• Title/Summary/Keyword: model estimation

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Estimation of Maneuverability of Underwater Vehicles with Ahead Propeller by the Vertical Planar Motion Mechanism Test (VPMM 시험을 통한 선수부에 프로펠러를 갖는 수중운동체의 조종성능 추정)

  • Shin, Myung-Sub;Kim, Dong-Hwi;Kim, Yagin;Hwang, Jong-Hyon;Baek, Hyung-Min;Kim, Sung-Jae;Park, Sang-Jun;Choi, Young-Myung;Park, Hongrae;Kim, Eun-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.168-178
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the resistance test, the vertical static angle of the attack test and VPMM test will be conducted to estimate the maneuverability of underwater vehicles with ahead propeller. The vertical static test will be conducted within the range of -40deg to 40deg, to investigate the cross-flow drag at high incidence angles. The tests will be conducted by dividing the propeller rotation into a case in which the propeller rotates at a specific rpm, and a case in which the propeller rotates naturally, according to the towing speed. Hydrodynamic coefficients of vertical direction will be estimated by the captive model tests. Additionally, the vertical dynamic stability index based on estimated hydrodynamic coefficients will be calculated and the impact of the propeller revolution state on the index will be investigated. The results are expected to be used as reference test data for underwater vehicles with ahead propeller.

An Economic Evaluation of an Integrated Service Platform of Open Access Research Papers (오픈액세스논문 통합서비스플랫폼의 경제성 평가)

  • Kwon, Nahyun;Pyo, Soon Hee;Lee, Jungyeoun;Kim, Wan Jong;Moon, Sunung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.265-290
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    • 2022
  • An economic evaluation was conducted using cost-benefit analysis for an integrated service platform of open access research articles. The data needed for benefit measurement were collected by conducting a series of surveys to service beneficiaries, including 1,313 academic researchers, 49 bio-industry researchers, and 102 researchers in various industries. Cost-benefit analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted after estimating the total costs for system construction and operations, anticipated direct and indirect benefits. With respect to the cost-benefit analysis limited to direct benefits, the estimated benefit was KRW 82 billion, which is about 14 times of the total costs for eight years of the entire business period. With respect to the cost-benefit analysis for both direct and indirect benefits, BCR was estimated to be about 98.9 and NPV to be KRW 538.8 billion, indicating that economic feasibility of the project was sufficiently secured. The results of this analysis may help securing the investment to the integrated service platform for OA research products, and the benefit estimation model developed in this study would be utilized as an assessment tool during the rest of this project.

Characteristics of Measurement Errors due to Reflective Sheet Targets - Surveying for Sejong VLBI IVP Estimation (반사 타겟의 관측 오차 특성 분석 - 세종 VLBI IVP 결합 측량)

  • Hong, Chang-Ki;Bae, Tae-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.325-332
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    • 2022
  • Determination of VLBI IVP (Very Long Baseline Interferometry Invariant Point) position with high accuracy is required to compute local tie vectors between the space geodetic techniques. In general, reflective targets are attached on VLBI antenna and slant distances, horizontal and vertical angles are measured from the pillars. Then, adjustment computation is performed by using the mathematical model which connects measurements and unknown parameters. This indicates that the accuracy of the estimated solutions is affected by the accuracy of the measurements. One of issues in local tie surveying, however, is that the reflective targets are not in favorable condition, that is, the reflective sheet target cannot be perfectly aligned to the instrument perpendicularly. Deviation from the line of sight of an instrument may cause different type of measurement errors. This inherent limitation may lead to incorrect stochastic modeling for the measurements in adjustment computation procedures. In this study, error characteristics by measurement types and pillars are analyzed, respectively. The analysis on the studentized residuals is performed after adjustment computation. The normality of the residuals is tested and then equal variance test between the measurement types are performed. The results show that there are differences in variance according to the measurement types. Differences in variance between distances and angle measurements are observed when F-test is performed for the measurements from each pillar. Therefore, more detailed stochastic modeling is required for optimal solutions, especially in local tie survey.

