• Title/Summary/Keyword: meteorological-economic

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Determination of Weighted Mean Temperature for the GPS Precipitable Water Vapor Estimation (GPS PWV 추정을 위한 가중 평균 온도식 결정)

  • Song Dong Seob;Yun Hong Sic
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.323-329
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    • 2004
  • Water vapor is an important parameter in monitoring changes in the Earth's climate and it can be used to improve weather forecasting. However, it haven't observed accurately by reasons of structural and economic problem of observation. GPS meteorology technique for precipitable water vapor measurement is currently actively being researched an advanced nation. Main issue of GPS meteorology is an accuracy of PWV measurement related weighted mean temperature and meteorological data. In this study, the korean weighted mean temperature had been recalculated by a linear regression method based on meteorological observations from 6 radiosonde stations for 2003 year. We examined the accuracy of PWV estimates from GPS observations and Radiosonde observations by new korean weighted mean temperature and others.

Research Trends and Future Direction for Sustainable Agricultural and Forest Management (지속가능한 영농·영림을 위한 국내외 연구동향 및 향방)

  • Kim, Hakyoung;Choi, Sung-Won;Kim, Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.236-247
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    • 2015
  • Domestic agricultural and forest management suffers disturbances arising from rapid economic, social and environmental changes including climate change. Sustainable management has emerged as a key to overcoming these challenges. From the domestic and international viewpoint, we have identified mainly three (i.e. indicator, accounting, and ecological) approaches to sustainable management of agricultural and forest ecosystems. Compared to persistent investment in indicator and accounting approaches, we find the paucity of the domestic efforts in ecological approach. The latter approach can be facilitated based on the long-term meteorological and flux data including the ecosystem-level energy, matter and information flows, which have been monitored and managed by Korea Meteorological Administration, Rural Development Administration and Korea Forest Service. In order to keep up with vigorous international efforts toward sustainable ecosystem management, more interdisciplinary, multidisciplinary and transdisciplinary collaborations among diverse domestic sectors and institutes are essential.

Projection of Temporal Trends on Drought Characteristics using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) in South Korea (표준강수증발산지수를 활용한 미래 가뭄특성의 시계열 변화전망)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Hayes, Michael J.;Wilhite, Donald A.;Svoboda, Mark D.
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2015
  • Recent droughts in South Korea have had large economic and environmental impacts across the country. Changes in rainfall and hydrologic patterns due to climate change can potentially increase the occurrence of extreme droughts and affect the future availability of water resources. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate drought vulnerability for water resources planning and management, and identify the appropriate mitigation actions to conduct a drought risk analysis in the context of climate change. The objective of this study is changes in the temporal trends of drought characteristics in South Korea to examine drought impacts under climate change. First, the changes of drought occurrence were analyzed by applying the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) for meteorological data on 54 meteorological stations, and were analyzed for the past 30 years (1981-2010), and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) climate change scenarios (2011-2100). Second, the changes on the temporal trends of drought characteristics were performed using run theory, which was used to compare drought duration, severity, and magnitude to allow for quantitative evaluations under past and future climate conditions. These results show the high influence of climate change on drought phenomenon, and will contribute to water resources management and drought countermeasures to climate change.

Hydrological Stability Analysis of the Existing Soyanggang Multipurpose Dam

  • Ko, Seok-Ku;Shin, Yong-Lo
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • v.7
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 1996
  • This study aims at suggesting an alternative to improve flood controling capacity according to the cument design criteria for the existing Soyanggang Multi-purpose Dam which was constructed 20 years ago as the largest dam in Korea. The peak inflow of the adopted probable maximum flood (PMF) at the time of construction was 13,500 $m^3$/s. However, the newly estimated peak inflow of the PMF is 18,000 $m^3$/s which is 1.34 times bigger than the original one. This is considered to be due to the accumulation of the reliable flood and storm event records after construction, and due to the increasing tendency of the local flood peaks according to the influence of world-wide weather change. The new estimation of the probable maximum precipitation (PMP) was based on the hydro-meteorological method suggested by the guideline of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The unit hydrograph which was applied for the estimation of PMF was derived through linear programming algorithm by minimizing the sum of absolute deviations of the calculated and recorded flood hydrographs. In order to adopt the newly estimated PMF as a design flood, following four alternatives were compared : (1) allocation of more flood control space by lowering the normal high water level, (2) construction of a new spillway in addition to the existing spillway, (3) construction of a new dam which has relevant flood control storage at the upstream of the Soyanggang dam, (4) raising the existing dam crest. The preliminary evaluation of these alternatives resulted in that the second alternative is most economic and feasible. So as to stably cope with the newly estimated PMF by meeting all the current functions of the multipurpose dam, a detailed study of an additional spillway tunnel has to be followed.

