• Title/Summary/Keyword: model errors

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Uncertainty Analysis for the Resistance and Self-Propulsion Test of Ship Model (저항, 자항시험에 있어서의 불확실성 해석)

  • 박동우;김민규;강선형
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2003
  • To predict the powering performance of full scale ships from the towing tank tests, resistance, propeller open water and self-propulsion tests are conducted. Model tests inevitably include the experimental error defined as the sum of two types of uncertainties, bias and precision errors. The induced errors in each element of model test are propagated through various routes and correlated with one another. The correlation coefficients are very important in the uncertainty analysis. The coefficient gives a direction(increase or decrease) for a value of error in individual elements. If the coefficient is not used accurately, the error bounds of the individual elements are overestimated or underestimated. In this study, the new methodology is applied to the uncertainty analysis of HMRI's towing tank tests, thus error bounds of each element is suggested and verified by several repetitive experiments.

Design of Experiment for kriging (크리깅의 실험계획법)

  • Jung, Jae-Joon;Lee, Chang-Seob;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.1846-1851
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    • 2003
  • Approximate optimization has become popular in engineering field such as MDO and Crash analysis which is time consuming. To accomplish efficient approximate optimization, accuracy of approximate model is very important. As surrogate model, Kriging have been widely used approximating highly nonlinear system . Because Kriging employs interpolation method, it is adequate for deterministic computer simulation. Because there are no random errors and measurement errors in deterministic computer simulation, instead of classical DOE ,space filling experiment design which fills uniformly design space should be applied. In this work, various space filling designs such as maximin distance design, maximum entropy design are reviewed. And new design improving maximum entropy design is suggested and compared.

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The Comparative Study of NHPP Software Reliability Model Exponential and Log Shaped Type Hazard Function from the Perspective of Learning Effects (지수형과 로그형 위험함수 학습효과에 근거한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • In this study, software products developed in the course of testing, software managers in the process of testing software test and test tools for effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure nonhomogeneous Poisson process models presented and the life distribution applied exponential and log shaped type hazard function. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than autonomous errors-detected factor that is generally efficient model could be confirmed. This paper, a failure data analysis of applying using time between failures and parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimation method, after the efficiency of the data through trend analysis model selection were efficient using the mean square error and coefficient of determination.

Observer-Based Robust Fault Diagnosis and Reconfigurable Adaptive Control for Systems with Unknown Inputs (미지입력을 포함한 시스템의 관측기 기반 견실고장진단 및 재구성 적응제어)

  • 최재원;이승우;서영수
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.8 no.11
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    • pp.928-934
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    • 2002
  • A natural way to cope with fault tolerant control (FTC) problems is to modify the control parameters according to an online identification of the system parameters when a fault occurs. However. due to not only difficulties Inherent to the online multivariable identification in closed-loop systems, such as modeling errors, noise or the lack of excitation signals, but also long time requirement to identify the post-fault system and implemeutation of control problems during the identification process, we propose an alternative approach based on the observer-based fault detection and isolation (FDI) and model reference adaptive control (MRAC). The proposed robust fault diagnosis method is based on a bank of observers. We also propose a model reference adaptive control with changeable reference models according to the occurred faults. Simulation results of a flight control example show the validity and applicability of the proposed algorithms.

The Formulation of the Tidal Prediction System It's Application (조석예보시스템의 구축 및 응용)

  • 정연철;채양범
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 1998
  • Through the combination of existing tidal prediction model and numerical tidal model, the efficient tidal prediction system was formulated and applied to the neighboring area of Pusan port. Because all tidal constituents for tidal prediction (69 tidal constituents are normally used) couldn't be considered due to the physical limits on computing process, some errors between the observed and predicted values were inevitably occurred. But it was confirmed that the computed values with maximum 10% of relative errors can be obtained if four major tidal constituents(M2, S2, K1, O1) are used. Thus, if other constituents than four major tidal constituents are additionally used, more accurate values will be obtained. Furthermore, if the database for harmonic constants in coastal waters is made in advance, using the numerical tidal model, prompt tidal prediction can be achieved at any time when it is required.

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A Study on a Hit Probability Model for Polygonal Target (다각형 표적의 명중확률 산정모델의 연구)

  • 황흥석
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.160-168
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    • 1999
  • This research focussed on developing a hit probability model for polygonal target to increase the survivability of weapon systems by its shape design. First, we defined the delivery errors and derived functions for these errors based on the assumption of bivariate normal distribution, and the derived functions for probability of shot hitting of various shapes of polygonal target. Also, we developed computer program for computation of the probability of hitting a general n-sided polygon and we have shown a sample run output. The model could be used to improve the survivability from design phase by designing optimal polygonal shape of weapon system.

