A Study on Change-Points in System Reliability

  • Kwang Mo Jeong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.10-19
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    • 1994
  • We study the change-point problem in the context of system reliability models. The maximum likelihood estimators are obtained based on the Jelinski and Moranda model. To find the approximate distribution of the change-point estimator, we suggest of parametric bootstrap method in which the estimators are substituted in the assumed model. Through an example we illustrate the proposed method.

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Optimal Selection of Populations for Units in a System

  • Kim, Woo-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 1980
  • A problem of choosing units for the series system and the 1-out-of-2 system from k available brands is treated from a decision-theoretic points of view. It is assumed that units from each brand have exponentially distributed life lengths, and that the loss functions are inversely proportional to the reliability of the system. For the series system the 'natural' rule is shown to be optimal. For the 1-out-of-2 system, the Bayes rule wrt the natural conjugate prior is derived and teh constants to implement the Bayes rule are given.

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The Errors of Population Projections for Korea on Korean Information Statistical System

  • Yoon, Yong-Hwa;Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.419-427
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    • 2007
  • Recently, Korean National Statistical Office submits the results of population projections for Korea from 1960 to 2050 year. The purpose of this paper is to suggest the reasonable assumptions for the survey of population, and then to detect the errors of the surveyed population (1960-2005) on Korean Information Statistical System.

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MS-EXCEL과 Visual Basic으로 개발한 통계적 공정관리 소프트웨어 (Statistical Process Control Software developed by MS-EXCEL and Visual Basic)

  • 한경수;안정용
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 1996
  • In this study, we developed a software for statistical process control. This software presents $\bar{x}$, R, CUSUM, EWMA control chart and process capability index. In this system, statistical process control methods are integrated into the automated method on a real time base. It is available in process control of specified type and can be performed on personal computer with network system.

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수동형 댐퍼를 장착한 구조물의 동적응답기반 신뢰성 해석 - 제2편: 시스템 파괴확률 산정 (Dynamic Response based System Reliability Analysis of Structure with Passive Damper - Part 2: Assessment of System Failure Probability)

  • 김승민;옥승용
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2016
  • This study proposes a multi-scale dynamic system reliability analysis of control system as a method of quantitative evaluation of its performance in probabilistic terms. In this second paper, we discuss the control effect of the viscous damper on the seismic performance of the structure-level failure. Since the failure of one structural member does not necessarily cause the collapse of the structural system, we need to consider a set of failure scenarios of the structural system and compute the sum of the failure probabilities of the failure scenarios where the statistical dependence between the failure scenarios should be taken into account. Therefore, this computation requires additional system reliability analysis. As a result, the proposed approach takes a hierarchial framework where the failure probability of a structural member is computed using a lower-scale system reliability with the union set of time-sequential member failures and their statistical dependence, and the failure probability of the structural system is again computed using a higher-scale system reliability with the member failure probabilities obtained by the lower-scale system reliability and their statistical dependence. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed approach can provide an accurate and stable reliability assessment of the control performance of the viscous damper system on the system failure. Also, the parametric study of damper capacity on the seismic performance has been performed to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach through the probabilistic assessment of the seismic performance improvement of the damper system.

장마 강수를 위한 앙상블 통계 예측 모델 개발 (The Development of Ensemble Statistical Prediction Model for Changma Precipitation)

  • 김진용;서경환
    • 대기
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.533-540
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    • 2014
  • Statistical forecast models for the prediction of the summertime Changma precipitation have been developed in this study. As effective predictors for the Changma precipitation, the springtime sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the North Atlantic (NA1), the North Pacific (NPC) and the tropical Pacific Ocean (CNINO) has been suggested in Lee and Seo (2013). To further improve the performance of the statistical prediction scheme, we select other potential predictors and construct 2 additional statistical models. The selected predictors are the Northern Indian Ocean (NIO) and the Bering Sea (BS) SST anomalies, and the spring Eurasian snow cover anomaly (EUSC). Then, using the total three statistical prediction models, a simple ensemble-mean prediction is performed. The resulting correlation skill score reaches as high as ~0.90 for the last 21 years, which is ~16% increase in the skill compared to the prediction model by Lee and Seo (2013). The EUSC and BS predictors are related to a strengthening of the Okhotsk high, leading to an enhancement of the Changma front. The NIO predictor induces the cyclonic anomalies to the southwest of the Korean peninsula and southeasterly flows toward the peninsula, giving rise to an increase in the Changma precipitation.

Vibration analysis of a uniform beam traversed by a moving vehicle with random mass and random velocity

  • Chang, T.P.;Liu, M.F.;O, H.W.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.737-749
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    • 2009
  • The problem of estimating the dynamic response of a distributed parameter system excited by a moving vehicle with random initial velocity and random vehicle body mass is investigated. By adopting the Galerkin's method and modal analysis, a set of approximate governing equations of motion possessing time-dependent uncertain coefficients and forcing function is obtained, and then the dynamic response of the coupled system can be calculated in deterministic sense. The statistical characteristics of the responses of the system are computed by using improved perturbation approach with respect to mean value. This method is simple and useful to gather the stochastic structural response due to the vehicle-passenger-bridge interaction. Furthermore, some of the statistical numerical results calculated from the perturbation technique are checked by Monte Carlo simulation.

Evaluations of Museum Recommender System Based on Different Visitor Trip Times

  • Sanpechuda, Taweesak;Kovavisaruch, La-or
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.131-136
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    • 2022
  • The recommendation system applied in museums has been widely adopted owing to its advanced technology. However, it is unclear which recommendation is suitable for indoor museum guidance. This study evaluated a recommender system based on social-filtering and statistical methods applied to actual museum databases. We evaluated both methods using two different datasets. Statistical methods use collective data, whereas social methods use individual data. The results showed that both methods could provide significantly better results than random methods. However, we found that the trip time length and the dataset's sizes affect the performance of both methods. The social-filtering method provides better performance for long trip periods and includes more complex calculations, whereas the statistical method provides better performance for short trip periods. The critical points are defined to indicate the trip time for which the performances of both methods are equal.

인구추계 데이터의 이상점과 통계적 분석

  • 김종태;서효민
    • 한국산업정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국산업정보학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 미래 IT융합기술 및 전략
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    • pp.153-159
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to suggest the problems of basic population data(1960-2005) and the data(2006-2050) of population projections reported by Korean National Statistical Office in November 2006. The errors on the basic population data can be easily checked by using the graphical analysis and the method of linear regression analysis. It is necessary to revise the population projections reported by Korean National Statistical Office.

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