• 제목/요약/키워드: learning curve model

검색결과 169건 처리시간 0.028초

광물 및 에너지 분야 경제 예측 방법으로서의 배움모형 (A "Learning" System as an Economic Forecasting Tool in Mineral and Energy Industry -Case Study of U. S. Petroleum Resource Appraisal-)

  • 전규정
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.323-328
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    • 1990
  • 본문은 기술진보 혹은 생산성 측정과 같은 기술모형에 오랫동안 사용되어진 배움모형의 광물 및 에너지 분야 경제 예측 방법으로서의 유용성을 제시하였다. 또한 사례연구로서 미국 석유자원평가에 배움 모형을 적용하여 미국 석유자원 부존량을 예측하였으며 배움모형이 경제 예측방법에 어떻게 접근하는지를 구체적으로 설명하였다.

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일반엑스선검사 교육용 시뮬레이터 개발을 위한 기계학습 분류모델 비교 (Comparison of Machine Learning Classification Models for the Development of Simulators for General X-ray Examination Education)

  • 이인자;박채연;이준호
    • 대한방사선기술학회지:방사선기술과학
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the applicability of machine learning for the development of a simulator for general X-ray examination education is evaluated. To this end, k-nearest neighbor(kNN), support vector machine(SVM) and neural network(NN) classification models are analyzed to present the most suitable model by analyzing the results. Image data was obtained by taking 100 photos each corresponding to Posterior anterior(PA), Posterior anterior oblique(Obl), Lateral(Lat), Fan lateral(Fan lat). 70% of the acquired 400 image data were used as training sets for learning machine learning models and 30% were used as test sets for evaluation. and prediction model was constructed for right-handed PA, Obl, Lat, Fan lat image classification. Based on the data set, after constructing the classification model using the kNN, SVM, and NN models, each model was compared through an error matrix. As a result of the evaluation, the accuracy of kNN was 0.967 area under curve(AUC) was 0.993, and the accuracy of SVM was 0.992 AUC was 1.000. The accuracy of NN was 0.992 and AUC was 0.999, which was slightly lower in kNN, but all three models recorded high accuracy and AUC. In this study, right-handed PA, Obl, Lat, Fan lat images were classified and predicted using the machine learning classification models, kNN, SVM, and NN models. The prediction showed that SVM and NN were the same at 0.992, and AUC was similar at 1.000 and 0.999, indicating that both models showed high predictive power and were applicable to educational simulators.

IPMN-LEARN: A linear support vector machine learning model for predicting low-grade intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

  • Yasmin Genevieve Hernandez-Barco;Dania Daye;Carlos F. Fernandez-del Castillo;Regina F. Parker;Brenna W. Casey;Andrew L. Warshaw;Cristina R. Ferrone;Keith D. Lillemoe;Motaz Qadan
    • 한국간담췌외과학회지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.195-200
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    • 2023
  • Backgrounds/Aims: We aimed to build a machine learning tool to help predict low-grade intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) in order to avoid unnecessary surgical resection. IPMNs are precursors to pancreatic cancer. Surgical resection remains the only recognized treatment for IPMNs yet carries some risks of morbidity and potential mortality. Existing clinical guidelines are imperfect in distinguishing low-risk cysts from high-risk cysts that warrant resection. Methods: We built a linear support vector machine (SVM) learning model using a prospectively maintained surgical database of patients with resected IPMNs. Input variables included 18 demographic, clinical, and imaging characteristics. The outcome variable was the presence of low-grade or high-grade IPMN based on post-operative pathology results. Data were divided into a training/validation set and a testing set at a ratio of 4:1. Receiver operating characteristics analysis was used to assess classification performance. Results: A total of 575 patients with resected IPMNs were identified. Of them, 53.4% had low-grade disease on final pathology. After classifier training and testing, a linear SVM-based model (IPMN-LEARN) was applied on the validation set. It achieved an accuracy of 77.4%, with a positive predictive value of 83%, a specificity of 72%, and a sensitivity of 83% in predicting low-grade disease in patients with IPMN. The model predicted low-grade lesions with an area under the curve of 0.82. Conclusions: A linear SVM learning model can identify low-grade IPMNs with good sensitivity and specificity. It may be used as a complement to existing guidelines to identify patients who could avoid unnecessary surgical resection.

