• Title/Summary/Keyword: long-term failure analysis

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Sloshing design load prediction of a membrane type LNG cargo containment system with two-row tank arrangement in offshore applications

  • Ryu, Min Cheol;Jung, Jun Hyung;Kim, Yong Soo;Kim, Yooil
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.537-553
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    • 2016
  • This paper addresses the safety of two-row tank design by performing the extensive sloshing model tests. Owing to the uncertainties entangled with the scale law transforming the measured impact pressure up to the full scale one, so called comparative approach was taken to derive the design sloshing load. The target design vessel was chosen as 230 K LNG-FPSO with tow-row tank arrangement and the reference vessel as 138 K conventional LNG carrier, which has past track record without any significant failure due to sloshing loads. Starting with the site-specific metocean data, ship motion analysis was carried out with 3D diffraction-radiation program, then the obtained ship motion data was used as 6DOF tank excitation for subsequent sloshing model test and analysis. The statistical analysis was carried out with obtained peak data and the long-term sloshing load was determined out of it. It was concluded that the normalized sloshing impact pressure on 230 K LNG-FPSO with two-row tank arrangement is higher than that of convectional LNG carrier, hence requires the use of reinforced cargo containment system for the sake of failure-free operation without filling limitation.

Structural Safety Assessment of Independent Spherical LNG Tank(2nd report) - Fatigue Crack Propagation Analysis Based on the LBF Theory - (독립구형 LNG 탱크의 구조안전성 평가(제2보) - LBF 이론에 의한 피로균열 진전해석 -)

  • In-Sik Nho;Yong-Yun Nam;Ho-Sup Lee
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.74-82
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    • 1993
  • The present paper deals with the structural safety assessment techniques for independent type B spherical LNG tank against fatique crack initiation and propagation, which contains fellowing 3 steps. 1) Prediction of long term distribution of wave induced stresses and fatique crack intiation life using cumulative damage theory which were described at the 1st report. 2) Surface crack propagation analysis to verify that initial defects cannot penetrate tank plate. 3) Passing-through fatigue crack propagation analysis was performed based on LBF(Leak Before Failure ) theory.

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A Probability-Based Durability Analysis of Concrete Structures in Chloride Containing Environments (염해환경 콘크리트 구조물의 확률론적 내구성 해석)

  • Kwon, Ki-Jun;Kim, Dong-Baek;Jung, Sang-Hwa;Chae, Seong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.22 no.3 s.81
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2007
  • In recent years, many research works have been carried out in order to obtain a more controlled durability and long-term performance of concrete structures in chloride containing environments. In particular, the development of new procedures for probability-based durability analysis/design has proved to be very valuable. Although there is still a lack of relevant data, this approach has been successfully applied to some new concrete structures. In this paper, the equation used for modelling of the chloride penetration was based on Fick's Second Law of Diffusion in combination with a time dependent diffusion coefficient. The probability analysis of the durability performance was performed by use of a Monte Carlo Simulation. The procedure was applied to an example based on limited data gathered in this country. The influences of each parameter on the durability of concrete structures are studied and some comments for durability design are given. The new procedure may be very useful in designing an important concrete structures in chloride containing environments. Also it may help to predict the service life of concrete structures under a given probability of failure.

Capacitor Failure Detection Technique for Microgrid Power Converter (마이크로그리드 전력변환장치용 커패시터 고장 검출 기법)

  • Woo-Hyun Lee;Gyang-Cheol Song;Jun-Jae An;Seong-Mi Park;Sung-Jun Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.6_2
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    • pp.1117-1125
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    • 2023
  • The DC part of the DC microgrid power conversion system uses capacitors for buffers of charge and discharge energy for smoothing voltage and plays important roles such as high frequency component absorption, power balancing, and voltage ripple reduction. The capacitor uses an aluminum electrolytic capacitor, which has advantages of capacity, low price, and relatively fast charging/discharging characteristics. Aluminum electrolytic capacitors(AEC) have previous advantages, but over time, the capacity of the capacitors decreases due to deterioration and an increase in internal temperature, resulting in a decrease in use efficiency or an accident such as steam extraction due to electrolyte evaporation. It is necessary to take measures to prevent accidents because the failure diagnosis and detection of such capacitors are a very important part of the long-term operation, safety of use, and reliability of the power conversion system because the failure of the capacitor leads to not only a single problem but also a short circuit accident of the power conversion system.

