• 한국수산과학회지
• /
• 제48권4호
• /
• pp.489-497
• /
• 2015

To reveal the spatial and temporal variability in the distribution, growth, and maturation of skipjack tuna Katsuwonus pelamis in the western tropical Pacific, we compared two El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signals and the sea surface temperature (SST) in the main fishing area with fishery and biological data. An index of skipjack tuna distribution was calculated using Korean purse seine fishery data from 1985 to 2003. Biological data for skipjack tuna were collected monthly from Korean catches during the 1994-2003 period. The catch was more closely related to the SST in the main fishing area than to the ENSO signals. However, cross-correlated function analysis showed delayed interactions between abiotic and biotic factors. The El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ events preceded the eastward movement of the fishing center by 2-3 months. El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ had a positive effect on the skipjack tuna catch, and the change in the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) preceded the catch fluctuation by ca. 5-7 months. In addition, negative El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ effects on gonad maturation and the mean length of skipjack tuna were detected with time lags of 12 and 7 months, respectively. The length frequency indicated that the regime-specific growth pattern at each discrete period seemed to be related to the ENSO.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
• /
• 제40권1호
• /
• pp.65-78
• /
• 2017

Even though cars have a good effect on modern society, traffic accidents do not. There are traffic laws that define the regulations and aim to reduce accidents from happening; nevertheless, it is hard to determine all accident causes such as road and traffic conditions, and human related factors. If a traffic accident occurs, the traffic law classifies it as 'Negligence of Safe Driving' for cases that are not defined by specific regulations. Meanwhile, as Korea is already growing rapidly elderly population with more than 65 years, so are the number of traffic accidents caused by this group. Therefore, we studied predictive and comparative analysis of the number of traffic accidents caused by 'Negligence of Safe Driving' by dividing it into two groups : All-ages and Elderly. In this paper, we used empirical monthly data from 2007 to 2015 collected by TAAS (Traffic Accident Analysis System), identified the most suitable ARIMA forecasting model by using the four steps of the Box-Jenkins method : Identification, Estimation, Diagnostics, Forecasting. The results of this study indicate that ARIMA $(1, 1, 0)(0, 1, 1)_{12}$ is the most suitable forecasting model in the group of All-ages; and ARIMA $(0, 1, 1)(0, 1, 1)_{12}$ is the most suitable in the group of Elderly. Then, with this fitted model, we forecasted the number of traffic accidents for 2 years of both groups. There is no large fluctuation in the group of All-ages, but the group of Elderly shows a gradual increase trend. Finally, we compared two groups in terms of the forecast, suggested a countermeasure plan to reduce traffic accidents for both groups.

• 생태와환경
• /
• 제37권4호통권109호
• /
• pp.406-410
• /
• 2004

2000년 두 댐 저수지와 유입 하천에서 월별 alkaline phosphatase activity (APA)을 측정하였다. 또한 2001년 여름 동안은 한 댐 저수지에서 APA의 수직변화와 관련된 요인들을 조사하였다. APA는 여름 동안 저수지 표층에서 상대적으로 높게 나타났으나 심층에서는 거의 변화가 없었다. 그러나 바닥층 바로 윗부분에서는 APA의 미미한 증가 관찰되었다. APA변화와 용존무기인 농도 변화와는 상관관계가 없었으며, 이 결과 조사 대상 저수지에서 APA는 인 이용성의 상태를 의미하지는 않는 것으로 추정되었다. 시료의 size-fractionation 분석 결과, 조사 대상 저수지들에서 APA는 $0.4{\mu}m$보다 큰 입자들에 흡착된 반면, 유입 하천에서는 용존형태로 존재하는 것으로 판단되었다. 저수지 유광층에서 엽록소-a의 농도와 APA간에 유의한 양의 상관성이 나타났다. 무광층에서 APA는 세균의 colony count와 양의 상관성을 나타냈으나 총 세균수와는 상관성이 없었다.

