• Title/Summary/Keyword: moving average of precipitation

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Method of estimating exploitable groundwater amount considering relationship between precipitation and recharge and the variation of 10-year minimum precipitation (강수량-함양량 관계와 10년 최소강수량 변화를 고려한 지하수 개발가능량 산정 기법)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Lee, Jeongwoo;Lee, Jeong Eun;Kim, Min Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.421-427
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    • 2019
  • The amount of exploitable groundwater amount in Korea has been determined by multiplying the 10-year frequency low precipitation by the recharge rate. In practice, however, the interpretation of the frequency analysis of precipitation is omitted, and the value obtained by multiplying the average recharge rate by the minimum precipitation in the recent 10 years is used as the recharge amount. Therefore, the contradiction arises that the amount of precipitation to be applied is determined according to the period selection rather than the actual low precipitation by the 10-year frequency analysis. In this study, we proposed a method for estimating the exploitable groundwater amount using the recharge amount considering the moving averaged 10-year minimum precipitation and the size of precipitation. This method was applied to the Uiwang, Gwacheon and Seongnam areas and the exploitable groundwater amount was calculated and compared with the results obtained by conventional methods. As a result, it has been confirmed that if the 10-year minimum precipitation is selected in the period including the extreme drought, the problem of underestimating the exploitable groundwater amount can be overcome by using the moving average minimum precipitation.

An Analysis of Temporal Characteristic Change for Various Hydrologic Weather Parameters (I) - On the Basic Statistic, Trend - (각종 수문기상인자의 경년별 특성변화 분석(I) - 기본통계량, 경향성을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Jae-Joon;Jang, Joo-Young;Kwak, Chang-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.409-419
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    • 2010
  • In this study, for the purpose of analyzing the characteristics of Korean hydrologic weather parameters, 9 hydrologic weather parameters data such as annual precipitation, annual rainy days, annual average relative humidity, annual average temperature, annual duration of sunshine, annual evaporation, annual duration of precipitation, annual snowy days and annual new snowy days are collected from 63 domestic meteorological stations that has the hydrologic weather parameters records more than 30 years. And the basic characteristics of hydrologic weather parameters through basic statistics, moving average and linear regression analysis are perceived. Also trend using the statistical methods like Hotelling-Pabst test and Mann-Kendall test about hydrologic weather parameters is analyzed. Through results of basic analysis, moving average and linear regression analysis it is shown that precipitation is concentrated in summer and deviation of precipitation for each season showed significant difference in accordance with Korean climate characteristics, besides the increase in annual precipitation and annual average temperature, annual average relative humidity and annual duration of sunshine reduction and annual rainy days is said to increase or decrease. The results of statistical analysis of trend are summarized as trend commonly appeared in annual average relative humidity and annual average temperature. and annual precipitation, annual rainy days and annual duration of sunshine showed different results according to area.

Studies on Acid Precipitation in Seoul (서울시의 산성물질 강하현상에 관한 연구)

  • 孫東憲;梁聖七
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 1985
  • In order to investigate the Phenomenon of Acid Precipitation, pH value and Anions of Fluroide, chloride, nitrite, phosphate, bromide, nitrate and sulfate were measured from the acid precipitations sampled around 7 districts over seoul area during period of 9 months from January till September, in 1985. From the distribution of pH value gatnered, acid precipitations were noticed during period from January till Aprill, and from as of April 22nd, situation gradually recovered. The average pH value till April showed comparatively low, ranging 4.0-5.0. The pH value of 4.5-5.6 in average over whole year reaches to similar level of those in Japan. Anion analysis revealed that the main factor of pH value in Seoul district attribute mainly to the sulfate ion and nitrate ion. Moreover, these Phenomena of acid precipitation in Seoul area appeared to concentrate on certain districts, and they are slowly moving toward other directions due to such factors as wind-velocity and directions.

