• 제목/요약/키워드: loan

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Ex Post Monitoring and Loan Repayment Performance in Rural Vietnam

  • HA, Van Dung;DANG, Truong Thanh Nhan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권8호
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 2021
  • Loan monitoring is a fundamental element of credit control. The importance of loan monitoring is to reduce loan defaults and to increase loan repayment performance. The ex-post monitoring can also increase the loan quality and thus a concern to many creditors in the market economy. This study identifies the role of ex-post monitoring on loan repayment performance in the context of rural Vietnam. Employing primary data from rural areas of Vietnam, this study investigates the impacts of ex-post monitoring on loan repayment performance of individual borrowers in terms of on-time loan repayment and the rate of loan repayment. Descriptions of borrower demographics, loan information, and ex-post monitoring show the initial picture of borrowers and loans in Vietnam's rural areas. Quantitative estimations that use the Probit and the Tobit model confirm the argument that better ex-post monitoring would result in better loan repayment performance in both on-time repayment and repayment rate. Thus, some policy suggestions have been made to improve the monitoring system in each financial institution. The study also indicates that some other factors too affect loan repayment performance such as borrower's characteristics (education, agricultural working area, and income) as well as loan's characteristics (loan size, maturity, and loan purpose).

WTO/OECD하에서 공적수출기관인 한국수출입은행의 단기 및 중장기 수출자금 대출지원제도가 수출에 미치는 영향에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Influence of the Korean Short-term Export Loan System & Medium and Long-term Export Loan System upon Korean Export in WTO/OECD)

  • 이은재
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.247-268
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    • 2005
  • In this study, I analysed the influence of the Korean Officially Supported Export Credit System upon Improvement upon Korean Export, investigated Korean Officially Supported Export Credit System focussing on the Short-term Export Loan System & Medium and Long-term Export Loan System in Korea Eximbank and sought for the measures overcoming problems therewith. In my research I started from a basic model analyzing Short-term Export Loan & Medium and Long-term Export Loan using added several variables that have effect on export such export relative price, world income and the amount of post-shipment credit bank guarantee. As a result, amount of Short-term Export Loan & Medium and Long-term Export Loan, world income and export relative price showed expected responses and Short-term Export Loan was significant. In case of amount of Short-term Export Loan System was statistical significance.

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Survival analysis of bank loan repayment rate for customers of Hawassa commercial bank of Ethiopaia

  • Kitabo, Cheru Atsmegiorgis;Kim, Jong Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.1591-1598
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    • 2014
  • The reviews of the balance sheet of commercial banks showed that loan item constitutes the largest portion of bank's assets. Although the sector has highest rate of profit, it possesses the greatest risk. Identifying factors that can contribute in lifting-up the loan repayment rate of customers of Hawassa district commercial bank is the major goal of this study. A sample of 183 customers who took loan from October, 2005 to April, 2012 was taken from the bank record. Kaplan-Meier estimation method and univariate Cox proportional hazard model were applied to identify factors affecting bank loan repayment rate. The result from Kaplan-Meier survival estimation revealed that the loan repayment rate is significantly related with loan type, and previous loan experience, educational level and mode of repayment. The log-rank test indicates that the survival probability of loan customers is not statistically different in repaying the loan among groups classified by sex. Moreover, the univariate Cox proportional hazard model result portrayed that educational level, having previous loan experience, mode of repayment, collateral type and purpose of loan are significantly related with loan repayment rate of customers commercial bank. Hence, banks should design loan strategies giving special emphasis on the significant factors while they are giving loans to their customers.

