• Title/Summary/Keyword: logistic regression

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An Analysis of Factors Relating to Agricultural Machinery Farm-Work Accidents Using Logistic Regression

  • Kim, Byounggap;Yum, Sunghyun;Kim, Yu-Yong;Yun, Namkyu;Shin, Seung-Yeoub;You, Seokcheol
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: In order to develop strategies to prevent farm-work accidents relating to agricultural machinery, influential factors were examined in this paper. The effects of these factors were quantified using logistic regression. Methods: Based on the results of a survey on farm-work accidents conducted by the National Academy of Agricultural Science, 21 tentative independent variables were selected. To apply these variables to regression, the presence of multicollinearity was examined by comparing correlation coefficients, checking the statistical significance of the coefficients in a simple linear regression model, and calculating the variance inflation factor. A logistic regression model and determination method of its goodness of fit was defined. Results: Among 21 independent variables, 13 variables were not collinear each other. The results of a logistic regression analysis using these variables showed that the model was significant and acceptable, with deviance of 714.053. Parameter estimation results showed that four variables (age, power tiller ownership, cognizance of the government's safety policy, and consciousness of safety) were significant. The logistic regression model predicted that the former two increased accident odds by 1.027 and 8.506 times, respectively, while the latter two decreased the odds by 0.243 and 0.545 times, respectively. Conclusions: Prevention strategies against factors causing an accident, such as the age of farmers and the use of a power tiller, are necessary. In addition, more efficient trainings to elevate the farmer's consciousness about safety must be provided.

Prediction of Galloping Accidents in Power Transmission Line Using Logistic Regression Analysis

  • Lee, Junghoon;Jung, Ho-Yeon;Koo, J.R.;Yoon, Yoonjin;Jung, Hyung-Jo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.969-980
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    • 2017
  • Galloping is one of the most serious vibration problems in transmission lines. Power lines can be extensively damaged owing to aerodynamic instabilities caused by ice accretion. In this study, the accident probability induced by galloping phenomenon was analyzed using logistic regression analysis. As former studies have generally concluded, main factors considered were local weather factors and physical factors of power delivery systems. Since the number of transmission towers outnumbers the number of weather observatories, interpolation of weather factors, Kriging to be more specific, has been conducted in prior to forming galloping accident estimation model. Physical factors have been provided by Korea Electric Power Corporation, however because of the large number of explanatory variables, variable selection has been conducted, leaving total 11 variables. Before forming estimation model, with 84 provided galloping cases, 840 non-galloped cases were chosen out of 13 billion cases. Prediction model for accidents by galloping has been formed with logistic regression model and validated with 4-fold validation method, corresponding AUC value of ROC curve has been used to assess the discrimination level of estimation models. As the result, logistic regression analysis effectively discriminated the power lines that experienced galloping accidents from those that did not.

Evaluation of the Probability of Detection Surface for ODSCC in Steam Generator Tubes Using Multivariate Logistic Regression (다변량 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 증기발생기 전열관 ODSCC의 POD곡면 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Bong;Park, Jai-Hak;Kim, Hong-Deok;Chung, Han-Sub
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.250-255
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    • 2007
  • Steam generator tubes play an important role in safety because they constitute one of the primary barriers between the radioactive and non-radioactive sides of the nuclear power plant. For this reason, the integrity of the tubes is essential in minimizing the leakage possibility of radioactive water. The integrity of the tubes is evaluated based on NDE (non-destructive evaluation) inspection results. Especially ECT (eddy current test) method is usually used for detecting the flaws in steam generator tubes. However, detection capacity of the NDE is not perfect and all of the "real flaws" which actually existing in steam generator tunes is not known by NDE results. Therefore reliability of NDE system is one of the essential parts in assessing the integrity of steam generators. In this study POD (probability of detection) of ECT system for ODSCC in steam generator tubes is evaluated using multivariate logistic regression. The cracked tube specimens are made using the withdrawn steam generator tubes. Therefore the cracks are not artificial but real. Using the multivariate logistic regression method, continuous POD surfaces are evaluated from hit (detection) and miss (no detection) binary data obtained from destructive and non-destructive evaluation of the cracked tubes. Length and depth of cracks are considered in multivariate logistic regression and their effects on detection capacity are evaluated.

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Comparing Risk-adjusted In-hospital Mortality for Craniotomies : Logistic Regression versus Multilevel Analysis (로지스틱 회귀분석과 다수준 분석을 이용한 Craniotomy 환자의 사망률 평가결과의 일치도 분석)

  • Kim, Sun-Hee;Lee, Kwang-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Health Service Management
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality for craniotomies between logistic regression and multilevel analysis. By using patient sample data from the Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service, in-patients with a craniotomy were selected as the survey target. The sample data were collected from a total number of 2,335 patients from 90 hospitals. The sample data were analyzed with SAS 9.3. From the results of the existing logistic regression analysis and multilevel analysis, the values from the multilevel analysis represented a better model than that of logistic regression. The intra-class correlation (ICC) was 18.0%. It was found that risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality for craniotomies may vary in every hospital. The agreement by kappa coefficient between the two methods was good for the risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality for craniotomies, but the factors influencing the outcome for that were different.

Value Weighted Regularized Logistic Regression Model (속성값 기반의 정규화된 로지스틱 회귀분석 모델)

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan;Jung, Mina
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.43 no.11
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    • pp.1270-1274
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    • 2016
  • Logistic regression is widely used for predicting and estimating the relationship among variables. We propose a new logistic regression model, the value weighted logistic regression, which comprises of a fine-grained weighting method, and assigns adapted weights to each feature value. This gradient approach obtains the optimal weights of feature values. Experiments were conducted on several data sets from the UCI machine learning repository, and the results revealed that the proposed method achieves meaningful improvement in the prediction accuracy.

