• Title/Summary/Keyword: market demand

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A New Market Transformation Policy for the Mid-Night Demand Discount Program (시장전환 정책을 통한 심야전력제도 개선방안에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Chang-Sub;Kim, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we have proposed a new market transformation policy to improve the existing rate discount program for the mid-night demand. The rate discount program for the mid-night demand is designed to relieve day-time demand and grow night-time demand since 1985. From this program, customer can save their electricity bills and at the same time electric utilities increase the load factor and utilization rate for the base-load generators such as nuclear and coal. Since this program has been introduced however, many economic problem has been brought out. This paper, therefore, has suggested new market transformations to resolve this problem, whereby economic loss can be shrink while all the interested party can minimize their individual benefits.

Role of Demand Response in Small Power Consumer Market and a Pilot Study (소규모 전력 소비자 대상 수요자원 거래시장의 필요성 및 시범운영 결과 분석)

  • Lee, Eun-jung;Lee, Kyung-eun;Lee, Hye-su;Lee, Hyo-seop;Kim, Eun-cheol;Rhee, Wonjong
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.915-922
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    • 2017
  • Demand Response Market (DR Market) has risen as one of the key solutions to address the growth and fluctuation of electricity consumptions. In Korea, DR market has been in operation since 2014, where the focus has been mainly on large-scale loads. Small-scale DR market, however, is becoming increasingly important because small power consumers' contribution to the national power consumption has been increasing and because small loads tend to show large fluctuations. Furthermore, small-scale DR can improve social awareness on energy issues which can bring additional impacts. In this paper, we provide the findings from a small-scale consumer DR pilot. The pilot was conducted in the summer of 2016 on over 5,000 small-scale users in Korea, and smartphone applications were used in the pilot. The effectiveness of small-scale DR Market is analyzed and addressed, and the results indicate a promising future of small-scale DR Market.

Domestic Automotive Exterior Lamp-LEDs Demand and Forecasting using BASS Diffusion Model (BASS 확산 모형을 이용한 국내 자동차 외장 램프 LED 수요예측 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Heun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.349-371
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Compared to the rapid growth rate of the domestic automotive LED industry so far, the predictive analysis method for demand forecasting or market outlook was insufficient. Accordingly, product characteristics are analyzed through the life trend of LEDs for automotive exterior lamps and the relative strengths of p and q using the Bass model. Also, future demands are predicted. Methods: We used sales data of a leading company in domestic market of automotive LEDs. Considering the autocorrelation error term of this data, parameters m, p, and q were estimated through the modified estimation method of OLS and the NLS(Nonlinear Least Squares) method, and the optimal method was selected by comparing prediction error performance such as RMSE. Future annual demands and cumulative demands were predicted through the growth curve obtained from Bass-NLS model. In addition, various nonlinear growth curve models were applied to the data to compare the Bass-NLS model with potential market demand, and an optimal model was derived. Results: From the analysis, the parameter estimation results by Bass-NLS obtained m=1338.13, p=0.0026, q=0.3003. If the current trend continues, domestic automotive LED market is predicted to reach its maximum peak in 2021 and the maximum demand is $102.23M. Potential market demand was $1338.13M. In the nonlinear growth curve model analysis, the Gompertz model was selected as the optimal model, and the potential market size was $2864.018M. Conclusion: It is expected that the Bass-NLS method will be applied to LED sales data for automotive to find out the characteristics of the relative strength of q/p of products and to be used to predict current demand and future cumulative demand.

A Study of Supplier's Bidding Strategies by Piecewise Demand Function (전력 수요함수에 따른 공급자의 입찰전략 연구)

  • Cho, Cheol-Hee;Choi, Seok-Keun;Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07a
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    • pp.615-617
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    • 2003
  • In electricity market with a imperfect competition, participants make plans of biddings and transaction strategies to maximize their own profits. The market price and the quantity are determined by bidding systems and market demands. Practically the characteristics of power demand have rather two forms; elastic region and inelastic region, than constant slope elasticity. Furthermore the price cap in the market can be modelled as a region of perfect elasticity in the demand function. This paper analyses supplier's bidding strategies which are reflected the characteristics of practical demand. Equilibrium strategies are solved by using the Bertrand model and payoff matrices.

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Applications of Innovation Adoption and Diffusion Theory to Demand Estimation for Communications and Media Converging (DMB) Services (혁신채택 및 확산이론의 통신방송융합(위성DMB) 서비스 수요추정 응용)

  • Sawng Yeong-Wha;Han Hyun-Soo
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.179-197
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    • 2005
  • This study examines market acceptance for DMB service, one of the touted new business models in Korea's next-generation mobile communications service market, using adoption end diffusion of innovation as the theoretical framework. Market acceptance for DMB service was assessed by predicting the demand for the service using the Bass model, and the demand variability over time was then analyzed by integrating the innovation adoption model proposed by Rogers (2003). In our estimation of the Bass model, we derived the coefficient of innovation and coefficient of imitation, using actual diffusion data from the mobile telephone service market. The maximum number of subscribers was estimated based on the result of a survey on satellite DMB service. Furthermore, to test the difference in diffusion pattern between mobile phone service and satellite DMB service, we reorganized the demand data along the diffusion timeline according to Rogers' innovation adoption model, using the responses by survey subjects concerning their respective projected time of adoption. The comparison of the two demand prediction models revealed that diffusion for both took place forming a classical S-curve. Concerning variability in demand for DMB service, our findings, much in agreement with Rogers' view, indicated that demand was highly variable over time and depending on the adopter group. In distinguishing adopters into different groups by time of adoption of innovation, we found that income and lifestyle (opinion leadership, novelty seeking tendency and independent decision-making) were variables with measurable impact. Among the managerial variables, price of reception device, contents type, subscription fees were the variables resulting in statistically significant differences. This study, as an attempt to measure the market acceptance for satellite DMB service, a leading next-generation mobile communications service product, stands out from related studies in that it estimates the nature and level of acceptance for specific customer categories, using theories of innovation adoption and diffusion and based on the result of a survey conducted through one-to-one interviews. The authors of this paper believe that the theoretical framework elaborated in this study and its findings can be fruitfully reused in future attempts to predict demand for new mobile communications service products.