AHP의 절대적 측정을 이용한 비대면 개인대출심사모형의 개발 (A Non Face-to-Face Private Loan Screening Model Employing the Ratings Approach of AHP : Development and Validation)

  • 민재형;김우섭
    • 경영과학
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.65-87
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    • 2016
  • Being the FinTech technologies rapidly developed, the non face-to-face private loan market is also growing dramatically. While the real-world interests in this market are keen, the empirical studies on the issue are few compared to its prospective impact on credit loan market. This paper suggests a credit scoring model for the non face-to-face private loan employing the ratings approach (the absolute measurement method) of AHP. Analyzing a sample of data consisting of 460,000 transaction records over an 8-year period in the United States, we develop a scoring model for the non face-to-face private loan screening, and validate the model for the practical usage. Conducting sensitivity analysis, we suggest customized cut-off points for the loan execution to suit each individual loan institution's need.

Growth of Loan Distribution and Bank Valuation: Evidence from Vietnam

  • HOANG, Lam Xuan;HOANG, Phi Dinh;DANG, Duong Quy
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제18권5호
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The aim of this article is to test the link between growth of loan distribution and Bank Valuation in Vietnam's banking sector. At the same time, the study also compared the differences in the effect of growth of loan to valuation bank in banks of different sizes, ownership rates and bank values. Research design, data and methodology: With panel data estimation techniques along with robust standard error for a sample of the banks listed on Vietnam stock exchange from 2012 to 2019. Results: Growth of loan has a positive impact on Bank Valuation (by Tobin's Q). A closer investigation provides evidence for the differential valuation effect of loan growth depending on different features of banks. Specifically, loan growth is found positively and significantly associated with Bank Valuation in small and non-state-owned banks only. Besides, bank size, deposit, and return on equity are found negatively associated with Tobin's Q, while loan loss provisions exhibit a positive relation with this measure of Bank Valuation. Conclusions: These findings provide contributions to the literature on the existence of the effect of loan growth on Bank Valuation. At the same time, the study also provides practical implications for policy makers in banks and investors.

Student Academic Performance, Dropout Decisions and Loan Defaults: Evidence from the Government College Loan Program

  • HAN, SUNG MIN
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.71-91
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    • 2016
  • This paper examines the effect of the government college loan program in Korea on student academic performance, dropout decisions and loan defaults. While fairness in educational opportunities has been guaranteed to some degree through this program, which started in 2009, there has been a great deal of controversy over its effectiveness. Empirical findings suggest that recipients of general student loan (GSL) lower academic performance than those who received income contingent loan (ICL). Moreover, for students attending private universities, a higher number of loans received increased the probability of a dropout decision, and students from middle-income households had a higher probability of being overdue than students from low-income households. These findings indicate that expanding the ICL program within the allowance of the government budget is necessary. Furthermore, providing opportunities for students to find various jobs and introducing a rating system for defaulters are two necessary tasks.

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Conservative Loan Loss Allowance and Bank Lending

  • TAKASU, Yusuke;NAKANO, Makoto
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relation between conservative loan loss accounting practice of banks, defined as accounting behavior that increases loan loss allowances against expected credit losses, and bank lending. Furthermore, we specify the macroeconomic conditions reflecting debtors' borrowing environments and analyze how these conditions affect the relation between conservative loan loss allowances and bank lending. Although existing literature reports that accounting conservatism has a direct effect on non-financial firms' investment behavior, there is little evidence about an effect of conservatism on banks' lending behavior. By exploiting data showing the links between individual Japanese firms and their individual lenders to control both loan demand and supply, we estimate OLS regressions to test the relationships among conservative loan loss allowance, bank lending, and macroeconomic conditions using a unique dataset containing bank-firm-year observations between 2001 and 2013. We find banks that have conservative loan loss allowances tend to provide fewer loans to firms with financing needs when macroeconomic conditions are good and these conservative banks are likely to provide more loans to firms when macroeconomic conditions are bad. Our findings suggest that reflecting expected credit loss into loan loss allowances can mitigate the procyclical behavior of banks.