Steal Success Model for 2007 Korean Professional Baseball Games (2007년 한국프로야구에서 도루성공모형)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Choi, Jeong-Min
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.455-468
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    • 2008
  • Based on the huge baseball game records, the steal plays an important role to affect the result of games. For the research about success or failure of the steal in baseball games, logistic regression models are developed based on 2007 Korean professional baseball games. The analyses of logistic regression models are compared of those of the discriminant models. It is found that the performance of the logistic regression analysis is more efficient than that of the discriminant analysis. Also, we consider an alternative logistic regression model based on categorical data which are transformed from uneasy obtainable continuous data.

Penalized logistic regression models for determining the discharge of dyspnea patients (호흡곤란 환자 퇴원 결정을 위한 벌점 로지스틱 회귀모형)

  • Park, Cheolyong;Kye, Myo Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, penalized binary logistic regression models are employed as statistical models for determining the discharge of 668 patients with a chief complaint of dyspnea based on 11 blood tests results. Specifically, the ridge model based on $L^2$ penalty and the Lasso model based on $L^1$ penalty are considered in this paper. In the comparison of prediction accuracy, our models are compared with the logistic regression models with all 11 explanatory variables and the selected variables by variable selection method. The results show that the prediction accuracy of the ridge logistic regression model is the best among 4 models based on 10-fold cross-validation.

Landslide susceptibility mapping using Logistic Regression and Fuzzy Set model at the Boeun Area, Korea (로지스틱 회귀분석과 퍼지 기법을 이용한 산사태 취약성 지도작성: 보은군을 대상으로)

  • Al-Mamun, Al-Mamun;JANG, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.109-125
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to identify the landslide susceptible zones of Boeun area and provide reliable landslide susceptibility maps by applying different modeling methods. Aerial photographs and field survey on the Boeun area identified landslide inventory map that consists of 388 landslide locations. A total ofseven landslide causative factors (elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, geology, soil, forest and land-use) were extracted from the database and then converted into raster. Landslide causative factors were provided to investigate about the spatial relationship between each factor and landslide occurrence by using fuzzy set and logistic regression model. Fuzzy membership value and logistic regression coefficient were employed to determine each factor's rating for landslide susceptibility mapping. Then, the landslide susceptibility maps were compared and validated by cross validation technique. In the cross validation process, 50% of observed landslides were selected randomly by Excel and two success rate curves (SRC) were generated for each landslide susceptibility map. The result demonstrates the 84.34% and 83.29% accuracy ratio for logistic regression model and fuzzy set model respectively. It means that both models were very reliable and reasonable methods for landslide susceptibility analysis.

Power Failure Sensitivity Analysis via Grouped L1/2 Sparsity Constrained Logistic Regression

  • Li, Baoshu;Zhou, Xin;Dong, Ping
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.3086-3101
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    • 2021
  • To supply precise marketing and differentiated service for the electric power service department, it is very important to predict the customers with high sensitivity of electric power failure. To solve this problem, we propose a novel grouped 𝑙1/2 sparsity constrained logistic regression method for sensitivity assessment of electric power failure. Different from the 𝑙1 norm and k-support norm, the proposed grouped 𝑙1/2 sparsity constrained logistic regression method simultaneously imposes the inter-class information and tighter approximation to the nonconvex 𝑙0 sparsity to exploit multiple correlated attributions for prediction. Firstly, the attributes or factors for predicting the customer sensitivity of power failure are selected from customer sheets, such as customer information, electric consuming information, electrical bill, 95598 work sheet, power failure events, etc. Secondly, all these samples with attributes are clustered into several categories, and samples in the same category are assumed to be sharing similar properties. Then, 𝑙1/2 norm constrained logistic regression model is built to predict the customer's sensitivity of power failure. Alternating direction of multipliers (ADMM) algorithm is finally employed to solve the problem by splitting it into several sub-problems effectively. Experimental results on power electrical dataset with about one million customer data from a province validate that the proposed method has a good prediction accuracy.

A Study on Diabetes Management System Based on Logistic Regression and Random Forest

  • ByungJoo Kim
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2024
  • In the quest for advancing diabetes diagnosis, this study introduces a novel two-step machine learning approach that synergizes the probabilistic predictions of Logistic Regression with the classification prowess of Random Forest. Diabetes, a pervasive chronic disease impacting millions globally, necessitates precise and early detection to mitigate long-term complications. Traditional diagnostic methods, while effective, often entail invasive testing and may not fully leverage the patterns hidden in patient data. Addressing this gap, our research harnesses the predictive capability of Logistic Regression to estimate the likelihood of diabetes presence, followed by employing Random Forest to classify individuals into diabetic, pre-diabetic or nondiabetic categories based on the computed probabilities. This methodology not only capitalizes on the strengths of both algorithms-Logistic Regression's proficiency in estimating nuanced probabilities and Random Forest's robustness in classification-but also introduces a refined mechanism to enhance diagnostic accuracy. Through the application of this model to a comprehensive diabetes dataset, we demonstrate a marked improvement in diagnostic precision, as evidenced by superior performance metrics when compared to other machine learning approaches. Our findings underscore the potential of integrating diverse machine learning models to improve clinical decision-making processes, offering a promising avenue for the early and accurate diagnosis of diabetes and potentially other complex diseases.