• 제목/요약/키워드: life prediction

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파손확률에 따른 마그네슘합금의 피로설계수명 예측 (Prediction of Fatigue Design Life in Magnesium Alloy by Failure Probability)

  • 최선순
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.804-811
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    • 2010
  • The fatigue crack propagation is stochastic in nature, because the variables affecting the fatigue behavior are random and have uncertainty. Therefore, the fatigue life prediction is critical for the design and the maintenance of many structural components. In this study, fatigue experiments are conducted on the specimens of magnesium alloy AZ31 under various conditions such as thickness of specimen, the load ratio and the loading condition. The probability distribution fit to the fatigue failure life are investigated through a probability plot paper by these conditions. The probabilities of failure at various conditions are also estimated. The fatigue design life is predicted by using the Weibull distribution.

크롬-몰리브덴강(SCM420)에 대한 프레팅 피로수명 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Fretting Fatigue Life Prediction for Cr-Mo Steel(SCM420))

  • 곽동현;노홍래;김진광;조상봉
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2007
  • Recently, a lot of work and interest have been devoted to the development of multiaxial fatigue parameters for fretting fatigue life prediction. In this study, the fretting fatigue lift and critical location ware estimated and evaluated through the multiaxial fatigue theories in a cylinder-on-flat contact configuration far Cr-Mo steel, SCM420, the material commonly is used in gears of the automobile and rollers of the conveyor. The strain-life curve was obtained from fatigue test for SCM420. The Fretting fatigue life and critical location were estimated through stress distributions, SWT-parameters and FS-parameters obtained from FEA. This paper showed possibility of applying multiaxial fatigue theories to fretting fatigue lift prediction comparing predicted life with experimental results.

2상 주조 스테인리스강의 열화로 인한 2축 피로수명의 변화와 예측 (A Change and Prediction of Biaxial Fatigue Life of Cast Duplex Stainless Steels by Degradation)

  • 권재도;박중철
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.410-418
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    • 2004
  • The multiaxial fatigue test under in-phase and out-of$.$phase load were performed to study what degradation phenomenon affects fatigue life with virgin and 3600 hrs degraded materials. The various kind of fatigue data fur fatigue life prediction were acquired under pure axial and pure torsional load of fully reversal condition. The models which was investigated are: 1) the von Mises equivalent strain range, 2) the critical shear plane approach method of Fatemi-Socie(FS) parameter, 3) the modified Smith-Watson-Topper(SWT) parameter. The result showed that, fatigue life by material degradation are decreased and life prediction which was used the FS parameter is not conservative but the best result.

실시간 성형하중 계측을 통한 냉간단조 금형수명 정량예측 정밀도 향상 연구 (A Study on Improving the Precision of Quantitative Prediction of Cold Forging Die Life Cycle Through Real Time Forging Load Measurement)

  • 서영호
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2021
  • The cold forging process induces material deformation in an enclosed space, generating a very high forging load. Therefore, it is mainly designed as a multi-stage process, and fatigue failure occurs in forging die due to cyclic load. Studies have been conducted previously to quantitatively predict the fatigue limit of cold forging dies, however, there was a limit to field application due to the large error range and the need for expert intervention. To solve this problem, we conducted a study on the introduction of a real-time forging load measurement technology and an automated system for quantitative prediction of die life cycle. As a result, it was possible to reduce the error range of the quantitative prediction of die life cycle to within ±7%, and it became possible to use the die life cycle calculation algorithm into an automated system.

Remaining useful life prediction for PMSM under radial load using particle filter

  • Lee, Younghun;Kim, Inhwan;Choi, Sikgyoung;Oh, Jaewook;Kim, Namsu
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.799-805
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    • 2022
  • Permanent magnet synchronous motors (PMSMs) are widely used in systems requiring high control precision, efficiency, and reliability. Predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) with health monitoring of PMSMs prevents catastrophic failure and ensures reliable operation of system. In this study, a model-based method for predicting the RUL of PMSMs using phase current and vibration signals is proposed. The proposed method includes feature selection and RUL prediction based on a particle filter with a degradation model. The Paris-Erdogan model describing micro fatigue crack propagation is used as the degradation model. An experimental set-up to conduct accelerated life test, capable of monitoring various signals was designed in this study. Phase current and vibration data obtained from an accelerated life test of the PMSMs were used to verify the proposed approach. Features extracted from the data were clustered based on monotonicity and correlation clustering, respectively. The results identify the effectiveness of using the current data in predicting the RUL of PMSMs.

