• Title/Summary/Keyword: model-based estimation

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Model- Data Based Small Area Estimation

  • Shin, Key-Il;Lee, Sang Eun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.637-645
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    • 2003
  • Small area estimation had been studied using data-based methods such as Direct, Indirect, Synthetic methods. However recently, model-based such as based on regression or time series estimation methods are applied to the study. In this paper we investigate a model-data based small area estimation which takes into account the spatial relation among the areas. The Economic Active Population Survey in 2001 are used for analysis and the results from the model based and model-data based estimation are compared with using MSE(Mean squared error), MAE(Mean absolute error) and MB(Mean bias).

Measurement-based Estimation of the Composite Load Model Parameters

  • Kim, Byoung-Ho;Kim, Hong-Rae
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.845-851
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    • 2012
  • Power system loads have a significant impact on a system. Although it is difficult to precisely describe loads in a mathematical model, accurately modeling them is important for a system analysis. The traditional load modeling method is based on the load components of a bus. Recently, the load modeling method based on measurements from a system has been introduced and developed by researchers. The two major components of a load modeling problem are determining the mathematical model for the target system and estimating the parameters of the determined model. We use the composite load model, which has both static and dynamic load characteristics. The ZIP model and the induction motor model are used for the static and dynamic load models, respectively. In this work, we propose the measurement-based parameter estimation method for the composite load model. The test system and related measurements are obtained using transient security assessment tool(TSAT) simulation program and PSS/E. The parameter estimation is then verified using these measurements. Cases are tested and verified using the sample system and its related measurements.

Software Development Effort Estimation Using Neural Network Model (신경망 시스템 기반의 소프트웨어 개발노력 추정모델 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Baek, Seung-Ik;Kim, Byung-Gwan
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2006
  • As software becomes more complex and its scope dramatically increases, the importance of research on developing methods for estimating software development efforts has been increased. Such accurate estimation has a prominent impact on the development projects. To develop accurate effort estimation models, many studies have been conducted among the academia and the practitioners. Out of the numerous methods, Constructive Cost Model (COCOMO) based on Line of Code (LOC), Regression Model based on Function Point (FP) were the most popular models in the past. As today's development environments are dynamically changing, these traditional methods do not work anymore. There is an impending need to develop an accurate estimation model which accommodates itself to the new environments. As a possible solution, this research proposes and evaluates an software development estimation model based on function points and neural networks.

A study on the rigid bOdy placement task of robot system based on the computer vision system (컴퓨터 비젼시스템을 이용한 로봇시스템의 강체 배치 실험에 대한 연구)

  • 장완식;유창규;신광수;김호윤
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.1114-1119
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    • 1995
  • This paper presents the development of estimation model and control method based on the new computer vision. This proposed control method is accomplished using a sequential estimation scheme that permits placement of the rigid body in each of the two-dimensional image planes of monitoring cameras. Estimation model with six parameters is developed based on a model that generalizes known 4-axis scara robot kinematics to accommodate unknown relative camera position and orientation, etc. Based on the estimated parameters,depending on each camers the joint angle of robot is estimated by the iteration method. The method is tested experimentally in two ways, the estimation model test and a three-dimensional rigid body placement task. Three results show that control scheme used is precise and robust. This feature can open the door to a range of application of multi-axis robot such as assembly and welding.

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A Study on Rigid body Placement Task of based on Robot Vision System (로봇 비젼시스템을 이용한 강체 배치 실험에 대한 연구)

  • 장완식;신광수;안철봉
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.100-107
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the development of estimation model and control method based on the new robot vision. This proposed control method is accomplished using the sequential estimation scheme that permits placement of the rigid body in each of the two-dimensional image planes of monitoring cameras. Estimation model with six parameters is developed based on the model that generalizes known 4-axis scara robot kinematics to accommodate unknown relative camera position and orientation, etc. Based on the estimated parameters, depending on each camera the joint angle of robot is estimated by the iteration method. The method is experimentally tested in two ways, the estimation model test and a three-dimensional rigid body placement task. Three results show that control scheme used is precise and robust. This feature can open the door to a range of application of multi-axis robot such as assembly and welding.

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Estimation Model of Wind speed Based on Time series Analysis (시계열 자료 분석기법에 의한 풍속 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Keon-Hoon;Jung, Young-Seok;Ju, Young-Chul
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.288-293
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    • 2008
  • A predictive model of wind speed in the wind farm has very important meanings. This paper presents an estimation model of wind speed based on time series analysis using the observed wind data at Hangyeong Wind Farm in Jeju island, and verification of the predictive model. In case of Hangyeong Wind Farm and Haengwon Wind Farm, The ARIMA(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) predictive model was appropriate, and the wind speed estimation model was developed by means of parametric estimation using Maximum likelihood Estimation.

