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Drought frequency analysis for multi-purpose dam inflow using bivariate Copula model (이변량 Copula 모형을 활용한 다목적댐 유입량 가뭄빈도해석)

  • Sung, Jiyoung;Kim, Eunji;Kang, Boosik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.340-340
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    • 2021
  • 가뭄의 특성상 시점과 종점을 명확하게 정의하기 어렵기 때문에 기준수문량을 설정하고 부족량과 지속기간을 정의하는 것이 일반적이다. 대상 수문량은 강우나 유출량을 사용할 수 있지만, 두 성분간 지체와 감쇄효과로 인하여 빈도해석의 결과는 차이를 보일 수 밖에 없어, 사용 목적에 따라 선별적으로 적용해야 한다. 가뭄빈도해석은 강우를 기반으로 지속기간과 심도를 정의하여 빈도를 해석하는 연구가 선행되어왔지만, 기본적으로 강우의 간헐적 발생특성과 체감도의 한계가 문제로 지적되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 댐 유입량의 Run 시계열 특성을 이용하여 다양한 유황을 기준유량으로 활용하여 가뭄의 시점과 종점에 대한 가뭄사상을 추출하고 지속기간과 누적부족량을 계산하여 가뭄빈도해석의 변수로 설정하였다. 두 변수간의 복잡한 상호 관계를 해석하기 위해 Copula 함수를 이용한 이변량 가뭄빈도해석을 진행하였다. 먼저 소양강댐('74-'19) 유입량, 충주댐('86-'19) 유입량을 연구대상지역으로 설정하여, 두 유역의 유입량의 추세분석을 통해 시간의존성을 파악하였다. 유황분석에 사용되는 분위량중 평수량을 기준값으로 사용하여 각 년별 최대 지속기간과 누적부족량을 추출하였다. Copula 가뭄빈도해석을 수행하기 전에 지속기간에는 GEV, 누적 부족량에는 Log-normal 분포를 적용해 단변량 누적확률분포를 계산하여 재현기간을 도출하였다. 이변량 빈도해석에 Clayton Copula 함수를 적용하여 가뭄빈도해석을 진행하였고, Copula 이변량 재현기간과 SDF곡선을 도출하였다. Clayton Copula를 이용한 이변량 가뭄빈도해석의 결과로 소양강댐의 가장 극심한 가뭄은 1996년으로 단변량 재현기간은 지속기간 기준 9.11년, 누적부족량 기준 17.26년, Copula 재현기간은 141.19년 이며 충주댐의 가장 극심한 가뭄은 2014년으로 단변량 재현기간은 지속기간 기준 17.76년, 누적부족량 기준 18.72년, Copula 재현기간은 184.19년으로 단변량 가뭄빈도해석을 통한 재현기간보다 Copula 재현기간이 높은 결과가 도출되었다. Run 시계열을 바탕으로 한 기준유량의 임계값 기준 Event 산정과 Copula를 이용한 빈도해석은 가뭄분석에 이용되는 자료의 상관관계와 분포특성을 재현하는데 효과적인 특징이 있다. 이를 미루어 보아 Copula 함수를 이용한 가뭄빈도해석의 재현기간은 보다 현실적인 재현기간을 도출할 수 있는 것으로 판단된다. 임계값의 조정을 통해 가뭄빈도해석의 변수의 양이 늘어나면, 보다 정확도 높은 재현기간을 도출하여 수문학적 가뭄을 정의할 수 있을 것이라고 사료된다.

