• Title/Summary/Keyword: m-probability

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Evaluation of pre-developed seismic fragility models of bored tunnels (기 개발된 굴착식 터널의 지진취약도 모델 적용성 평가)

  • Seunghoon Yang;Dongyoup Kwak
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.187-200
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the seismic fragility of bored tunnels based on their surrounding conditions and suggested a representative seismic fragility model. By analyzing the existed seismic fragility models developed for bored tunnels, we developed weighted combination models for each surrounding conditions, such as ground conditions and depth of the tunnel. The seismic fragility curves use the peak ground acceleration (PGA) as a parameter. When the PGA was 0.3 g, the probability of damage exceeding minor or slight damage was 20% for depth of 50 m or less, 10% for depth between 50 m and 100 m, and 3% for depth of 100 m or more. It was also found that the probability of damage was higher for the same PGA and depth when the surrounding ground was rock rather than soil. The probability of damage decreases as the depth increase. This study is expected to be used for developing a comprehensive seismic fragility function for tunnels in the future.

A Study on Probability of Street Blockade at a Large-scale Disaster in a Historic Preservation Area

  • Mishima, Nobuo;Ishimaru, Daisuke;Oh, Yong-Sun;Park, Sun Gyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2013.05a
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    • pp.251-252
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    • 2013
  • Most of the Historic Preservation Areas are very vulnerable to disasters. The aim of this study is to build probability of street blockade for evacuation routes planning from each house to an evacuation place at a large-scale disaster in such a historic preservation area. The study area is Hamanaka Machi Happongi Shuku in Kashima city, Saga Prefecture, which has been designated as a preservation district of traditional buildings. To achieve this aim, we referred to the formula for probability of street blockade for normal city area made by Tokyo Fire Agency. We revised it, considering the width of street under 4 m, structure of houses along the street, and the distance from the house to main street with the width over 4 m. Then, we applied the revised formula to the study area.

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BMAP/M/N/O Queueing System in Random Environments

  • Kim, Che-Soong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.461-465
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    • 2007
  • The BMAP/M/N/O queueing system operating in Markovian random environment is investigated. The stationary distribution of the system is calculated. Loss probability and other performance measures are calculated. Numerical experiments which show the necessity of taking into account the influence of random environment and correlation in input flow are presented.

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On Confidence Interval for the Probability of Success

  • Sang-Joon Lee;M. T. Longnecker;Woochul Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.263-269
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    • 1996
  • The somplest approximate confidence interval for the probability of success is the one based on the normal approximation to the binomial distribution, It is widely used in the introductory teaching, and various guidelines for its use with "large" sample have appeared in the literature. This paper suggests a guideline when to use it as an approximation to the exact confidence interval, and comparisons with existing guidelines are provided. provided.

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M & S Tool for Analyzing the Detection Performance in Bistatic Radar (바이스태틱 레이더의 탐지 성능 분석용 M & S Tool)

  • Kim, Kwan-Soo;Youn, Jae-Hyuk;Yang, Hoon-Gee;Chung, Young-Seek;Lee, Won-Woo;Bae, Kyung-Bin
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.631-640
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes a M & S Tool for simulating the detection performance in the bistatic radar system. After examing the interrelationship among the bistatic radar parameters, $P_d$(probability of detection), $P_{fa}$(probability of false alarm) and ��SNR of the received signal, we analyze the range of the bistatic radar range product and range sum. We derive the number of integration of the received pulses that satisfies the required detection performance of the bistatic radar system, along with the analysis of the performance degradation in the jammer scenario. Finally, the analyzed results are implemented in the M & S Tool which consists of 4 modules.

Performance Evaluation of Finite Queue Switching Under Two-Dimensional M/G/1(m) Traffic

  • Islam, Md. Syeful;Rahman, Md. Rezaur;Roy, Anupam;Islam, Md. Imdadul;Amin, M.R.
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.679-690
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we consider a local area network (LAN) of dual mode service where one is a token bus and the other is a carrier sense multiple access with a collision detection (CSMA/CD) bus. The objective of the paper is to find the overall cell/packet dropping probability of a dual mode LAN for finite length queue M/G/1(m) traffic. Here, the offered traffic of the LAN is taken to be the equivalent carried traffic of a one-millisecond delay. The concept of a tabular solution for two-dimensional Poisson's traffic of circuit switching is adapted here to find the cell dropping probability of the dual mode packet service. Although the work is done for the traffic of similar bandwidth, it can be extended for the case of a dissimilar bandwidth of a circuit switched network.

Bayesian Procedure for the Multiple Test of Fraction Nonconforming (부적합률의 다중검정을 위한 베이지안절차)

  • Kim, Kyung-Sook;Kim, Hee-Jeong;Na, Myung-Hwan;Son, Young-Sook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.73-77
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, the Bayesian procedure for the multiple test of fraction nonconforming, p, is proposed. It is the procedure for checking whether the process is out of control, in control, or under the permissible level for p. The procedure is as follows: first, setting up three types of models, $M_1:p=p_0,\;M_2:pp_0$, second, computing the posterior probability of each model. and then choosing the model with the largest posterior probability as a model most fitted for the observed sample among three competitive models. Finally, the simulation study is performed to examine the proposed method.

Bayesian Procedure for the Multiple Test of Fraction Nonconforming (부적합률의 다중검정을 위한 베이지안절차)

  • Kim, Kyung-Sook;Kim, Hee-Jeong;Na, Myung-Hwan;Son, Young-Sook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.325-329
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, the Bayesian procedure for the multiple test of fraction nonconforming, p, is proposed. It is the procedure for checking whether the process is out of control, in control, or under the permissible level for p. The procedure is as follows: first, setting up three types of models, $M_1:p=p_0,\;M_2:pp_0$, second, computing the posterior probability of each model. and then choosing the model with the largest posterior probability as a model most fitted for the observed sample among three competitive models. Finally, the simulation study is performed to examine the proposed method.

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ON M/M/3/3 RETRIAL QUEUEING SYSTEM

  • KIM, YEONG CHEOL
    • Honam Mathematical Journal
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 1995
  • We find a method finding the steady-state probabilities of M/M/3/3 retrial queueing system.

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