• Title/Summary/Keyword: movement prediction

Search Result 407, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

A Reactive Routing Scheme based on the Prediction of Link State for Communication between UAV Squadrons in a Large-Scale FANET (대규모 FANET에서 UAV 편대간 통신을 위한 링크 상태 예측에 기반한 반응적 라우팅 기법)

  • Hwang, Heedoo;Kwon, Oh Jun
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.593-605
    • /
    • 2017
  • In applications which are covered wide range, it is possible that one or more number of Unmanned Aerial Vehicle(UAV) squadrons are used to perform a mission. In this case, it is most important to communicate seamlessly between the UAV squadrons. In this paper, we applied the modified OLSR(OSLR-Pds) which can prediction for state of the link for the communication in UAV squadron, and applied the modified AOMDV which can build multi-path for the communication between UAV Squadrons. The mobility of nodes are modeled using Gauss-Markov algorithm, and relative speed between nodes were calculated by derive equation of movement, and thereby we can predict link state for in a squadron and between squadrons. An experiment for comparing AODV, AOMDV and the proposed routing protocol was conducted by three factors such as packet delivery ratio, end to end delay, and routing overhead. In experiment result, we make sure that the proposed protocol performance are superior in these three factors. However, if the density of the nodes constituting FANET are too low, and if the moving speed of node is very slow, there is no difference to others protocols.

An Empirical Model for the Prediction of the Onset of Upward-Movement of Overwintered Caccopsylla pyricola (Homoptera: Psyllidae) in Pear Orchards (배과원에서 꼬마배나무이 월동성충의 수상 이동시기 예측 모형)

  • Kim, Dong-Soon;Yang, Chang-Yeol;Jeon, Heung-Yong
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.9 no.4
    • /
    • pp.228-233
    • /
    • 2007
  • Pear psylla, Caccopsylla pyricola (Homoptera: Psyllidae), is a serious insect pest in pear orchards. C. pyricola overwinters as adults under rough bark scales of pear trees. When the weather warms up in the spring, the overwintered adults become active, climb up to the tree branches, and inhabit on fruit twigs to lay eggs. This study was conducted to develop a forecasting model for the onset of upward-movement of overwintered C. pyricola adults to control them by timely spraying of petroleum oil. The adult population densities were observed under rough barks (B) and on fruit twigs (T) of pear trees. Relative upward-movement rates (R) were calculated as T/(B+T). Low threshold temperatures for the activation of overwintered C. pyricola adults were selected arbitrarily from 5 to $9^{\circ}C$ at a $1^{\circ}C$ interval. Then, the days (D) when daily maximum air temperatures were above each low threshold temperature were counted from 1 February until to the dates with R $\geq$ 0.8. The same methods were applied for the prediction of the first observation of eggs. The variation of coefficients (CV) for the mean Des were lowest with the low threshold temperature of $6^{\circ}C$. At this selected threshold temperature, the upward movement of C. pyricola adults occurred with 12 D and they started laying eggs with 25 D. In the field validation, the model outputs with the $6^{\circ}C$ threshold temperature reasonably well explained the observed data in Suwon and Cheonan in 2002. Practical usages of the model were also discussed.

A Study on the Prediction of Hard and Soft Tissue Changes after Setback Genioplasty (후진 이부성형술의 경조직과 연조직 측모 변화 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Jung-Eun;Kim, Il-Kyu;Cho, Hyun-Young;Ju, Sang-Hyun;Pyeon, Young-Hoon;Jung, Bum-Sang;Pae, Sang-Pill;Cho, Hyun-Woo
    • Maxillofacial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery
    • /
    • v.34 no.6
    • /
    • pp.413-420
    • /
    • 2012
  • Purpose: The purpose of this setback genioplasty study is to develop a prediction method for the calculated osteotomy angle using horizontal and vertical changes as well as to evaluate the proportion of hard and soft tissue changes. Methods: Twelve patients who had received setback genioplasty with other maxillofacial surgery were examined. Three lateral cephalograms were taken just before surgery, immediately after surgery, and 3 months later surgery. A reference line was established to the reference point of the inner most point of the lingual symphysis cortex, incisor tip, and 2nd molar cusp tip. Measuring was conducted from pogonion (Pg), menton (Me), labrale inferius (Li), Mentolabial fold, soft tissue pogonion (Pg'), and soft tissue menton (Me') to the reference lines. Results: In setback genioplasty, the skeletal Pg moved posteriorly 5.07 mm. The ratios of soft tissue to hard tissue movement were 36% posteriorly and 62% inferiorly at Pg', 67% posteriorly and 104% inferiorly at Me', and 34% anteriorly and 164% posteriorly at Li. In reduction & setback genioplasty, skeletal Pg moved posteriorly 4.63 mm and skeletal Me moved superiorly 3.63 mm. The ratios of soft tissue to hard tissue movement were 76% posteriorly and 18% superiorly at Pg', 68% posteriorly and 42% superiorly at Me', and 44% anteriorly, 124% posteriorly at Li. The calculated mean slope angle, based on ${\Delta}H/{\Delta}V$ ratio, was 61.25 and the measured mean slope angle was 60.17. Thus, the calculated and measured slope angles have a similarity. Conclusion: In setback genioplasty, soft tissue moves posteriorly and inferiorly. In particular, at the Me' and Pg', the inferior movement of the soft tissue is greater than the posterior movement. Also, the predictable results (measured slope angle) after operation can be achieved by the calculated slope angle. Thus, the relationship of soft and hard tissue changes must be considered as the results are predictable.