군집 별 표준곡선 매개변수를 이용한 치밀오일 생산성 예측 순환신경망 모델 (Recurrent Neural Network Model for Predicting Tight Oil Productivity Using Type Curve Parameters for Each Cluster)

  • 한동권;김민수;권순일
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2021년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.297-299
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    • 2021
  • 치밀오일 미래 생산성 예측은 잔류오일 회수량 및 저류층 거동 분석을 위해 중요한 작업이다. 일반적으로 석유공학적 관점에서 감퇴곡선법을 이용하여 생산성 예측이 이루어지는데, 최근에는 데이터기반의 머신러닝 기법을 이용한 연구도 수행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 딥러닝 기반 순환신경망과 LSTM, GRU 알고리즘을 이용하여 미래 생산량 예측을 위한 효과적인 모델을 제안하고자 한다. 입력변수로는 치밀오일 생산 시 산출되는 오일, 가스, 물과 이와 더불어 다양한 군집분석을 통해 산출된 표준곡선이 주요 매개변수이고, 출력변수는 월별 오일 생산량이다. 기존의 경험적 모델인 감퇴곡선법과 순환신경망 모델들을 비교하였으며, 모델의 예측성능을 향상시키기 위해 하이퍼파라미터 튜닝을 통해 최적 모델을 도출하였다.

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Deep Learning-Enabled Detection of Pneumoperitoneum in Supine and Erect Abdominal Radiography: Modeling Using Transfer Learning and Semi-Supervised Learning

  • Sangjoon Park;Jong Chul Ye;Eun Sun Lee;Gyeongme Cho;Jin Woo Yoon;Joo Hyeok Choi;Ijin Joo;Yoon Jin Lee
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.541-552
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    • 2023
  • Objective: Detection of pneumoperitoneum using abdominal radiography, particularly in the supine position, is often challenging. This study aimed to develop and externally validate a deep learning model for the detection of pneumoperitoneum using supine and erect abdominal radiography. Materials and Methods: A model that can utilize "pneumoperitoneum" and "non-pneumoperitoneum" classes was developed through knowledge distillation. To train the proposed model with limited training data and weak labels, it was trained using a recently proposed semi-supervised learning method called distillation for self-supervised and self-train learning (DISTL), which leverages the Vision Transformer. The proposed model was first pre-trained with chest radiographs to utilize common knowledge between modalities, fine-tuned, and self-trained on labeled and unlabeled abdominal radiographs. The proposed model was trained using data from supine and erect abdominal radiographs. In total, 191212 chest radiographs (CheXpert data) were used for pre-training, and 5518 labeled and 16671 unlabeled abdominal radiographs were used for fine-tuning and self-supervised learning, respectively. The proposed model was internally validated on 389 abdominal radiographs and externally validated on 475 and 798 abdominal radiographs from the two institutions. We evaluated the performance in diagnosing pneumoperitoneum using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared it with that of radiologists. Results: In the internal validation, the proposed model had an AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.881, 85.4%, and 73.3% and 0.968, 91.1, and 95.0 for supine and erect positions, respectively. In the external validation at the two institutions, the AUCs were 0.835 and 0.852 for the supine position and 0.909 and 0.944 for the erect position. In the reader study, the readers' performances improved with the assistance of the proposed model. Conclusion: The proposed model trained with the DISTL method can accurately detect pneumoperitoneum on abdominal radiography in both the supine and erect positions.

베이지안 최적화를 통한 저서성 대형무척추동물 종분포모델 개발 (Development of benthic macroinvertebrate species distribution models using the Bayesian optimization)

  • 고병건;신지훈;차윤경
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.259-275
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    • 2021
  • This study explored the usefulness and implications of the Bayesian hyperparameter optimization in developing species distribution models (SDMs). A variety of machine learning (ML) algorithms, namely, support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), boosted regression tree (BRT), XGBoost (XGB), and Multilayer perceptron (MLP) were used for predicting the occurrence of four benthic macroinvertebrate species. The Bayesian optimization method successfully tuned model hyperparameters, with all ML models resulting an area under the curve (AUC) > 0.7. Also, hyperparameter search ranges that generally clustered around the optimal values suggest the efficiency of the Bayesian optimization in finding optimal sets of hyperparameters. Tree based ensemble algorithms (BRT, RF, and XGB) tended to show higher performances than SVM and MLP. Important hyperparameters and optimal values differed by species and ML model, indicating the necessity of hyperparameter tuning for improving individual model performances. The optimization results demonstrate that for all macroinvertebrate species SVM and RF required fewer numbers of trials until obtaining optimal hyperparameter sets, leading to reduced computational cost compared to other ML algorithms. The results of this study suggest that the Bayesian optimization is an efficient method for hyperparameter optimization of machine learning algorithms.

