• 제목/요약/키워드: meteorological variables

검색결과 402건 처리시간 0.027초

부산 지역 미세먼지 농도의 시간변동 특성 및 기상인자 분석을 통한 먼지생성 해석 (Characteristics of Time Variations of PM10 Concentrations in Busan and Interpreting Its Generation Mechanism Using Meteorological Variables)

  • 김지아;진형아;김철희
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제16권10호
    • /
    • pp.1157-1167
    • /
    • 2007
  • In an effort to interpret the characteristics of fine particle concentrations in Busan, time variations of hourly monitored concentrations $PM_{10}$ (Particulate Matter with aerodynamic Diameter ${\le}10\;{\mu}m$) in Busan are analyzed for the period from 2000 to 2005. The characteristics of aerosol second generation formation process is also interpreted qualitatively, by using the statistical analysis of the meteorological variables including temperature, wind speed, and relative humidity. The result shows some significant annual, seasonal, weekly and diurnal variations of $PM_{10}$ concentrations. In particular, seasonal(i.e., spring) variations are governed by frequency of yellow sand events even for the non-yellow sand cases where yellow-sand days are eliminated in our analysis. However, in seasonal variation, summer season predominate lower $PM_{10}$ concentrations due to the frequent precipitation, and weekly and diurnal variations are both found to be reflecting the emission rate from traffic amount. Correlation coefficients between $PM_{10}$ concentration and meterological variables for non-yellow sand days show overall negative correlation with visibility, wind speed, cloud amounts, and relative humidity. However for non-precipitation days, during non-yellow sand period positive correlation are found clearly with relative humidity, suggesting the importance of secondary aerosol formation in Busan that can be achieved by both homogeneous aerosol formation and heterogeneous transformations resulting from hygroscopic aerosol characteristics.

기상레이더를 이용한 뉴로-퍼지 알고리즘 기반 에코 분류기 설계 (Design of Echo Classifier Based on Neuro-Fuzzy Algorithm Using Meteorological Radar Data)

  • 오성권;고준현
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제63권5호
    • /
    • pp.676-682
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this paper, precipitation echo(PRE) and non-precipitaion echo(N-PRE)(including ground echo and clear echo) through weather radar data are identified with the aid of neuro-fuzzy algorithm. The accuracy of the radar information is lowered because meteorological radar data is mixed with the PRE and N-PRE. So this problem is resolved by using RBFNN and judgement module. Structure expression of weather radar data are analyzed in order to classify PRE and N-PRE. Input variables such as Standard deviation of reflectivity(SDZ), Vertical gradient of reflectivity(VGZ), Spin change(SPN), Frequency(FR), cumulation reflectivity during 1 hour(1hDZ), and cumulation reflectivity during 2 hour(2hDZ) are made by using weather radar data and then each characteristic of input variable is analyzed. Input data is built up from the selected input variables among these input variables, which have a critical effect on the classification between PRE and N-PRE. Echo judgment module is developed to do echo classification between PRE and N-PRE by using testing dataset. Polynomial-based radial basis function neural networks(RBFNNs) are used as neuro-fuzzy algorithm, and the proposed neuro-fuzzy echo pattern classifier is designed by combining RBFNN with echo judgement module. Finally, the results of the proposed classifier are compared with both CZ and DZ, as well as QC data, and analyzed from the view point of output performance.

수문기상요소 추세에 대한 도시화 영향분석 (Evaluation of Urban Effects on Trends of Hydrometeorological Variables)

  • 임창수
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제30권1B호
    • /
    • pp.71-80
    • /
    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 도시화가 기상요소(기온, 풍속, 상대습도, 일사량, 강수량)와 기준증발산에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 이를 위하여 연구지역을 6개의 도시지역과 도시지역 인근에 위치한 6개의 비도시화지역으로 구분하였다. 기상청에서 운영하는 12개 기상관측소에서 관측된 월평균 일 기상자료를 수집하였고, 기상요소의 변화분석을 수행하였다. 본 연구결과에 의하면 도시지역의 경우 뚜렷한 기준증발산의 증가추세를 보이고 있는 반면에 비도시화 지역의 경우 기준증발산이 감소하는 추세인 것으로 나타났다. 특히 도시지역의 기준증발산 증가추세와 비도시화 지역의 기준증발산 감소추세로 인하여 도시화가 기준증발산에 미치는 도시영향은 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 월별자료 분석결과 여름철에 해당하는 7월의 경우 다른 계절(1월, 4월, 10월)과 비교하여 도시화가 기준증발산에 미치는 도시효과는 증가하였다. 연별 및 월별 도시화가 기준증발산에 미치는 영향은 도시화가 일사량, 상대습도 그리고 기온 변화에 미치는 영향과 밀접한 상관성이 있으며, 도시화가 풍속에 미치는 영향과는 상관성이 적은 것으로 나타났다.

