• 제목/요약/키워드: multiscale modeling

검색결과 89건 처리시간 0.026초

효율적인 대기정책 마련을 위한 대기질 모델 활용방안 고찰: 노후 석탄화력발전소 가동중지에 따른 충남지역 PM2.5 저감효과 분석을 중심으로 (A Study on the Utilization of Air Quality Model to Establish Efficient Air Policies: Focusing on the Improvement Effect of PM2.5 in Chungcheongnam-do due to Coal-fired Power Plants Shutdown)

  • 남기표;이대균;이재범;최기철;장임석;최광호
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 2018
  • In order to develop effective emission abatement strategies for coal-fired power plants, we analyzed the shutdown effects of coal-fired power plants on $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in June by employing air quality model for the period from 2013 to 2016. WRF (Weather Research and Forecast) and CMAQ(Community Multiscale Air Quality) models were used to quantify the impact of emission reductions on the averaged $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations in June over Chungcheongnam-do area in Korea. The resultant shutdown effects showed that the averaged $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in June decreased by 1.2% in Chungcheongnam-do area and decreased by 2.3% in the area where the surface air pollution measuring stations were located. As a result of this study, it was confirmed that it is possible to analyze policy effects considering the change of meteorology and emission and it is possible to quantitatively estimate the influence at the maximum impact region by utilizing the air quality model. The results of this study are expected to be useful as a basic data for analyzing the effect of $PM_{2.5}$ concentration change according to future emission changes.

흡입독성평가를 위한 비부노출 챔버의 유동흐름 특성 (Characteristics of flow field of nose-only exposure chamber for inhalation toxicity evaluation)

  • 노학재;봉춘근;봉하경;김용구;조명행;김상화;김대성
    • 한국입자에어로졸학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2016
  • In this work, we evaluated the characteristics of flow field and uniformity of the nose-only exposure chambers for the inhalation toxicity test. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling was carried out to demonstrate uniformity of the nose-only exposure chambers. Because it is very important in the inhalation toxicity experiments that test materials are distributed uniformly to each holder of the chamber. The test was done with these 3 types of chamber with different form to develop inhalation toxicity evaluation system, easy-to-operate system among exposure chamber used for evaluating inhalation toxicity of environmental chemical mixtures. Through CFD interpretation, nose-only exposure chamber was made with the selection of the optimal conditions. For its evaluation, one type of fragrance was selected and measured particle size distribution of each port. The gene becoming luminous to green fluorescence was combined with GPT-SPE, a type of tGFP vector, to be inhaled to the mouse. Based on this, luminous intensity was checked. As a result, total particle number concentration of each port had average value of $3.17{\times}10^6{\sharp}/cm^3$ and range of the highest and lowest concentration value was approximately ${\pm}4.8%$. Autopsy of lung tissues of mouse showed that it had clearly better delivery of gene compared to the control group.

UM-CMAQ-Pollen 모델의 참나무 꽃가루 배출량 산정식 개선과 예측성능 평가 (Improvement and Evaluation of Emission Formulas in UM-CMAQ-Pollen Model)

  • 김태희;서윤암;김규랑;조창범;한매자
    • 대기
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2019
  • For the allergy patient who needs to know the situation about the extent of pollen risk, the National Institute of Meteorological Sciences developed a pollen forecasting system based on the Community Multiscale Air Quality Modeling (CMAQ). In the old system, pollen emission from the oak was estimated just based on the airborne concentration and meteorology factors, resulted in high uncertainty. For improving the quality of current pollen forecasting system, therefore the estimation of pollen emission is now corrected based on the observation of pollen emission at the oak forest to better reflect the real emission pattern. In this study, the performance of the previous (NIMS2014) and current (NIMS2016) model system was compared using observed oak pollen concentration. Daily pollen concentrations and emissions were simulated in pollen season 2016 and accuracy of onset and end of pollen season were evaluated. In the NIMS2014 model, pollen season was longer than actual pollen season; The simulated pollen season started 6 days earlier and finished 13.25 days later than the actual pollen season. The NIMS2016 model, however, the simulated pollen season started only 1.83 days later, and finished 0.25 days later than the actual pollen season, showing the improvement to predict the temporal range of pollen events. Also, the NIMS2016 model shows better performance for the prediction of pollen concentration, while there is a still large uncertainty to capture the maximum pollen concentration at the target site. Continuous efforts to correct these problems will be required in the future.

DNN을 활용한 부산지역 초미세먼지 예보방안 (A Study on the PM2.5 forcasting Method in Busan Using Deep Neural Network )

  • 도우곤;김동영;송희진;조갑제
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제32권8호
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    • pp.595-611
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to improve the daily prediction results of PM2.5 from the air quality diagnosis and evaluation system operated by the Busan Institute of Health and Environment in real time. The air quality diagnosis and evaluation system is based on the photochemical numerical model, CMAQ (Community multiscale air quality modeling system), and includes a 3-day forecast at the end of the model's calculation. The photochemical numerical model basically has limitations because of the uncertainty of input data and simplification of physical and chemical processes. To overcome these limitations, this study applied DNN (Deep Neural Network), a deep learning technique, to the results of the numerical model. As a result of applying DNN, the r of the model was significantly improved. The r value for GFS (Global forecast system) and UM (Unified model) increased from 0.77 to 0.87 and 0.70 to 0.83, respectively. The RMSE (Root mean square error), which indicates the model's error rate, was also significantly improved (GFS: 5.01 to 6.52 ug/m3 , UM: 5.76 to 7.44 ug/m3 ). The prediction results for each concentration grade performed in the field also improved significantly (GFS: 74.4 to 80.1%, UM: 70.0 to 77.9%). In particular, it was confirmed that the improvement effect at the high concentration grade was excellent.