A Research on stock price prediction based on Deep Learning and Economic Indicators (거시지표와 딥러닝 알고리즘을 이용한 자동화된 주식 매매 연구)

  • Hong, Sunghyuck
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.18 no.11
    • /
    • pp.267-272
    • /
    • 2020
  • Macroeconomics are one of the indicators that are preceded and analyzed when analyzing stocks because it shows the movement of a country's economy as a whole. The overall economic situation at the national level, such as national income, inflation, unemployment, exchange rates, currency, interest rates, and balance of payments, has a great affect on the stock market, and economic indicators are actually correlated with stock prices. It is the main source of data for analysts to watch with interest and to determine buy and sell considering the impact on individual stock prices. Therefore, economic indicators that impact on the stock price are analyzed as leading indicators, and the stock price prediction is predicted through deep learning-based prediction, after that the actual stock price is compared. If you decide to buy or sell stocks by analysis of stock prediction, then stocks can be investments, not gambling. Therefore, this research was conducted to enable automated stock trading by using macro-indicators and deep learning algorithms in artificial intelligence.

A Simple Ensemble Prediction System for Wind Power Forecasting - Evaluation by Typhoon Bolaven Case - (풍력예보를 위한 단순 앙상블예측시스템 - 태풍 볼라벤 사례를 통한 평가 -)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Hyun-Goo;Kang, Yong-Heack;Yun, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Ji-Young;Lee, Jun-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-37
    • /
    • 2016
  • A simple but practical Ensemble Prediction System(EPS) for wind power forecasting was developed and evaluated using the measurement of the offshore meteorological tower, HeMOSU-1(Herald of Meteorological and Oceanographic Special Unite-1) installed at the Southwest Offshore in South Korea. The EPS developed by the Korea Institute of Energy Research is based on a simple ensemble mean of two Numerical Weather Prediction(NWP) models, WRF-NMM and WRF-ARW. In addition, the Kalman Filter is applied for real-time quality improvement of wind ensembles. All forecasts with EPS were analyzed in comparison with the HeMOSU-1 measurements at 97 m above sea level during Typhoon Bolaven episode in August 2012. The results indicate that EPS was in the best agreement with the in-situ measurement regarding (peak) wind speed and cut-out speed incidence. The RMSE of wind speed was 1.44 m/s while the incidence time lag of cut-out wind speed was 0 hour, which means that the EPS properly predicted a development and its movement. The duration of cut-out wind speed period by the EPS was also acceptable. This study is anticipated to provide a useful quantitative guide and information for a large-scale offshore wind farm operation in the decision making of wind turbine control especially during a typhoon episode.

A Study on the Prediction of the Surface Drifter Trajectories in the Korean Strait (대한해협에서 표층 뜰개 이동 예측 연구)

  • Ha, Seung Yun;Yoon, Han-Sam;Kim, Young-Taeg
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.34 no.1
    • /
    • pp.11-18
    • /
    • 2022
  • In order to improve the accuracy of particle tracking prediction techniques near the Korean Strait, this study compared and analyzed a particle tracking model based on a seawater flow numerical model and a machine learning based on a particle tracking model using field observation data. The data used in the study were the surface drifter buoy movement trajectory data observed in the Korea Strait, prediction data by machine learning (linear regression, decision tree) using the tide and wind data from three observation stations (Gageo Island, Geoje Island, Gyoboncho), and prediciton data by numerical models (ROMS, MOHID). The above three data were compared through three error evaluation methods (Correlation Coefficient (CC), Root Mean Square Errors (RMSE), and Normalized Cumulative Lagrangian Separation (NCLS)). As a final result, the decision tree model had the best prediction accuracy in CC and RMSE, and the MOHID model had the best prediction results in NCLS.

