• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.271-279
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• 2018

Purpose: Probabilistic safety analysis was performed to enhance the safety and reliability of nuclear power plants because traditional deterministic approach has limitations in predicting the risk of failure by crack growth. The study introduces a probabilistic approach to establish a basis for probabilistic safety assessment of passive components. Methods: For probabilistic modeling of fatigue crack growth rate (FCGR), various FCGR tests were performed either under constant load amplitude or constant ${\Delta}K$ conditions by using heat treated X-750 at low temperature with adequate cathodic polarization. Bayesian inference was employed to update uncertainties of the FCGR model using additional information obtained from constant ${\Delta}K$ tests. Results: Four steps of Bayesian parameter updating were performed using constant ${\Delta}K$ test results. The standard deviation of the final posterior distribution was decreased by a factor of 10 comparing with that of the prior distribution. Conclusion: The method for developing a probabilistic crack growth model has been designed and demonstrated, in the paper. Alloy X-750 has been used for corrosion fatigue crack growth experiments and modeling. The uncertainties of parameters in the FCGR model were successfully reduced using the Bayesian inference whenever the updating was performed.

• 대한수의학회지
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• 제45권2호
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• pp.223-231
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• 2005

A quantitative risk assessment tool was used to provide estimates of the probability that foot-and-mouth (FMD) virus-contaminated, smuggled animal products are fed to susceptible swine in Korea. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to attempt to distinguish between parameter uncertainty and variability, using different assumptions on the effect of cooking at home, the effect of the fresh meat, and the effect of heat treatment at garbage processing facility. The median risk estimate was about 20.1% with a mean value of 27.4%. In a scenario regarding all beef and pork were considered as fresh meat the estimated median risk was 3.4%. The risk was greatly dependent on the survival parameters of the FMD virus during the cooking or heat treatment at garbage processing facility. Uncertainty about the proportion of garbage that is likely contaminated with FMD had a major positive influence on the risk, whereas conversion rate representing the size of a load had a major negative effect. This model was very useful in assessing the risk explored. However, the model also requires enhancements, such as the availability of more accurate data to verify the various assumptions considered such as FMD prevalence in a specific country, proportion of garbage which is recycled as feed, proportion of food discarded as garbage. Other factors including the effect of selection of animals for slaughter, ante- and post-mortem inspection, the domestic distribution of the smuggled products, and susceptible animals other than pigs, are need to be taken into account in the future model development.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.110-124
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• 1993

적응 비례-적분-추정 (PIF) gain 및 가변구조 제어기를 사용하는 비선형 모델에 의한 하이브리드 제어방법 (NHC)이 개발되었다. 이 제어기는 모델의 불확실성에 대해 robust한 성질을 가지며 단일 입-출력 비선형 시스템의 추적제어 (tracking control)에 응용된다. 이 방법의 특징은 제어기가 각각 특정 역할을 수행하는 4개 부분으로 구성되는 것이다. 즉, 적응 P-I-F 및 가변구조 제어기로 구성된다. Lyapunov의 제 2방법으로 결정된 적응 PIF gain에 의한 제어성능 확보 및 모델의 불확실도를 평가하여 피이드백 함으로써 모델의 불확실성에 대해 robust한 제어기를 구성하였다. 가변구조 제어기는 PIF gain이 적절히 결정되지 않은 상태인 초기의 오차증가를 제어하기 위해 도입되었다. 새로 개발된 NHC방법을 원자로의 출력변동 제어에 응용한 결과 기존의 모델을 이용한 제어방법 (model-based controller)들에 비해 제어성능이 크게 개선되었다.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.97-109
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• 2020

On March 11, 2011, an earthquake followed by a tsunami caused an extended station blackout (SBO) at the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP Units. The accident was initiated by a total loss of both onsite and offsite electrical power resulting in the loss of the ultimate heat sink for several days, and a consequent core melt in some units where proper mitigation strategies could not be implemented in a timely fashion. To enhance the plant's coping capability, the Diverse and Flexible Strategies (FLEX) were proposed to append the Emergency Operation Procedures (EOPs) by relying on portable equipment as an additional line of defense. To assess the success window of FLEX strategies, all sources of uncertainties need to be considered, using a physics-based model or system code. This necessitates conducting a large number of simulations to reflect all potential variations in initial, boundary, and design conditions as well as thermophysical properties, empirical models, and scenario uncertainties. Alternatively, data-driven models may provide a fast tool to predict the success window of FLEX strategies given the underlying uncertainties. This paper explores the applicability of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to identify the success window of FLEX strategy for extended SBO. The developed model can be trained and validated using data produced by the lumped parameter thermal-hydraulic code, MARS-KS, as best estimate system code loosely coupled with Dakota for uncertainty quantification. A Systems Engineering (SE) approach is used to plan and manage the process of using AI to predict the success window of FLEX strategies under extended SBO conditions.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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• pp.2087-2092
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• 2005