Derivation of Suitable-Site Environmental Factors in Robinia pseudoacacia Stands Using Type I Quantification Theory (수량화이론 I방법에 의한 아까시나무 임분의 적지 환경인자 도출)

  • Kim, Sora;Song, Jungeun;Park, Chunhee;Min, Suhui;Hong, Sunghee;Lim, Jongsoo;Son, Yeongmo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.111 no.3
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    • pp.428-434
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    • 2022
  • This study was conducted to derive the site index of forest productivity of Robinia pseudoacacia (honey plant) to characterize suitable planting sites and to investigate the effect of the site environmental factors on the site index using the quantification theory I method. The data used in the analysis were growth factors (stand age, dominant height, etc.) of the 6th national forest resources survey and various site environmental factors of a forest soil map (1:5,000). The average site index value of the R. pseudoacacia stand in Korea was 14 (range, 8 to 18). The environmental factors affecting the site index were parent rock, climatic zone, soil texture, local topography, and altitude. The accuracy of the estimation model using quantification theory I was only 33%. However, the correlation between the site index and the site environmental factors was statistically significant at the 1% level. Results of quantification analysis between site index and site environmental factors revealed that metamorphic and igneous rocks received high grades as parent rocks, climate zones received higher grades than central temperate zone, clay loam and silt loam received high grades in soil texture, and hillside received a high grade in local topography. Analysis of the partial correlation between site topographical factors and forest productivity (site index) found that soil class and altitude were partially correlated to x by 0.4129 and 0.4023, respectively, indicating that these factors are the most influential variables.

Estimation of the Source Adult Population for Agrotis ipsilon (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) Appearing in Early Spring in Korea: An Approach with Phenology Modeling (국내에서 이른 봄 출현하는 검거세미밤나방 성충집단의 기원 추정: 페놀로지 모형을 통한 접근)

  • Sori Choi;Jinwoo Heo;Subin Kim;Myeongeun Jwa;Yonggyun Shin;Dong-Soon Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2023
  • The black cutworm, Agrotis ipsilon (Hufnagel), is an important crop pest worldwide that feeds more than 80 plant species including cabbage, potato, maize, wheat and bean, and this moth is a typical pest attacking underground parts of crops. It has been known in farm booklets that the larvae of A. ipsilon overwinter in the soil in Korea, but no definitive data exist yet. This study was conducted to evaluate that the specific appearance time of A. ipsilon observed actually in the field could be explained when we assumed that this pest overwinters in a form of larvae or pupae. Degree day-based phenology models were applied for tracking forward or backward to find the predicted developmental stage which developed at a specific stage found in the field. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that an initial population could be established in a group that does not overwinter as larvae or pupae in Korea. In other words, the appearance of adults in early March to April could not be explained by the presence of domestic overwintering populations. Populations that overwinter as larvae or pupae in Korea were able to emerge as adults in June to July at the earliest. Therefore, the group of adults appearing in early spring is highly likely to be a population that migrated from outside Korea. Taken together, it was estimated that the colony of A. ipsilon in Korea would be formed by a mixture of a migrant population through long-distance migration and a overwintering population.

Soil Depth Estimation and Prediction Model Correction for Mountain Slopes Using a Seismic Survey (탄성파 탐사를 활용한 산지사면 토심 추정 및 예측모델 보정)

  • Taeho Bong;Sangjun Im;Jung Il Seo;Dongyeob Kim;Joon Heo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.112 no.3
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    • pp.340-351
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    • 2023
  • Landslides are major natural geological hazards that cause enormous property damage and human casualties annually. The vulnerability of mountainous areas to landslides is further exacerbated by the impacts of climate change. Soil depth is a crucial parameter in landslide and debris flow analysis, and plays an important role in the evaluation of watershed hydrological processes that affect slope stability. An accurate method of estimating soil depth is to directly investigate the soil strata in the field. However, this requires significant amounts of time and money; thus, numerous models for predicting soil depth have been proposed. However, they still have limitations in terms of practicality and accuracy. In this study, 71 seismic survey results were collected from domestic mountainous areas to estimate soil depth on hill slopes. Soil depth was estimated on the basis of a shear wave velocity of 700 m/s, and a database was established for slope angle, elevation, and soil depth. Consequently, the statistical characteristics of soil depth were analyzed, and the correlations between slope angle and soil depth, and between elevation and soil depth were investigated. Moreover, various soil depth prediction models based on slope angle were investigated, and corrected linear and exponential soil depth prediction models were proposed.

