• Title/Summary/Keyword: maritime transportation

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A Study on the Early Warning Model of Crude Oil Shipping Market Using Signal Approach (신호접근법에 의한 유조선 해운시장 위기 예측 연구)

  • Bong Keun Choi;Dong-Keun Ryoo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 2023
  • The manufacturing industry is the backbone of the Korean economy. Among them, the petrochemical industry is a strategic growth industry, which makes a profit through reexports based on eminent technology in South Korea which imports all of its crude oil. South Korea imports whole amount of crude oil, which is the raw material for many manufacturing industries, by sea transportation. Therefore, it must respond swiftly to a highly volatile tanker freight market. This study aimed to make an early warning model of crude oil shipping market using a signal approach. The crisis of crude oil shipping market is defined by BDTI. The overall leading index is made of 38 factors from macro economy, financial data, and shipping market data. Only leading correlation factors were chosen to be used for the overall leading index. The overall leading index had the highest correlation coefficient factor of 0.499 two months ago. It showed a significant correlation coefficient five months ago. The QPS value was 0.13, which was found to have high accuracy for crisis prediction. Furthermore, unlike other previous time series forecasting model studies, this study quantitatively approached the time lag between economic crisis and the crisis of the tanker ship market, providing workers and policy makers in the shipping industry with an framework for strategies that could effectively deal with the crisis.

Time series and deep learning prediction study Using container Throughput at Busan Port (부산항 컨테이너 물동량을 이용한 시계열 및 딥러닝 예측연구)

  • Seung-Pil Lee;Hwan-Seong Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.391-393
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    • 2022
  • In recent years, technologies forecasting demand based on deep learning and big data have accelerated the smartification of the field of e-commerce, logistics and distribution areas. In particular, ports, which are the center of global transportation networks and modern intelligent logistics, are rapidly responding to changes in the global economy and port environment caused by the 4th industrial revolution. Port traffic forecasting will have an important impact in various fields such as new port construction, port expansion, and terminal operation. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to compare the time series analysis and deep learning analysis, which are often used for port traffic prediction, and to derive a prediction model suitable for the future container prediction of Busan Port. In addition, external variables related to trade volume changes were selected as correlations and applied to the multivariate deep learning prediction model. As a result, it was found that the LSTM error was low in the single-variable prediction model using only Busan Port container freight volume, and the LSTM error was also low in the multivariate prediction model using external variables.

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Pallet Size Optimization for Special Cargo based on Neighborhood Search Algorithm (이웃해 탐색 알고리즘 기반의 특수화물 팔레트 크기 최적화)

  • Hyeon-Soo Shin;Chang-Hyeon Kim;Chang-Wan Ha;Hwan-Seong Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.250-251
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    • 2023
  • The pallet, typically a form of tertiary packaging, is a flat structure used as a base for the unitization of goods in the supply chain. In addition, standard pallets such as T-11 and T-12 are used throughout the logistics industry to reduce the cost and enhance the efficiency of transportation. However, in the case of special cargo, it is impossible to handle such cargo using a standard pallet due to its size and weight, so many have developed and are now using their customized pallet. Therefore, this study suggests a pallet size optimization method to calculate the optimal pallet size, which minimizes the loss of space on a pallet. The main input features are the specifications and the storage quantity of each cargo, and the optimization method that has modified the Neighborhood Search Algorithm calculates the optimal pallet size. In order to verify the optimality of the developed algorithm, a comparative analysis has been conducted through simulation.

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A Study on the Required Horsepower of Tugboats at Jeju Port for Car Ferries - Focusing on Car Ferry H - (카페리여객선 제주항 입출항 시 예선 사용 기준에 관한 연구 - 카페리여객선 H호를 중심으로 -)

  • Byung-Sun Kang;Chang-Hyun Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2024
  • Four accidents occurred between 2020 and 2022 after car ferries built according to a coastal passenger ship modernization plan collided with other ships or came into contact with the dock when entering Jeju Port. Accidents primarily occurred owing to careless ship handling and drift by wind during ship handled by herself using bow and stern thrusters without tugboats. Accordingly, in this study, we analyzed the collision accident focusing on car ferry H and the critical wind speed at which the ship cannot be controlled using its own power, tugboat operation plan in increasing wind speed were proposed based on the power required for the ship to berth parallel to the pier without a tugboat considering the external force and moment generated while the ship is berthing. A analysis of the critical wind speed of car ferry H by relative wind direction when using tugboats or not according to the loading status and the berthing speed, showed that one tugboat should be used at the stern when the lateral wind speed is over 10 m/s and two tugboats should be used when the lateral wind speed is over 14m/s berthing at Jeju port.

