• Title/Summary/Keyword: model of road project

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A Markov-based prediction model of tunnel geology, construction time, and construction costs

  • Mahmoodzadeh, Arsalan;Mohammadi, Mokhtar;Ali, Hunar Farid Hama;Salim, Sirwan Ghafoor;Abdulhamid, Sazan Nariman;Ibrahim, Hawkar Hashim;Rashidi, Shima
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.421-435
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    • 2022
  • The necessity of estimating the time and cost required for tunnel construction has led to extensive research in this regard. Since geological conditions are significant factors in terms of time and cost of road tunnels, considering these conditions is crucial. Uncertainties about the geological conditions of a tunnel alignment cause difficulties in planning ahead of the required construction time and costs. In this paper, the continuous-space, discrete-state Markov process has been used to predict geological conditions. The Monte-Carlo (MC) simulation (MCS) method is employed to estimate the construction time and costs of a road tunnel project using the input data obtained from six tunneling expert questionnaires. In the first case, the input data obtained from each expert are individually considered and in the second case, they are simultaneously considered. Finally, a comparison of these two modes based on the technique presented in this article suggests considering views of several experts simultaneously to reduce uncertainties and ensure the results obtained for geological conditions and the construction time and costs.

An Analysis on Economic Effects of Smart Sewage Pipe (스마트 하수도 구축의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Kim, Sung Tai;Lim, Byung In;Oh, Hyun-Taek;Park, Kyoo-Hong
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.7
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    • pp.78-84
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to introduce the concept of the Smart Sewer System and to analyze the economic ripple effect when smart sewer is built all over Korea. The research method is the input-output model based on the assumption that the smart sewerage will be constructed throughout the Korea from 2021 to 2040. Estimation results show that the production-induced effect reaches 343.73 trillion Korean won, the added value-induced effect is 155.867 trillion Korean won, and the employment-induced effect is estimated by 25,118,470, indicating that the smart sewer project leads to being considerably large in the nation-wide economy. In addition, the increase of social welfare by smart sewer is expected to be realized through the improvement of both the environment improvement and the national health. Therefore, the smart sewer project should be implemented without delay by planning a concrete road map and putting it into effect with a budget.

Optimal Toll Estimate of a Toll Road Using Fuzzy Approximate Reasoning - Forced on the Geoga Bridge - (퍼지근사추론을 이용한 유료도로의 적정요금 산정 - 거가대교를 중심으로 -)

  • Ha Man-Box;Kim Kyung-Whan;Kim Yeong
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.8 no.3 s.29
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 2006
  • For a private toll road project, deciding optimal toll is an important element of economic analysis for the project and a challengeable work. In this study, the optimal toll of a private toll bridge, Geoga Bridge which connects Geoje Island of Gyeongnam Province and Gaduk Island of Busan was estimated using Stated Preference (SP) data. The SP data were collected by interviewing the passenger car drivers travelling on the National Road 14. They are latent users of the bridge. A fuzzy approximate reasoning model to estimate the optimal toll was built using the SP data. For the input variable of the model, the saved travel time and toll level were employed and the diversion rate to the bridge was employed for the output variable. The diversion rates for each toll level and saved travel time were estimated and the toll level which had maximized the toll revenue was decided as optimal toll. The optimal toll was tested by comparing with the average pay rate of passenger car drivers. Since the optimal toll for passenger cars at one hour saving, the 6,250 won is about 50 % of the average pay rate of passenger car divers, the toll was evaluated not to be high. The technique employed in this study may be used for the estimation of the optimal tolls for other kinds of vehicles.

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Multiple criteria decision making method for selecting of sealing element for earth dams considering long and short terms goals

  • Rashidi, Babak;Shirangi, Ehsan;Baymaninezhad, Matin
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2018
  • Nowadays, using math logic in great civil projects is considered by the clients to achieve the goals of project including quality optimization, costs, avoiding individual, emotional and political decision making, long-term and short-term goals and they are the main requirements of each project and should be considered by the decision makers to avoid the illogical decision making applied on the majority of civil projects and this imposes great financial and spiritual costs on our country. The present study attempts to present one of the civil projects (Ghasre Shirin storage dam) whose client was not ministry of energy for the first time and the short-term and long-term goals of the private sector were applied based on the triangle of quality, cost and time. Also, the math logic and model (multi-criteria decision making method and decision making matrix) is used in one of the most important sections of project, sealing element, policies and new materials (Geosynthetics) are considered and this leads to suitable decision making in this regard. It is worth to mention that this method is used for other sections of a dam including body, water diversion system, diaphragm and other sectors or in other civil projects of building, road construction, etc.