Using disturbance observer (DOB) is effective in enhancing the performance of dynamic system in the presence of disturbances. Recently the definition of disturbance has been expanded to modeling uncertainty including parameter variation, internal disturbance. Various structures of DOB have been proposed to improve sensitivity of system for better disturbance rejection performance. However in the case of improvement of sensitivity function, it tends to bring poor transient response due to cross-coupling and phase lag. Furthermore it could be very sensitive to measurement noise due to increased peak of complementary sensitivity function. In this paper, a dual disturbance observer (Dual-DOB) is proposed to reduce the effect of such cross-coupling. It is possible for us to improve the sensitivity function with additional external DOB with hardly affecting complementary sensitivity function. Thus it is able to have robustness against measurement noise. Since we are able to design DOBs of internal and external loop independently, we could prevent transient response quality from degrading while improving the sensitivity function. The proposed Dual-DOB is applied to a commercial optical disk drive tracking servo system. The experimental result shows that the Dual-DOB is an effective method in rejecting the disturbance as well as improving the tracking performance.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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• pp.649-652
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• 1999

In this paper, the design method of target tracking systems using the extended $H^{\infty}$ filter(EHF) is proposed. Usually, a Cartesian coordinate frame is tell suited to describe the target dynamics. However, the measurements made in radar-centered polar coordinates are expressed as nonlinear equations in Cartesian coordinates. Thus the tacking problem is concerned with the nonlinear estimation. The extended $H^{\infty}$ filter is able to deal with the problems arising in the target tacking systems such as the parameter uncertainty included inevitably in modeling physical systems mathematically, the unavailableness of the stochastic information about exogenous disturbances, and errors due to the linearization of measurement equations. We show the proposed filter is robuster than the extended Kalman filter(EKF) through a simple target tracking example.

• 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국해양공학회 2006년 창립20주년기념 정기학술대회 및 국제워크샵
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• pp.351-354
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• 2006

In underwater environment, the control of AUV is difficult, because of the existence of parameter uncertainties and disturbances as well as highly nonlinear and coupled system dynamics. The requirement for the simple and robust controller which works satisfactorily in those dynamical uncertainties, call for a design using the PD or sliding mode controller. The PD controller is very popular controller in the industrial field and the sliding mode controller has been used successfully for the AUV controller design. In this paper, the two controllers arc designed for ISiMI(Integrated Submergible Intelligent Mission Implementation) AUV and the performances are compared by numerical simulation under the modeling uncertainty and disturbances. The design process of PD and sliding mode controller for ISiMI AUV and simulation results are included to compare the performances of the two controllers.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.1586-1595
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• 2018

For the problem that the complexity of 3-D modeling and multi parameter optimization, as well as the uncertainty of the winding factor of axial flux permanent magnet generator with coreless windings. The complex 3-D model was simplified into 2-D analytic model, and an analytical formula for the winding factor that adapting different coreless stator winding is proposed in this paper. The analytical solution for air-gap magnetic fields, no-load back EMF, electromagnetic torque, and efficiency are calculated by using this method. The multiple objective and multivariable optimization of the maximum fundamental and the minimum harmonic content of back EMF are performed by using response surface methodology. The proposed optimum design method was applied to make a generator. The generator was tested and the calculated results are compared with the proposed method, which show good agreements.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제48권3호
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• pp.629-642
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• 2021

Land-use change has an important role in the hydrologic characteristics of watersheds because it alters various hydrologic components such as interception, infiltration, and evapotranspiration. For example, rapid urbanization in a watershed reduces infiltration rates and increases peak flow which lead to changes in the hydrologic responses. In this study, a physical hydrologic model the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) was used to assess long-term continuous daily streamflow corresponding to land-use changes that occurred in the Naesungchun river watershed. For a 30-year model simulation, 3 different land-use maps of the 1990s, 2000s, and 2010s were used to identify the impacts of the land-use changes. Using SWAT-CUP (calibration and uncertainty program), an automated parameter calibration tool, 23 parameters were selected, optimized and compared with the daily streamflow data observed at the upstream, midstream and downstream locations of the watershed. The statistical indexes used for the model calibration and validation show that the model performance is improved at the downstream location of the Naesungchun river. The simulated streamflow in the mainstream considering land-use change increases up to -2 - 30 cm compared with the results simulated with the single land-use map. However, the difference was not significant in the tributaries with or without the impact of land-use change.

• 전자공학회논문지SC
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• 제45권3호
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• pp.32-41
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• 2008

본 논문에서는 blu-ray 디스크 드라이버의 트랙킹 서보시스템에 대하여 플랜트와 제어기의 불확실성을 보상하는 견실비약성 $H^{\infty}$ 상태궤환 제어기 설계방법을 제안한다. 플랜트와 제어기의 불확실성을 매개변수화 선형행렬부등식(PLMI: parameterized linear matrix inequality)을 이용하여 구조화된 불확실성의 형태로 표현하며, Lyapunov 함수를 이용하여 구조적인 제어기의 이득섭동을 고려한 견실비약성 $H^{\infty}$ 상태궤환 제어기가 존재할 충분조건 및 제어기 설계방법을 PLMI의 형태로 제안한다. 또한, 완화기법(relaxation technique)을 통하여 PLMI를 유한개의 LMI의 형태로 변환하여 견실하고 최적화된 제어기 이득과 제어기 섭동 범위를 계산하고, 모의실험을 통해서 제시된 제어기의 타당성 및 견실성(robustness)과 비약성(non-fragility)을 검증한다.