Stability analysis of integrated SWCNT reposed on Kerr medium under longitudinal magnetic field effect Via an NL-FSDT

  • Belkacem Selmoune;Abdelwahed Semmah;Mohammed L. Bouchareb;Fouad Bourada;Abdelouahed Tounsi;Mohammed A. Al-Osta
    • Advances in materials Research
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.243-261
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to analyze the mechanical buckling behavior of a single-walled carbon nanotube (SWCNT) integrated with a one-parameter elastic medium and modeled as a Kerr-type foundation under a longitudinal magnetic field. The structure is considered homogeneous and therefore modeled utilizing the nonlocal first shear deformation theory (NL-FSDT). This model targets thin and thick structures and considers the effect of the transverse shear deformation and small-scale effect. The Kerr model describes the elastic matrix, which takes into account the transverse shear strain and normal pressure. Using the nonlocal elastic theory and taking into account the Lorentz magnetic force acquired from Maxwell relations, the stability equation for buckling analysis of a simply supported SWCNT under a longitudinal magnetic field is obtained. Moreover, the mechanical buckling load behavior with respect to the impacts of the magnetic field and the elastic medium parameters considering the nonlocal parameter, the rotary inertia, and transverse shear deformation was examined and discussed. This study showed useful results that can be used for the design of nano-transistors that use the buckling properties of single-wall carbon nanotubes(CNTs) due to the creation of the magnetic field effect.

충남지역 대형 점오염원이 주변지역 초미세먼지 농도에 미치는 영향 (Impact of Emissions from Major Point Sources in Chungcheongnam-do on Surface Fine Particulate Matter Concentration in the Surrounding Area)

  • 김순태;김옥길;김병욱;김현철
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.159-173
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    • 2017
  • The Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) - Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) system was applied to investigate the influence of major point sources located in Chungcheongnam-do (CN) on surface $PM_{2.5}$ (Particulate Matter of which diameter is $2.5{\mu}m$ or less) concentrations in its surrounding areas. Uncertainties associated with contribution estimations were examined through cross-comparison of modeling results using various combinations of model inputs and setups; two meteorological datasets developed with WRF for 2010 and 2014, and two domestic emission inventories for 2010 and 2013 were used to estimate contributions of major point sources in CN. The results show that contributions of major point sources in CN to annual $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations over Seoul, Incheon, Gyeonggi, and CN ranged $0.51{\sim}1.63{\mu}g/m^3$, $0.71{\sim}1.62{\mu}g/m^3$, $0.63{\sim}1.66{\mu}g/m^3$, and $1.04{\sim}1.86{\mu}g/m^3$, respectively, depending on meteorology and emission inventory choice. It indicates that the contributions over the surrounding areas can be affected by model inputs significantly. Nitrate was the most dominant $PM_{2.5}$ component that was increased by major point sources in CN followed by sulfate, ammonium, and others. Based on the model simulations, it was estimated that primary $PM_{2.5}$ $(PPM)-to-PM_{2.5}$ conversion rates were 41.3~50.7 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for CN, and 12.4~18.3 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for Seoul, Incheon, and Gyeonggi, respectively. In addition, spatial gradients of PPM contributions show very steep trends. $NO_X$-to-nitrate conversion rates were 7.61~12.3 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for CN, and 3.94~11.3 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for the sub-regions in the SMA. $SO_2$-to-sulfate conversion rates were 4.04~5.28 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for CN, and 3.73~4.43 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for the SMA, respectively.

CMAQ-pollen 모델을 이용한 참나무 꽃가루 확산 고해상도 수치모의 및 검증 (A High-resolution Numerical Simulation and Evaluation of Oak Pollen Dispersion Using the CMAQ-pollen Model)

  • 오인보;김규랑;방진희;임윤규;조창범;오재원;김양호;황미경
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2017
  • The aim of this study is to evaluate the accuracy and variability of the oak pollen concentrations over the Seoul metropolitan region (SMR) simulated by the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ)-based pollen dispersion model, which is the CMAQ-pollen model integrated with the improved oak pollen emission model(PEM-oak). The PEM-oak model developed is based on hourly emission flux parameterization that includes the effects of plant-specific release, meteorological adjustment, and diurnal variations of oak pollen concentrations. A 33 day-run for oak pollen simulation was conducted by the CMAQ-pollen model with a 3 km spatial resolution for the SMR during the 2014 spring pollen season. Modeled concentrations were evaluated against the hourly measurements at three Burkard sampling sites. Temporal variations of oak concentrations were largely well represented by the model, but the quantitative difference between simulations and measurements was found to be significant in some periods. The model results also showed that large variations in oak pollen concentrations existed in time and space and high concentrations in the SMR were closely associated with the regional transport under strong wind condition. This study showed the effective application of the CMAQ-pollen modeling system to simulate oak pollen concentration in the SMR. Our results could be helpful in providing information on allergenic pollen exposure. Further efforts are needed to further understand the oak pollen release characteristics such as interannual variation of the oak pollen productivity and its spatio-temporal flowering timing.