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The Correlation between the Precipitation considering Critical Infiltration and Groundwater Level in Ssangchun Watershed (한계침투링을 고려한 쌍천유역의 강수량과 지하수위의 상관관계)

  • Yang Jeong-Seok;Lim Chang-Hwa;Park Jae-Hyeon;Park Chang-Kun;Jeong Gyo-Cheol
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.303-307
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    • 2005
  • Severe drawdown of Groundwater level(CWL) is observed from the analysis of the relationship between precipitation and CWL data during dry seasons in Ssangchun watershed. For Ssangchun watershed, the correlation was the strongest when we apply 70 day Moving Average(MA) for Groundwater dam Operation Index(COI) calculation. To determine the critical infiltration, which is the spatially averaged maximum daily infiltration, a certain value is fixed as the maximum infiltration and precipitation data is modified. COI is recalculated after the data modification and the correlation between COI and GWL is checked. The critical infiltration is determined when the best correlation is obtained after we repeat the above procedure with different fixed values. The critical infiltration is 40m for Ssangchun watershed. The correlation between CWL and COI is higher when we consider critical infiltration than we neglected it.

Analysis of Hydrological Drought Considering MSWSI and Precipitation (MSWSI와 강수인자를 고려한 수문학적 가뭄 분석)

  • Jeong, Min-Su;Lee, Chul-Hee;Lee, Joo-Heon;Hong, Il-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.668-678
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the hydrological and meteorological drought index with precipitation as a major factor were calculated, and various analyses of hydrological drought were conducted. The Modified Surface Water Supply Index (MSWSI) was applied to the hydrological drought index and Standardize Precipitation Index (SPI) was used to estimate the meteorological drought index. The target area for the estimation is the dam area among MSWSI categories. The 4001 basin with 43 years data from 1975 to 2017 was analyzed for the drought occurrence status and time series plotted with the monthly SPI and MSWSI. For the dam watershed based on the precipitation that has the role of a water supply in the hydrological cycle, correlation analysis of precipitation, dam inflow, and stream flow was performed by the monthly and moving average (2~9 months), and the correlation between meteorological and hydrological index by monthly and moving average (3, 6 months) was then calculated. The result of multifaced analysis of the hydrological drought index and meteorological drought index is believed to be useful in developing water policy.

The Correlation between Groundwater Level and GOI with Snowmelt Effect in Ssangchun Watershed (쌍천유역의 지하수위와 융설 효과를 고려한 GOI의 상괸관계)

  • Yang, Jeong-Seok;Lim, Chang-Hwa;Park, Jae-Hyeon;Park, Chang-Kun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.2 s.163
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2006
  • Snowmelt effect is identified from the analysis of the relationship between precipitation and groundwater level(GWL) data and Severe drawdown of GWL is observed in drought. Groundwater dam Operation Index (GOI), which is developed for the optimal operation of groundwater dam, is calculated by taking common logarithm of the moving average(MA) of precipitation data for a certain period. The period can vary from watershed to watershed because the period is decided by picking the maximum correlation coefficient between GWL and GOI of several MAs of precipitation. For Ssangchun watershed, the correlation was the strongest when we apply 70 day MA for GOI calculation. Snowmelt effect is considered by applying the temperature change by elevation($0.5^{\circ}C$ decrease per 100m) and examining the areal distribution of the watershed by elevation. Snow event is assumed when the daily average temperature is below $0^{\circ}C$ and snowmelt is assumed when the temperature is above zero degree Celsius. Total snowmelt is assumed for the day. When the snow event is occurred the precipitation data is separated into two components, snow and rainfall. The areal distribution by elevation is used for the calculation in the separation. The correlation between GWL and GOI is higher when we consider snowmelt effect than we neglected it.

RAINFALL AND RUNOFF VARIATION ANALYSIS FOR WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES

  • Sang-man;Heon, Joo-;Jong-ho;Kum-young
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2004
  • For the long-term strategic water resources planning, forecasting the future streamflow change is important to meet the demand of a growing society. The streamflow variation to the decade-long precipitation was investigated for the two major stage gauging stations in Korea. Precipitation and runoff characteristics have been analyzed at Yongwol stream stage in the Han River as well as Sutong stream stage in the Kum River for the future water resources management strategies. Monte Carlo method has been applied to estimate the future precipitation and runoff. Based on the trend line of 10-year moving average of runoff depth for the historical runoff records, the relation between runoff and the time variation was examined in more detail using regression analysis. This study showed that the surface flows have been significantly decreased while precipitation has been stable in these basins. Decreasing in runoff reflects the regional watershed characteristics such as forest cover changes. The findings of this study could contribute to the planning and development for the efficient water resources utilization.