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Improvement in Seasonal Prediction of Precipitation and Drought over the United States Based on Regional Climate Model Using Empirical Quantile Mapping (경험적 분위사상법을 이용한 지역기후모형 기반 미국 강수 및 가뭄의 계절 예측 성능 개선)

  • Song, Chan-Yeong;Kim, So-Hee;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.637-656
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    • 2021
  • The United States has been known as the world's major producer of crops such as wheat, corn, and soybeans. Therefore, using meteorological long-term forecast data to project reliable crop yields in the United States is important for planning domestic food policies. The current study is part of an effort to improve the seasonal predictability of regional-scale precipitation across the United States for estimating crop production in the country. For the purpose, a dynamic downscaling method using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is utilized. The WRF simulation covers the crop-growing period (March to October) during 2000-2020. The initial and lateral boundary conditions of WRF are derived from the Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM), a participant model of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC) Long-Term Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction System. For bias correction of downscaled daily precipitation, empirical quantile mapping (EQM) is applied. The downscaled data set without and with correction are called WRF_UC and WRF_C, respectively. In terms of mean precipitation, the EQM effectively reduces the wet biases over most of the United States and improves the spatial correlation coefficient with observation. The daily precipitation of WRF_C shows the better performance in terms of frequency and extreme precipitation intensity compared to WRF_UC. In addition, WRF_C shows a more reasonable performance in predicting drought frequency according to intensity than WRF_UC.

Estimating milk production losses by heat stress and its impacts on greenhouse gas emissions in Korean dairy farms

  • Geun-woo, Park;Mohammad, Ataallahi;Seon Yong, Ham;Se Jong, Oh;Ki-Youn, Kim;Kyu-Hyun, Park
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.64 no.4
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    • pp.770-781
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    • 2022
  • Meteorological disasters caused by climate change like heat, cold waves, and unusually long rainy seasons affect the milk productivity of cows. Studies have been conducted on how milk productivity and milk compositions change due to heat stress (HS). However, the estimation of losses in milk production due to HS and hereby environmental impacts of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are yet to be evaluated in Korean dairy farms. Dairy milk production and milk compositions data from March to October 2018, provided by the Korea Dairy Committee (KDC), were used to compare regional milk production with the temperature-humidity index (THI). Raw data for the daily temperature and relative humidity in 2018 were obtained from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). This data was used to calculate the THI and the difference between the maximum and minimum temperature changing rate, as the average daily temperature range, to show the extent to which the temperature gap can affect milk productivity. The amount of milk was calculated based on the price of 926 won/kg from KDC. The results showed that the average milk production rate was the highest within the THI range 60-73 in three regions in May: Chulwon (northern region), Hwasung (central region), and Gunwi (southern region). The average milk production decreased by 4.96 ± 1.48% in northern region, 7.12 ± 2.36% in central region, and 7.94 ± 2.57% in southern region from June to August, which had a THI range of 73 or more, when compared to May. Based on the results, the level of THI should be maintained like May. If so, the farmers can earn a profit of 9,128,730 won/farm in northern region, 9,967,880 won/farm in central region, and 12,245,300 won/farm in southern region. Additionally, the average number of cows raised can be reduced by 2.41 ± 0.35 heads/farm, thereby reducing GHG emissions by 29.61 ± 4.36 kg CO2eq/day on average. Overall, the conclusion suggests that maintaining environmental conditions in the summer that are similar to those in May is necessary. This knowledge can be used for basic research to persuade farmers to change farm facilities to increase the economic benefits and improve animal welfare.

Development of Examination Model of Weather Factors on Garlic Yield Using Big Data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 활용한 마늘 생산에 미치는 날씨 요인에 관한 영향 조사 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Shinkon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.480-488
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    • 2018
  • The development of information and communication technology has been carried out actively in the field of agriculture to generate valuable information from large amounts of data and apply big data technology to utilize it. Crops and their varieties are determined by the influence of the natural environment such as temperature, precipitation, and sunshine hours. This paper derives the climatic factors affecting the production of crops using the garlic growth process and daily meteorological variables. A prediction model was also developed for the production of garlic per unit area. A big data analysis technique considering the growth stage of garlic was used. In the exploratory data analysis process, various agricultural production data, such as the production volume, wholesale market load, and growth data were provided from the National Statistical Office, the Rural Development Administration, and Korea Rural Economic Institute. Various meteorological data, such as AWS, ASOS, and special status data, were collected and utilized from the Korea Meteorological Agency. The correlation analysis process was designed by comparing the prediction power of the models and fitness of models derived from the variable selection, candidate model derivation, model diagnosis, and scenario prediction. Numerous weather factor variables were selected as descriptive variables by factor analysis to reduce the dimensions. Using this method, it was possible to effectively control the multicollinearity and low degree of freedom that can occur in regression analysis and improve the fitness and predictive power of regression analysis.