Conceptual Design and Examination of Required Functions of a Public Ship in Chuja-do (추자도 행정선의 필요기능 조사 및 선박 개념설계)

  • An, Kwang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.606-614
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    • 2020
  • The administrative ship, Chuja-ho, is the only mode of transportation between manned islands in the Chuja-do, Jeju. Chuja-ho is a 25-year-old age, which is identified to pass the persisting period (25 years) for public ships, and there is an urgent need for a replacement. The residents of the island are also requesting that the new administrative ship be outfitted with medical functions because there is no sea transportation system for medical emergencies in Chuja-do. The purpose of this study is to examine the required functions of a new administrative ship outfitted with medical functions and to suggest a conceptual design. In order to review the necessity of an emergency patient transport system, user requirements were surveyed and analyzed, and the ship's condition assessed by ship experts who carried out an on-site survey and analysis of ship survey data. Thereafter, a conceptual design for a new administrative ship with medical functions was presented. The results of this study can be used during a review of a new budget plan and for basic ship designs during the replacement project by the local government. It is also expected to improve the safety and medical environment of Chuja-do residents.

A Study on the Optimal Probability Distribution for the Time Interval Between Ships on the Traffic Route of the Busan North Port (부산 북항 통항 선박간의 시간간격 최적 확률분포에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Kwan
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.413-419
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    • 2019
  • Traffic routes typically have heavy traffic. Especially, the entrance of the route has a high risk of accidents occurring because of ships entering and exiting the port. However, almost of studies have focused on the distribution of traffic on the route. Thus, studies on the distribution between ships for passing through the route are insufficient. The purpose of this study was to analysis the traffic in the Busan north port No.1 route for one week. Based on present traffic conditions, one gate line was settled on the route with an analysis of traffic conditions. Based on the analysis data, each optimal time probability distribution between ships was divided into inbound/outbound and traffic volume. An analysis of the optimal probability distribution, was applied to 31 probability distributions divided into bounded, unbounded, non-negative, and advanced probability distribution. The KS test was applied for identifying three major optimal time probability distributions. According to the KS test results, the Wakeby distribution is the best optimal time probability distribution on the designated route. Although the optimal time probability distribution for other transportation studies such as on vehicles on highways is a non-negative probability distribution, this distribution is an advanced probability distribution. Thus, the application of major probability distribution for using other transportation studies is not applicable to this study Additionally, the distance between ships in actual traffic surveys and the distance estimated by the optimal probability distribution were compared. As a result of the comparison, those distances were fairly similar. However, this study was conducted in only one major port. Thus, it is necessary to investigate the time between ships and calculate a traffic volume on varying routes in future studies.

A Study on Estimation of the Course Keeping Ability of a Ship in Confined Waterways Using the MMG Model (MMG 모델을 이용한 제한수로를 운항하는 선박의 침로안정성능 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyunchul;Kim, In-Tae;Kim, Sanghyun;Kwon, Soo Yeon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.369-376
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    • 2019
  • Ship hydrodynamics in the confined waterways is challenging. When a ship is maneuvering in confined waterways, the hydrodynamic behavior may vary significantly because of the hydrodynamic interaction between the bottom of the ship hull and the seabed, or so-called shallow water effects. Thus, an accurate prediction of shallow water and bank effects is essential to minimizing the risk of the collision and the grounding of the ships. The hydrodynamic derivatives measured by the virtual captive model test provide a path to predicting the change in ship maneuverability. This paper presents a numerical simulation of captive model tests to predict the maneuverability of a ship in confined waterways. Also, straight and zig-zag simulation were conducted to predict the trajectory of a ship maneuvering in confined waterways. The results showed that the asymmetric flow around a ship induced by vicinity of banks causes pressure differences between the port and starboard sides and the trajectory of a ship maneuvering in confined waterways.