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FORMULATION OF THE TIDAL PREDICTION SYSTEM AND IT'S APPLICATION

  • Chul, Jung-Yun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.111-124
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    • 1997
  • With the combination of existing tidal predictio model and numerical tidal model, the efficient tidal prediction system was formulated and applied to the neighboring area of Pusan port. Because all tidal constituents for prediction (normally 69 constituents are used) can't be considered due to difficulties on computing efforts, some errors between the observed and predicted values were inevitably occurred. But it was confirmed that the practical results with about 10% of relative errors were obtained if four major tidal constituents(M$_2$, S$_2$. $K_1$, $O_1$) are used at least. Thus, if other constituents than four major tidal constituents are additornaly used, more accurate results will be obtained . Furthermore, if the databases of harmonic constants in coastal waters is made in advance using the numberical tidal model, prompt tidal prediction could be achieved whenever required.

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A Study on the Form of Electric Shock Accident Using Swiss Cheese Model (스위스 치즈 모델을 적용한 철도 감전사고 발생형태에 관한 연구)

  • Yu, Ki-Seong;Kim, Jae-Moon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.12
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    • pp.1711-1716
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    • 2018
  • Unlike conventional transmission and distribution lines, catenary system for operating electric railway vehicles are composed of multi-conductor groups (feeder line, contact wire, messenger wire, protection wire) and are used for railway employees, public or passengers in the station yards. Electric shock hazards are exposed and electric shocks such as death or serious injury are occurring in electric railway vehicles, railway high-voltage distribution lines, and catenary system. In order to analyze the types of electric shock accidents on railway by systematic approach method, we modeled 'unsafe behavior classification' method using swiss cheese model. Based on this method, we derived the type of electric shock accidents about railway accidents during the last 5 years by analyzing the frequency of occurrence of human errors and unsafe acts, laws and regulations related to violations, and so on.

Correction Algorithm of Errors by Seagrasses in Coastal Bathymetry Surveying Using Drone and HD Camera (드론과 HD 카메라를 이용한 수심측량시 잘피에 의한 오차제거 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Gyeongyeop;Choi, Gunhwan;Ahn, Kyungmo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.553-560
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents an algorithm for identifying and eliminating errors by seagrasses in coastal bathymetry surveying using drone and HD camera. Survey errors due to seagrasses were identified, segmentated and eliminated using a L∗a∗b color space model. Bathymetry survey using a drone and HD camera has many advantages over conventional survey methods such as ship-board acoustic sounder or manual level survey which are time consuming and expensive. However, errors caused by sea bed reflectance due to seagrasses habitat hamper the development of new surveying tool. Seagrasses are the flowering plants which start to grow in November and flourish to maximum density until April in Korea. We developed a new algorithm for identifying seagrasses habitat locations and eliminating errors due to seagrasses to get the accurate depth survey data. We tested our algorithm at Wolpo beach. Bathymetry survey data which were obtained using a drone with HD camera and calibrated to eliminate errors due to seagrasses, were compared with depth survey data obtained using ship-board multi-beam acoustic sounder. The abnormal bathymetry data which are defined as the excess of 1.5 times of a standard deviation of random errors, are composed of 8.6% of the test site of area of 200 m by 300 m. By applying the developed algorithm, 92% of abnnormal bathymetry data were successfully eliminated and 33% of RMS errors were reduced.

GNSS Airborne Multipath Error Modeling Under UAV Platform and Operating Environment

  • Kim, Minchan;Kim, Kiwan;Lee, Dong-Kyeong;Lee, Jiyun
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2015
  • In the case of an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) equipped with a GNSS sensor, a boundary line where the vehicle can actually exist can be calculated using a navigation error model, and safe navigation (e.g., precise landing and collision prevention) can be supported based on this boundary line. Therefore, for the safe operation of UAV, a model for the position error of UAV needs to be established in advance. In this study, the multipath error of a GNSS sensor installed at UAV was modeled through a flight test, and this was analyzed and compared with the error model of an existing manned aircraft. The flight test was conducted based on a scenario in which UAV performs hovering at an altitude of 40 m, and it was found that the multipath error value was well bound by the error model of an existing manned aircraft. This result indicates that the error model of an existing manned aircraft can be used in operation environments similar to the scenario for the flight test. Also, in this study, a scenario for the operation of multiple UAVs was considered, and the correlation between the multipath errors of the UAVs was analyzed. The result of the analysis showed that the correlation between the multipath errors of the UAVs was not large, indicating that the multipath errors of the UAVs cannot be canceled out.