• 환경생물
• /
• 제22권1호
• /
• pp.35-42
• /
• 2004

목포 유달산에서의 나비 종 구성과 개체군 변동을 알아보기 위하여 2001년 5월부터 2002년 4월까지 1년 동안 유달산을 4개의 지점으로 나누어 나비를 채집하였다. 그 결과 40종의 나비종이 분포하고 있는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 각 지점별 나비 개체군 변동을 관찰한 결과 고. E 가 낮을수록 종 수와 개체군 수가 증가함을 볼 수 있었다. 조사기간 동안 월별 종 수 변동은 M-자형을 나타내는 반면 월별 개체수 변동은 8월에 가장 높은 피크를 보이는 곡선을 나타내었다. 종 수와 개체수 변동을 효과적으로 나타내는 풍부도 지수와 균등도 지수를 사용하여 조사지점 및 월별 변화를 살펴본 결과 두 지수는 서로 독립적이면서 약한 부정적인 상관관계를 나타내었다. 즉 풍부도 지수가 높은 경우 균등도 지수는 낮은 값을 나타내었다. 본 연구는 장기간의 나비 종의 개체수 및 종 수의 변동을 조사하기 위한 기초조사로써, 앞으로 이 지역에서 장기간의 나비 개체군 변동을 연구한다면 현재 지구적으로 문제가 되는 온난화 현상을 감지하거나, 유달산지역에서 나비 개체군을 위한 효과적인 서식지 관리 방법도 찾을 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

• 한국해양학회지
• /
• 제24권1호
• /
• pp.1-14
• /
• 1989

본 연구는 해수의 장주기 수온 변동에 관하여 확률, 스펙트럼, 경험 직교 함수 및 코히런시의 통계 기법을 사용하여 연간 변동주기를 분석하였다. 본 연구에 사용된 자료는 1971-1985의 동해 남부해역의 수온, 염분과 1960-1986의 부산과 일본 이즈하라의 평균해면 및 1960-1986의 부산의 해면 대기압의 시계열 자료이다. 15년 평년상에 비해 1 표준편차 밖의 비정상적 수온의 출현 확률은 전 자료의 약 30%이다. 수온, 염분, 평균해면 변동에 있어서 유의한 연간 주기는 36.6과 23.3개월이다. 경험직교 함수분석에 의하면 표층수온변화에 있어서는 제 1 모드가 전체 분산의 90% 이상을 점하고 저층에 있어선 그 밖의 모드가 전체 분산의 30% 이상을 차지하여 상대적으로 더 중요하다. 수온변화와 타 변량간의 코히런시 분석에서도 36.6과 21.3개월의 연간 주기가 유의하다.

• 수산해양기술연구
• /
• 제35권2호
• /
• pp.178-195
• /
• 1999

낙동강 하구 주변 해역에서 1987년 2월부터 1988년 1월까지 1년 동안 매월 소형 기선저인망(otter trawl)을 이용하여 어류의 종조성 및 계절변동을 조사하였다. 조사기간 동안 100개 어종에 속하는 23,008마리의 어류가 채집되었다. 가장 많이 채집된 어종은 실양태(Repomucenus valenciennei), 흰베도라치(Pholis fangi), 주둥치(Leiognathus nuchalis), 전갱이(Trachurus japonicus), 밴댕이 (Sardinella zunasi)였는데, 이들 5어종은 총 개체수의 63.0%와 생체량의 47.8%를 차지하였다. 계절별 우점종을 보면, 봄에는 흰베도라치와 실양태, 여름에는 실양태와 참서대(Cynoglossus joyneri), 가을에는 열동가리돔(Apogon lineatus)과 청멸(Thryssa kammalensis), 그리고 겨울에는 설양태, 주둥치, 밴댕이 등이 우점종으로 나타났다.어종수, 채집 개체수 및 종다양도지수는 뚜렷한 계절 변동을 보였다. 또한 어종 수 및 채집 개체수는 정점에 따라 차이를 보였는데, 낙동강 하구쪽으로 갈수록 어종수 및 채집 개체수가 감소하였다. 수온은 어류 종조성의 계절변동에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 요인이었으며, 염분은 어류의 공간 분포에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다.

• 수산해양기술연구
• /
• 제46권4호
• /
• pp.430-440
• /
• 2010

To investigate the catches of jack mackerel fishery, a series of fishing experiments was conducted in the high seas of the southeastern Pacific Ocean ($30^{\circ}S-38^{\circ}S,\;82^{\circ}W-95^{\circ}W$) during the period of 9 August to 18 December, 2003 by commercial fishing vessel and research vessel. The number of 205 tows fishing was carried out in the southeastern Pacific Ocean. The total catch was 1,988 ton and CPUE was 2.4 ton/hour. CPUE showed high values in the frontal zone during the survey. Main target species caught from the experimental fishing were the jack mackerel, Trachurus murphyi (98.1%) and chub mackerel, Scomber japonicus (1.9%) as bycatch. Body length of the jack mackerel was different between female and male. The high mean catch per unit effort of jack mackerel was showed when the fishing ground of jack mackerel fishery was over the $110^{\circ}W$ in the southeastern Pacific Ocean. But the fluctuation of the catch per unit effort in the western part of fishing ground was not matched with those year. Reliable physical and oceanographical information will be useful for the efficiency of fishing activity. According to the result of monthly movement of center of fishing ground, the fishing activity of jack mackerel fishery was performed northward in the southeastern Pacific Ocean as time passes.