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Study on establishment of emission cell test method for liquid phase building materials (방출셀을 이용한 액상건축자재 오염물질 방출시험방법 정립에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Jungyun;Jang, Seongki;Seo, Sooyun
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.191-200
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this study was to evaluate and establish of emission test method for liquid phase building materials such as paint, adhesive, sealant by emission cell. A small-scale emission chamber and emission cell were used to evaluate emission of TVOC from paint, adhesive, sealant. The quantity of TVOC emission were measured by a gas chromatography/mass spectrometry (GC/MS). Background concentration of TVOC was below $10{\mu}g/m^3$ in the emission chamber and cell. Air tightness and recovery in chamber and cell showed good results. The recovery of thermal desorber for toluene and n-dodecane were about 120%. The repeatability of response factor and retention time in GC/MS below 30%. The method detection limit of VOCs ranged 0.04~8.82 ng. The concentration of TVOC emission using emission cell was 1.35~1.41 times higher than emission chamber. The correlation of TVOC emission using chamber and cell method was significantly high (r=0.91~0.97).

Spatio-temporal Variability of Soil Moisture within Remote Sensing Footprints in Semi-arid Area (건조지역 원격탐사 footprint 내 토양수분의 시공간적 변동성 분석)

  • Hwang, Kyotaek;Cho, Hun Sik;Lee, Seung Oh;Choi, Minha
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3B
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    • pp.285-293
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    • 2010
  • Soil moisture is a key factor to control the exchange of water and energy between the surface and the atmosphere. In recent, many researches for spatial and temporal variability analyses of soil moisture have been conducted. In this study, we analyzed the spatio-temporal variability of soil moisture in Walnut Gulch Experimental Watershed, Arizona, U.S. during the Soil Moisture Experiment 2004 (SMEX04). The spatio-temporal variability analyses were performed to understand sensitivity of five observation sites with precipitation and relationship between mean soil moisture, and its standard deviation and coefficient of variation at the sites, respectively. It was identified that log-normal distribution was superior to replicate soil moisture spatial patterns. In addition, precipitation was identified as a key physical factor to understand spatio-temporal variability of soil moisure based on the temporal stability analysis. Based on current results, higher spatial variability was also observed which was agreed with the results of previous studies. The results from this study should be essential for improvement of the remotely sensed soil moisture retrieval algorithm.

Analyzing Time in Port and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Vessels using Duration Model (생존분석모형을 이용한 선박의 재항시간 및 온실가스 배출량 분석)

  • Shin, Kangwon;Cheong, Jang-Pyo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.4D
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    • pp.323-330
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    • 2010
  • The time in port for vessels is one of the important factors for analyzing the operation status and the capacity of ports. In addition, the time in port for vessels can be directly used for estimating the greenhouse gas emissions resulted from vessels in port. However, it is unclear which variables can affect the time in port for vessels and what the marginal effect of each variable is. With these challenges in mind, the study analyzes the time in port for vessels arriving and departing port of Busan by using a parametric survival model. The results show that the log-logistic accelerated failure time model is appropriate to explain the time in port for 19,167 vessels arriving and departing port of Busan in 2008, in which the time in port is significantly affected by gross tonnage of vessels, service capacity of terminal, and vessel type. This study also shows that the greenhouse gas emission resulted from full-container vessels, which accounted for about 61% of all vessels with loading/unloading purpose arriving and departing port of Busan in 2008, is about "17 ton/vessel" in the boundary of port of Busan. However, the hotelling greenhouse gas emissions resulted from non-container vessels (3,774 vessels; 20%) are greater than those from the full-container vessels. Hence, it is necessary to take into account more efficient port management polices and technologies to reduce the service time of non-container vessels in port of Busan.

Statistical Analyses of Soil Moisture Data from Polarimetric Scanning Radiometer and In-situ (Polarimetric Scanning Radiometer 와 In-situ를 이용한 토양수분 자료의 통계분석)