Ecological Planning for the Preparation of an Eco-Road on the Pyungtak-Eumsung Highway (평택-음성간 고속도로의 에코로드 조성을 위한 환경생태계획)

  • 강현경;민권식;장종수;한봉호
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.32-42
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    • 2004
  • This study aims at establishing an ecological planning for road construction. which is considered to be a main cause of damage to the natural environment in Korea. This study focuses on the Pyungtak-Eumsung Highway development project. It considers the ecological factors and status of the site and its surrounding area. The study site is a four-way highway with a width of 23.4m and a length of 5.7km that spans from Hyungok-ri, Anseong City, Kyeonggi Province to Jukhyun-ri, Jincheon-gun, Chungbuk Province. The objective of the plan is "the establishment of an eco-road in harmony with nature." The plan is divided into five detailed goals: 1) restoration of river morphology and ecosystem through ecological planning; 2) establishment of wet biotopes; 3) construction of ecological corridors; 4) restoration of damaged forest ecosystems; and 5) ecological restoration of the roadside slopes that are linked with the surrounding forest. A master plan has been developed based on the detailed goals. The master plan involves: 1) establishment of a natural river, wet biotopes, and ecological corridors that facilitate the movement of amphibians, wild fowls, mammalians and fish; 2) development of a planting plan for the visitor center, the tunnel entrance, and soundproof banks; and 3) the presentation of a planting model for restoring roadside slopes that are connected to the surrounding forest. The eco-road plan needs to entail ecological conservation and restoration plans. In addition, a monitoring plan for ecological corridors and habitats should be included in the comprehensive plans, along with the continuous development of environmentally friendly technologies.

Eurasia Initiative and East Sea Rim Maritime Community (유라시아 이니셔티브와 환동해권 전략)

  • Kang, Tae-Ho
    • Strategy21
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    • s.37
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    • pp.144-176
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    • 2015
  • In September 2013, President Park Geun-hye announced her controversial "Look North" policy, of which the most salient aspect is the "Eurasia Initiative". This comprises various proposals designed to overcome existing constraints by developing new markets and creating new economic partners in continental areas from which South Korea has been alienated since the end of World War II, and this dovetails nicely with China's One Belt, One Road Initiative. The concepts of the "Silk Road Rail Express (SRX)" and the "East Sea Rim Maritime Community (ESRMC)" have also been discussed. SRX is at present a purely symbolic railroad project intended to encourage individual, cultural, trade and diplomatic exchanges. ESRMC is a model for establishing an ad hoc community to promote regional economic cooperation around the East Sea. President Park's Eurasia Initiative will provide South Korean investment for the Northeast to complement Russian plans, like the "Northern Energy Road" being built by Gazprom, and Chinese plans, like the Chang-Ji-Tu Development Plan for the North Korean port of Rajin. China's trade, as well as its energy and food supplies, pass through the Strait of Malacca and the Indian Ocean, and are thus vulnerable to interdiction by India or the US. China is therefore trying to reduce its exposure geopolitical risk by establishing a network of corridors between the Belt and the Road to provide alternative paths. The "China-Pakistan Economic Corridor" and the "China-Myanmar Economic Corridor" provide such connections, and South Korea hopes that SRX and ESRMC can become part of a "China-South Korea Economic Corridor". This concept could do much to revitalize the underdeveloped northern provinces of China and Russia's Far East, not to mention North Korea. By linking up the Trans-Siberian Railway, the Trans-China Railway, the Trans-Mongolian Railway and the Trans-Korean Railway all these Asian countries will be connected to one another, and ultimately to Europe. An interim connection between China and South Korea using a rail-ferry has also been proposed.

