• Title/Summary/Keyword: logit analysis

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Design and Implementation of Travel Mode Choice Model Using the Bayesian Networks of Data Mining (데이터마이닝의 베이지안 망 기법을 이용한 교통수단선택 모형의 설계 및 구축)

  • Kim, Hyun-Gi;Kim, Kang-Soo;Lee, Sang-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.2 s.73
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2004
  • In this study, we applied the Bayesian Network for the case of the mode choice models using the Seoul metropolitan area's house trip survey Data. Sex and age were used lot the independent variables for the explanation or the mode choice, and the relationships between the mode choice and the travellers' social characteristics were identified by the Bayesian Network. Furthermore, trip and mode's characteristics such as time and fare were also used for independent variables and the mode choice models were developed. It was found that the Bayesian Network were useful tool to overcome the problems which were in the traditional mode choice models. In particular, the various transport policies could be evaluated in the very short time by the established relation-ships. It is expected that the Bayesian Network will be utilized as the important tools for the transport analysis.

A Study for Comparison of Risk Estimates According to Extrapolating Methods of Benzo(a)Pyrene in the Ambient Air (대기중 Benzo(a) pyrene의 외삽방법에 따른 위해도 추계치의 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Man;Chung, Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 1992
  • The risk of benzo(a)pyrene for cancer in the ambient air of Seoul was assessed by using the extrapolation methods. The average daily lifetime exposure of benzo(a)pyrene in the ambient air of Seoul was calculated at 6.97-24.30ng/$m^2$/day, which was based on the occurrence analysis of benzo(a)pyrene in the residential(Bull Kwang Dong) and traffic areas(Shin Chon) of Seoul. Using the dose scaling based on body surface area in comparisons of toxicity for extrapolation from animal to human and mathematical models from the high dose region, the low-dose risk was estimated. The response probabilities were estimated by the tolerance distribution models; Probit, Logit and Weibull model. They were consistent with the observed ones at experimental dose region. The unit risk estimates of these models were too low to be used. One-hit and multistage model to prove more conservative risk was selected. As a redult, the lifetime unit risk of benzo(a)pyrene for cancer and virtually safe dose were calculated; One-hit model provided the risk 2.8 $\times 10^{-7}$ and 3.4ng/$m^3$, respectively and multistage model provided 5.2 $\times 10^{-7}$ and 1.9ng/$m^3$ as the more conservatives. The lifetime excess risk estimates of benzo(a)pyrene for cancer were calculated at 0.37-1.30 persons/million persons by one-hit model and 0.69-2.41 persons/million persons by multistage model, which was considered in without virtual risk.

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Labor Transition of Middle-aged and Elderly and the Effects of Perceived Job Stability on Poverty Exit (중·고령층 고용변화 추이와 고용안정성이 탈빈곤에 미치는 영향)

  • Kang, Sung-Ho;Jo, Joon-Yong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.231-242
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    • 2016
  • This study analyses labor transition of middle-aged and elderly in Korea utilizing Korean Longitudinal Study of Ageing(KLoSA). Then it estimates the effects of perceived job stability for the middle-aged and elderly on poverty exit based on the age group simulation. The outcomes suggest that mid-50s and over are highly vulnerable to early retirement and they suffer from unstable employment and low possibility of re-employment. The logit analysis that simulates the effects of perceived job stability on poverty exit shows that mid-50s are more likely to get off the poverty than 65 and over when they have stable jobs. These implies that labor market policies should be designed in a tailor-made manner in consideration of the age group and its characteristics. This study also suggests the introduction of progressive labor policy measures that extends retirement age, that provides with job opportunities to middle-age and elderly, and that links employment and welfare under the umbrella of income security plan for the middle-aged and elderly.

Determinants of Purchasing Indemnity Private Health Insurance among Adolescents and Children (소아 및 청소년의 실손형 민간의료보험 가입 결정요인)

  • You, Chang Hoon;Kang, Sungwook;Choi, Ji Heon;Kwon, Young Dae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.99-110
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    • 2018
  • As interest in adolescent and children's health risks increases, there is an increase in subscriptions to indemnity private health insurance. The purpose of this study was to investigate determinants of purchasing indemnity private health insurance. We conducted panel logit regression analysis on the sample of 4,567 adolescent and children using Korean Health Panel data from 2009 to 2015. As a result, it was analyzed that the participation of private health insurance for children and adolescents was affected not only by the characteristics of children and adolescents (age, birth order, residence, disability) but also by the characteristics of father (indemnity, disability, chronic disease) and mother (age difference between her and her children, indemnity, unmet needs) and the economic level of households (income). In views of this study, it is necessary to continuously implement policies to strengthen the healthcare of children and adolescents in order to alleviate the anxiety about the health risks of children and the burden of medical expenses caused by late marriages and maternal births. In particular, it is necessary to consider policies for multi-child families and vulnerable classes.