The cumulative survival rate of sandblasted, large-grit, acid-etched dental implants: a retrospective analysis

  • Haeji Yum;Hee-seung Han;Kitae Kim;Sungtae Kim;Young-Dan Cho
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.122-135
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This retrospective study aimed to assess the long-term cumulative survival rate of titanium, sandblasted, large-grit, acid-etched implants over a 10-year follow-up period and investigate the factors affecting the survival rate and change in marginal bone loss (MBL). Methods: The study included 400 patients who underwent dental implant placement at the Department of Periodontology of Seoul National University Dental Hospital (SNUDH) between 2005 and 2015. Panoramic radiographic images and dental records of patients were collected and examined using Kaplan-Meier analysis, Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, and multiple regression analysis to determine the survival rates and identify any factors related to implant failure and MBL. Results: A total of 782 implants were placed with a follow-up period ranging from 0 to 16 years (mean: 8.21±3.75 years). Overall, 25 implants were lost, resulting in a cumulative survival rate of 96.8%. Comparisons of the research variables regarding cumulative survival rate mostly yielded insignificant results. The mean mesial and distal MBLs were 1.85±2.31 mm and 1.59±2.03 mm, respectively. Factors influencing these values included age, diabetes mellitus (DM), jaw location, implant diameter, bone augmentation surgery, and prosthetic unit. Conclusions: This study found that the implant survival rates at SNUDH fell within the acceptable published criteria. The patients' sex, age, DM status, implant location, implant design, implant size, surgical type, bone augmentation, and prosthetic unit had no discernible influence on long-term implant survival. Sandblasted, large-grit, acid-etched implants might offer advantages in terms of implant longevity and consistent clinical outcomes.

Determination of Optimal Time to Replace On-S Water Pipeline by Analyzing Water Main Failures and Economical Efficiency (수도사고 분석 및 경제성 평가를 통한 상수관로 최적 교체시기 결정)

  • Kim, Jong-Sin;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Bae, Chul-Ho;Lee, Doo-jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.279-285
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    • 2009
  • In this study, applied to the industrial water service, it is verified feasibility of break-even analysis method which has not been introduced in Korea. The On-san water pipeline of 7.1km among the Ul-san industrial water service is selected and the optimal replacement time calculated by break-even analysis method is year 2033 to 2044 which will be 53 to 67 years since the pipes were buried. If indirect cost such as the value of lost water and traffic disruption, service interruption, etc. is calculated as 30 and 100% of the direct cost, the financially optimum replacement time is advanced 3 to 9 years. These ways present rational criteria to establish long-term plan for budget and to execute the limited budget efficiently.

A Probability-Based Durability Analysis of Concrete Structures (콘크리트 구조물의 확률론적 내구성 해석)

  • Kim Jee-Sang;Lee Kwang-Myong;Jung Sang-Hwa;Bae Su-Ho;Choi Kyu-Yong;Yang Jong-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.189-192
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    • 2005
  • In recent years, many research works have been carried out in order to obtain a more controlled durability and long-term performance of concrete structures in chloride containing environments. In particular, the development of new procedures for probability-based durability analysis/design has proved to be very valuable. In this paper, the equation used for modelling of the chloride penetration was based on Fick's Second Law of Diffusion in combination with a time dependent diffusion coefficient. The probability analysis of the durability performance was performed by use of a Monte Carlo Simulation. The procedure was applied to an example based on limited data gathered in this country. The influences of each parameter on the durability of concrete structures are studied and some comments for durability design are given. The new procedure may be very useful in designing concrete structures in chloride containing environments.

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A Study on the Failure Diagnosis of Transfer Robot for Semiconductor Automation Based on Machine Learning Algorithm (머신러닝 알고리즘 기반 반도체 자동화를 위한 이송로봇 고장진단에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Mi Jin;Ko, Kwang In;Ku, Kyo Mun;Shim, Jae Hong;Kim, Kihyun
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.65-70
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    • 2022
  • In manufacturing and semiconductor industries, transfer robots increase productivity through accurate and continuous work. Due to the nature of the semiconductor process, there are environments where humans cannot intervene to maintain internal temperature and humidity in a clean room. So, transport robots take responsibility over humans. In such an environment where the manpower of the process is cutting down, the lack of maintenance and management technology of the machine may adversely affect the production, and that's why it is necessary to develop a technology for the machine failure diagnosis system. Therefore, this paper tries to identify various causes of failure of transport robots that are widely used in semiconductor automation, and the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) method is considered for determining and predicting the process of failures. The robot mainly fails in the driving unit due to long-term repetitive motion, and the core components of the driving unit are motors and gear reducer. A simulation drive unit was manufactured and tested around this component and then applied to 6-axis vertical multi-joint robots used in actual industrial sites. Vibration data was collected for each cause of failure of the robot, and then the collected data was processed through signal processing and frequency analysis. The processed data can determine the fault of the robot by utilizing machine learning algorithms such as SVM (Support Vector Machine) and KNN (K-Nearest Neighbor). As a result, the PHM environment was built based on machine learning algorithms using SVM and KNN, confirming that failure prediction was partially possible.