Deep Learning Research on Vessel Trajectory Prediction Based on AIS Data with Interpolation Techniques

  • Won-Hee Lee;Seung-Won Yoon;Da-Hyun Jang;Kyu-Chul Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2024
  • The research on predicting the routes of ships, which constitute the majority of maritime transportation, can detect potential hazards at sea in advance and prevent accidents. Unlike roads, there is no distinct signal system at sea, and traffic management is challenging, making ship route prediction essential for maritime safety. However, the time intervals of the ship route datasets are irregular due to communication disruptions. This study presents a method to adjust the time intervals of data using appropriate interpolation techniques for ship route prediction. Additionally, a deep learning model for predicting ship routes has been developed. This model is an LSTM model that predicts the future GPS coordinates of ships by understanding their movement patterns through real-time route information contained in AIS data. This paper presents a data preprocessing method using linear interpolation and a suitable deep learning model for ship route prediction. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method with an MSE of 0.0131 and an Accuracy of 0.9467.

Crack Propagation in Earth Embankment Subjected to Fault Movement (단층 운동시 댐 파괴 거동 해석)

  • 손익준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 1988.06c
    • /
    • pp.3-67
    • /
    • 1988
  • Model studies on the response of homgeneous earth embankment dams subjected to strike-slip fault movement have been penomed via centrifuge and finite element analysis. The centrifuge model tests have shown that crack development in earth embankment experiences two major patters: shear failure deep inside the embankment and tension failure near the surface. The shear rupture zone develops from the base level and propagates upward continuously in the transverse direction but allows no open leakage chnnel. The open tensile cracks develop near the surface of the embankment, but they disappear deep in the embankment. The functional relationship has been developed based on the results of the centrifuge model tests incorporating tile variables of amount of fault movement, embankment geometry, and crack propagation extent in earth des. This set of information can be used as a guide line to evaluate a "transient" safety of the duaged embankment subjected to strike-slip fault movement. The finite element analysis has supplemented the additional expluations on crack development behavior identified from the results of the centrifuge model tests. The bounding surface time-independent plasticity soil model was employed in the numerical analysis. Due to the assumption of continuum in the current version of the 3-D FEM code, the prediction of the soil structure response beyond the failure condition was not quantitatively accurate. However, the fundamental mechanism of crack development was qualitatively evaluated based on the stress analysis for the deformed soil elements of the damaged earth embankment. The tensile failure zone is identified when the minor principal stress of the deformed soil elements less than zero. The shear failure zone is identified when the stress state of the deformed soil elements is at the point where the critical state line intersects the bounding surface.g surface.

  • PDF

Incipient motion criteria of uniform gravel bed under falling spheres in open channel flow

  • Khe, Sok An;Park, Sang Deog;Jeon, Woo Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.149-149
    • /
    • 2018
  • Prediction on initial motion of sediment is crucial to evaluate sediment transport and channel stability. The condition of incipient movement of sediment is characterized by bed shear stress, which is generated from force of moving water against the bed of the channel, and by critical shear stress, which depends on force resisting motion of sediment due to the submerged weight of the grains. When the bed shear stress exceeds the critical shear stress, sediment particles begin rolling and sliding at isolated and random locations. In Mountain River, debris flow frequently occurs due to heavy rainfall and can lead some natural stones from mountain slope into the bed river. This phenomenon could add additional forces to sediment transport system in the bed of river and also affect or change direction and magnitude of sediment movement. In this paper, evaluations on incipient motion of uniform coarse gravel under falling spheres impacts using small scale flume channel were conducted. The drag force of falling spheres due to water flow and length movement of falling spheres were investigated. The experiments were carried out in flume channel made by glass wall and steel floor with 12 m long, 0.6 m wide, and 0.6 m deep. The bed slopes were selected with the range from 0.7% to 1.5%. The thickness of granular layer was at least 3 times of diameter of granular particle to meet grain placement condition. The sphere diameters were chosen to be 4cm, 6 cm, 8 cm, 10 cm. The spheres were fallen in to the bed channel for critical condition and under critical condition of motion particle. Based on the experimental results, the Shields curve of particles Reynold number and dimensionless critical shear stress were plotted. The relationship between with drag force and the length movement of spheres were plotted. The pathways of the bed material Under the impact of spheres falling were analyzed.

  • PDF

Adaptive Packet Transmission Interval for Massively Multiplayer Online First-Person Shooter Games

  • Seungmuk, Oh;Yoonsik, Shim
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.39-46
    • /
    • 2023
  • We present an efficient packet transmission strategy for massively multiplayer online first-person shooter (MMOFPS) games using movement-adaptive packet transmission interval. The player motion in FPS games shows a wide spectrum of movement variability both in speed and orientation, where there is room for reducing the number of packets to be transmitted to the server depending on the predictability of the character's movement. In this work, the degree of variability (nonlinearity) of the player movements is measured at every packet transmission to calculate the next transmission time, which implements the adaptive transmission frequency according to the amount of movement change. Server-side prediction with a few auxiliary heuristics is performed in concert with the incoming packets to ensure reliability for synchronizing the connected clients. The comparison of our method with the previous fixed-interval transmission scheme is presented by demonstrating them using a test game environment.