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Exact External Torque Sensing System for Flexible-Joint Robot: Kalman Filter Estimation with Random-Walk Model (유연관절로봇을 위한 정확한 외부토크 측정시스템 개발: 랜덤워크모델을 이용한 칼만필터 기반 추정)

  • Park, Young-Jin;Chung, Wan-Kyun
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, an external torque estimation problem in one-degree-of-freedom (1-DOF) flexible-joint robot equipped with a joint-torque sensor is revisited. Since a sensor torque from the joint-torque sensor is distorted by two dynamics having a spring connection, i.e., motor dynamics and link dynamics of a flexible-joint robot, a model-based estimation, rather than a simple linear spring model, should be required to extract external torques accurately. In this paper, an external torque estimation algorithm for a 1-DOF flexible-joint robot is proposed. This algorithm estimates both an actuating motor torque from the motor dynamics and an external link torque from the link dynamics simultaneously by utilizing the flexible-joint robot model and the Kalman filter estimation based on random-walk model. The basic structure of the proposed algorithm is explained, and the performance is investigated through a custom-designed experimental testbed for a vertical situation under gravity.

Identification of ARMAX Model and Linear Estimation Algorithm for Structural Dynamic Characteristics Analysis (구조동특성해석을 위한 ARMAX 모형의 식별과 선형추정 알고리즘)

  • Choe, Eui-Jung;Lee, Sang-Jo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.178-187
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    • 1999
  • In order to identify a transfer function model with noise, penalty function method has been widely used. In this method, estimation process for possible model parameters from low to higher order proceeds the model identification process. In this study, based on linear estimation method, a new approach unifying the estimation and the identification of ARMAX model is proposed. For the parameter estimation of a transfer function model with noise, linear estimation method by noise separation is suggested instead of nonlinear estimation method. The feasibility of the proposed model identification and estimation method is verified through simulations, namely by applying the method to time series model. In the case of time series model with noise, the proposed method successfully identifies the transfer function model with noise without going through model parameter identification process in advance. A new algorithm effectively achieving model identification and parameter estimation in unified frame has been proposed. This approach is different from the conventional method used for identification of ARMAX model which needs separate parameter estimation and model identification processes. The consistency and the accuracy of the proposed method has been verified through simulations.

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Damage Detection for Bridges Considering Modeling Errors (모델링 오차를 고려한 교량의 손상추정)

  • 윤정방;이종재;이종원;정희영
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2002.04a
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    • pp.300-307
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    • 2002
  • Damage estimation methods are classified into two groups according to the dependence on the FE model : signal-based and model-based methods. Signal-based damage estimation methods are generally appropriate for detection of damage location, whereas not effective for estimation of damage severities. Model-based damage estimation methods are difficult to apply directly to the structures with a large number of the probable damaged members. It is difficult to obtain the exact model representing the real bridge behavior due to the modeling errors. The modeling errors even may exceed the modal sensitivity on damage. In this study, Model-based damage detection method which can effectively consider the modeling errors is suggested. Two numerical example analyses on a simple beam and a multi-girder bridge are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the presented method.

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State-of-charge Estimation for Lithium-ion Batteries Using a Multi-state Closed-loop Observer

  • Zhao, Yulan;Yun, Haitao;Liu, Shude;Jiao, Huirong;Wang, Chengzhen
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.1038-1046
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    • 2014
  • Lithium-ion batteries are widely used in hybrid and pure electric vehicles. State-of-charge (SOC) estimation is a fundamental issue in vehicle power train control and battery management systems. This study proposes a novel model-based SOC estimation method that applies closed-loop state observer theory and a comprehensive battery model. The state-space model of lithium-ion battery is developed based on a three-order resistor-capacitor equivalent circuit model. The least square algorithm is used to identify model parameters. A multi-state closed-loop state observer is designed to predict the open-circuit voltage (OCV) of a battery based on the battery state-space model. Battery SOC can then be estimated based on the corresponding relationship between battery OCV and SOC. Finally, practical driving tests that use two types of typical driving cycle are performed to verify the proposed SOC estimation method. Test results prove that the proposed estimation method is reasonably accurate and exhibits accuracy in estimating SOC within 2% under different driving cycles.