Explainable Machine Learning Based a Packed Red Blood Cell Transfusion Prediction and Evaluation for Major Internal Medical Condition

  • Lee, Seongbin;Lee, Seunghee;Chang, Duhyeuk;Song, Mi-Hwa;Kim, Jong-Yeup;Lee, Suehyun
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.302-310
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    • 2022
  • Efficient use of limited blood products is becoming very important in terms of socioeconomic status and patient recovery. To predict the appropriateness of patient-specific transfusions for the intensive care unit (ICU) patients who require real-time monitoring, we evaluated a model to predict the possibility of transfusion dynamically by using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III), an ICU admission record at Harvard Medical School. In this study, we developed an explainable machine learning to predict the possibility of red blood cell transfusion for major medical diseases in the ICU. Target disease groups that received packed red blood cell transfusions at high frequency were selected and 16,222 patients were finally extracted. The prediction model achieved an area under the ROC curve of 0.9070 and an F1-score of 0.8166 (LightGBM). To explain the performance of the machine learning model, feature importance analysis and a partial dependence plot were used. The results of our study can be used as basic data for recommendations related to the adequacy of blood transfusions and are expected to ultimately contribute to the recovery of patients and prevention of excessive consumption of blood products.

A Study on the Comparison of Predictive Models of Cardiovascular Disease Incidence Based on Machine Learning

  • Ji Woo SEOK;Won ro LEE;Min Soo KANG
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, a study was conducted to compare the prediction model of cardiovascular disease occurrence. It is the No.1 disease that accounts for 1/3 of the world's causes of death, and it is also the No. 2 cause of death in Korea. Primary prevention is the most important factor in preventing cardiovascular diseases before they occur. Early diagnosis and treatment are also more important, as they play a role in reducing mortality and morbidity. The Results of an experiment using Azure ML, Logistic Regression showed 88.6% accuracy, Decision Tree showed 86.4% accuracy, and Support Vector Machine (SVM) showed 83.7% accuracy. In addition to the accuracy of the ROC curve, AUC is 94.5%, 93%, and 92.4%, indicating that the performance of the machine learning algorithm model is suitable, and among them, the results of applying the logistic regression algorithm model are the most accurate. Through this paper, visualization by comparing the algorithms can serve as an objective assistant for diagnosis and guide the direction of diagnosis made by doctors in the actual medical field.

지역시간지연 순환형 신경회로망을 이용한 비선형 시스템 규명 (System Identification of Nonlinear System using Local Time Delayed Recurrent Neural Network)

  • 정길도;홍동표
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.120-127
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    • 1995
  • A nonlinear empirical state-space model of the Artificial Neural Network(ANN) has been developed. The nonlinear model structure incorporates characteristic, so as to enable identification of the transient response, as well as the steady-state response of a dynamic system. A hybrid feedfoward/feedback neural network, namely a Local Time Delayed Recurrent Multi-layer Perception(RMLP), is the model structure developed in this paper. RMLP is used to identify nonlinear dynamic system in an input/output sense. The feedfoward protion of the network architecture provides with the well-known curve fitting factor, while local recurrent and cross-talk connections provides the dynamics of the system. A dynamic learning algorithm is used to train the proposed network in a supervised manner. The derived dynamic learning algorithm exhibit a computationally desirable characteristic; both network sweep involved in the algorithm are performed forward, enhancing its parallel implementation. RMLP state-space and its associate learning algorithm is demonstrated through a simple examples. The simulation results are very encouraging.

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Prediction of Stunting Among Under-5 Children in Rwanda Using Machine Learning Techniques

  • Similien Ndagijimana;Ignace Habimana Kabano;Emmanuel Masabo;Jean Marie Ntaganda
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제56권1호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: Rwanda reported a stunting rate of 33% in 2020, decreasing from 38% in 2015; however, stunting remains an issue. Globally, child deaths from malnutrition stand at 45%. The best options for the early detection and treatment of stunting should be made a community policy priority, and health services remain an issue. Hence, this research aimed to develop a model for predicting stunting in Rwandan children. Methods: The Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey 2019-2020 was used as secondary data. Stratified 10-fold cross-validation was used, and different machine learning classifiers were trained to predict stunting status. The prediction models were compared using different metrics, and the best model was chosen. Results: The best model was developed with the gradient boosting classifier algorithm, with a training accuracy of 80.49% based on the performance indicators of several models. Based on a confusion matrix, the test accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1 were calculated, yielding the model's ability to classify stunting cases correctly at 79.33%, identify stunted children accurately at 72.51%, and categorize non-stunted children correctly at 94.49%, with an area under the curve of 0.89. The model found that the mother's height, television, the child's age, province, mother's education, birth weight, and childbirth size were the most important predictors of stunting status. Conclusions: Therefore, machine-learning techniques may be used in Rwanda to construct an accurate model that can detect the early stages of stunting and offer the best predictive attributes to help prevent and control stunting in under five Rwandan children.