• Title/Summary/Keyword: mathematical errors

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Analysis of Novelty Detection Properties of Autoassociative MLP (자기연상 다층퍼셉트론의 이상 탐지 성질 분석)

  • Lee, Hyoung-joo;Hwang, Byung-ho;Cho, Sungzoon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.147-161
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    • 2002
  • In novelty detection, one attempts to discriminate abnormal patterns from normal ones. Novelty detection is quite difficult since, unlike usual two class classification problems, only normal patterns are available for training. Auto-Associative Multi-Layer Perceptron (AAMLP) has been shown to provide a good performance based upon the property that novel patterns usually have larger auto-associative errors. In this paper, we give a mathematical analysis of 2-layer AAMLP's output characteristics and empirical results of 2-layer and 4-layer AAMLPs. Various activation functions such as linear, saturated linear and sigmoid are compared. The 2-layer AAMLPs cannot identify non-linear boundaries while the 4-layer ones can. When the data distribution is multi-modal, then an ensemble of AAMLPs, each of which is trained with pre-clustered data is required. This paper contributes to understanding of AAMLP networks and leads to practical recommendations regarding its use.

Analysis of Users' Satisfaction Utility for Precipitation Probabilistic Forecast Using Collective Value Score (그룹 가치스코어 모형을 활용한 강수확률예보의 사용자 만족도 효용 분석)

  • Yoon, Seung Chul;Lee, Ki-Kwang
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2015
  • This study proposes a mathematical model to estimate the economic value of weather forecast service, among which the precipitation forecast service is focused. The value is calculated in terms of users' satisfaction or dissatisfaction resulted from the users' decisions made by using the precipitation probabilistic forecasts and thresholds. The satisfaction values can be quantified by the traditional value score model, which shows the scaled utility values relative to the perfect forecast information. This paper extends the value score concept to a collective value score model which is defined as a weighted sum of users' satisfaction based on threshold distribution in a group of the users. The proposed collective value score model is applied to the picnic scenario by using four hypothetical sets of probabilistic forecasts, i.e., under-confident, over-confident, under-forecast and over-forecast. The application results show that under-confident type of forecasts outperforms the others as a measure of the maximum collective value regardless of users' dissatisfaction patterns caused by two types of forecast errors, e.g., miss and false alarm.

Pedagogical Content Knowledge: A Case Study of a Middle School Mathematics Teacher (교수법적 내용 지식: 미국 중학교 수학 교사 사례 연구)

  • Kim, Goo-Yeon
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.295-308
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this paper was to investigate the pedagogical content knowledge of a middle school mathematics teacher manifested in his mathematics instruction by identifying the components of the pedagogical content knowledge of the teacher. For the purpose of the study, I conducted an interpretive case study by collecting qualitative data. The results showed that the pedagogical content knowledge of the teacher was characterized by: (a) knowledge of mathematics including connection among topics and various ways of solving problems; (b) knowledge of students' understanding involving students' misconceptions, common errors, difficulties, and confusions; and (c) knowledge of pedagogy consisting of his efforts to motivate his students by providing realistic applications of mathematical topics and his use of materials.

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Exterior Orientation Parameters Determination from Satellite Imagery RPC Camera Model (위성영상 RPC 카메라 모델로부터 외부표정요소 결정)

  • Lee Hyo Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes method for determining exterior orientation parameters (EOPs) from the RPC mathematical camera model of the satellite image. SPOT satellite stereo pair is pre-tested using the proposed method. As results that, geopositioning errors are similar with those of the original EOPs. Differences between EOPs determined from the RPC and original EOPs were small. IKONOS Geo-level stereo pair is tested by the proposed method. Results of this method are compared with those of the RPC block adjustment method which have been verified in reported studies. Consequently, the proposed method showed accuracy similar to the RPC block adjustment method. The digital elevation models (DEMs) of sample area acquired by the two method almost did not have a difference.

Modeling and assessment of VWNN for signal processing of structural systems

  • Lin, Jeng-Wen;Wu, Tzung-Han
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 2013
  • This study aimed to develop a model to accurately predict the acceleration of structural systems during an earthquake. The acceleration and applied force of a structure were measured at current time step and the velocity and displacement were estimated through linear integration. These data were used as input to predict the structural acceleration at next time step. The computation tool used was the Volterra/Wiener neural network (VWNN) which contained the mathematical model to predict the acceleration. For alleviating problems of relatively large-dimensional and nonlinear systems, the VWNN model was utilized as the signal processing tool, including the Taylor series components in the input nodes of the neural network. The number of the intermediate layer nodes in the neural network model, containing the training and simulation stage, was evaluated and optimized. Discussions on the influences of the gradient descent with adaptive learning rate algorithm and the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm, both for determining the network weights, on prediction errors were provided. During the simulation stage, different earthquake excitations were tested with the optimized settings acquired from the training stage to find out which of the algorithms would result in the smallest error, to determine a proper simulation model.

