• Title/Summary/Keyword: long term assessment

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Uncertainty in Scenarios and Its Impact on Post Closure Long Term Safety Assessment in a Potential HLW Repository

  • Y.S. Hwang;Kim, S-K;Kang, C-H
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.108-120
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    • 2003
  • In assessing the long term post closure radiological safety assessment of a potential HLW repository in Korea, three categories of uncertainties exist. The first one is the scenario uncertainty where series of different natural events are translated into written statements. The second one is the modeling uncertatinty where different mathematical models are applied for an identical scenario. The last one is the data uncertainty which can be expressed in terms of probabilistic density functions. In this analysis, three different scenarios are seleceted; a small well scenario, a radiolysis scenario, and a naturally discharged scenario. The MASCOT-K and the AMBER, probabilistic safety assessment codes based on connection of sub-modules and a compartment theory respectively, are applied to assess annual individual doses for a generic biosphere. Results illustrate that for a given scenario, predictions from two different codes fairly match well each other But the discrepancies for the different scenarios are significant. However, total doses are still well below the guideline of 2 mRem/yr. Detailed analyses with model and data uncertainties are underway to further assure the safety of a Korean reference dispsoal concept.

INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION IN ASSESSMENT OF RADIOLOGICAL IMPACTS ARISING FROM RELEASES TO THE BIOSPHERE AFTER DISPOSAL OF RADIOACTIVE WASTE INTO GEOLOGICAL REPOSITORIES

  • Smith, Graham;Kato, Tomoko
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2010
  • Geological disposal is designed to provide safe containment of radioactive waste for very long times, with the containment provided by a combination of engineered and geological barriers. In the extreme long term, after many thousands of years or longer, residual amounts of long-lived radionulides such as Cl-36, but also radionuclides in the natural decay chains, may be released into the environment normally accessed and used by humans, termed here, the biosphere. It is necessary to ensure that any such releases meet radiation protection objectives through the development of a safety case, which will include assessment of radiation doses to humans. The design of such dose calculations over such long timeframes is not straightforward, because of the range of potentially relevant assumptions which could be made, concerning environmental change and changes in human behavior. These conceptual uncertainties are additional to those that more typically arise, for example, in the assessment of present day situations, but which also have to be addressed. The issue has therefore been subject to international cooperation for many years. This paper summarizes the evolution and results of that collaboration leading up to the present day, taking account of developments in international recommendations on radiation protection objectives and the more recent greater focus on preparation of site specific safety cases.

The vibration impact assessment for long-term damage mechanism of a pump (펌프 장기손상 메커니즘 규명을 위한 진동영향 평가)

  • Kim, T.H.;Kim, H.S.;Kim, D.K.;Kim, W.T.;Han, B.S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.441-445
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    • 2009
  • The most of the goals of pump designers and users are efficient operation and productivity. But the safety-grade pumps in nuclear power plants are needed to operate continuously for an essential condition of system operation. Also, most of the rules and regulatory standards that have been prepared for nuclear pumps are dedicated to achieve public safety. The study examined pump vibration in a pump outlet flow and distinguished the regions of pump vibration frequency cause by cavitation and recirculation. The study made a counterproposal in determination of pump outlet flow so that the discharge flow will be able to minimize the long-term damage of the pump.

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A Study on Impact of Generator Maintenance Outage Modeling on Long-term Capacity Expansion Planning (발전기 계획예방정비 모델링 방식이 전원계획 수립에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyoungtae;Lee, Sungwoo;Kim, Wook
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.4
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    • pp.505-511
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    • 2018
  • Long term capacity expansion planning has to be carried out to satisfy pre-defined system reliability criterion. For purpose of assessing system reliability, probabilistic simulation technique has been widely adopted. However, the way how to approximate generator outage, especially maintenance outage, in probabilistic simulation scheme can significantly influence on reliability assessment. Therefore, in this paper, 3 different maintenance approximation methods are applied to investigate the quantitative impact of maintenance approximation method on long term capacity expansion planning.

Strength of FRP RC sections after long-term loading

  • Pisani, M.A.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.345-365
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    • 2003
  • The adoption of fibre reinforced polymer (FRP) rebars (whose behaviour is elastic-brittle) in reinforced concrete (RC) cross sections requires the assessment of the influence of time-dependent behaviour of concrete on the load-carrying capacity of these sections. This paper presents a method of computing the load-carrying capacity of sections that are at first submitted to a constant long-term service load and then overloaded up to ultimate load. The method solves first a non-linear visco-elastic problem, and then a non-linear instantaneous analysis up to ultimate load that takes into account the self-equilibrated stress distribution previously computed. This method is then adopted to perform a parametric analysis that shows that creep and shrinkage of concrete increase the load-carrying capacity of the cross section reinforced with FRP and allows for the suggestion of simple design rules.