  • Jang, Sun Woo;Jeon, Myeon Ho;Choi, Minha;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5B
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    • pp.487-495
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    • 2010
  • Soil moisture is a crucial factor in hydrological system which influences runoff, energy balance, evaporation, and atmosphere. United States National Aeronautic and Space Administration (NASA) and Department of Agriculture (USDA) have established Soil Moisture Experiment (SMEX) since 2002 for the global observations. SMEX provides useful data for the hydrological science including soil moisture and hydrometeorological variables. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between remotely sensed soil moisture data from aircraft and satellite and ground based experiment. C-band of Polarimetric Scanning Radiometer (PSR) that observed the brightness temperature provides soil moisture data using a retrieval algorithm. It was compared with the In-situ data for 2-30 cm depth at four sites. The most significant depth is 2-10 cm from the correlation analysis. Most of the sites, two data are similar to the mean of data at 10 cm and the median at 7 cm and 10 cm at the 10% significant level using the Rank Sum test and t-test. In general, soil moisture data using the C-band of the PSR was established to fit the Normal, Log-normal and Gumbel distribution. Soil moisture data using the aircraft and satellites will be used in hydrological science as fundamental data. Especially, the C-band of PSR will be used to prove soil moisture at 7-10 cm depths.

Discharge Patterns of Yongnup, Daeam-san (대암산 용늪의 유출 패턴에 관한 연구)

  • ZHU, Ju-Hua;PARK, Jongkwan
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.271-282
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to clarify the discharge patterns of Yongnup, Daeam-san. Many hydrographs were analyzed by the types of rising and falling stages, and the slope of those stages with the semi-log graph paper was a key point to distinguish the discharge patterns during rainstorms. The correlation between rainfall intensity and slopes of the second or third rising stage was higher than that between slopes of the first rising stage and rainfall intensity. Also, the coefficient of correlation between discharge decrement and the lapsed time from the peak to inflection point of hydrograph, during high water stages, was better than that during low water stages. The annual average discharge rate of Yongnup was 0.54 and the average direct runoff ratio was 0.14. The total discharge amount from Yongnup was about 410,000 tons for a water year, the monthly maximum amount emerged in September and the minimum amount was occurred in March. In summer, 37.7% was a seasonal maximum runoff ratio; on the other hand, 9.4% was a seasonal minimum runoff ratio in winter.

Customer Intangible Value in a Social Network (사회적 네트워크에서의 고객무형가치에 대한 연구)

  • Han, Sangman;Lee, Jieun
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.99-121
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    • 2009
  • Social networks can be a powerful force in marketing because they provide new ways to market to young generation. Though many studies on evaluation of customer lifetime value have been conducted, it is not clear how to assess the value of members within social networks. The purpose of this study is to evaluate members based on customer intangible value as well as customer lifetime value. Customer network value in terms of the power and influence within a network is analyzed through network structure analysis. Using Cyworld log file data, this study have shown that high percentage of members are very influential in terms of spreading or withholding information even though their CLV is low. It is expected that the findings of this research contribute to understand the interactive behaviors of members within networks and to provide valuable implications on new product launching and customer management strategies to marketers.

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Development of an Optimized Class Space and Map based on the Metaverse ZEP Platform (메타버스 ZEP 플랫폼 기반의 최적화된 수업 공간 및 맵 개발)

  • Ae-ran Park;Myung-suk Lee
    • Journal of Practical Engineering Education
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.439 -447
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    • 2023
  • This paper aims to develop a map for optimized class space using ZEP among the metaverse platforms. As a research method, the classroom space was organized so that the subject of learning became a learner, and the classroom space was modified and supplemented to optimize while being applied to elementary school computer classes. The contents of the study investigated learners' prior perception of metaverse, and compared and analyzed the advantages and disadvantages of the metaverse platform. In addition, the map was designed by reflecting the results of the survey, and after applying the map to the class, necessary APIs and apps were installed to supplement it. As a result, the learner became the subject of learning in the metaverse space, freely identified the space, and actively participated in the class. In particular, we found that students who were passive offline and those who had a low participation rate due to lack of skills participated more actively. In particular, students who were passive offline or whose participation was low due to lack of skills participated more actively. If API and JavaScript programs are added to collect log data of learners for learning analysis, real-time feedback is possible for learners, and learner feedback is possible for instructors with statistical data. If this is possible, the metaverse space can fully expect the role of a learning assistant for learners and a teaching assistant for instructors.