Radiotherapy for pituitary adenomas: long-term outcome and complications

  • Rim, Chai-Hong;Yang, Dae-Sik;Park, Young-Je;Yoon, Won-Sup;Lee, Jung-Ae;Kim, Chul-Yong
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.156-163
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: To evaluate long-term local control rate and toxicity in patients treated with external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) for pituitary adenomas. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 60 patients treated with EBRT for pituitary adenoma at Korea University Medical Center from 1996 and 2006. Thirty-five patients had hormone secreting tumors, 25 patients had non-secreting tumors. Fifty-seven patients had received postoperative radiotherapy (RT), and 3 had received RT alone. Median total dose was 54 Gy (range, 36 to 61.2 Gy). The definition of tumor progression were as follows: evidence of tumor progression on computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging, worsening of clinical sign requiring additional operation or others, rising serum hormone level against a previously stable or falling value, and failure of controlling serum hormone level so that the hormone level had been far from optimal range until last follow-up. Age, sex, hormone secretion, tumor extension, tumor size, and radiation dose were analyzed for prognostic significance in tumor control. Results: Median follow-up was 5.7 years (range, 2 to 14.4 years). The 10-year actuarial local control rates for non-secreting and secreting adenomas were 96% and 66%, respectively. In univariate analysis, hormone secretion was significant prognostic factor (p = 0.042) and cavernous sinus extension was marginally significant factor (p = 0.054) for adverse local control. All other factors were not significant. In multivariate analysis, hormone secretion and gender were significant. Fifty-three patients had mass-effect symptoms (headache, dizziness, visual disturbance, hypopituitarism, loss of consciousness, and cranial nerve palsy). A total of 17 of 23 patients with headache and 27 of 34 patients with visual impairment were improved. Twenty-seven patients experienced symptoms of endocrine hypersecretion (galactorrhea, amenorrhea, irregular menstruation, decreased libido, gynecomastia, acromegaly, and Cushing's disease). Amenorrhea was abated in 7 of 10 patients, galactorrhea in 8 of 8 patients, acromegaly in 7 of 11 patients, Cushing's disease in 4 of 4 patients. Long-term complication was observed in 4 patients; 3 patients with cerebrovascular accident, 1 patient developed dementia. Of these patients, 3 of 4 received more than 60 Gy of irradiation. Conclusion: EBRT is highly effective in preventing recurrence and reducing mass effect of non-secreting adenoma. Effort to improve tumor control of secreting adenoma is required. Careful long-term follow-up is required when relatively high dose is applied. Modern radiosurgery or proton RT may be options to decrease late complications.

Application of a Non-Mixture Cure Rate Model for Analyzing Survival of Patients with Breast Cancer

  • Baghestani, Ahmad Reza;Moghaddam, Sahar Saeedi;Majd, Hamid Alavi;Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil;Nafissi, Nahid;Gohari, Kimiya
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.16
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    • pp.7359-7363
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    • 2015
  • Background: As a result of significant progress made in treatment of many types of cancers during the last few decades, there have been an increased number of patients who do not experience mortality. We refer to these observations as cure or immune and models for survival data which include cure fraction are known as cure rate models or long-term survival models. Materials and Methods: In this study we used the data collected from 438 female patients with breast cancer registered in the Cancer Research Center in Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. The patients had been diagnosed from 1992 to 2012 and were followed up until October 2014. We had to exclude some because of incomplete information. Phone calls were made to confirm whether the patients were still alive or not. Deaths due to breast cancer were regarded as failure. To identify clinical, pathological, and biological characteristics of patients that might have had an effect on survival of the patients we used a non-mixture cure rate model; in addition, a Weibull distribution was proposed for the survival time. Analyses were performed using STATA version 14. The significance level was set at $P{\leq}0.05$. Results: A total of 75 patients (17.1%) died due to breast cancer during the study, up to the last follow-up. Numbers of metastatic lymph nodes and histologic grade were significant factors. The cure fraction was estimated to be 58%. Conclusions: When a cure fraction is not available, the analysis will be changed to standard approaches of survival analysis; however when the data indicate that the cure fraction is available, we suggest analysis of survival data via cure models.