• Title/Summary/Keyword: markov models

Search Result 490, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

Joint analysis of binary and continuous data using skewed logit model in developmental toxicity studies (발달 독성학에서 비대칭 로짓 모형을 사용한 이진수 자료와 연속형 자료에 대한 결합분석)

  • Kim, Yeong-hwa;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.123-136
    • /
    • 2020
  • It is common to encounter correlated multiple outcomes measured on the same subject in various research fields. In developmental toxicity studies, presence of malformed pups and fetal weight are measured on the pregnant dams exposed to different levels of a toxic substance. Joint analysis of such two outcomes can result in more efficient inferences than separate models for each outcome. Most methods for joint modeling assume a normal distribution as random effects. However, in developmental toxicity studies, the response distributions may change irregularly in location and shape as the level of toxic substance changes, which may not be captured by a normal random effects model. Motivated by applications in developmental toxicity studies, we propose a Bayesian joint model for binary and continuous outcomes. In our model, we incorporate a skewed logit model for the binary outcome to allow the response distributions to have flexibly in both symmetric and asymmetric shapes on the toxic levels. We apply our proposed method to data from a developmental toxicity study of diethylhexyl phthalate.

A Study on Estimation of Regularizing Parameters for Energy-Based Stereo Matching (에너지 기반 스테레오 매칭에서의 정합 파라미터 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Hahn, Hee-Il;Ryu, Dae-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.288-294
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this paper we define the probability models for determining the disparity map given stereo images and derive the methods for solving the problem, which is proven to be equivalent to an energy-based stereo matching. Under the assumptions the difference between the pixel on the left image and the corresponding pixel on the right image and the difference between the disparities of the neighboring pixels are exponentially distributed, a recursive approach for estimating the MRF regularizing parameter is proposed. The proposed method alternates between estimating the parameters with the intermediate disparity map and estimating the disparity map with the estimated parameters, after computing it with random initial parameters. Our algorithm is applied to the stereo matching algorithms based on the dynamic programming and belief propagation to verify its operation and measure its performance.

Gaussian Density Selection Method of CDHMM in Speaker Recognition (화자인식에서 연속밀도 은닉마코프모델의 혼합밀도 결정방법)

  • 서창우;이주헌;임재열;이기용
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.22 no.8
    • /
    • pp.711-716
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper proposes the method to select the number of optimal mixtures in each state in Continuous Density HMM (Hidden Markov Models), Previously, researchers used the same number of mixture components in each state of HMM regardless spectral characteristic of speaker, To model each speaker as accurately as possible, we propose to use a different number of mixture components for each state, Selection of mixture components considered the probability value of mixture by each state that affects much parameter estimation of continuous density HMM, Also, we use PCA (principal component analysis) to reduce the correlation and obtain the system' stability when it is reduced the number of mixture components, We experiment it when the proposed method used average 10% small mixture components than the conventional HMM, When experiment result is only applied selection of mixture components, the proposed method could get the similar performance, When we used principal component analysis, the feature vector of the 16 order could get the performance decrease of average 0,35% and the 25 order performance improvement of average 0.65%.

Reliability Analysis for Train Control System by Software Fault Tolerance Techniques (소프트웨어 결함허용 기법에 의한 열차제어시스템 신뢰도 분석)

  • Suh, Seog-Chul;Lee, Jong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
    • /
    • v.12 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1043-1048
    • /
    • 2009
  • PES (Programmable Electronic System) is used by software development for the train control system. PES has been widely used in real world and consists of hardware, firmware and application software. The PES are easily apply to many applications because its implementation has high flexibility. Many safety critical functions are realized through software in safety critical system. Normally, it is difficult to detect failures for PES system because the PES is too sophisticated to identify sources of the failure. So, the reliability analysis is needed by using software fault tolerance techniques. Currently, there are the recovery block, distributed recovery block, N-version programming, N self-checking programming in fault tolerance techniques. In this paper, the models of recovery block and N-version programming in software fault tolerance techniques are suggested by using the Markov model. Also, the reliability in the train control system is analyzed through changing time. The fault occupancy rates of the program, adjustment test and voter are stationary. So, the relation between time and reliability is presented by using Matlab program. In the result of reliability, the reliability of recovery block is more high than N-version programming in case of the same number of substitution block.

A Bayesian zero-inflated Poisson regression model with random effects with application to smoking behavior (랜덤효과를 포함한 영과잉 포아송 회귀모형에 대한 베이지안 추론: 흡연 자료에의 적용)

  • Kim, Yeon Kyoung;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.287-301
    • /
    • 2018
  • It is common to encounter count data with excess zeros in various research fields such as the social sciences, natural sciences, medical science or engineering. Such count data have been explained mainly by zero-inflated Poisson model and extended models. Zero-inflated count data are also often correlated or clustered, in which random effects should be taken into account in the model. Frequentist approaches have been commonly used to fit such data. However, a Bayesian approach has advantages of prior information, avoidance of asymptotic approximations and practical estimation of the functions of parameters. We consider a Bayesian zero-inflated Poisson regression model with random effects for correlated zero-inflated count data. We conducted simulation studies to check the performance of the proposed model. We also applied the proposed model to smoking behavior data from the Regional Health Survey (2015) of the Korea Centers for disease control and prevention.