표준강수 증발산지수(SPEI)를 이용한 남한지역의 가뭄심도 평가 (Assessment of Drought Severity over South Korea using Standardized Precipitation Evapo-transpiration Index (SPEI))

  • 김병식;성장현;강현석;조천호
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제45권9호
    • /
    • pp.887-900
    • /
    • 2012
  • 가뭄은 자연의 무시할 수 없는 재해이며, 비록 가뭄의 정의가 많이 있지만 가뭄은 장기간의 강우의 부족으로부터 기인한다. 기상학적 가뭄심도의 정도를 표현하기 위해 널리 이용되는 표준강수지수(Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)는 강수 이외의 기온과 관련된 변수를 고려하지 않기 때문에 기후변동으로 인한 강수, 증발산 등의 물수지 변화를 고려할 수 없다는 한계점이 있다. 그러나 최근에 SPI와 유사하지만 기후변동으로 인한 강수 변화 뿐만 아니라 기온의 변동성이 미치는 영향을 반영할 수 있는 새로운 개념의 가뭄지수인 표준강수증발산지수(Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, SPEI)가 개발되었다. 본 연구에서는 기상청 산하의 60개 기상관측소의 1973~2011년까지 기상자료를 대상으로 SPEI를 적용하여 남한지역의 가뭄발생의 변화를 평가하였다. 적용결과, 전국적으로 SPI와 SPEI 모두 봄과 겨울에 가뭄이 심화되고 여름철에는 가뭄이 완화되는 경향을 보였으며, SPEI는 SPI보다 가뭄심도를 크게 나타내었다. 또한, 지속기간 12개월의 SPI와 SPEI는 전반적으로 6년 내외의 저빈도 주기성을 갖는 극심한 가뭄이 반복되고 있음을 보였다.

2007년 북서태평양에서의 열대저기압 발생 특징 (Characteristics of Tropical Cyclogenesis over the Western North Pacific in 2007)

  • 최기선;김백조;이성로;김호경;박종길;이지선
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제18권5호
    • /
    • pp.539-550
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study found that tropical cyclones (TCs) formed for fall in 2007 over the western North Pacific were distributed in high-latitudes comparing to 56-year (1951-2006) climatological mean. The frequency and latitude of TC genesis became higher than 56-year climatological mean from September onward in 2007 and all the TCs that formed to the north of 20$^{\circ}$N was also distributed after September in 2007. These characteristics of TC genesis for fall in 2007 could be confirmed through analyzing various variables, such as a large-scale atmospheric circulation, outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), vertical zonal wind shear, and sea surface temperature (SST). On the other hand, a frequency of the TC that occurred to the north of 200N showed a clear interdecadal variation and its decreasing trend was distinctive in recent years. Its intensity was also weaker that TCs that did to the south of 20$^{\circ}$N. However, a latitude of TC genesis showed an increasing trend until recent years, whose variation was consistent with trend that through a SST analysis, warm SST went north in recent years.

버드나무류 (Salix spp.)의 계절학적 특성과 주요 기상요인 상관분석 (Correlation Analysis between Phenology of Salix spp. and Meteorological Factors)

  • 김성보;김지윤;임란영;도윤호;박희순;주기재;김구연
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제22권12호
    • /
    • pp.1633-1641
    • /
    • 2013
  • The objective of this study was to analyze correlation between phenological characteristics of Salix spp. and meteorological factors in the Upo wetlands. Phenology of Salix subfragilis Andersson and Salix chaenomeloides Kimura was monitored from 2007 to 2012. Meteorological variables were monitored by Korea Meteorological Administration (Hap-chon). Average date of flowering, fruiting, seed dispersion was 86, 113, 136 days for S. subfragilis and 112, 140, 164 days for S. chaenomeloides as Julian days. Flowering of S. subfragilis and S. chaenomeloides were correlated with daily mean air temp. in March (r=-0.92, r=-0.85, p<0.05). Fruiting of S. subfragilis was correlated with total precipitation between Jan and March of previous year (r=-0.90, p<0.01), however, the fruiting of S. chaenomeloides was highly correlated with max. temp. in Jan of previous year (r=0.99, p<0.01). Seed dispersion of both species is correlated with min. temp. in Feb. Phenology monitoring will contribute to understanding Salix spp. response against climate change.

Monitoring Onion Growth using UAV NDVI and Meteorological Factors

  • Na, Sang-Il;Park, Chan-Won;So, Kyu-Ho;Park, Jae-Moon;Lee, Kyung-Do
    • 한국토양비료학회지
    • /
    • 제50권4호
    • /
    • pp.306-317
    • /
    • 2017
  • Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) became popular platforms for the collection of remotely sensed data in the last years. This study deals with the monitoring of multi-temporal onion growth with very high resolution by means of low-cost equipment. The concept of the monitoring was estimation of multi-temporal onion growth using normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and meteorological factors. For this study, UAV imagery was taken on the Changnyeong, Hapcheon and Muan regions eight times from early February to late June during the onion growing season. In precision agriculture frequent remote sensing on such scales during the vegetation period provided important spatial information on the crop status. Meanwhile, four plant growth parameters, plant height (P.H.), leaf number (L.N.), plant diameter (P.D.) and fresh weight (F.W.) were measured for about three hundred plants (twenty plants per plot) for each field campaign. Three meteorological factors included average temperature, rainfall and irradiation over an entire onion growth period. The multiple linear regression models were suggested by using stepwise regression in the extraction of independent variables. As a result, $NDVI_{UAV}$ and rainfall in the model explain 88% and 68% of the P.H. and F.W. with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 7.29 cm and 59.47 g, respectively. And $NDVI_{UAV}$ in the model explain 43% of the L.N. with a RMSE of 0.96. These lead to the result that the characteristics of variations in onion growth according to $NDVI_{UAV}$ and other meteorological factors were well reflected in the model.