Bid-based Direct Load Control Framework Under Electricity Markets (전력시장 환경하에 입찰기반의 직접부하제어 운영방안)

  • Lee, Ho-Chul;Song, Sung-Hwan;Yoon, Yong-Tae
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.455-461
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes Direct Load Control(DLC) operation scheme using a bidding system and the methodology to value proper quantity decided by the DLC program, which is a kind of resources for stabilization of electricity market price during peak times by managing consumer electricity demand. Since DLC program in Korea is based on the contract with the customers participating in this program, it is difficult to anticipate voluntary participation. That is, incentive for participants in DLC program is insufficient. To cope with this point, it is necessary to develop a new market mechanism and market compatible operation scheme for DLC programs. DLC market mechanism is deemed to be equipped with iterative bidding system, independent operation from energy market, and interactive with bidding information on energy market. With this market mechanism, it is important to find the optimal operation point of DLC allowing for the factors of stabilizing the electricity market price and compensating DLC implementation. This paper focuses on the mathematical approaches for the bid-based DLC operation scheme and examines several scenarios for the following technical justifications: 1) stabilization of electricity market price during peak times, 2) elasticity of demand.

Elasticity of Demand for Urban Housing in Western China Based on Micro-data - A Case Study of Kunming

  • Zhang, Hong;Li, Shaokai;Kong, Yanhua
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - Considering the importance of housing needs to real estate market, domestic studies on real estate prices from the perspective of demand are basically based on macro-data, but relatively few are associated with micro-data of urban real estate demand. We try to find a reliable relation of elasticity of demand and commercial housing market. Research design, data, and methodology - In this paper, we have derived housing demand theoretic method and have utilized micro-data of residential family housing survey of downtown area in Kunming City in October, 2015 to estimate income elasticity and price elasticity of housing demand respectively and make a comparative analysis. Results - The results indicate that income elasticity and price elasticity of families with owner-occupied housing are both larger than those of families with rental housing. Income elasticity of housing demand of urban residential families in Kunming is far below the foreign average and eastern coastal cities level, however, the corresponding price elasticity is far higher. Conclusions - We suggest that housing affordability of urban families in western China are constrained by the level of economic development, and the current housing price level has exceeded the economic affordability and psychological expectation of ordinary residents. Furthermore, noticing the great rigidity of housing demand, the expansion space of housing market for improvement and for commodity is limited.

The Trend of Competitive Structure in Telecommunications Industry : The Case of Voice Fixed and Mobile Service

  • Kim, Moon-Soo;Kim, Byung-Woon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.1B
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    • pp.34-46
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    • 2009
  • The remarkable growth of Korean telecommunication market has based on the introduction of competition as well as mobile technology like CDMA. It was well Down that such a conspicuous growth has been towed by mobile service rather than fixed telephone service. In telecommunications service the number of subscribers to mobile was over 40 millions in 2006 and also, while the traffic amount of fixed telephone has been more decreased, that of mobile, which already outnumbers the fixed, has been constantly increased and will be much more in future. It will accelerate the substitution of access and call demand of fixed service by mobile. This change of technology and demand does affect directly the market performance of telecommunications. And regulation has also an effect on market structure, which finally affects on market performance. In this paper we suppose the fixed and mobile telecommunications services are in a same industry. After reviewing the relations among the demand, cost, charge structure and revenue structure in the one fixed and mobile telecommunications market using the framework of an industrial structure analysis, we discuss the current issues of telecommunications regulation and implications for the future regulation.

Calculation for Components of Locational Marginal Price considering Demand-Side Bidding in a Competitive Electricity Market (경쟁시장내의 수요자원입찰을 고려한 모선별 한계가격의 구성요소산정 기법)

  • Kim, Hyun-Houng;Kim, Jin-Ho;Park, Jong-Bae;Shin, Joong-Rin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.7
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    • pp.1157-1166
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a new approach for the evaluation of location marginal prices (LMPs) considering demand-side bidding (DSB) in a competitive electricity market. The stabilization of the electric power supply and demand balance is one of the major important activities in electric power industry. In this paper, we present an analytical method for calculation of LMPs considering DSB, which has opportunity to compete with generating units, as England & Wales Pool's DSB scheme[1]. Also, we propose a new approach that LMP considering DSB is divided into three components. The proposed approach can be used for the evaluation of demand-side bidding into the electricity market and the assessment of the influence of DSB on total production costs and LMPs as well as three components.

The Effect of Consideration Set on Market Structure

  • Kim, Jun B.
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2020
  • We estimate a choice-based aggregate demand model accounting for consumers' consideration sets, and study its implications on market structure. In contrast to past research, we model and estimate consumer demand using aggregate-level consumer browsing data in addition to aggregate-level choice data. The use of consumer browsing data allows us to study consumer demand in a realistic setting in which consumers choose from a subset of products. We calibrate the proposed model on both data sets, avoid biases in parameter estimates, and compute the price elasticity measures. As an empirical application, we estimate consumer demand in the camcorder category and study its implications on market structure. The proposed model predicts a limited consumer price response and offers a more discriminating competitive landscape from the one assuming universal consideration set.