• Title/Summary/Keyword: long-term rainfall analysis

Search Result 188, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Analysis of Spatical Distribution of Surface Runoff in Seoul City using L-THIA: Case Study on Event at July 27, 2011 (L-THIA를 이용한 서울특별시 유출량 공간적 분석: 2011년 7월 27일 강우를 중심으로)

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.53 no.6
    • /
    • pp.171-183
    • /
    • 2011
  • Temporal and spatical surface runoff by heavy rainfall during 25~28 July, 2011 causing urban flooding at Seoul were analyzed using Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA). L-THIA was calibrated for 1988~1997 and validated for 1998~2007 using monthly observed data at Hangangseoul watershed which covers 90 % of Seoul city. As a results of calibration and validation of L-THIA at Hangangseoul watershed, Nash-Sutcliffe coefficients were 0.99 for calibration and 0.99 for validation. The simulated values were good agreement with observed data and both calibrated and validated levels were "very good" based on calibration criteria. The calibrated curve number (CN) values of residential and other urban area represented 87 % and 93 % of impervious area, respectively, which were maximum percentage of impervious area. As a result of L-THIA application at Seoul city during 25~28 July, 2011, most of rainfall (54 %, 287.49 mm) and surface runoff (65 %, 247.32) were generated at 27 July, 2011 and a significant amount of rainfall and surface runoff were occurred at southeastern Seoul city. As a result of bi-hourly spatial and temporal analysis during 27 July, 2011, surface runoff during 2:00~4:00 and 8:00~10:00 were much higher than those during other times and surface runoff located at Seocho-gu during 6:00~8:00 represented maximum value with maximum rainfall intensity which caused landslide from Umyun mountain.

Slope Stability by Variation of Rainfall Characteristic for Long Period (장기간 강우특성 변화에 따른 국내 사면의 안정성)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ju;Kim, Jae-Hong;Hwang, Young-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.30 no.6
    • /
    • pp.51-59
    • /
    • 2014
  • Shallow landslides and debris flows are a common form of soil slope instability in South Korea. These events may be generally initiated as a result of intense rainfall or lengthening rainfall duration because of the effects of climate change. This paper presents the evaluation of rainfall-induced natural soil slope stability and reinforced soil slope instability under vertical load (railway or highway load) throughout South Korea based on quantitative analysis obtained from 58 sites rainfall observatories for 38 years. The slope stability was performed for infinite and geogrid-reinforced soil slopes by taking an average of maximum rainfall every ten years from 1973 to 2010. Seepage analysis is carried out on unsaturated soil slope using the maximum rainfall at each site, and then the factor of safety was calculated by coupled analysis using saturated and unsaturated strength parameters. The contour map of South Korea shows four stages in 10-year-time for the degree of landslide hazard. The safety factor map based on long term observational data will help prevent rainfall-induced soil slope instability for appropriate design of geotechnical structures regarding disaster protection.

Long-term Streamflow Prediction Using ESP and RDAPS Model (ESP와 RDAPS 수치예보를 이용한 장기유량예측)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Jeong, Chang-Sam;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Hwang, Man-Ha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.44 no.12
    • /
    • pp.967-974
    • /
    • 2011
  • Based on daily time series from RDAPS numerical weather forecast, Streamflow prediction was simulated and the result of ESP analysis was implemented considering quantitative mid- and long-term forecast to compare the results and review applicability. The result of ESP, ESP considering quantitative weather forecast, and flow forecast from RDAPS numerical weather forecast were compared and analyzed with average observed streamflow in Guem River Basin. Through this process, the improvement effect per method was estimated. The result of ESP considering weather information was satisfactory relatively based on long-term flow forecast simulation result. Discrepancy ratio analysis for estimating accuracy of probability forecast had similar result. It is expected to simulate more accurate flow forecast for RDAPS numerical weather forecast with improved daily scenario including time resolution, which is able to accumulate 3 hours rainfall or continuous simulation estimation.