WRF-CMAQ 모델을 이용한 한반도 CH4 배출의 기여농도 추정 및 검증 (Verification and Estimation of the Contributed Concentration of CH4 Emissions Using the WRF-CMAQ Model in Korea)

  • 문윤섭;임윤규;홍성욱;장은미
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.209-223
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    • 2013
  • 이 연구의 목적은 한반도에서 $CH_4$ 농도의 수치모의 검증을 통하여 $CH_4$ 배출원의 기여 농도를 추정하는 것이고, 이 수치모의에 사용된 $CH_4$ 배출량을 상자모델로부터 추정된 $CH_4$ 배출량과 비교하는 것이다. 한반도에서 2010년 4월 1일부터 8월 22일까지 $CH_4$의 평균 농도를 추정하기 위해 WRF-CMAQ 모델이 사용되었다. 모델에서 $CH_4$ 배출량은 전지구 배출량인 EDGAR와 한국에서의 온실기체 배출량인 GHG-CAPSS로부터 인위적 배출 인벤토리와 전지구 자연적 인벤토리인 MEGAN이 적용되었다. 이들 $CH_4$ 배출량은 안면도 및 울릉도에서 측정된 $CH_4$ 농도와 모델링 농도 자료를 비교함으로써 검증되었다. 울릉도에서 국내 배출원으로부터 추정된 $CH_4$의 기여 농도는 약 20%로 나타났고, 이것은 한반도 내 농장(8%), 에너지 기여 및 산업공정(6%), 일반폐기물(5%), 생체 및 토지이용(1%) 등 $CH_4$ 배출원으로부터 기원하였다. 그리고 중국으로부터 수송된 $CH_4$의 기여 농도는 약 9%였고, 나머지 배경농도는 약 70%로 나타났다. 박스모델로 추정된 $CH_4$ 배출량은 WRF-CMAQ 모델에서 사용한 $CH_4$ 배출량과 유의미한 결과를 얻었다.

WRF-SMOKE-CMAQ(MADRID)을 이용한 한반도 봄철 황사(PM10)의 농도 추정 (An Estimation of Concentration of Asian Dust (PM10) Using WRF-SMOKE-CMAQ (MADRID) During Springtime in the Korean Peninsula)

  • 문윤섭;임윤규;이강열
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.276-293
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 한반도 황사 사례 동안 WRF 기상모델과 SMOKE 배출량모델, CMAQ 및 CMAQ-MADRID 대기질 모델을 이용하여 다양한 황사 발생량 경험식에 대한 $PM_{10}$의 농도를 추정하였다. 특별히 Wang et al.(2000), US EPA 모델, Park and In(2003), GOCART 모델, DEAD 모델의 5가지 황사 발생 경험식이 중국과 몽골 등의 황사 발생량을 추정하기 위해 WRF-SMOKE-CMAQ(MADRID) 모델에 적용되었다. 일기도, 후방궤적 및 위성이미지 분석에 따르면 한반도로의 황사 수송은 절리저기압(위성에서 콤마형 구름)과 관련된 지상 전선의 뒤쪽에서, 그리고 상층 제트류의 발달에 기인한 파의 정체현상과 함께 상층 골에서의 풍속이 하층으로 전이되는 풍하 바람에 의해 생성되었다. 그리고 WRF-SMOKE-CMAQ 모델링 결과, 황사의 시 공간적 분포에 있어서는 Wang et al.(2000)의 경험식이, 평균 편의 및 평균 제곱근 오차에서의 정확도 부분에서는 GOCART 모델의 경험식이 관측값을 보다 잘 모사하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 Wang et al.의 경험식을 이용한 황사의 연직분포 분석 결과에서 강한 황사 사례(2007년 3월 31에서 4월 1일 $800\;{\mu}g/m^3$ 이상)의 경우는 황사 수송이 한반도 상공 대기 경계층 내를 통과하였기 때문으로, 약한 황사 사례(2009년 3월 16일과 17에 $400\;{\mu}g/m^3$ 이하)의 경우는 황사 수송이 경계층 위를 통과하였기 때문으로 나타났다. 또한 CMAQ 모델과 CAMQ-MADRID 모델에서의 미세먼지($PM_{10}$) 민감도 분석 결과에서는 CMAQ-MADRID 모델이 CMAQ 모델에 비해 한반도를 포함한 동아시아 지역에서 최대 $25\;{\mu}g/m^3$ 정도가 높게 모사되었고, 모델 내 구름 액상과정에 의해서는 최대 $15\;{\mu}g/m^3$ 정도가 제거되는 것으로 나타났다.