• Title/Summary/Keyword: moving-average method

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A Study on the Baseline Load Estimation Method using Heating Degree Days and Cooling Degree Days Adjustment (냉난방도일을 이용한 기준부하추정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Wi, Young-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.5
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    • pp.745-749
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    • 2017
  • Climate change and energy security are major factors for future national energy policy. To resolve these issues, many countries are focusing on creating new growth industries and energy services such as smartgrid, renewable energy, microgrid, energy management system, and peer to peer energy trading. The financial and economic evaluation of new energy services basically requires energy savings estimation technologies. This paper presents the baseline load estimation method, which is used to calculate energy savings resulted from participating in the new energy program, using moving average model with heating degree days (HDD) and cooling degree days (CDD) adjustment. To demonstrate the improvement of baseline load estimation accuracy, the proposed method is tested. The results of case studies are presented to show the effectiveness of the proposed baseline load estimation method.

근전도신호를 이용한 노약자/장애인용 재활 보조시스템의 인터페이스기법

  • 장영건;신철규;이은실;권장우;홍승홍
    • Proceedings of the ESK Conference
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    • 1997.04a
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, an interfacing method to control rehabilitation assitance system with bio-signal is proposed. Controlling with EMG signals method has certain advantage on signal-collecting, but has some drawbacks in the function resolution of EMG signals because data-processing process is not efficient. To improve function-resolution and to increase the efficiency of EMG signal interfacing with rehabilitation assistance system, Multi-layer Perception which is highly effective with static signal and hidden-Markov model for dynamic signal resolving are fused together. In proposed method. The direction and average speed of the rehabilitation assitance system are controlled by the trajectory control and estimation of the moving direction result from the fused model. From the experiment, proposed GMM and 2-level MLP hybrid-classifier yielded 8.6% perception-error rate, improving function resolution. New acceleration control method constructed with 3 nested linear filter produced continuous acceleration paths without the information of destination point. Thus, the mass output caused by non- continuous acceleration-deceleration was eliminated. In the simulation, the necessary calculation, in the case of multiplication, was reduced by 11.54%.

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Estimation of extreme wind pressure coefficient in a zone by multivariate extreme value theory

  • Yang, Qingshan;Li, Danyu;Hui, Yi;Law, Siu-Seong
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.197-207
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    • 2020
  • Knowledge on the design value of extreme wind pressure coefficients (EWPC) of a specific zone of buildings is essential for the wind-resistant capacity of claddings. This paper presents a method to estimate the representative EWPC introducing the multivariate extreme value model. The spatial correlations of the extreme wind pressures at different locations can be consider through the multivariate extreme value. The moving average method is also adopted in this method, so that the measured point pressure can be converted to wind pressure of an area. The proposed method is applied to wind tunnel test results of a large flat roof building. Comparison with existing methods shows that it can give a good estimation for all target zones with different sizes.

The Study on Strategy for Industrial Accident Prevention by the Industrial Accident Rate Forecasting in Korea (한국에서 산업재해율 예측에 의한 산업재해방지 전략에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Young-Sig;Kim, Tae-Gu;Ahn, Kwang-Hyuk;Choi, Do-Lim;Jung, U-Na;Lee, Seong-Ho;Park, Min-Ah;Lee, Seol;Kim, Seong-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 2011
  • Korea has performed strategies for the third industrial accident prevention in order to minimize industrial accident. However, the occupational fatality rate and industrial accident rate appears to be stagnated for 11 years. Therefore, this paper forecasts the occupational fatality rate and industrial accident rate for 10 years. Also, this paper applies regression method (RA), exponential smoothing method (ESM), double exponential smoothing method (DESM), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and proposed analytical function method (PAFM) for trend of industrial accident. Finally, this paper suggests fundamental strategies for industrial accident prevention by forecasting of industrial accident rate in the long term.

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Implementation of an Open Prediction Engine for Time-Series Data Using Levinson-Durbin Algorithm and Newton-Raphson Method (Levinson-Durbin 알고리듬과 Newton-Raphson Method를 이용한 개방형 시계열 데이터 예측엔진 구현에 관한 연구)

  • Koo, Jin-Mo;Hong, Tae-Hwa;Kim, Hag-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07d
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    • pp.2968-2970
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    • 2000
  • 시계열(time series)이란 한 사상 또는 여러 사상에 대하여 시간의 흐름에 따라 일정한 간격으로 이들을 관측하여 기록한 자료를 말한다. 이러한 시계열은 어떠한 경제현상이나 자연현상에 관한 시간적 변화를 나타내는 역사적 계열(historical series)이므로 어느 한 시점에서 관측된 시계열자료는 그 이전까지의 자료들에 주로 의존하게 된다. 따라서 시계열분석을 통한 예측에서는 과거의 자료들을 분석하여 법칙성을 발견해서 이를 모형화하여 추정하고. 이 추정된 모형을 사용하여 미래에 관측될 값들을 예측하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 ARMA (p, q)모형 (autoregressive moving-average model)을 이용하여 시계열 데이터를 분석하며 계수의 추정에는 Levinson-Durbin 알고리듬과 Newton-Raphson Method를 이용한다.