A Study on the Safe Transportation of a Non-Standardized Cargo (Steel Box) for General Cargo Ships (일반화물선에서 비표준화물(철재상자)의 안전한 운송을 위한 고찰)

  • Kim, Ji-Hong
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.444-449
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    • 2019
  • The "Standard on Cargo Stowage and Securing" implemented to safely stow and secure the cargo of international shipping vessels and domestic car ferries, has also been applied to general cargo ships transported between domestic ports since J anuary 2018. As a result, a new type of cargo, such as a non-standardized steel box transported by general cargo ships to major ports in Korea from Jeju Island in Korea, must be factored as the method of safe stowage and securing according to the legal classification of cargo. This study analyzed the legal status of a steel box by analyzing the actual size, shape of steel box through field verification, collection of data from relevant agencies and finally proposed the methods of safe stowage and securing for a steel box in the cargo holds of general cargo ships. According to the relevant domestic laws and international regulations, steel boxes could be classified as pallette boxes with protective outer packing, a type of non-standardized cargo. Additionally, when a steel box is loaded into the cargo hold of general cargo ships, a method of loading and transporting them must be factored so that there is no gap in the cargo hold of ships. Verification of the safety of the tightly loading and transportation measures in the reviewed cargo hold was verified through safety of the hull structure and securing of the ship's stability. As a result of verification of the safety of the hull structure, the value of the structural strength on both sides and the floor of the cargo hold for the total weight of cargo that can be loaded in the cargo hold was satisfied, and the value of the ship's stability was satisfied with the value of GoM and the restoration of the three cross-sectional stability curve areas.

A study for Secure the Reliability of Automated Guided Vehicle Remote Control System (무인운반차 RCS(Remote Control System)의 신뢰확보를 위한 연구)

  • Jeon, Hyong-Mo;Kang, Sang-Won
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2017
  • With rapid development of IT technology and biotechnology, human lifespan is extended rapidly, and we are living in the era where aging becomes the social issue. Due to this aging problem, manpower is mainly replaced by Automated Guided Vehicles (AGV) in manufacturing factories or warehouse logistics transportation. Rate of AGV use increases sharply every year. AGVs, which were used only in Smart Factories, extends its usage into indoor and outdoor operation by changing their usages to container transportation that can carry huge containers in the harbor. With the expansion of AGVs usage, the importance of RCS (Remote Control System) is also increased. In this study, we surveyed and analyzed the characteristics and technology trends of technical features of AGV's RCS that are developing in various ways to establish quality evaluation system of AGV RCS. Based on this, and by referring to international quality assessment standards, ISO/IEC 25000 series, we derived evaluation items on functional suitability and usability to secure reliability of AGV RCS. Also, it is our intention to develop evaluation model using those derived usability and reliability evaluation items.

A Study on the Analysis of Non-competitive factors of Mokpo port and Improvement (목포항 비경쟁 요인 분석 및 개선방안 연구)

  • Park, Gyei-Kark;Choi, Kyoung-Hoon;Lee, Cheong-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.113-132
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    • 2018
  • Mokpo port marked the $131^{st}$ anniversary of its opening in 2018. while the Mokpo has taken the new port development initiatives, it is limited by inefficient port functioning due to the lack of maritime port policy and government investment. Hence, port logistics has not been activated. Additionally, studies on Mokpo port have not been conducted, and knowledge available on the port is declarative in nature. On the other hand, research on port competitiveness focuses on how to analyze the factors that determine port competitiveness. Therefore, this study was intended to expand the existing research on Mokpo port and conduct an analysis of non-competitiveness factors and suggested improvements by considering the operational aspect of Mokpo port. In this regard the importance of non-competitiveness factors was assessed through an analytic hierarchy process(AHP) analysis and the influence of the non-competitiveness factors was analyzed through an fuzzy structural modeling(FSM) analysis. The result of the AHP analysis show ed the important non-competitiveness factors included the deactivation of industrial complexes around Mokpo port, the number of liner route, the cost of the pilot and tug. Accor ding to the FSM analysis, the top level included the non-competitive factors at Mokpo port; the intermediate level included the number of liner routes, cost of pilot and tug, enrance and clearance fee, costs of inland transportation, fee for port facilities, and loading and unloading costs; and the bottom level comprised the most non-competitive factors including the deactivation of industrial complexes around Mokpo port, hinterland connectivity, access to international port, incentives, and cost of transportation and storage. Based on the results of analysis, improvements were suggested for non-competitive factors of Mokpo.