• 제목/요약/키워드: lifetime models

검색결과 147건 처리시간 0.023초

납의 다경로 노출에 의한 건강위해성평가 : 우리 나라 일부 지역 성인들을 대상으로 (Health Risk Assessment of Lead Exposure through Multi-pathways in Korea)

  • 정용;황만식;양지연;조성준
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.203-216
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes a set of multi-pathway models for estimating health risk to lead. The models link concentrations of an environmental contaminant (lead) in air, water and food to human exposure through inhalation, ingestion, and dietary routes. Exposure is used as the foundation for predicting risk of health detriment within the population. The process of estimating exposure using often limited data and extrapolating to a large diverse population requires many assumption, inferences, and simplification. This paper is divided into four section. The first section provides lead contaminant levels on obtaining environmental concentration of air, tap water, and foods. The second section provides a discussion of exposure parameters and uncertainty associated predicting human health risk of contaminants. The third and fourth section illustrate lifetime average daily exposure (LADE) and excess cancer risk (ECR) based on exposure parameters. The relationship between concentration of lead in an environmental medium and human exposure is determined with pathway exposure factors (PEFs). The calculation of LADE and ECR is carried out using Monte-Carlo simulation with probability density function of exposure parameters. Examination of the result reveals that, for lead exposure, ingestion (food) is the dominant route of exposure rather than inhalation (air), and ingestion (tap eater).

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Neural Network Modeling of PECVD SiN Films and Its Optimization Using Genetic Algorithms

  • Han, Seung-Soo
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2001
  • Silicon nitride films grown by plasma-enhanced chemical vapor deposition (PECVD) are useful for a variety of applications, including anti-reflecting coatings in solar cells, passivation layers, dielectric layers in metal/insulator structures, and diffusion masks. PECVD systems are controlled by many operating variables, including RF power, pressure, gas flow rate, reactant composition, and substrate temperature. The wide variety of processing conditions, as well as the complex nature of particle dynamics within a plasma, makes tailoring SiN film properties very challenging, since it is difficult to determine the exact relationship between desired film properties and controllable deposition conditions. In this study, SiN PECVD modeling using optimized neural networks has been investigated. The deposition of SiN was characterized via a central composite experimental design, and data from this experiment was used to train and optimize feed-forward neural networks using the back-propagation algorithm. From these neural process models, the effect of deposition conditions on film properties has been studied. A recipe synthesis (optimization) procedure was then performed using the optimized neural network models to generate the necessary deposition conditions to obtain several novel film qualities including high charge density and long lifetime. This optimization procedure utilized genetic algorithms, hybrid combinations of genetic algorithm and Powells algorithm, and hybrid combinations of genetic algorithm and simplex algorithm. Recipes predicted by these techniques were verified by experiment, and the performance of each optimization method are compared. It was found that the hybrid combinations of genetic algorithm and simplex algorithm generated recipes produced films of superior quality.

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Analysis of Real-Time Estimation Method Based on Hidden Markov Models for Battery System States of Health

  • Piao, Changhao;Li, Zuncheng;Lu, Sheng;Jin, Zhekui;Cho, Chongdu
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2016
  • A new method is proposed based on a hidden Markov model (HMM) to estimate and analyze battery states of health. Battery system health states are defined according to the relationship between internal resistance and lifetime of cells. The source data (terminal voltages and currents) can be obtained from vehicular battery models. A characteristic value extraction method is proposed for HMM. A recognition framework and testing datasets are built to test the estimation rates of different states. Test results show that the estimation rates achieved based on this method are above 90% under single conditions. The method achieves the same results under hybrid conditions. We can also use the HMMs that correspond to hybrid conditions to estimate the states under a single condition. Therefore, this method can achieve the purpose of the study in estimating battery life states. Only voltage and current are used in this method, thereby establishing its simplicity compared with other methods. The batteries can also be tested online, and the method can be used for online prediction.

Service life prediction of a reinforced concrete bridge exposed to chloride induced deterioration

  • Papadakis, Vagelis G.
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • 제1권3호
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    • pp.201-213
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    • 2013
  • While recognizing the problem of reinforcement corrosion and premature structural deterioration of reinforced concrete (RC) structures as a combined effect of mechanical and environmental actions (carbonation, ingress of chlorides), emphasis is given on the effect of the latter, as most severe and unpredictable action. In this study, a simulation tool, based on proven predictive models utilizing principles of chemical and material engineering, for the estimation of concrete service life is applied on an existing reinforced concrete bridge (${\O}$resund Link) located in a chloride environment. After a brief introduction to the structure of the models used, emphasis is given on the physicochemical processes in concrete leading to chloride induced corrosion of the embedded reinforcement. By taking under consideration the concrete, structural and environmental properties of the bridge investigated, an accurate prediction of its service life is taking place. It was observed that the proposed, and already used, relationship of service lifetime- cover is almost identical with a mean line between the lines derived from the minimum and maximum critical values considered for corrosion initiation. Thus, an excellent agreement with the project specifications is observed despite the different ways used to approach the problem. Furthermore, different scenarios of concrete cover failure, in the case when a coating is utilized, and extreme deicing salts attack are also investigated.