The Effects Analysis and Model Project on Speed Management in Commerical Area Street (상업지역 생활도로 속도관리 시범운영 및 효과분석)

  • Shim, Kywan-Bho;Heo, Nak-Won
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2011
  • The main purpose of this paper is to apply Zone 30 system which is being experimented in advanced country for the solution of controlling the residential street's speed to our country with the consideration of the real condition of our street and traffic and to run this system as an example to analyze the effect and at the same time, analyze the problem and get appropriate preparation for this system to be widespread. The area to run this model project is Goyang City Ilsan-Gu.($0.65km^2$) which is close with the commercial area reflecting the opinion of experts and an on-site verification by the National Police Agency T/F and is having a heavy pedestrian traffic and the risk of pedestrian accident. Firstly we defined residential street and residential street area to review the system and devided the residential street type to establish a plan of operation. Afterwards, we thoroughly examined the model project area and analyzed the problem and solution. We finally completed establishing a facilities by conference with a local autonomous entity with the improvement of facility's sketch at the analysis of the model project area. The result of effects analysis which we devided after and before of establishment is that vehicle speed be reduced 5~15km/h, and traffic accidents has decreased by 24 percent.

Development of BPR Functions with Truck Traffic Impacts for Network Assignment (노선배정시 트럭 교통량을 고려한 BPR 함수 개발)

  • Yun, Seong-Soon;Yun, Dae-Sic
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.4 s.75
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    • pp.117-134
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    • 2004
  • Truck traffic accounts for a substantial fraction of the traffic stream in many regions and is often the source of localized traffic congestion, potential parking and safety problems. Truck trips tend to be ignored or treated superficially in travel demand models. It reduces the effectiveness and accuracy of travel demand forecasting and may result in misguided transportation policy and project decisions. This paper presents the development of speed-flow relationships with truck impacts based on CORSIM simulation results in order to enhance travel demand model by incorporating truck trips. The traditional BPR(Bureau of Public Road) function representing the speed-flow relationships for roadway facilities is modified to specifically include the impacts of truck traffics. A number of new speed-flow functions have been developed based on CORSIM simulation results for freeways and urban arterials.

Cost Prediction Models in the Early Stage of the Roadway Planning and Designbased on Limited Available Information (가용정보를 활용한 기획 및 설계초기 단계의 도로 공사비 예측모델)

  • Kwak, Soo-Nam;Kim, Du-Yon;Kim, Byoung-Il;Choi, Seok-Jin;Han, Seung-Heon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2009
  • The quality of early cost estimates is critical to the feasibility analysis and budget allocation decisions for public capital projects. Various researches have been attempted to develop cost prediction models in the early stage of a construction project. However, existing studies are limited on its applicability to actual projects because they focus primarily on a specific phase as well as utilize restricted information while the amount of information collectable differs from one another along with the project stages. This research aims to develop two-staged cost estimation model for the schematic planning and preliminary design process of a construction projects, considering the available information of each phase. In the schematic planning stage where outlined information of a project is only available, the Case-Based Reasoning model is used for easy and rapid elicitation of a project cost based on the extensive database of more than 90 actual highway construction projects. Then, the representing quantity-based model is proposed for the preliminary design stage where more information on the quantities and unit costs are collectable based on the alternative routes and cross-sections of a highway project. Real case studies are used to demonstrate and validate the benefits of the proposed approach. Through the two-stage cost estimation system, users are able to hold a timely prospect to presume the final cost within the budge such that feasibility study as well as budget allocation decisions are made on effectively and competitively.

Prediction of duration and construction cost of road tunnels using Gaussian process regression

  • Mahmoodzadeh, Arsalan;Mohammadi, Mokhtar;Abdulhamid, Sazan Nariman;Ibrahim, Hawkar Hashim;Ali, Hunar Farid Hama;Nejati, Hamid Reza;Rashidi, Shima
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2022
  • Time and cost of construction are key factors in decision-making during a tunnel project's planning and design phase. Estimations of time and cost of tunnel construction projects are subject to significant uncertainties caused by uncertain geotechnical and geological conditions. The Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) technique for predicting ground condition and construction time and cost of mountain tunnel projects is used in this work. The GPR model is trained with data from past mountain tunnel projects. The model is applied to a case study in which the predicted time and cost of tunnel construction using the GPR model are compared with the actual construction time and cost for model validation and reducing the uncertainty for the future projects. In addition, the results obtained from the GPR have been compared with to other models of artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) that the GPR model provides more accurate results.