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Estimation of Localized Structural Parameters Using Substructural Identification (부분구조 추정법을 이용한 국부구조계수추정)

  • 윤정방;이형진
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, a method of substructural identification is presented for the estimation of localized structural parameters. for this purpose, an auto-regressive and moving average with stochastic input (ARMAX) model is derived for the substructure to process the measurement data impaired by noises. The sequential prediction error method is used fer the estimation of unknown localized parameters. Using the substructural method, the number of unknown parameters can be reduced and the convergence and accuracy of estimation can be improved. For some substructures, the effect of the input excitation is expressed in terms of the responses at the inferences with the main structure, and substructural identification may be carried out without measuring the actual input excitation to the whole structure. Example analysis is carried out for idealized structural models of a multistory building and a truss bridge. The results indicate that the present method is effective and efficient for local damage estimation of complex structures.

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EWMA chart Application using the Transformation of the Exponential with Individual Observations (개별 관측치에서 지수변환을 이용한 EWMA 관리도 적용기법)

  • 지선수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.52
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    • pp.337-345
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    • 1999
  • The long-tailed, positively skewed exponential distribution can be made into an almost symmetric distribution by taking the exponent of the data. In these situations, to use the traditional shewhart control limits on an individuals chart would be impractical and inconvenient. The transformed data, approximately bell-shaped, can be plotted conveniently on the individuals chart and exponentially weighted moving average chart. In this paper, using modifying statistics with transformed exponential of the data, we give a method for constructing control charts. Selecting method of exponent for individual chart is evaluated. And consider that smaller weight being assigned to the older data as time process and properties and taking method of exponent($\theta$), weighting factor($\alpha$) are suggested. Our recommendation, on the basis result of simulation, is practical method for EWMA chart.

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Method of estimating exploitable groundwater amount considering relationship between precipitation and recharge and the variation of 10-year minimum precipitation (강수량-함양량 관계와 10년 최소강수량 변화를 고려한 지하수 개발가능량 산정 기법)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Lee, Jeongwoo;Lee, Jeong Eun;Kim, Min Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.421-427
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    • 2019
  • The amount of exploitable groundwater amount in Korea has been determined by multiplying the 10-year frequency low precipitation by the recharge rate. In practice, however, the interpretation of the frequency analysis of precipitation is omitted, and the value obtained by multiplying the average recharge rate by the minimum precipitation in the recent 10 years is used as the recharge amount. Therefore, the contradiction arises that the amount of precipitation to be applied is determined according to the period selection rather than the actual low precipitation by the 10-year frequency analysis. In this study, we proposed a method for estimating the exploitable groundwater amount using the recharge amount considering the moving averaged 10-year minimum precipitation and the size of precipitation. This method was applied to the Uiwang, Gwacheon and Seongnam areas and the exploitable groundwater amount was calculated and compared with the results obtained by conventional methods. As a result, it has been confirmed that if the 10-year minimum precipitation is selected in the period including the extreme drought, the problem of underestimating the exploitable groundwater amount can be overcome by using the moving average minimum precipitation.

Verification of Practicality for the SSBL and Pinger Synchronizing Biotelemetry Method and System through the Tracking of Fish (어류의 행동추적에 의한 SSBL · 핑거동기 바이오텔레메터리 방식과 시스템의 실용성 검증)

  • Park, Ju-Sam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2004
  • The new biotelemetry method and system that the installation and the treatment of equipment is convenient and the instantaneously detailed position of the fish attached a pinger is able to track comparatively easily had been developed, an practicality of it were verified in the water tank and the small sea port through the tracking of fish. The biotelemetry method had been gotten the three dimensional locations of fish to the receiving transducer by combining of the super short base line (SSBL) method to detect the direction of pinger and the pinger synchronizing method to measure the range from receiving transducer to pinger. The receiving system had been designed to realize the high precision or wide detection range by application of the basic design method for receiving system of biotelemetry and the hydrophone array configuration. From tracking test of carp in the water tank, the migration course and the velocity of carp was investigated and the observed migration course was compared with measurement. The measured migration course of carp coincided with the observation in the main and the position of carp was able to track three dimensionally. The velocity of carp measured by the moving average method was 11.2cm/s. From tracking test of yellowtail in the small sea port, the migration course and the velocity of yellowtail was investigated at natural condition. The position of yellowtail was able to track three dimensionally and the velocity of it measured by moving average method was 43.9cm/s.

Flame Detection Using Haar Wavelet and Moving Average in Infrared Video (적외선 비디오에서 Haar 웨이블릿과 이동평균을 이용한 화염검출)

  • Kim, Dong-Keun
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.16B no.5
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    • pp.367-376
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose a flame detection method using Haar wavelet and moving averages in outdoor infrared video sequences. Our proposed method is composed of three steps which are Haar wavelet decomposition, flame candidates detection, and their tracking and flame classification. In Haar wavelet decomposition, each frame is decomposed into 4 sub- images(LL, LH, HL, HH), and also computed high frequency energy components using LH, HL, and HH. In flame candidates detection, we compute a binary image by thresholding in LL sub-image and apply morphology operations to the binary image to remove noises. After finding initial boundaries, final candidate regions are extracted using expanding initial boundary regions to their neighborhoods. In tracking and flame classification, features of region size and high frequency energy are calculated from candidate regions and tracked using queues, and we classify whether the tracked regions are flames by temporal changes of moving averages.