• 제목/요약/키워드: multivariate analysis

검색결과 3,128건 처리시간 0.036초

A MULTIVARIATE JUMP DIFFUSION PROCESS FOR COUNTERPARTY RISK IN CDS RATES

  • Ramli, Siti Norafidah Mohd;Jang, Jiwook
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
    • /
    • 제19권1호
    • /
    • pp.23-45
    • /
    • 2015
  • We consider counterparty risk in CDS rates. To do so, we use a multivariate jump diffusion process for obligors' default intensity, where jumps (i.e. magnitude of contribution of primary events to default intensities) occur simultaneously and their sizes are dependent. For these simultaneous jumps and their sizes, a homogeneous Poisson process. We apply copula-dependent default intensities of multivariate Cox process to derive the joint Laplace transform that provides us with joint survival/default probability and other relevant joint probabilities. For that purpose, the piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) theory developed in [7] and the martingale methodology in [6] are used. We compute survival/default probability using three copulas, which are Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM), Gaussian and Student-t copulas, with exponential marginal distributions. We then apply the results to calculate CDS rates assuming deterministic rate of interest and recovery rate. We also conduct sensitivity analysis for the CDS rates by changing the relevant parameters and provide their figures.

Bayesian Analysis of a New Skewed Multivariate Probit for Correlated Binary Response Data

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • 제30권4호
    • /
    • pp.613-635
    • /
    • 2001
  • This paper proposes a skewed multivariate probit model for analyzing a correlated binary response data with covariates. The proposed model is formulated by introducing an asymmetric link based upon a skewed multivariate normal distribution. The model connected to the asymmetric multivariate link, allows for flexible modeling of the correlation structure among binary responses and straightforward interpretation of the parameters. However, complex likelihood function of the model prevents us from fitting and analyzing the model analytically. Simulation-based Bayesian inference methodologies are provided to overcome the problem. We examine the suggested methods through two data sets in order to demonstrate their performances.

  • PDF

다특성을 고려한 상황하에서의 공정능력지수에 관한 연구 (A Study on Process Capability Index using Loss Function Under the Muli-Attribute Conditions)

  • 김연희;김수열;박명규
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한안전경영과학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회
    • /
    • pp.503-521
    • /
    • 2005
  • Process capability indices are widely used in industries and quality assurance system. When designing the parameter on the multiple quality characteristics, there has been a study for optimization of problems, but there has been few former study on the possible conflicting phenomena in considertion of the correlations among the characteristics. To solve the issue on the optimal design for muliple quality characteristics, the study propose the expected loss function with cross-product terms among the characteristics and derived range of the coefficients of terms. Therefore, the analysis have to be required a multivariate statistical technique. This paper introduces to multivariate capability indices and then selects a multivariate process capability index incorporated both the process variation and the process deviation from target among these indices under the multivariate normal distribution. We propose a new multivariate capability index $MC_{pm}^{++}$ using quality loss function instead of the process variation and this index is compared with the proposed indices when quality characteristics are independent and dependent of each other,

  • PDF

기대손실함수를 이용한 다특성치 공정능력지수에 관한 연구 (A Study on Multiple Characteristics Process Capability Index using Expected Loss Function)

  • 김수열;조용욱;박명규
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한안전경영과학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
    • /
    • pp.69-79
    • /
    • 2004
  • Process capability indices are widely used in industries and quality assurance system. When designing the parameter on the multiple quality characteristics, there has been a study for optimization of problems, but there has been few former study on the possible conflicting phenomena in considertion of the correlations among the characteristics. To solve the issue on the optimal design for multiple quality characteristics, the study propose the expected loss function with cross-product terms among the characteristics and derived range of the coefficients of terms. Therefore, the analysis have to be required a multivariate statistical technique. This paper introduces to multivariate capability indices and then selects a multivariate process capability index incorporated both the process variation and the process deviation from target among these indices under the multivariate normal distribution. We propose a new multivariate capability index $MC_{pm}^{++}$ using quality loss function instead of the process variation and this index is compared with the proposed indices when quality characteristics are independent and dependent of each other.

  • PDF

UHPLC-DAD 및 다변량분석법을 이용한 참당귀의 산지감별법 연구 (Geographical Classification of Angelica gigas using UHPLC-DAD Combined Multivariate Analyses)

  • 김정률;이동영;성상현;김진웅
    • 생약학회지
    • /
    • 제44권4호
    • /
    • pp.332-335
    • /
    • 2013
  • Geographical classification of A. gigas was performed in the present study using UHPLC-DAD combined with multivariate data analysis techniques. Six active constituents were isolated from A. gigas; nodakenin, marmesin, decursinol, demethylsuberosin, decursin and decursinol angelate. One hundred sixty eight A. gigas samples were simultaneously determined using UHPLC-DAD. A principal component analysis (PCA) and partial least square discriminant analysis (PLS-DA) was used to classify the samples according to geographical origins (Korea and China). The origins of A. gigas from Korea and China were correctly classified by 81.6% and 93.8% using PLS-DA Y prediction. This result demonstrates the potential use of UHPLC-DAD combined with multivariate analysis techniques as an accurate and rapid method to classify A. gigas according to their geographical origin.