Small area estimations for disease mapping by using spatial model (질병지도 작성을 위해 공간모형을 이용한 소지역 추정)

  • An, Daeseong;Han, Junhee;Yoon, Taeho;Kim, Changhoon;Noh, Maengseok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.101-109
    • /
    • 2015
  • SMRs (standardized mortality rates) for major diseases, accidents, cancer are considered in small areas of administrative units such as Eup/Myeon/Dong from years 2005 to 2008. Due to small sample issue in small areas, the precision of directly estimated crude SMR for each area can be low. In this study, we consider the HGLM (hierarchical generalized linear model) with MRF (Markov random field) to account for the spatial correlations among the small areas. The effects of covariates for cause of mortality by Dongs in Seoul and disease maps based on the estimated SMR are presented. The results suggest how we analyze and interpret the difference in mortalities by small areas such as Dongs by revealing the spatial patterns.

A Sparse Data Preprocessing Using Support Vector Regression (Support Vector Regression을 이용한 희소 데이터의 전처리)

  • Jun, Sung-Hae;Park, Jung-Eun;Oh, Kyung-Whan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.14 no.6
    • /
    • pp.789-792
    • /
    • 2004
  • In various fields as web mining, bioinformatics, statistical data analysis, and so forth, very diversely missing values are found. These values make training data to be sparse. Largely, the missing values are replaced by predicted values using mean and mode. We can used the advanced missing value imputation methods as conditional mean, tree method, and Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm. But general imputation models have the property that their predictive accuracy is decreased according to increase the ratio of missing in training data. Moreover the number of available imputations is limited by increasing missing ratio. To settle this problem, we proposed statistical learning theory to preprocess for missing values. Our statistical learning theory is the support vector regression by Vapnik. The proposed method can be applied to sparsely training data. We verified the performance of our model using the data sets from UCI machine learning repository.

Hand gesture based a pet robot control (손 제스처 기반의 애완용 로봇 제어)

  • Park, Se-Hyun;Kim, Tae-Ui;Kwon, Kyung-Su
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.145-154
    • /
    • 2008
  • In this paper, we propose the pet robot control system using hand gesture recognition in image sequences acquired from a camera affixed to the pet robot. The proposed system consists of 4 steps; hand detection, feature extraction, gesture recognition and robot control. The hand region is first detected from the input images using the skin color model in HSI color space and connected component analysis. Next, the hand shape and motion features from the image sequences are extracted. Then we consider the hand shape for classification of meaning gestures. Thereafter the hand gesture is recognized by using HMMs (hidden markov models) which have the input as the quantized symbol sequence by the hand motion. Finally the pet robot is controlled by a order corresponding to the recognized hand gesture. We defined four commands of sit down, stand up, lie flat and shake hands for control of pet robot. And we show that user is able to control of pet robot through proposed system in the experiment.

  • PDF

Survival Prognostic Factors of Male Breast Cancer in Southern Iran: a LASSO-Cox Regression Approach

  • Shahraki, Hadi Raeisi;Salehi, Alireza;Zare, Najaf
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.16 no.15
    • /
    • pp.6773-6777
    • /
    • 2015
  • We used to LASSO-Cox method for determining prognostic factors of male breast cancer survival and showed the superiority of this method compared to Cox proportional hazard model in low sample size setting. In order to identify and estimate exactly the relative hazard of the most important factors effective for the survival duration of male breast cancer, the LASSO-Cox method has been used. Our data includes the information of male breast cancer patients in Fars province, south of Iran, from 1989 to 2008. Cox proportional hazard and LASSO-Cox models were fitted for 20 classified variables. To reduce the impact of missing data, the multiple imputation method was used 20 times through the Markov chain Mont Carlo method and the results were combined with Rubin's rules. In 50 patients, the age at diagnosis was 59.6 (SD=12.8) years with a minimum of 34 and maximum of 84 years and the mean of survival time was 62 months. Three, 5 and 10 year survival were 92%, 77% and 26%, respectively. Using the LASSO-Cox method led to eliminating 8 low effect variables and also decreased the standard error by 2.5 to 7 times. The relative efficiency of LASSO-Cox method compared with the Cox proportional hazard method was calculated as 22.39. The19 years follow of male breast cancer patients show that the age, having a history of alcohol use, nipple discharge, laterality, histological grade and duration of symptoms were the most important variables that have played an effective role in the patient's survival. In such situations, estimating the coefficients by LASSO-Cox method will be more efficient than the Cox's proportional hazard method.

On the Development of a Large-Vocabulary Continuous Speech Recognition System for the Korean Language (대용량 한국어 연속음성인식 시스템 개발)

  • Choi, In-Jeong;Kwon, Oh-Wook;Park, Jong-Ryeal;Park, Yong-Kyu;Kim, Do-Yeong;Jeong, Ho-Young;Un, Chong-Kwan
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.14 no.5
    • /
    • pp.44-50
    • /
    • 1995
  • This paper describes a large-vocabulary continuous speech recognition system using continuous hidden Markov models for the Korean language. To improve the performance of the system, we study on the selection of speech modeling units, inter-word modeling, search algorithm, and grammars. We used triphones as basic speech modeling units, generalized triphones and function word-dependent phones are used to improve the trainability of speech units and to reduce errors in function words. Silence between words is optionally inserted by using a silence model and a null transition. Word pair grammar and bigram model based oil word classes are used. Also we implement a search algorithm to find N-best candidate sentences. A postprocessor reorders the N-best sentences using word triple grammar, selects the most likely sentence as the final recognition result, and finally corrects trivial errors related with postpositions. In recognition tests using a 3,000-word continuous speech database, the system attained $93.1\%$ word recognition accuracy and $73.8\%$ sentence recognition accuracy using word triple grammar in postprocessing.

  • PDF