Effects of Climate Change on Purple Laver Farming in Maro-hae (Jindo-gun and Haenam-gun), Republic of Korea and Countermeasures (기후변화가 마로해의 김 양식에 미치는 영향 및 대응방안)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyung;Shin, Jong-Ahm;Choi, Sang-Duk
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.52 no.2
    • /
    • pp.55-67
    • /
    • 2021
  • Global warming affects critical natural resources, one of which is the oceans that occupy 70% of the total cover of the earth. In other words, ocean warming is a subset of global warming which needs to be addressed urgently. Purple laver (pyropia spp.) is one of the most vulnerable items to climate change although it is a major export product of Korean fisheries. The purpose of this study is to analyze the causality of how climate change caused by global warming affects the increase or decrease of PLP (purple laver production). The target area for analysis was set to Maro-hae between Jindo-gun and Haenam-gun. We selected marine environmental factors and meteorologic factors that could affect PLP as variables, as well as co-integration tests to determine long-term balance, and the Granger causticity tests. As a result, PLP and marine environmental factors WT (water temperature), pH, and DO confirmed that long-term equilibrium relationships were established, respectively. However, there is only causality with WT and it is confirmed that there is only a correlation between pH and DO (dissolved oxygen). There was no long-term equilibrium relationship between PLP and HDD (heating degree days) and there is a causal effect that HDD affects PLP; however, it was less clear than that of WT. The relationship between PLP and RF (rainfall), WS (wind speed), SS (percentage of sunshine), and FF (farm facilities) was all balanced in the long term, and causality exists. Based on the results of the analysis, policy proposals were made.

A Study on Quality Control Method for Minutely Rainfall Data (분 단위 강우자료의 품질 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Seok;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.35 no.2
    • /
    • pp.319-326
    • /
    • 2015
  • Rainfall data is necessary component for water resources design and flood warning system. Most analysis are used long-term hourly data of surface synoptic stations from the Meteorological Administration, Ministry of land, Infrastructure and Transport and others. However, It will be used minutely data of more high density automatic weather stations than surface synoptic stations expecting to increase the frequency of heavy precipitation. But minutely data has a problem about quality of rainfall data by auto observation. This study analyzed about quality control method using automatic weather station's minutely rainfall data of meteorological administration. It was performed assessment of the quality control that was classified quality control of miss Data, outlier data and rainfall interpolation. This method will be utilized when hydrological analysis uses minute rainfall data.

A Study of Optimal-CSOs by Continuous Rainfall/Runoff Simulation Techniques (연속 강우-유출 모의기법을 이용한 최적 CSOs 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Deok Jun;Kim, Myoung Su;Lee, Jung Ho;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.22 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1068-1074
    • /
    • 2006
  • For receiving water quality protection a control systems of urban drainage for CSOs reduction is needed. Examples in combined sewer systems include downstream storage facilities that detain runoff during periods of high flow and allow the detained water to be conveyed by an interceptor sewer to a centralized treatment plant during periods of low flow. The design of such facilities as storm-water detention storage is highly dependant on the temporal variability of storage capacity available as well as the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage. For the continuous long-term analysis of urban drainage system this study used analytical probabilistic model based on derived probability distribution theory. As an alternative to the modeling of urban drainage system for planning or screening level analysis of runoff control alternatives, this model has evolved that offers much ease and flexibility in terms of computation while considering long-term meteorology. This study presented rainfall and runoff characteristics of the subject area using analytical probabilistic model. Runoff characteristics manifested the unique characteristics of the subject area with the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage and was examined appropriately by sensitivity analysis. This study presented the average annual CSOs, number of CSOs and event mean CSOs for the decision of storage volume.

Analysis of Temporal Change in Soil Erosion Potential at Haean-myeon Watershed Due to Climate Change

  • Lee, Wondae;Jang, Chunhwa;Kum, Donghyuk;Jung, Younghun;Kang, Hyunwoo;Yang, Jae E.;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Park, Youn Shik
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
    • /
    • v.47 no.2
    • /
    • pp.71-79
    • /
    • 2014
  • Climate change has been social and environmental issues, it typically indicates the trend changes of not only temperature but also rainfall. There is a need to consider climate changes in a long-term soil erosion estimation since soil loss in a watershed can be varied by the changes of rainfall intensity and frequency of torrential rainfall. The impacts of rainfall trend changes on soil loss, one of climate changes, were estimated using Sediment Assessment Tool for Effective Erosion Control (SATEEC) employing L module with current climate scenario and future climate scenario collected from the Korea Meteorological Administration. A 62 $km^2$ watershed was selected to explore the climate changes on soil loss. SATEEC provided an increasing trend of soil loss with the climate change scenarios, which were 182 ton/ha/year in 2010s, 169 ton/ha/year in 2020s, 192 ton/ha/year in 2030s,182 ton/ha/year in 2040s, and 218 ton/ha/year in 2050s. Moreover, it was found that approximately 90% of agricultural area in the watershed displayed the soil loss of 50 ton/ha/year which is exceeding the allow able soil loss regulation by the Ministry of Environment.