Study of the dynamic behavior of porous functionally graded suspension structural systems using finite elements method

  • Ayman E., Nabawy;Ayman M.M., Abdelhaleem;Soliman. S., Alieldin;Alaa A., Abdelrahman
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제45권5호
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    • pp.697-713
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    • 2022
  • In the context of the finite elements method, the dynamic behavior of porous functionally graded double wishbone vehicle suspension structural system incorporating joints flexibility constraints under road bump excitation is studied and analyzed. The functionally graded material properties distribution through the thickness direction is simulated by the power law including the porosity effect. To explore the porosity effects, both classical and adopted porosity models are considered based on even porosity distribution pattern. The dynamic equations of motion are derived based on the Hamiltonian principle. Closed forms of the inertia and material stiffness components are derived. Based on the plane frame isoparametric Timoshenko beam element, the dynamic finite elements equations are developed incorporating joint flexibilities constraints. The Newmark's implicit direct integration methodology is utilized to obtain the transient vibration time response under road bump excitation. The presented procedure is validated by comparing the computational model results with the available numerical solutions and an excellent agreement is observed. Obtained results show that the decrease of porosity percentage and material graduation tends to decrease the deflection as well as the resulting stresses of the control arms thus improving the dynamic performance and increasing the service lifetime of the control arms.

New Cooling System Design of BLDC Motor for Electric Vehicle Using Computation Fluid Dynamics Modeling

  • Vu, Duc Thuan;Hwang, Pyung
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.318-323
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    • 2013
  • Overheating in electrical motors results in detrimental effects such as degradation of the insulation materials, demagnetization of magnets, increases in Joule losses, and decreases in motor efficiency and lifetime. Thus, it is important to find ways to dissipate heat from the motor and to keep the motor operating at its most efficient temperature. In this study, a new design to guide air flow through a given brushless direct current (BLDC) motor is developed and the design is analyzed, specifically by using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations. The results showed that the temperature distribution in the three proposed models is lower than that in the original model, although the speed of the cooling fan in the original model reaches a very high value of $15{\times}10^3$ rpm. The results also showed that CFD can be effectively used to simulate the heat transfer of BLDC motors.

연료액적의 Air-Assisted Breakup에 대한 수치해석적 연구 (A Numerical Study on Air-Assisted Breakup of Fuel Droplets)

  • 황상순
    • 한국분무공학회지
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 1996
  • Breakup models are evaluated using the experimental drop trajectory ill this study. The experimental conditions corespond to Weber # 56, 260, 463. Computations are carried out using a modified KIVA-II program with 2 different breakup submodel(TAB and Wave breakup model) and dynamic drag model which the drag coefficient changes dynamically with distortion parameter. Results show that computation with wave breakup model represents the experimental drop trajectory better than that with TAB submodel. And result with wave breakup model shows similar breakup pattern to experimental breakup process. It is thought that in wave breakup model the small drops are shed from the parent drop throughout parcel lifetime such thai this modelling represents the real breakup process well.

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고객평생가치 모델의 통신산업 응용에 관한 연구 (A Study on practice of customer lifetime value models in the telecommunication industry)

  • 황성섭;조성준
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회/대한산업공학회 2005년도 춘계공동학술대회 발표논문
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    • pp.268-274
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    • 2005
  • 고객관리란 고객데이터와 정보를 분석, 통합하여 개별 고객의 특성에 기초한 마케팅 활동을 계획, 지원, 평가하는 과정이다. 고객 관리는 기업에 있어서 가장 중요한 전략 중의 하나이며, 1990년대 이후로 그 중요성은 강조되어 왔다. 이러한 고객관리의 출발은 고객의 가치를 정확히 측정하는 것이며, 고객평생가치를 판단하기 위한 많은 연구가 이루어졌다. 우리는 고객평생가치 모델을 한국의 이동통신산업에 적용하기 위한 이론적 배경과 그 방법론을 분석하였다. 또한 이 논문은 이러한 과정에서 나타나는 문제점의 원인과 그 해결방안을 제시하고 있다. 이러한 연구와 방법론들은 실제 마케팅 전략에 직접적으로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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확률계수 열화율 모형하에서 판정가속을 도입한 가속열화시험의 설계 (Design of Accelerated Degradation Test with Tightened Critical Values under Random Coefficient Degradation Rate Model)

  • 조유희;서순근
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents accelerated degradation test plans considering adoption of tightened critical values. Under arandom coefficient degradation rate and log-linear acceleration models, the asymptotic variance of an estimatorfor a lifetime quantile at the use condition as the optimization criterion is derived where the degradation ratefollows a lognormal and Reciprocal Weibull distributions, respectively and then the low stress level andproportions ofunits allocated to each stress level are determined. We also show that the developed test plans canbe applied to the multiplicative model with measurement error.

다항목 검사장비를 위한 COO 모형 연구 (Cost of Ownership Model for the Inspection Equipment of Multiple Quality Attributes)

  • 손소영;문형욱;홍철기
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.297-304
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    • 2001
  • Procurement decisions for inspection equipment are often made heavily based on the initial purchase price instead of the effects of inspection cost, equipment calibration and utilization over the lifetime. Cost of ownership(COO) models that take into account all of these cost factors together have been developed focusing on a single quality characteristic. In modern manufacturing environment, inspection equipment often can deal with more than one quality characteristic simultaneously. In this paper, we propose the revised COO model for the economic evaluation of the inspection equipment that can accommodate multiple quality characteristics. We also employ an engineering economy model to compare equipments with different life span. Software is developed for handy comparison of the COO of alternative equipments along with sensitivity analysis far the optimal procurement decision.

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