Estimation of Consumers Valuation by Attributes of Green Jujube Chip (청대추칩의 속성별 소비자 가치 추정)

  • Ha, Hyun-Jung;Lee, Sang-Hak;Choi, Se-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.4830-4836
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    • 2013
  • This research was launched as an attempt to help create a new value-added product called "Green Jujube Chip." To accomplish the objectives, consumers value by attributes of Green Jujube Chip should be estimated. We used Choice Experiment for analysis, which we used to arrive at pricing of specialty jujube chips based on the conditional logit model. As a result, MWTP were estimated at 1333 Won/unit for Mid-size Company Product, 1752 Won/unit for Large Company Product, 1703 Won/unit for University Affiliation, 350 Won/unit for packing unit, 548 Won/unit for rating the raw fruit, 1,322 Won/unit for HACCP, and 1,166 Won/unit for ISO22000. The consumer's WTP for Green Juju Chip, associated with the university-brand recognition, was higher than a product produced by a mid-sized company but lower than a product by a large company. Given how the consumers regard the university-brand product as a specialty item, it is necessary to create value-added products that meet such high expectation. Therefore, we recommend the producers to acquire HACCP Food Safety Certification and the value-added product has used the highest quality raw fruit.

Analyzing Important Factors that Influence Anglers Support for Fishing License -Focused on the Extend Theory of Planned Behavior- (낚시면허제 지지 영향 요인 분석 -확장된 계획 행동이론을 중심으로-)

  • Jang, An-Seong;Oh, Chi-Ok
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.67-82
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    • 2017
  • The study intends to examine the effects of the fishing license system on fisheries resources in order to reduce the adverse effects of recreational fishing, such as fishery resource reduction and environmental pollution. In doing so, the research question of the study is to determine what factors influence anglers' willingness to support fishing licenses. Based on the extended theory of planned behavior, we further included explanatory variables such as recreation specialization and motivations besides anglers' attitudes, norms and self-efficacy towards the environment and proposed six research hypotheses. The data were collected through on-site and online surveys in Gwangju and Cheonnam province and a total of 337 effective questionnaires were collected for data analysis. Three different binary logit models were employed with the dependent variable of anglers'willingness to support fishing licenses to assess the effects of explanatory variables. Study results show that social norms, the level of recreation specialization, motivation factors related to environmental experiences positively affected anglers'willingness to support fishing licenses. However, anglers'consumptive orientation attitudes such as catching big fish, motivation factors related to activity general experience preferences and previous fishing experience had negative effects on the dependent variables. Study results indicate that public outreach and education programs are essential to successfully introduce the fishing license system. Managerial and policy-related implications are further discussed to make recreational fishing a more environment-friendly recreational activity. This study investigated the effects of diverse variables derived from anglers' social-psychological characteristics on their support for fishing licenses and suggest diverse policy-related and managerial implications.

A Study on the Variables that Influence Stages of Change in Smoking Cessation (금연실천단계의 영향변인에 대한 연구)

  • Chang Sung-Ok;Park Chang-Seung
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Fundamentals of Nursing
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.391-401
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    • 2001
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify variables that influence smoking cessation based on the transtheoretical model. Methods: Variables that influence the stages of change in smoking cessation were selected based on transtheoretical model. Data were collected from 176 men aged 30-64 who smoked, Data collection was done in community settings in Seoul and vicinity, Korea between December, 1999 and June, 2000. Data were analyzed by descriptive statistics and logistic analysis using the pc-SAS program. Results: According to the logit model, the influence of significant variables on stage of change for smoking cessation suggest that ; When the scores for Pros in decision making for smoking cessation are high, the possibility that the subjects are in the action, precontemplation and contemplation stage of change will be lower than the possibility that the subjects are in the maintenance stage of change. When the scores of habitual craving in smoking temptation is high, the possibility that the subjects are in the precontemplation and contemplation stage of change will be higher than the possibility that the subjects are in the maintenance stage of change. When the scores of smoking temptation in negative affect situations are high, the possibility that the subjects are in the contemplation stage of change will be higher than the possibility that the subjects are in the maintenance stage of change. When the scores of cognitive process in the process of change are high, the possibility that the subjects are in the contemplation stage of change will be higher than the possibility that the subjects are in the maintenance stage of change. Conclusions : The results provide evidence that physical and psychological dependence on smoking are main barriers to smoking cessation. Therefore nursing interventions based on stage that focus on increasing motivation and intention for smoking cessation need to be developed.