CMAQ 모델링을 통한 초기 기상장에 대한 미세먼지 농도 예측 민감도 연구 (Sensitivity Study of the Initial Meteorological Fields on the PM10 Concentration Predictions Using CMAQ Modeling)

  • 조유진;이효정;장임석;김철희
    • 한국대기환경학회지
    • /
    • 제33권6호
    • /
    • pp.554-569
    • /
    • 2017
  • Sensitivity analysis on $PM_{10}$ forecasting simulations was carried out by using two different initial and boundary conditions of meteorological fields: NCEP/FNL (National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Final Analysis) reanlaysis data and NCEP/GFS (National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Global Forecast System) forecasting data, and the comparisons were made between two different simulations. The two results both yielded lower $PM_{10}$ concentrations than observations, with relatively lower biased results by NCEP/FNL than NCEP/GFS. We explored the detailed individual meteorological variables to associate with $PM_{10}$ prediction performance. With the results of NCEP/FNL outperforming GFS, our conclusion is that no particular significant bias was found in temperature fields between NCEP/FNL and NCEP/GFS data, while the overestimated wind speed by NCEP/GFS data influenced on the lower $PM_{10}$ concentrations simulation than NCEP/FNL, by decreasing the duration time of high-$PM_{10}$ loaded air mass over both coastal and metropolitan areas. These comparative characteristics of FNL against GFS data such as maximum 3~4 m/s weaker wind speed, $PM_{10}$ concentration control with the highest possible factor of 1.3~1.6, and one or two hour difference of peak time for each case in this study, were also reflected into the results of statistical analysis. It is implying that improving the surface wind speed fluctuation is an important controlling factor for the better prediction of $PM_{10}$ over Korean Peninsula.

미세먼지 예보시스템 개발 (A Development of PM10 Forecasting System)

  • 구윤서;윤희영;권희용;유숙현
    • 한국대기환경학회지
    • /
    • 제26권6호
    • /
    • pp.666-682
    • /
    • 2010
  • The forecasting system for Today's and Tomorrow's PM10 was developed based on the statistical model and the forecasting was performed at 9 AM to predict Today's 24 hour average PM10 concentration and at 5 PM to predict Tomorrow's 24 hour average PM10. The Today's forecasting model was operated based on measured air quality and meteorological data while Tomorrow's model was run by monitored data as well as the meteorological data calculated from the weather forecasting model such as MM5 (Mesoscale Meteorological Model version 5). The observed air quality data at ambient air quality monitoring stations as well as measured and forecasted meteorological data were reviewed to find the relationship with target PM10 concentrations by the regression analysis. The PM concentration, wind speed, precipitation rate, mixing height and dew-point deficit temperature were major variables to determine the level of PM10 and the wind direction at 500 hpa height was also a good indicator to identify the influence of long-range transport from other countries. The neural network, regression model, and decision tree method were used as the forecasting models to predict the class of a comprehensive air quality index and the final forecasting index was determined by the most frequent index among the three model's predicted indexes. The accuracy, false alarm rate, and probability of detection in Tomorrow's model were 72.4%, 0.0%, and 42.9% while those in Today's model were 80.8%, 12.5%, and 77.8%, respectively. The statistical model had the limitation to predict the rapid changing PM10 concentration by long-range transport from the outside of Korea and in this case the chemical transport model would be an alternative method.

FNN 기반 신경회로망을 이용한 기상 레이더 에코 분류기 설계 : 에코판단 모듈의 비교 분석 (Design of Meteorological Radar Echo Classifier Using Fuzzy Relation-based Neural Networks : A Comparative Studies of Echo Judgement Modules)

  • 고준현;송찬석;오성권
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
    • /
    • 제24권5호
    • /
    • pp.562-568
    • /
    • 2014
  • 기상레이더에는 강수에코와 비강수 에코가 섞여 존재한다. 이런 모호한 지점의 판단이 난해함으로 정확한 일기 예보를 하기는 매우 어려운 일이다. 본 논문에서는 기상청 레이더의 UF 데이터로부터 데이터를 추출하였다. 설계하는 두 분류기의 입출력 데이터는 강수 에코와 비 강수 에코의 특성분석을 통해 구성된다. 더 좋은 성능을 나타나는 입력변수를 사용 하였으며, 에코분류기는 퍼지 뉴럴 네트워크를 기반으로 설계한다. 에코 판단모듈 1과 판단모듈 2를 고려하여 에코분류기의 성능 비교연구를 수행 한다.