• Title/Summary/Keyword: loss severity

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Earthquake Loss Estimation Including Regional Characteristics (지역특성을 반영한 지진손실평가)

  • Kim, Joon-Hyung;Hong, Yun-Su;Yu, Eunjong
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.311-320
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    • 2023
  • When an earthquake occurs, the severity of damage is determined by natural factors such as the magnitude of the earthquake, the epicenter distance, soil properties, and type of the structures in the affected area, as well as the socio-economic factors such as the population, disaster prevention measures, and economic power of the community. This study evaluated the direct economic loss due to building damage and the community's recovery ability. Building damage was estimated using fragility functions due to the design earthquake by the seismic design code. The usage of the building was determined from the information in the building registrar. Direct economic loss was evaluated using the standard unit price and estimated building damage. The standard unit price was obtained from the Korean Real Estate Board. The community's recovery capacity was calculated using nine indicators selected from regional statistical data. After appropriate normalization and factor analysis, the recovery ability score was calculated through relative evaluation with neighboring cities.

A study on the credibility estimation model for the indurance experience rate-making (보험 경험요율산정을 위한 신뢰도 추정모형 연구)

  • 강정혁;양원섭
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.153-167
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    • 1994
  • Credibility theory has provided with a useful tool the assignment of weighting factor that reflects the credibility of the observed individual and collective experience to secure fair experience rate-,making. We review credibility models which can effectively estimate risk premiums using credibility theory, and suggest an empirical Bayed model based on the collective statistics to estimate the structural parameters. To illustrate the use of evolutionary models, the models are applied to the actual data, such as loss ratio, claim frequencies and severity, in the Korean automobile insurance. Also the possibilities of generalizations and applications of empirical models are discussed.

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Effects of Fungicide Control of Downy Mildew (Pseudoperonospora cubensis) on Yield and Disease Management of Ridge Gourd (Luffa acutangula)

  • Deadman, M.L.;Kagadi, S.R.;Pawar, D.R.;Gadre, U.A.
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.147-151
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    • 2002
  • Seven fungicides were compared for the control of downy mildew on midge gourd. All treatments had significantly lower rates of disease progress curves and disease severity levels than that of the control. The highest yields were obtained from crops treated with metalaxyl + mancozeb, fosetyl-Al, and chlorothalonil. These treatments also proved to be the most economical considering the treatment costs.

Analysis on Safety Management of Elevator (승강기 안전관리제도의 문제점 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Gi-Heung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2007
  • This study focuses on the statistical analysis on safety management of elevators. Specifically, frequency and severity of accidents in relation to conditional pass in periodic inspection, maintenance, market surveillance are analysed based on the statistical data and social loss due to poor management is estimated. The results of statistical analysis performed in this study will provide logical basis and future direction for improving the safety management system.

Development of a New Flood Index for Local Flood Severity Predictions (국지홍수 심도예측을 위한 새로운 홍수지수의 개발)

  • Jo, Deok Jun;Son, In Ook;Choi, Hyun Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2013
  • Recently, an increase in the occurrence of sudden local flooding of great volume and short duration due to global climate changes has occasioned the significant danger and loss of life and property in Korea as well as most parts of the world. Such a local flood that usually occurs as the result of intense rainfall over small regions rises quite quickly with little or no advance warning time to prevent flood damage. To prevent the local flood damage, it is important to quickly predict the flood severity for flood events exceeding a threshold discharge that may cause the flood damage for inland areas. The aim of this study is to develop the NFI (New Flood Index) measuring the severity of floods in small ungauged catchments for use in local flood predictions by the regression analysis between the NFI and rainfall patterns. Flood runoff hydrographs are generated from a rainfall-runoff model using the annual maximum rainfall series of long-term observations for the two study catchments. The flood events above a threshold assumed as the 2-year return period discharge are targeted to estimate the NFI obtained by the geometric mean of the three relative severity factors, such as the flood magnitude ratio, the rising curve gradient, and the flooding duration time. The regression results show that the 3-hour maximum rainfall depths have the highest relationships with the NFI. It is expected that the best-fit regression equation between the NFI and rainfall characteristics can provide the basic database of the preliminary information for predicting the local flood severity in small ungauged catchments.

Strategies for Risk Management of Agricultural Business in Agricultural Companies (농업경영체의 농업경영위험관리 전략에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Cheol-Ho
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.631-664
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    • 2011
  • As agricultural companies encounter number of risks in their business, it is very important to control the risks for their stable management. So we examine the agricultural business risks and propose the risk management strategies for the agricultural companies. For these purpose, we analyze the agricultural business risks with which agricultural companies are confronted, and propose the agricultural companies' the risk management strategies. The results of this study are as follows : First, Changing the risk environment of agricultural business, we have to realize the importance of the agricultural risks and risk management in it. Second, When we choose the risk management strategies which are risk retention, risk avoidance, risk control, risk transfer and insurance, etc., we should always consider the frequency of loss and the severity of loss. Third, If we don't control the agricultural risks, we will be in a position to very difficult situation. So, Agricultural companies should lead to stronger effort to manage the risks for their stable business.