Development of Simulator for Analyzing Intercept Performance of Surface-to-air Missile (지대공미사일 요격 성능 분석 시뮬레이터 개발)

  • Kim, Ki-Hwan;Seo, Yoon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2010
  • In modern war, Intercept Performance of SAM(Surface to Air Missile) is gaining importance as range and precision of Missile and Guided Weapon on information warfare have been improved. An aerial defence system using Surface-to-air Radar and Guided Missile is needed to be built for prediction and defense from threatening aerial attack. When developing SAM, M&S is used to free from a time limit and a space restriction. M&S is widely applied to education, training, and design of newest Weapon System. This study was conducted to develop simulator for evaluation of Intercept Performance of SAM. In this study, architecture of Intercept Performance of SAM analysis simulator for estimation of Intercept Performance of various SAM was suggested and developed. The developed Intercept Performance of SAM analysis simulator was developed by C++ and Direct3D, and through 3D visualization using the Direct3D, it shows procedures of the simulation on a user animation window. Information about design and operation of Fighting model is entered through input window of the simulator, and simulation engine consisted of Object Manager, Operation Manager, and Integrated Manager conducts modeling and simulation automatically using the information, so the simulator gives user feedback in a short time.

Development of Machine Learning Based Precipitation Imputation Method (머신러닝 기반의 강우추정 방법 개발)

  • Heechan Han;Changju Kim;Donghyun Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.167-175
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    • 2023
  • Precipitation data is one of the essential input datasets used in various fields such as wetland management, hydrological simulation, and water resource management. In order to efficiently manage water resources using precipitation data, it is essential to secure as much data as possible by minimizing the missing rate of data. In addition, more efficient hydrological simulation is possible if precipitation data for ungauged areas are secured. However, missing precipitation data have been estimated mainly by statistical equations. The purpose of this study is to propose a new method to restore missing precipitation data using machine learning algorithms that can predict new data based on correlations between data. Moreover, compared to existing statistical methods, the applicability of machine learning techniques for restoring missing precipitation data is evaluated. Representative machine learning algorithms, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Random Forest (RF), were applied. For the performance of classifying the occurrence of precipitation, the RF algorithm has higher accuracy in classifying the occurrence of precipitation than the ANN algorithm. The F1-score and Accuracy values, which are evaluation indicators of the classification model, were calculated as 0.80 and 0.77, while the ANN was calculated as 0.76 and 0.71. In addition, the performance of estimating precipitation also showed higher accuracy in RF than in ANN algorithm. The RMSE of the RF and ANN algorithms was 2.8 mm/day and 2.9 mm/day, and the values were calculated as 0.68 and 0.73.

Analysis of Job Creation Effects and Spatial Distribution Characteristics of Startups in Manufacturing at Different Technology Levels (기술수준별 제조창업의 공간분포 특성과 고용증가 효과 분석)

  • Hansoun Woo;Daehyun Seo
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.600-616
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    • 2022
  • This study contemplates spatial context of startup in manufacturing, mainly analyzing job creation effects of time lag of startups in manufacturing at different technology levels. Using DID model, we found that each region including capital, non-capital and metropolitan area shows different job creation effects of time lag. In capial region, startup cohort in high R&D intensity manufacturing was found to show short-term job creation effects, but in non-capital region, long-term job creation effects was found with the one in medium-high R&D intensity manufacturing. In case of metropolitan area, we couldn't find much evidence of job creation effects that was statistically significant. The result of analysis implied that, in capital region, startup support policies, targeting at high R&D intensity manufacturing, ought to be focused on scale-up of startups that survived for a certain period. And non-capital area and some of metropolitan areas in non-capital region that have comparatively inferior infrastructure and brain-drain problems as well should focus on fostering startups in medium-high R&D intensity manufacturing in a long-term perspective and utilize their traditional manufacturing base.

Estimation of citizen's willingness to pay for water quality improvement on urban rivers (도시하천 수질개선을 위한 시민의 지불의사액 추정 연구)

  • Kang, Jiyoon;Yang, Jinwoo;Hwang, Youngsoon;Kim, Keewook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.225-233
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    • 2023
  • Urban rivers and their surrounding environments have been altered due to factors such as rapid economic growth and urban development. This alteration have caused the rivers to lose their original value and become exposed to various pollution, resulting decrease in citizens' quality of life. This study aims to estimate citizens' Willingness To Pay (WTP) for water quality improvement in Suyeong River in Busan. To estimate the non-market value of the Suyeong River, the WTP of Busan citizens for water quality improvement was estimated, applying Contingent Valuation Method (CVM). The WTP for improving the water quality from Grade 4(polluted water) to Grade 2(game fish like bass can live in it) was estimated using the water quality ladder concept of the US Environmental Protection Agency, assuming annual donations for five years. For the CVM, the logistic distribution and Spike Model were adopted. As a result, citizens residing in the surrounding area of Suyeong River expressed a higher WTP. Considering more than half of the Busan citizens are aware of the "conservation of nature and ecosystems" as a major function of the Suyeong River, this higher WTP could serve as a basis for improving the value of urban rivers.