Relationships between Intensity of Extreme Climate Events and Magnitude of Damages for Different Typhoon Tracks in the Republic of Korea (우리나라 태풍 내습 유형별 극한기후현상 강도와 피해 규모의 관련성)

  • Lee, Seung-Wook;Ahn, Suk-Hee;Lim, Byunghwan;Choi, Gwangyong
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.450-465
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the spatial characteristics of relationships between the intensity of extreme climate events driven by typhoons and the magnitude of economic damages at local municipality scales across the Republic of Korea for the recent 15-year period (2000~2014). As results, it is observed that the intensity of extreme temperature events such as heavy rainfall and gusty wind accounts for 50% of the damages magnitude across Korea, while the correlation between the two at the Si-Gun municipality level regionally varies. Positive correlations between the intensity of heavy rainfall events and typhoon damages are observed in the southeastern regions of Taebaek-Sobaek mountain ridges, while such statistically-significant patterns are not detected in the northwestern region. In contrast, statistically-significant positive correlations between the strength of gusty winds and damages are found in most of regions except for some interior regions and northeastern mountainous regions. Classification maps of major extreme climate event types (heavy rainfall-prevailing type, gusty wind-prevailing type, and their combined type) leading to typhoon damages at the Si-Gun municipality scales provided in this study may help local administrations to make the optimized policies for typhoon damage mitigation.

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An Empirical Analysis on the Effects of Kyoto Protocol on the Greenhouse Gas Emissions (교토의정서의 온실가스 감축 변화로 본 레짐효과 분석)

  • Kim, Yeong Sin;Chon, Chun Hwang;Baek, Hee Jeong
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2010
  • This study is analyzed based on the statistical data for the effect of Kyoto Protocol which is adopted on 1997. The first greenhouse gas obligation reduction countries such as OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development), and the first non-obligated developing countries such as China and India, the increasing rate of carbon dioxide emission displayed -10.2% and 88.1% in 2005 with respect to 1990, respectively. This increasing rate is not only shows statistically significant differences but also shows significant meanings when we consider the global increasing rate of carbon dioxide is 29.1%. Changes in the carbon dioxide emissions are also analyzed based on the time of the adaptation of Kyoto Protocol, time of the publication of the second and third reports of IPCC, and withdrawal of the Kyoto Protocol of the United States. Withdrawal of the Kyoto Protocol of the United States is the most significantly affected to the differences in the carbon dioxide emission rates rather than the adaptation of Kyoto Protocol, international agreement on the greenhouse gas reduction, and belief on the scientific evidence for the reasons for increasing carbon dioxide concentrations. Therefore, acceptance of the post-Kyoto Protocol in the United States is very important in order to success as a climate regime.

Development of technology to predict the impact of urban inundation due to climate change on urban transportation networks (기후변화에 따른 도시침수가 도시교통네트워크에 미치는 영향 예측 기술 개발)

  • Jeung, Se Jin;Hur, Dasom;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.12
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    • pp.1091-1104
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    • 2022
  • Climate change is predicted to increase the frequency and intensity of rainfall worldwide, and the pattern is changing due to inundation damage in urban areas due to rapid urbanization and industrialization. Accordingly, the impact assessment of climate change is mentioned as a very important factor in urban planning, and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is emphasizing the need for an impact forecast that considers the social and economic impacts that may arise from meteorological phenomena. In particular, in terms of traffic, the degradation of transport systems due to urban flooding is the most detrimental factor to society and is estimated to be around £100k per hour per major road affected. However, in the case of Korea, even if accurate forecasts and special warnings on the occurrence of meteorological disasters are currently provided, the effects are not properly conveyed. Therefore, in this study, high-resolution analysis and hydrological factors of each area are reflected in order to suggest the depth of flooding of urban floods and to cope with the damage that may affect vehicles, and the degree of flooding caused by rainfall and its effect on vehicle operation are investigated. decided it was necessary. Therefore, the calculation formula of rainfall-immersion depth-vehicle speed is presented using various machine learning techniques rather than simple linear regression. In addition, by applying the climate change scenario to the rainfall-inundation depth-vehicle speed calculation formula, it predicts the flooding of urban rivers during heavy rain, and evaluates possible traffic network disturbances due to road inundation considering the impact of future climate change. We want to develop technology for use in traffic flow planning.