The Recent Increase in the Heavy Rainfall Events in August over the Korean Peninsula

  • Cha, Eun-Jeong;Kimoto, Masahide;Lee, Eun-Jeong;Jhun, Jong-Ghap
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.28 no.5
    • /
    • pp.585-597
    • /
    • 2007
  • The characteristics of the rainfall events on the Korean peninsula have been investigated by means of regional and global observational data collected from 1954 to 2004 with an emphasis on extreme cases $80\;mm\;day^{-1}$. According to our analysis, long-term annual rainfall anomalies show an increasing trend. This trend is pronounced in the month of August, when both the amount of monthly rainfall and the frequency of extreme events increase significantly. Composite maps on August during the 8 wet years reveal warm SST anomalies over the eastern Philippine Sea which are associated with enhanced convection and vertical motion and intensified positive SLP over central Eurasia during August. The rainfall pattern suggests that the most significant increase in moisture supply over the southern parts of China and Korea in August is associated with positive SLP changes over Eurasia and negative SLP changes over the subtropical western Pacific off the east coast of south China. The frequent generation of typhoons over the warm eastern Philippine Sea and their tracks appear to influence the extreme rainfall events in Korea during the month of August. The typhoons in August mainly passed the western coast of Korea, resulting in the frequent occurrence of extreme rainfall events in this region. Furthermore, anomalous cyclonic circulations over the eastern Philippine Sea also promoted the generation of tropical cyclones. The position of pressure systems - positive SLP over Eurasia and negative SLP over the subtropical Pacific - in turn provided a pathway for typhoons. The moisture is then effectively transported further north toward Korea and east toward the southern parts of China during the extreme rainfall period.

Study of Soil Erosion for Evaluation of Long-term Behavior of Radionuclides Deposited on Land (육상 침적 방사성 핵종의 장기 거동 평가를 위한 토사 침식 연구)

  • Min, Byung-Il;Yang, Byung-Mo;Kim, Jiyoon;Park, Kihyun;Kim, Sora;Lee, Jung Lyul;Suh, Kyung-Suk
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-13
    • /
    • 2019
  • The accident at the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP) resulted in the deposition of large quantities of radionuclides over parts of eastern Japan. Radioactive contaminants have been observed over a large area including forests, cities, rivers and lakes. Due to the strong adsorption of radioactive cesium by soil particles, radioactive cesium migrates with the eroded soil, follows the surface flow paths, and is delivered downstream of population-rich regions and eventually to coastal areas. In this study, we developed a model to simulate the transport of contaminated sediment in a watershed hydrological system and this model was compared with observation data from eroded soil observation instruments located at the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute. Two methods were applied to analyze the soil particle size distribution of the collected soil samples, including standardized sieve analysis and image analysis methods. Numerical models were developed to simulate the movement of soil along with actual rainfall considering initial saturation, rainfall infiltration, multilayer and rain splash. In the 2019 study, a numerical model will be used to add rainfall shield effect by trees, evaporation effect and shield effects of surface water. An eroded soil observation instrument has been installed near the Wolsong nuclear power plant since 2018 and observation data are being continuously collected. Based on these observations data, we will develop the numerical model to analyze long-term behavior of radionuclides on land as they move from land to rivers, lakes and coastal areas.

Long-Term Trend Analysis of Nutrient Concentrations at Lake Paldang (팔당호의 영양염류 장기변동 추세분석)

  • Chang, Seung-Hyun;Chung, In-Young;Kim, Sung-Mi;Yang, Hee-Jung;Kim, Sung-Soo;Kong, Dong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.295-305
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to understand of water quality characteristics of lake Paldang, especially at a certain representative site, right in front of Paldang dam ($P_2$ site) and to propose the directions of water quality management of lake Paldang. Water characteristics at $P_2$ site was investigated by principle components analysis and the Pearson correlation coefficient analysis. Also, seasonality was identified by the Kruskal-Wallis test and long term trend of nutrients and chlorophyll-a was analyzed by seasonal decomposition method at lake Paldang statistically. The primary factor affecting on water quality at $P_2$ site was identified as nutrients, while physical parameters, such as rainfall and inflow rate were also important factors. At the result of linear regression analysis particulate organic phosphorus (POP) vs total phosphorus (TP) showed very high correlation of 0.78. TP loading was increased annually from 1995 to 2006. Chlorophyll-a and nutrients show seasonality at $P_2$ site. Long term trend of Chlorophyll-a was increased by increase of TP at lake Paldang.