• Title/Summary/Keyword: life- time prediction

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Prediction of Life-Time on the Macroscopic Interface between Solid Materials with Analysis of V-t Characteristics (V-t 특성 분석에 의한 고체 거시계면의 수명 평가)

  • 오재한;이경섭;배덕권;김충혁;이준웅
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.607-611
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    • 2000
  • The characteristics on the interface between Epoxy and EPDM which are materials of the underground insulation systems of power delivery have studied. The breakdown strength of specimens are observed by applying high AC voltage at the room temperature. The breakdown times under the constant voltage below the breakdown voltage were gained. As constant voltage is applied the breakdown time is proportion to the breakdown strength. The life exponent n is gained by inverse power law and the long breakdown life time can be evaluated. AC breakdown strength and life time is improved by oiling to the interface. When the low viscosity oil is spread interface has the highest life time.

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Design of a machine learning based mobile application with GPS, mobile sensors, public GIS: real time prediction on personal daily routes

  • Shin, Hyunkyung
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2018
  • Since the global positioning system (GPS) has been included in mobile devices (e.g., for car navigation, in smartphones, and in smart watches), the impact of personal GPS log data on daily life has been unprecedented. For example, such log data have been used to solve public problems, such as mass transit traffic patterns, finding optimum travelers' routes, and determining prospective business zones. However, a real-time analysis technique for GPS log data has been unattainable due to theoretical limitations. We introduced a machine learning model in order to resolve the limitation. In this paper presents a new, three-stage real-time prediction model for a person's daily route activity. In the first stage, a machine learning-based clustering algorithm is adopted for place detection. The training data set was a personal GPS tracking history. In the second stage, prediction of a new person's transient mode is studied. In the third stage, to represent the person's activity on those daily routes, inference rules are applied.

A LIFE PREDICTION OF LDPE DEGRADATION PROCESSING USING PARAMETERS (파라미터를 이용한 LDPE 절연열화 과정의 수면예측)

  • Kim, Sung-Hong;Seo, Jang-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07e
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    • pp.40-43
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    • 2000
  • Our studies diagnose insulation degradation using the method of computer sensing system, which has the advantages of PD(partial discharge) and AE(acoustic emission) sensing system. To use advantages of these two methods can be used effectively to search for treeing location and PD in some materials. In analysis method of degradation, using statically operator such as the center of gravity (G), the gradient of the discharge distribution(C), we have analyzed for the prediction of life which we can be obtained the time, occurred of many pulse of small discharge amplitude.

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Creep Life Prediction and Error Analysis for Type 316LN Stainless Steel (Type 316LN 스테인리스강의 크리프 수명예측과 오차분석)

  • Yi W.;Yin S.N.;Kim W.G.;Ryu W.S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.109-110
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    • 2006
  • Various parametric methods, Larson-Miller (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D), Manson-Haferd (M-H) parameters, and minimum commitment method (MCM), were used to predict longer rupture time from short-term creep data. A number of the creep data were collected through literature surveys and experimental data produced in KAERI for predicting the creep type of type 316LN SS. Polynomial equations for predicting the creep life were obtained by the time-temperature parameters (TTP) and the MCM. standard error (SE) and standard error or mean (SEM) values were compared for the each method with temperatures. The TTP methods were good in the creep-life prediction, but the MCM was much superior to the TTP ones at $700^{\circ}C\;and\;750^{\circ}C$. The MCM was found to be lower in the SE values compared to the TTP methods

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Creep-Life Prediction and Its Error Analysis by the Time Temperature Parameters and the Minimum Commitment Method (시간-온도 파라미터법과 최소구속법에 의한 크리프 수명예측과 오차 분석)

  • Yin, Song-Nan;Ryu, Woo-Seog;Yi, Won;Kim, Woo-Gon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.31 no.2 s.257
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    • pp.160-165
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    • 2007
  • To predict long-term creep life from short-term creep life data, various parametric methods such as Larson-Mille. (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D), Manson-Haferd (M-H) parameters, and a Minimum Commitment Method (MCM) were suggested. A number of the creep data were collected through literature surveys and experimental data produced in KAERI. The polynomial equations for type 316LN SS were obtained by the time-temperature parameters (TTP) and the MCM. Standard error (SE) and standard error of mean (SEM) values were obtained and compared with the each method for various temperatures. The TTP methods showed good creep-life prediction, but the MCM was much superior to the TTP ones at $700^{\circ}C$ and $750^{\circ}C$. It was found that the MCM were lower in the SE values when compared to the TTP methods.