AUTOMATED ELECTROFACIES DETERMINATION USING MULTIVARIATE STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

  • Kim Jungwhan;Lim Jong-Se
    • 한국석유지질학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국석유지질학회 1998년도 제5차 학술발표회 발표논문집
    • /
    • pp.10-14
    • /
    • 1998
  • A systematic methodology is developed for the electrofacies determination from wireline log data using multivariate statistical analysis. To consider corresponding contribution of each log and reduce the computational dimension, multivariate logs are transformed into a single variable through principal components analysis. Resultant principal components logs are segmented using the statistical zonation method to enhance the efficiency and quality of the interpreted results. Hierarchical cluster analysis is then used to group the segments into electrofacies. Optimal number of groups is determined on the basis of the ratio of within-group variance to total variance and core data. This technique is applied to the wells in the Korea Continental Shelf. The results of field application demonstrate that the prediction of lithology based on the electrofacies classification matches well to the core and the cutting data with high reliability This methodology for electrofacies classification can be used to define the reservoir characteristics which are helpful to the reservoir management.

  • PDF

THE USE OF MULTIVARIATE STATISTICS TO EVALUATE THE RESPONSE OF RICE STRAW VARIETIES TO CHEMICAL TREATMENT

  • Vadiveloo, J.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
    • /
    • 제9권1호
    • /
    • pp.83-89
    • /
    • 1996
  • Multivariate statistical procedures were used to analyse data on the chemical composition and in vitro digestibility of four varienties of rice straw after treatment with 4% NaOH solution, 4% urea solution or distilled water (control) for 48 hours. For each treatment, stepwise discriminant analysis identified the variables which maximized differences between varieties and the eigenvectors from principal component analysis quantified the contribution of these criterion variables to varietal differences. The overall response of varieties to chemical treatment was demonstrated qualitatively, by cluster analysis, and quantitatively, from the magnitude of the principal component scores. The analysis revealed that the urea and control treatments elicited the same response whereas NaOH had the greatest effect on the poorest straw variety. Similar analyses conducted on the botanical fractions of the varieties showed that the relative response of the inflorescence, stem, leaf blade and leaf sheath fractions was not altered by chemical treatment.

풍력발전 설비 효율화를 위한 다변량 분석을 이용한 풍력발전단지 단기 출력 예측 방법 (Short-term Wind Farm Power Forecasting Using Multivariate Analysis to Improve Wind Power Efficiency)

  • 위영민
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
    • /
    • 제29권7호
    • /
    • pp.54-61
    • /
    • 2015
  • This paper presents short-term wind farm power forecasting method using multivariate analysis and time series. Based on factor analysis, the proposed method makes new independent variables which newly composed by raw independent variables such as wind speed, ramp rate, wind power. Newly created variables are used in the time series model for forecasting wind farm power. To demonstrate the improved accuracy, the proposed method is compared with persistence model commonly used as reference in wind power forecasting using data from Jeju Island. The results of case studies are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed forecasting method.

FAULT DETECTION, MONITORING AND DIAGNOSIS OF SEQUENCING BATCH REACTOR FOR INTEGRATED WASTEWATER TREATMENT MANAGEMENT SYSTEM

  • Yoo, Chang-Kyoo;Vanrolleghem, Peter A.;Lee, In-Beum
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • 제11권2호
    • /
    • pp.63-76
    • /
    • 2006
  • Multivariate analysis and batch monitoring on a pilot-scale sequencing batch reactor (SBR) are described for integrated wastewater treatment management system, where a batchwise multiway independent component analysis method (MICA) are used to extract meaningful hidden information from non-Gaussian wastewater treatment data. Three-way batch data of SBR are unfolded batch-wisely, and then a non-Gaussian multivariate monitoring method is used to capture the non-Gaussian characteristics of normal batches in biological wastewater treatment plant. It is successfully applied to an 80L SBR for biological wastewater treatment, which is characterized by a variety of error sources with non-Gaussian characteristics. The batchwise multivariate monitoring results of a pilot-scale SBR for integrated wastewater treatment management system showed more powerful monitoring performance on a WWTP application than the conventional method since it can extract non-Gaussian source signals which are independent and cross-correlation of variables.

월유량에 대한 일변량 및 다변량 AR모형의 비교 (A Comparison of Univariate and Multivariate AR Models for Monthly River Flow Series)

  • 이원환;심재현
    • 물과 미래
    • /
    • 제23권1호
    • /
    • pp.99-107
    • /
    • 1990
  • 수자원 개발계획 및 목공구조물의 합리적 설계를 위해서는 과거의 수문관측자료에 의거한 해석이 필요하며, 일반적인 수문현상은 무작위적인 인자가 포함되기 때문에 이를 고려한 통계적 기법, 즉 추계학적 해석기법이 필요하다고 하겠다. 본 연구에서는 남한강 상류의 동일유역 4개 지점(단양, 정선, 영월, 평창)의 월유량 자료를 일변량 AR(1), AR(2)모형과 다변량 AR(1), AR(2)모형에 적용하여 각 모형의 통계적 특성치를 분석하고, 월유량을 모의발생시켜, 일변량 모형과 다변량 모형을 비교하였다. 각각의 모형에 의한 모의발생 계열의 비교, 분석을 통하여 볼 때, 단일지점만을 고려하는 일변량 모형에 비해 지점간의 공선형성을 고려하는 다변량 모형이 동일유역의 월유량 해석에 있어서 더 적합함을 알 수 있었다.

  • PDF