EMD-CNN-LSTM을 이용한 하이브리드 방식의 리튬 이온 배터리 잔여 수명 예측 (Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Litium-Ion Batteries Using EMD-CNN-LSTM Hybrid Method)

  • 임제영;김동환;노태원;이병국
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2022
  • This paper proposes a battery remaining useful life (RUL) prediction method using a deep learning-based EMD-CNN-LSTM hybrid method. The proposed method pre-processes capacity data by applying empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and predicts the remaining useful life using CNN-LSTM. CNN-LSTM is a hybrid method that combines convolution neural network (CNN), which analyzes spatial features, and long short term memory (LSTM), which is a deep learning technique that processes time series data analysis. The performance of the proposed remaining useful life prediction method is verified using the battery aging experiment data provided by the NASA Ames Prognostics Center of Excellence and shows higher accuracy than does the conventional method.

신장이식 수혜자의 삶의 질 예측모형 구축 (A Prediction Model Development on Quality of Life in Kidney Transplant Recipients)

  • 김혜숙;소향숙
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.518-527
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify factors influencing quality of life in kidney transplant recipients and to understand the concrete pathway of influence and the power of each variable, so that integrated prediction model to promote the quality of life of kidney transplant recipients could be developed. Methods: The sample was composed of 218 patients in follow-up care after a kidney transplant in one of 4 university hospitals in the Honam area. A structured questionnaire was used and the collected data were analyzed for fitness, using the LISREL program. Results: This model was concise and extensive in predicting the quality of life of kidney transplant recipients. Conclusion: The research verified the factors influencing quality of life for kidney transplant recipients and it verified that direct factors such as perception of health state, compliance, self-efficacy, stress and indirect factors such as self-efficacy and social support can be important factors to predict the quality of life for recipients. Moreover, those variables represent 87% of variance in explaining quality of life in a prediction model so that the variables can be utilized to predict quality of life for kidney transplant recipients.

Grade 91 강의 장시간 크리프 수명 예측 방법 (Long-term Creep Life Prediction Methods of Grade 91 Steel)

  • 박재영;김우곤;;김선진;장진성
    • 동력기계공학회지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2015
  • Grade 91 steel is used for the major structural components of Generation-IV reactor systems such as a very high temperature reactor (VHTR) and sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR). Since these structures are designed for up to 60 years at elevated temperatures, the prediction of long-term creep life is very important to determine an allowable design stress of elevated temperature structural component. In this study, a large body of creep rupture data was collected through world-wide literature surveys, and using these data, the long-term creep life was predicted in terms of three methods: Larson-Miller (L-M), Manson-Haferd (M-H) and Wilshire methods. The results for each method was compared using the standard deviation of error. The L-M method was overestimated in the longer time of a low stress. The Wilshire method was superior agreement in the long-term life prediction to the L-M and M-H methods.

재질열화가 표면 균열 진전에 미치는 영향과 수명 예측에 관한 연구 (Effect of Temper-Embrittlement on Surface Crack Growth and Fatigue Life Prediction)

  • 권재도
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.921-927
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    • 1989
  • 본 연구에서는 피로 균열의 진전 특성 및 표면 균열과 같은 3차원 균열의 진전 특성에 나타나는 재질 열화의 영향, 열화와 피로 파괴 형태의 관계, 균열진전 속도의 분산(scattering)과 열화의 관계등에 주목해서 열화재와 회복재의 2종류의 재료를 사용해, 피로 시험에 의한 균열진전의 실험적 특성을 고찰하였다. 또한, 저자들의 종래 관통 균열 진전 특성에 대한 연구 결과를 응용해서 열화와 균열진전의 확률특성을 고려한 표면균열 진전에 대한 시뮬레이션(simulation)을 행해서 피로 수명 예측에 미치는 열화의 영향에 대해 검토해 보았다.

로켓엔진용 구리크롬 합금의 저주기 피로수명 예측방법 비교 및 평가 (Comparison and Evaluation of Low-Cycle Fatigue Life Prediction Methods Using Cu-Cr Alloy Developed for Rocket Engines)

  • 박종찬;김재훈;이금오
    • 한국추진공학회지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2022
  • 로켓엔진용으로 개발된 구리크롬 합금에 대해 저주기 피로시험을 수행하고 여러가지 피로수명 예측방법을 이용해 예측수명을 구하여 이를 시험수명과 비교하여 보았다. 피로수명 예측방법으로는 Coffin-Manson 관계식, 소성 및 전 변형률 에너지 밀도 관계식, Smith-Watson-Topper 관계식, Tomkins 관계식, Jahed-Varvani 관계식 등 총 6가지 방법을 이용하였다. 피로 예측수명을 계산한 결과 모든 방법에서 시험수명 대비 분산범위 2 이내를 만족하였다. 예측수명 편차의 정량적 확인을 통해 전 변형률 에너지 밀도 관계식이 가장 우수한 결과를 나타냈다.