건설 및 부동산업 대출과 은행 위험 (The Bank Loan of Construction·Real Estate Industry and Bank Risk)

  • 이상욱
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권8호
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    • pp.5267-5272
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 2008~2013년 한국의 은행 대출 자료를 이용하여 건설 및 부동산업으로의 대출 집중과 은행 위험의 관계를 분석하였다. 각 은행의 기업대출에서 건설, 부동산업으로의 대출이 차지하는 비중을 이용하여 건설 및 부동산업의 대출을 산정하였다. 은행 위험은 부실여신(3개월 이상 연체 및 무이자 여신) 규모와 은행의 자기자본비율로 산정하였다. 분석 결과에 따르면, 1기 이전 은행의 건설, 부동산업 등으로의 대출 비중이 증가할수록 은행의 부실여신 규모는 감소하고 자기자본비율은 제고되는 것으로 나타났다. 은행의 특정 산업으로의 대출 집중은 은행의 위험을 증가시키지 않을 것으로 추정된다. 이는 대출집중으로 인해 은행들이 해당 산업에 대한 대출 전문심사 능력향상이 향상됨에 따라 이들 산업에 대한 정보비대칭성을 낮출 수 있기 때문인 것으로 추정된다. 한국의 경우 건설 및 부동산임대업으로의 대출 증가가 은행의 부실대출 위험으로 연계될 가능성은 크지 않은 것으로 진단된다.

뉴스벤더 모델을 이용한 최적 대출금 한도 관리에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Optimal Loan Limit Management Using the Newsvendor Model)

  • 신정훈;황승준
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2015
  • In this study, granting the optimal loan limit on SME (Small and Medium Enterprise) loans of financial institutions was proposed using the traditional newsvendor model. This study was the first domestic case study that applied the newsvendor model that was mainly used to calculate the optimum order quantity under some uncertain demands to the calculation of the loan limit (debt ceiling) of institutions. The method presented in this study made it possible to calculate the loan limit (debt ceiling) to maximize the revenue of a financial institution using probability functions, applied the newsvendor model setting the order volume of merchandise goods as the loan product order volume of the financial institution, and proposed, through the analysis of empirical data, the availability of additional loan to the borrower and the reduction of the debt ceiling and a management method for the recovery of the borrower who could not generate profit. In addition, the profit based loan money management model presented in this study also demonstrated that it also contributed to some extent to the prediction of the bankruptcy of the borrowing SME (Small and Medium Enterprise), as well as the calculation of the loan limit based on profit, by deriving the result values that the borrowing SME (Small and Medium Enterprise) actually went through bankruptcy at later times once the model had generated a signal of loan recovery for them during the validation of empirical data. accordingly, The method presented in this study suggested a methodology to generated a signal of loan recovery to reduce the losses by the bankruptcy.

A study on legal improvement on Online P2P financial loan

  • Park, Jong-Ryeol;Noe, Sang-Ouk
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 2017
  • Along with the recent growth of Fintech industry and low interest rate basis, one of the alternative investment technique for expecting higher investment profit, P2P loan using P2P financial system is greatly increasing. P2P loan can be referred to as a type of Crowdfunding that the law of Crowdfunding (adopted to revised Capital Market Act) enacted on January 25th 2016 only allows investment type Crowdfunding so that it can be used as a tool of raising fund for startup and venture companies. Also, it is true that Korean government could not make any legislative foundation related to P2P loan. At this moment, those online platform companies mediating P2P loan are not included as financial companies, expected to cause various legal arguments. Financial Services Commission has released a guideline in February of this year saying that limit of P2P loan is 10 million Korean Won per arbitrating company and 5 million Korean Won per borrower. However, what is more important is to make a law supporting this institutional system. If legislation on P2P loan is implemented without care, it may disturb growth of the field but it may result in the damage of investors if not clearly defined by law. As this is the case, first, "revision of execution regulations for loan business" should take place as soon as possible to intensify inspection of loan companies by registering them to Financial Services Commission. Second, saving customer fund separately in the their organization. Third, making law on protecting investors such as regulating exaggerative advertisement. Fourth, to have transparent and fair public announcement system, standardized agreement and guideline describing clear understanding on autonomous public information publication of P2P loan online platform business and information on the borrower.