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The Analysis of Climate Change in Haiyan County

  • Yu, Wenzheng;Zhang, Hanxiaoya;Chen, Tianliang;Liu, Jing;Shen, Yanbo
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.3941-3954
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, the climate change in Haiyan County in recent decades was analyzed in detail with the methods of moving average, Mann-Kendall non-parametric mutation test and wavelet analysis. According to the variation trend of meteorological factors such as temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, pan evaporation and precipitation in recent decades, the climate of Haiyan County has a tendency of drought, which is becoming more and more serious. From the results of the analysis, the sunshine hours and the air temperature in Haiyan County have an obvious upward trend. The average surface temperature has increased by 2.75 ℃ from 1976, and its largest increase occurred in the late 1970s and 1980s. At this stage, the average surface temperature increased by 1.37 ℃. The relative humidity has a decreasing trend that has decreased by 2.75%. From 1976 to the present, there are two quasi-3a cycles and one quasi-6a cycle. The precipitation and evaporation showed the opposite change trend, in which the trend of precipitation fluctuated upward, while the trend of evaporation showed a fluctuating downward tendency, which led to the serious loss of water in the feeding area. The wind direction in Haiyan County are mainly from west to east, and its wind speed has a trend of slight increase.

Statistical nature of the dry and wet periods defined in the time series of annual precipitations (1771-1990) of seoul (서울의 연 강수량)

  • 임규호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 1992
  • We analyzed a time series composed of the annual precipitations of Seoul based on the measurements of a Korean raingage and a modern raingage. The precipitations measured with a Korean raingage for the period of 1771 to 1907 are followed by the precipitations with a modern raingage for the period of 1908 to 1990. The latter part of the time series of annual precipitations were obtained from a book for annual precipitations of Korea by Korea Meteorological Administration and the former from Wada's table 1 for monthly precipitations reproduced from the daily rainfall measurements by a Korean raingage for the period of the Yi Dynasty. In our analysis three different precipitation regimes clearly stand out of the entire period. In order to define objectively the period of each precipitation regime we made a time series of 9 year moving averages from the above time series. By taking into account the shapes of the moving average time series and by using a threshold value of annual precipitation 1050 mm, we defined three precipitation regimes of wet period 1(WP1), dry period (DP), and wet period 2 (WP2). The WP1 and WP2 show very similar characteristics in out statistical analyses. On the other hand, DP is very different from the two periods in many statistical aspects. The strong similarities of the WP1 and WP2 regimes in the magnitudes of statistical parameters and in the shapes of their power spectrum distribution are supporting very positively the soundness of precipitation amounts measured with a Korean raingage in spite of numerous conceivable errors which might have been introduced into measurements of precipitation due to changes of observation site and environment, the scale of units employed, and urbanization of Seoul, etc. However, the annual precipitation amounts are not enough to examine throughly the characteristic of precipitation variations during the two regimes. It is definitely necessarly to recover the daily amounts of precipitation, based on two or three times measurements of rainfall with a Korean raingage, scattered in various ancient documents such as the official diary of 'Seungjeong-weon'

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The Occurrence and Distribution of Adverse Climatic Conditions Focussed on Low Temperature and Drought during Rice Transplanting Period (수도재배기간중(水稻栽培期間中)의 저온(低溫) 및 이앙기(移秧期) 한발출현유형(旱魃出現類型)과 분포(分布))

  • Lee, Yang-Soo;Jung, Yeong-Sang;Ryu, In-Soo;Han, Won-Shig;Kim, Byung-Chan
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.203-209
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    • 1983
  • The occurrence and regional distribution of low temperature and drought during rice cropping period in Korea were studied to characterize the climatic impacts. The long term changes in rice yield, air temperature and precipitation were analyzed, and regional distributions were characterized. The significant climatic impacts on rice yield were heavy rain or flood, drought and low temperature. Since 1910, the occurrence of drought was 29 times, that of flood was 24 times and that of low temperature was 9 times; however, the drought and flood damages were decreased due to expansion of irrigation system since 1970 but low temperature damage was remarkedly increased. The long term changes in air temperature since 1908 in Suweon showed that the 5-year moving average from July to August decreased while that from May to June increased. The occurrence probability of the long term and early term low temperature types were the greatest in Korea and were in order of Suweon, Daegu and Kwangiu. The long term changes in 10-year moving average precipitation from April to June showed a 15 year cycle and recent years were in low precipitation period. The drought frequencies were the highest in Daegu and Pohang area. According to the precipitation from April to June and resevtoir storage at late June, the severest dry area were the Youngnam inland and the southwest coastal area.

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