Development of a Preprocessor Program for Articulated Total Body (ATB의 전처리 프로그램 개발)

  • Lee, Dong-Jae;Son, Kwon;Choi, Kyung-Hyun;Jeon, Kyu-Nam
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.214-222
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    • 2002
  • Computer simulations are widely used to analyze passenger safety in simulated traffic accidents. ATB, Articulated Total Body, is a computer simulation model developed to predict gross human body response to such dynamic environments as vehicle crashes and pilot ejections. ATB, whose code is open, has high flexibility and application capability that users can easily insert defined modules and functions. ATB is, however, inconvenient as it was coded in FORTRAN and it needs a formated input file. Moreover, it takes much time to make input files and to modify coding errors. This study aims to increase user friendliness by adding a preprocessor program, WINATB(WINdows ATB), to the conventional ATB. WINATB, programmed in Visual C++ and OpenGL, uses ATB IV as a dynamic solver. The preprocessor helps users prepare input files through graphic interface and dialog box. An additional postprocessor makes the graphical presentation of simulated results. In these case of the frontal crash, the rear impact and the side impact, the simulation results obtained by WINATB and MADYMO(MAthematical Dynamic Model) are compared to validate the effectiveness of WINAIB.

Are theoretically calculated periods of vibration for skeletal structures error-free?

  • Mehanny, Sameh S.F.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.17-35
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    • 2012
  • Simplified equations for fundamental period of vibration of skeletal structures provided by most seismic design provisions suffer from the absence of any associated confidence levels and of any reference to their empirical basis. Therefore, such equations may typically give a sector of designers the false impression of yielding a fairly accurate value of the period of vibration. This paper, although not addressing simplified codes equations, introduces a set of mathematical equations utilizing the theory of error propagation and First-Order Second-Moment (FOSM) techniques to determine bounds on the relative error in theoretically calculated fundamental period of vibration of skeletal structures. In a complementary step, and for verification purposes, Monte Carlo simulation technique has been also applied. The latter, despite involving larger computational effort, is expected to provide more precise estimates than FOSM methods. Studies of parametric uncertainties applied to reinforced concrete frame bents - potentially idealized as SDOF systems - are conducted demonstrating the effect of randomness and uncertainty of various relevant properties, shaping both mass and stiffness, on the variance (i.e. relative error) in the estimated period of vibration. Correlation between mass and stiffness parameters - regarded as random variables - is also thoroughly discussed. According to achieved results, a relative error in the period of vibration in the order of 19% for new designs/constructions and of about 25% for existing structures for assessment purposes - and even climbing up to about 36% in some special applications and/or circumstances - is acknowledged when adopting estimates gathered from the literature for relative errors in the relevant random input variables.

Effects of Angular Velocity Components on Head Vibration Measurements (각속도 성분들이 머리진동 측정치에 미치는 영향)

  • Park Yong Hwa;Cheung Wan Sup
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.1E
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2005
  • This paper addresses issues encountered in measuring the general, 6-degree-of-freedom motion of a human head, A complete mathematical description for measuring the head motion using the six-accelerometer configured bite-bar is suggested, The description shows that the six-axis vibration cannot be completely obtained without the roll, pitch and yaw angular velocity components, A new method of estimating the three orthogonal (roll, pitch and yaw) angular velocities from the six acceleration measurements is introduced. The estimated angular velocities are shown to enable further quantitative error analysis in measuring the translational and angular accelerations at the head. To make this point clear, experimental results are also illustrated in this paper. They show that when the effects of angular velocities are neglected in the head vibration measurement the maximum percentage errors were observed to be more than $3 \%$ for the angular acceleration of the head and to be close to $5 \%$ for its translational acceleration, respectively. It means that the inclusion of all the angular velocity dependent acceleration components gives more accurate measurement of the head vibration.

DEVSim++ - NS2 Interoperating Environment for Protocol Evaluation (프로토콜 평가를 위한 DEVSim++ 와 NS2 의 연동 환경)

  • 김회준;김탁곤
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.253-258
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes a methodology for development of protocol models. The methodology attempts to employ two modeling environments in models development, NS2 and DEVSim++, which will interoperate during simulation. NS2 is a widely used network simulator in protocol research, which employs an informal modeling approach. Within the approach time and state information of protocol models are not explicitly described, thus being hard to validate model. On the other hand the DEVS formalism is a mathematical framework for modeling a discrete event system in a hierarchical, modular manner. In DEVS, model's time and state information is described explicitly, By using DEVS formalism, models can easily be validated and errors in the modeling stage can be reduced. However, the DEVS simulator, DEVSim++, supports a small amount of models library which are required to build simulation models of general communication network. Although NS2 employs an informal modeling approach and models validation is difficult, it supports abundant models library validated by experimental users. Thus, combination of DEVS models and NS2 models may be an effective solution for network modeling. Such combination requires interoperation between DEVSim++ simulator and NS2 simulator. This paper develops an environment for such interoperation. Correctness and effectiveness of the implemented interoperation environment have been validated by simulation of UDP and TCP models.

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Study on the Static and Dynamic Stiffness Coefficients of Rubbers Connector by Using Finite Element Method (유한요소법을 이용한 고무 연결요소의 정-동강성 계수에 관한 연구)

  • 박노길;박성태
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 1995
  • Since the mechanical properties of the rubber connectors used in the vehicle structures are sensitive on the dynamic characteristics of the system, they must be exactly evaluated. In this paper, both finite deformation theory and Hookean model are considered to calculate the stiffness coefficients of rubber connectors. An expert system is developed by using finite element method. When the equivalent stiffness coefficients on the same kinds of isolators used in actual vehicles were emperically examined, the results were largely dispersed due to the lack of the quality control on the material properties. To compensate the errors caused by the mathematical modeling and the mechanical properties, a practical method which identifies the shear and bulk moduli of rubber with the experimented overall force-deformation curves is suggested and applied to the engine isolators of vehicle.

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