Creep-Life Prediction and Standard Error Analysis of Type 316LN Stainless Steel by Time-Temperature Parametric Methods (시간-온도 파라미터 방법에 의한 Type 316LN 강의 크리프 수명 예측과 표준오차 분석)

  • Yoon Song Nam;Ryu Woo Seog;Yi Won;Kim Woo Gon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.29 no.1 s.232
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    • pp.74-80
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    • 2005
  • A number of creep rupture data for type 316LN stainless steels were collected through literature survey or experimental data produced in KAERI. Using these data, polynomial equations for predicting creep life were obtained by Larson-Miller (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D) and Manson-Haferd (M-H) parameters using time-temperature parametric (TTP) methods. Standard error of estimate (SEE) values for the each parameter was obtained with different temperatures through the statistical process of the creep data. The results of L-M, O-S-D and M-H methods showed good creep-life prediction, but M-H method showed better agreement than L-M and O-S-D methods. Especially, it was found that SEE values of M-H method at $700^{\circ}C$ were lower than that of L-M and O-S-D methods.

Prediction of Useful Life by Heat Aging of Motor Fan Isolating Rubber (모터팬 방진고무부품의 노화수명 예측)

  • Kim, W.S.;Woo, C.S.;Cho, S.J.;Kim, W.D.
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2002
  • This paper discusses the accelerated heat aging tests were carried out to predict the useful life of EPDM isolating rubber components of ventilation fan motor for clean room. 20% compression set results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of the useful life and the time to threshold value were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot. The useful life at variable temperatures and activation energy are obtained from the Arrhenius relationship. An accelerated test program to assess useful life can be represented an appreciable investment in time was designed. We also considered the effect of antioxidant agents.

Prediction of Life Time of Rail Rubber Pad using Reliability Analysis Method

  • Park, Dae-Geun
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2013
  • Railpad prevents damage of the tie and ballast by reducing the impact and high frequency vibration, which occurs when a vehicle load transfers to a tie. But elasticity of the railpad can decrease under vehicle load and over usable period. If that happens, railpad will become stiffer. Increase in stiffness of the railpad also translates into a rise in track maintenance cost because it accelerates the damage of the track. In this study, accelerated heat ageing test was performed to predict an expectable lifetime of the railpad. As a result, it was predicted to be about sixteen years at $25^{\circ}C$ that life time of railpad using NR rubber from Arrhenius relationship. Also, it was predicted to be about thirty-two days at $100^{\circ}C$. At this time, a standard rate of thickness change is approximately within 12%.

Prediction of the remaining service life of existing concrete bridges in infrastructural networks based on carbonation and chloride ingress

  • Zambon, Ivan;Vidovic, Anja;Strauss, Alfred;Matos, Jose;Friedl, Norbert
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.305-320
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    • 2018
  • The second half of the 20th century was marked with a significant raise in amount of railway bridges in Austria made of reinforced concrete. Today, many of these bridges are slowly approaching the end of their envisaged service life. Current methodology of assessment and evaluation of structural condition is based on visual inspections, which, due to its subjectivity, can lead to delayed interventions, irreparable damages and additional costs. Thus, to support engineers in the process of structural evaluation and prediction of the remaining service life, the Austrian Federal Railways (${\ddot{O}}$ BB) commissioned the formation of a concept for an anticipatory life cycle management of engineering structures. The part concerning concrete bridges consisted of forming a bridge management system (BMS) in a form of a web-based analysis tool, known as the LeCIE_tool. Contrary to most BMSs, where prediction of a condition is based on Markovian models, in the LeCIE_tool, the time-dependent deterioration mechanisms of chloride- and carbonation-induced corrosion are used as the most common deterioration processes in transportation infrastructure. Hence, the main aim of this article is to describe the background of the introduced tool, with a discussion on exposure classes and crucial parameters of chloride ingress and carbonation models. Moreover, the article presents a verification of the generated analysis tool through service life prediction on a dozen of bridges of the Austrian railway network, as well as a case study with a more detailed description and implementation of the concept applied.

Suggestion and Evaluation of a Multi-Regression Linear Model for Creep Life Prediction of Alloy 617 (Alloy 617의 장시간 크리프 수명 예측을 위한 다중회귀 선형 모델의 제안 및 평가)

  • Yin, Song-Nan;Kim, Woo-Gon;Jung, Ik-Hee;Kim, Yong-Wan
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.366-372
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    • 2009
  • Creep life prediction has been commonly used by a time-temperature parameter (TTP) which is correlated to an applied stress and temperature, such as Larson-Miller (LM), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (OSD), Manson-Haferd (MH) and Manson-Succop (MS) parameters. A stress-temperature linear model (STLM) based on Arrhenius, Dorn and Monkman-Grant equations was newly proposed through a mathematical procedure. For this model, the logarithm time to rupture was linearly dependent on both an applied stress and temperature. The model parameters were properly determined by using a technique of maximum likelihood estimation of a statistical method, and this model was applied to the creep data of Alloy 617. From the results, it is found that the STLM results showed better agreement than the Eno’s model and the LM parameter ones. Especially, the STLM revealed a good estimation in predicting the long-term creep life of Alloy 617.