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A Critical Evaluation of Dichotomous Choice Responses in Contingent Valuation Method (양분선택형 조건부가치측정법 응답자료의 실증적 쟁점분석)

  • Eom, Young Sook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.119-153
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    • 2011
  • This study reviews various aspects of model formulating processes of dichotomous choice responses of the contingent valuation method (CVM), which has been increasingly used in the preliminary feasibility test of Korea public investment projects. The theoretical review emphasizes the consistency between WTP estimation process and WTP measurement process. The empirical analysis suggests that two common parametric models for dichotmous choice responses (RUM and RWTP) and two commonly used probability distributions of random components (probit and logit) resulted in all most the same empirical WTP distributions, as long as the WTP functions are specified to be a linear function of the bid amounts. However, the efficiency gain of DB response compared to SB response were supported on the ground that the two CV responses are derived from the same WTP distribution. Moreover for the exponential WTP function which guarantees the non-negative WTP measures, sample mean WTP were quite different from median WTP if the scale parameter of WTP function turned out to be large.

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Analysis on the Factors of Re-employment of Veterans After Long-term Military Service (장기복무 제대군인 취업진로 결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Sung-Heui;Won, Jongwook
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.139-159
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    • 2004
  • This paper explores the determinants of re-employment of retired military personnel who served more than ten years in Korea. Recently, the re-employment rate of veterans is less than 30%. Considering the reduction in military forces in future, this very low rate of re-employment may be one of important social and economic problem. Using a survey and econometric analyses, we generate several important results. First, spouses' income is higher in the group who chose to run their own business than in the group who decided to become salary workers. Second, those who gave economic activities had longer the period of military service, higher ranks, and higher rate of being in bad health. Third, the longer the military service period is, the shorter the period of job search. And those who not taking the program of vocational guidance have short search period. If, however, one was more educated or one served longer in Seoul area, then she is more likely to have a longer search period. These results imply that the current important factors in government policies for veterans such as vocational guidance programs, information for employment, and military experience should be improved to be more oriented to the requirements of employers.

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Analysis on the effect of the opening of high speed rail way on the change in the air passenger's demand - Focused on Seoul and Jeju line - (고속철도 개통이 항공여객 수요변화에 미치는 영향 분석 - 서울-제주간 노선을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Joon-Kyu;Yoo, Kwang-Eui;Kim, Duck-Nyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2012
  • Competition between air transportation and railways has grown fiercer in major countries around the world with the rise of high-speed railways. In South Korea, air passenger travel has been rapidly decreasing since the initial launch of the Seoul-Pusan KTX line in 2004 and second opening that followed in 2010. Further expansion of the high-speed railway is expected. At present, research efforts to verify the validity of constructing an underwater express railway tunnel between Ho-nam and Jeju Island are taking place. Considering the possible high speed railway connection between Seoul and Jeju Island, this thesis has analyzed the choice behavior of existing passengers of the major and low-cost carriers. For this, Stated Preference (SP) research has been performed for three variables, including fare, travel time and the number of runs, to estimate the substitution rate of each of the three variables. Binomial Logit Model has been estimated with the obtained data. The estimation of the model has found that airline passengers of major and low-cost carriers are willing to pay approximately 7,200 KRW and 5,000 KRW, respectively, to reduce travel time by one hour. If the number of runs in one day increases, it has been estimated that the passengers are willing to pay additional fares of about 390 KRW and 30 KRW, respectively. On the other hand, the substitution rate between the number of runs and the travel time was found to be somewhat insignificant. If the construction of the Seoul-Jeju line progresses in the future, this study could be used as preliminary data for determining fares, travel time and the number of runs.