Molecular mechanisms and therapeutic interventions in sarcopenia

  • Park, Sung Sup;Kwon, Eun-Soo;Kwon, Ki-Sun
    • Osteoporosis and Sarcopenia
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.117-122
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    • 2017
  • Sarcopenia is the degenerative loss of muscle mass and function with aging. Recently sarcopenia was recognized as a clinical disease by the International Classification of Disease, 10th revision, Clinical Modification. An imbalance between protein synthesis and degradation causes a gradual loss of muscle mass, resulting in a decline of muscle function as a progress of sarcopenia. Many mechanisms involved in the onset of sarcopenia include age-related factors as well as activity-, disease-, and nutrition-related factors. The stage of sarcopenia reflecting the severity of conditions assists clinical management of sarcopenia. It is important that systemic descriptions of the disease conditions include age, sex, and other environmental risk factors as well as levels of physical function. To develop a new therapeutic intervention needed is the detailed understanding of molecular and cellular mechanisms by which apoptosis, autophagy, atrophy, and hypertrophy occur in the muscle stem cells, myotubes, and/or neuromuscular junction. The new strategy to managing sarcopenia will be signal-modulating small molecules, natural compounds, repurposing of old drugs, and muscle-specific microRNAs.

Integrated Model for Assessment of Risks in Rail Tracks under Various Operating Conditions

  • G. Chattopadhyay;V. Reddy;Larsson, P-O
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.183-190
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    • 2003
  • Rail breaks and derailments can cause a huge loss to rail players due to loss of service, revenue, property or even life. Maintenance has huge impact on reliability and safety of railroads. It is important to identify factors behind rail degradation and their risks associated with rail breaks and derailments. Development of mathematical models is essential for prediction and prevention of risks due to rail and wheel set damages, rail breaks and derailments. This paper addresses identification of hazard modes, estimation of probability of those hazards under operating, curve and environmental condition, probability of detection of potential hazards before happening and severity of those hazards for informed strategic decisions. Emphasis is put on optimal maintenance and operational decisions. Real life data is used for illustration.

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Comparison of fluorescence loss measurements among various generations of QLF devices (세대별 QLF 기기의 평활면 비와동형 법랑질 우식 병소 탐지에 관한 진단정확도 비교)

  • Park, Seok-Woo;Lee, Hyung-Suk;Kim, Sang-Kyeom;Lee, Eun-Song;de Jong, Elbert de Josselin;Kim, Baek-Il
    • The Journal of the Korean dental association
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.8-16
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The aim of in vitro study was to compare the diagnostic accuracy to detect non-cavitated enamel caries on smooth surface by using four kinds of the QLF devices. Materials and Methods: A total of 52 human permanent premolars and molars were used. Fluorescence images were captured by the QLF devices (Inspektor Pro, QLF-D, Qraycam, and Qraypen). Fluorescence loss of the QLF was calculated. The severity of lesions was categorized into the following 3 scores using polarized light microscopy: normal (S), enamel demineralization to outer half of enamel (D1), and inner half of the enamel up to the dentin-enamel junction (D2). The Kruskal-Wallis test was used to compare the fluorescence loss among the QLF devices. Spearman rank correlation coefficient between histological scores and fluorescence loss of the devices was calculated. The sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) were calculated to compare their diagnostic accuracies. Results: The correlation coefficients between histological scores and the fluorescence loss of the devices showed 0.77 to 0.81 (P < 0.001). All histological scores, the fluorescence loss among the devices showed no statistical difference. Among the devices, sensitivity, specificity, and AUC values of the fluorescence loss showed 0.84 to 0.94, 0.76 to 0.90, and 0.90 to 0.92, respectively. Conclusions: All QLF devices had no difference with excellent diagnostic accuracies to detect non-cavitated enamel caries on smooth surface.

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Advanced peri-implantitis cases with radical surgical treatment

  • McCrea, Shane J.J.
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: Peri-implantitis, a clinical term describing the inflammatory process that affects the soft and hard tissues around an osseointegrated implant, may lead to peri-implant pocket formation and loss of supporting bone. However, this imprecise definition has resulted in a wide variation of the reported prevalence; ${\geq}10%$ of implants and 20% of patients over a 5- to 10-year period after implantation has been reported. The individual reporting of bone loss, bleeding on probing, pocket probing depth and inconsistent recording of results has led to this variation in the prevalence. Thus, a specific definition of peri-implantitis is needed. This paper describes the vast variation existing in the definition of peri-implantitis and suggests a logical way to record the degree and prevalence of the condition. The evaluation of bone loss must be made within the concept of natural physiological bony remodelling according to the initial peri-implant hard and soft tissue damage and actual definitive load of the implant. Therefore, the reason for bone loss must be determined as either a result of the individual osseous remodelling process or a response to infection. Methods: The most current Papers and Consensus of Opinion describing peri-implantitis are presented to illustrate the dilemma that periodontologists and implant surgeons are faced with when diagnosing the degree of the disease process and the necessary treatment regime that will be required. Results: The treatment of peri-implantitis should be determined by its severity. A case of advanced peri-implantitis is at risk of extreme implant exposure that results in a loss of soft tissue morphology and keratinized gingival tissue. Conclusions: Loss of bone at the implant surface may lead to loss of bone at any adjacent natural teeth or implants. Thus, if early detection of peri-implantitis has not occurred and the disease process progresses to advanced peri-implantitis, the compromised hard and soft tissues will require extensive, skill-sensitive regenerative procedures, including implantotomy, established periodontal regenerative techniques and alternative osteotomy sites.