Efficacy and safety of losartan in childhood immunoglobulin A nephropathy: a prospective multicenter study

  • Hyesun Hyun;Yo Han Ahn;Eujin Park;Hyun Jin Choi;Kyoung Hee Han;Jung Won Lee;Su Young Kim;Eun Mi Yang;Jin Soon Suh;Jae Il Shin;Min Hyun Cho;Ja Wook Koo;Kee Hyuck Kim;Hye Won Park;Il Soo Ha;Hae Il Cheong;Hee Gyung Kang;Seong Heon Kim
    • Childhood Kidney Diseases
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs) are frequently employed to counteract the detrimental effects of proteinuria on glomerular diseases. However, the effects of ARBs remain poorly examined in pediatric patients with immunoglobulin A (IgA) nephropathy. Herein, we evaluated the efficacy and safety of losartan, an ARB, in pediatric IgA nephropathy with proteinuria. Methods: This prospective, single-arm, multicenter study included children with IgA nephropathy exhibiting proteinuria. Changes in proteinuria, blood pressure, and kidney function were prospectively evaluated before and 4 and 24 weeks after losartan administration. The primary endpoint was the difference in proteinuria between baseline and 24 weeks. Results: In total, 29 patients were enrolled and received losartan treatment. The full analysis set included 28 patients who received losartan at least once and had pre- and post-urinary protein to creatinine ratio measurements (n=28). The per-protocol analysis group included 22 patients who completed all scheduled visits without any serious violations during the study period. In both groups, the mean log (urine protein to creatinine ratio) value decreased significantly at 6 months. After 24 weeks, the urinary protein to creatinine ratio decreased by more than 50% in approximately 40% of the patients. The glomerular filtration rate was not significantly altered during the observation period. Conclusions: Losartan decreased proteinuria without decreasing kidney function in patients with IgA nephropathy over 24 weeks. Losartan could be safely employed to reduce proteinuria in this patient population. ClinicalTrials.gov trial registration (NCT0223277)

Mineralogy and Geochemistry of Shale Deposits in the Lower Anambra Basin, Nigeria: Implication for Provenance, Tectonic Setting and Depositional Environment

  • Olugbenga Okunlola;Agonsi Udodirim Lydia;Aliyu Ohiani Umaru;Raymond Webrah Kazapoe;Olusegun G. Olisa
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.56 no.6
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    • pp.799-816
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    • 2023
  • Mineralogical and geochemical studies of shales within the Lower Anambra Basin was conducted to unravel the depositional environment, provenance, maturity, paleo-weathering conditions, and tectonic settings. Mineralogical studies conducted using X-ray diffraction analysis revealed that the samples were composed of kaolinite, montmorillonite, chlorite, and illite. KaolinIite is the dominant mineral, constituting approximately 41.5% of the bulk composition, whereas the non-clay minerals are quartz, ilmenite, and sillimanite. Geochemical analysis showed a predominance of SiO2, Al2O3, and Fe2O3 contents of the shale samples with mean values of 52.29%, 14.09%, and 6.15% for Imo Shale (IS); 52.31%, 16.70%, and 7.39% for Mamu Shale (MS); 43.21%, 21.33%, and 10.36% for Enugu Shale (ES); 53.35%, 15.64%, and 7.17% for Nkporo Shale (NS); and 51.24%, 17.25%, and 7.78% for Agwu Shale (AS). However, the shales were depleted in Na2O, MgO, K2O, MnO, TiO2, CaO, and P2O5. The trace element ratios of Ni/Co and Cu/Zn of the shale suggest an oxic depositional environment. The average SiO2 vs. Al2O3 ratio of the shales indicated textural maturity. Compared to the PAAS standard, the shales plot below the PAAS value of 0.85, suggesting a high degree of maturity and intensive chemical weathering, further confirmed on a CIA vs. PIA plot. On log (K2O/Na2O) against SiO2 and tectonic setting discriminant function diagrams, the shales plot mostly in the field of passive continental margin tectonic setting. The discriminant function diagrams as well as Al2O3/TiO2 ratio of the shales showed that they were derived from a mixed source (mafic and intermediate igneous rocks).