Micromechanics based Models for Pore-Sructure Formation and Hydration Heat in Early-Age Concrete (초기재령 콘크리트의 세공구조 형성 및 발영특성에 관한 미시역학적 모델)

  • 조호진;박상순;송하원;변근주
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1999.04a
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 1999
  • Recently, as a performance based design concept is introduced, assurance of expected performances on serviceability and safety in the whole span of life is exactly requested. So, quantitative assessments about durability related properties of concrete in early-age long term are come to necessary, Especially in early age, deterioration which affects long-term durability performance can be occurred by hydration heat and shrinkage, so development of reasonable hydration heat model which can simulate early age behavior is necessary. The micor-pore structure formation property also affects shrinkage behavior in early age and carbonations and chloride ion penetration characteristic in long term, So, for the quantitative assessment on durability performance of concrete, modelings of early age concrete based on hydration process and micor-pore structure formation characteristics are important. In this paper, a micromechanics based hydration heat evolution model is adopted and a quantitative model which can simulate micro-pore structure development is also verified with experimental results. The models can be used effectively to simulate the early-age behavior of concrete composed of different mix proportions.

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Advanced Structural Monitoring System Using Fiber Optic Sensors (광섬유 센서를 이용한 첨단 구조계측)

  • 김기수;김종우
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.717-723
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    • 2002
  • Recently, the interest in safety assessment of civil infrastructures is increasing in Korea. Especially, as bridge structures become large-scale, it is necessary to monitor and maintain the safety state of bridges, which requires the monitoring system that can make a long-term measurement during the service time of bridge. In this paper, advanced fiber optic sensors for long-term measurement, setup techniques of bridge monitoring system and the assessment of measured data are introduced. Attached or embedded optical fiber sensors to structural members of small and big structures including Sung San Bridge are surveyed. For the Sung San Bridge, the responses of the fiber optic sensors by 30 ton weigh truck loads with various speeds ate measured. Monitoring system is also applied to the mock-up of bridges. The monitoring capability of the advanced fiber optic sensor system was confirmed.

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Parametric Modeling and Shape Optimization of Offshore Structures

  • Birk, Lothar
    • International Journal of CAD/CAM
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2006
  • The paper presents an optimization system which integrates a parametric design tool, 3D diffraction-radiation analysis and hydrodynamic performance assessment based on short and long term wave statistics. Controlled by formal optimization strategies the system is able to design offshore structure hulls with superior seakeeping qualities. The parametric modeling tool enables the designer to specify the geometric characteristics of the design from displacement over principal dimensions down to local shape properties. The computer generates the hull form and passes it on to the hydrodynamic analysis, which computes response amplitude operators (RAOs) for forces and motions. Combining the RAOs with short and long-term wave statistics provides a realistic assessment of the quality of the design. The optimization algorithm changes selected shape parameters in order to minimize forces and motions, thus increasing availability and safety of the system. Constraints ensure that only feasible designs with sufficient stability in operation and survival condition are generated. As an example the optimization study of a semisubmersible is discussed. It illustrates how offshore structures can be optimized for a specific target area of operation.

Fatigue Strength Assessment of a Ship Structures using the Influence Coefficient Concept and Spectral Analysis Technique (영향계수법과 스펙트럼 해석법을 이용한 선체의 피로강도평가)

  • Nho, I.S.;Kim, J.K.;Yoon, J.H.
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 1997
  • The up-to-date fatigue strength assessment system for ship structures was developed based on the spectral analysis method and numerical calculation for a membrane type LNG carrier was carried out to verify the effectiveness of the developed system. The wave induced loads acting on the ship's hull were calculated based on strip theory. And introducing the concept of influence factor and 3-D fine mesh structural analysis, direct calculation of long-term distribution of wave induced stress components was realized. Using the derived long term distribution of stress components and Miner-Parmgren's linear damage accumulation rule, fatigue strength of structural components were investigated.

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Long-term population monitoring with population viability analysis of river otter in Korea (홍천강 유역에 서식하는 멸종위기종 수달의 개체군변이분석을 통한 생태모니터링 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Don
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.525-528
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    • 2013
  • River otter(Lutra lutra) are listed as endangered species and Natural monument in Korea, and this study examined the possibility of extinct of river otter in Hongchon river using with the application of Population Viability Analysis (PVA) technique. In Hongchon river areas population was estimated 9 individuals for the last 1999-2005 years and PVA analysis was done for the next 10 years using the average population of 9. Using the initial population the river otter was estimated 30% of extinct for the next 10 years. This estimation was quite low considering water pollution and construction of highways. Also PVA only used population size lacking in other life history information. Nonetheless river otter population can be in risk of extinction if the current construction of crossovers, cement bank are maintained. Long term information regarding life history needs essential.