• 한국기후변화학회지
• /
• 제9권1호
• /
• pp.47-58
• /
• 2018

In this study, we evaluated the uncertainty in the process of selecting GCM and downscaling method for assessing the impact of climate change, and influence of user-centered climate change information on reproducibility of Chungju Dam inflow was analyzed. First, we selected the top 16 GCMs through the evaluation of spatio-temporal reproducibility of 29 raw GCMs using 30-year average of 10-day precipitation without any bias-correction. The climate extreme indices including annual total precipitation and annual maximum 1-day precipitation were selected as the relevant indices to the dam inflow. The Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) downscaling method was selected through the evaluation of reproducibility of selected indices and spatial correlation among weather stations. SWAT simulation results for the past 30 years period by considering limitations in weather input showed the satisfactory results with monthly model efficiency of 0.92. The error in average dam inflow according to selection of GCMs and downscaling method showed the bests result when 16 GCMs selected raw GCM analysi were used. It was found that selection of downscaling method rather than selection of GCM is more is important in overall uncertainties. The average inflow for the future period increased in all RCP scenarios as time goes on from near-future to far-future periods. Also, it was predicted that the inflow volume will be higher in the RCP 8.5 scenario than in the RCP 4.5 scenario in all future periods. Maximum daily inflow, which is important for flood control, showed a high changing rate more than twice as much as the average inflow amount. It is also important to understand the seasonal fluctuation of the inflow for the dam management purpose. Both average inflow and maximum inflow showed a tendency to increase mainly in July and August during near-future period while average and maximum inflows increased through the whole period of months in both mid-future and far-future periods.

• Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology & Nutrition
• /
• 제24권2호
• /
• pp.207-217
• /
• 2021

Purpose: This study aimed to investigate the seasonal changes in vitamin D levels in a healthy pediatric population living in mid-latitude East Asian urban areas. Methods: A pediatric population was selected from single secondary hospital visitors. Clinical data and serum vitamin D levels were collected retrospectively. Statistical analyses were performed based on the month of the blood sampling date, subject age, and vitamin D supplementation history. The data were categorized into three subgroups based on serum vitamin D levels-adequate (≥30 ng/mL), insufficient (20-29 ng/mL), and deficient (<20 ng/mL). Results: Of the 481 patients, 172 had vitamin D supplementation history. More than 70% of the total study population had inadequate vitamin D levels (<30 ng/mL). The non-supplemented group and the supplemented group showed significantly uneven monthly distribution of the adequate, insufficient, and deficient subgroups. Only the non-supplemented group showed significantly different average vitamin D levels in the summer months compared to the winter months. In the non-supplemented group, vitamin D levels were the lowest in March, the highest in August and September. Significant relevance was noted between vitamin D supplementation status and vitamin D serum level in February and March. There was no significant difference between different age groups in terms of the distribution of vitamin D levels. Conclusion: Currently-widespread vitamin D replacement methods seem to have some effect on increasing the overall serum vitamin D levels, specifically during late winter when natural serum vitamin D levels plunge. However, they are unable to fully compensate the seasonal fluctuation.

• 한국수산과학회지
• /
• 제54권2호
• /
• pp.180-187
• /
• 2021

This study was conducted to investigate the reproductive characteristics of the Neon damselfish Pomacentrus coelestis in Chuuk lagoon (7°27' N, 151°53' E), Micronesia, Equatorial Pacific Ocean. The specimens used in this study were collected from August 2009 to September 2010 from around the coral reef area at a depth of 3-10 m in the northwest coast of Weno Island. Overall, 228 individuals were collected over 14 months from this area, of which 115 were females and 108 were males. Among 108 males, 30 were found to be hermaphrodites and the sex of 5 individuals could not be determined. The overall sex ratio was approximately 1.06:1 (female:male), and the ratio of sexually active individuals was 0.79:1. The gonadosomatic index (GSI) fluctuated and showed the highest value of 8.43±1.21 in December 2009 and the lowest value of 3.36±0.71 in September 2009 in sexually active females. Males showed the highest GSI value of 2.64±0.93 in June 2010 and the lowest value of 0.35±0.06 in July 2010. Based on the fluctuation of GSI, the trends in the appearance of monthly sexually active individuals, and biopsy of the gonads, P. coelestis was found to be a hermaphrodite species of protogynous type and is considered to be reproductively active throughout the year.