• 제목/요약/키워드: latecomer countries

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Compressed Demographic Transition and Economic Growth in the Latecomer

  • Inyong Shin;Hyunho Kim
    • 분석과 대안
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.35-77
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to solve the entangled loop between demographic transition (DT) and economic growth by analyzing cross-country data. We undertake a national-level group analysis to verify the compressed transition of demographic variables over time. Assuming that the LA (latecomer advantage) on DT over time exists, we verify that the DT of the latecomer is compressed by providing a formal proof of LA on DT over income. As a DT has the double-kinked functions of income, we check them in multiple aspects: early maturation, leftward threshold, and steeper descent under a contour map and econometric methods. We find that the developing countries (the latecomer) have speedy DT (CDT, compressed DT) as well as speedy income such that DT of the latecomers starts at lower levels of income, lasts for a shorter period, and finishes at the earlier stage of economic development compared to that of developed countries (the early mover). To check the balance of DT, we classify countries into four groups of DT---balanced, slow, unilateral, and rapid transition countries. We identify that the main causes of rapid transition are due to the strong family planning programs of the government. Finally, we check the effect of latecomer's CDT on economic growth inversely: we undertake the simulation of the CDT effect on economic growth and the aging process for the latecomer. A worrying result is that the CDT of the latecomer shows a sharp upturn of the working-age population, followed by a sharp downturn in a short period. Compared to early-mover countries, the latecomer countries cannot buy more time to accommodate the workable population for the period of demographic bonus and prepare their aging societies for demographic onus. Thus, we conclude that CDT is not necessarily advantageous to developing countries. These outcomes of the latecomer's CDT can be re-interpreted as follows. Developing countries need power sources to pump up economic development, such as the following production factors: labor, physical and financial capital, and economic systems. As for labor, the properties of early maturation and leftward thresholds on DTs of the latecomer mean that demographic movement occurs at an unusually early stage of economic development; this is similar to a plane that leaks fuel before or just before take-off, with the result that it no longer flies higher or farther. What is worse, the property of steeper descent represents the falling speed of a plane so that it cannot be sustained at higher levels, and then plummets to all-time lows.

The Roles of Intermediaries in Clusters: The Thai Experiences in High-tech and Community-based Clusters

  • Intarakumnerd, Patarapong
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.23-43
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    • 2005
  • Industrial clusters are geographical concentrations of interconnected companies, specialised suppliers, service providers, firms in related industries, and associated institutions (for example, universities, standard agencies, and trade associations) that combine to create new products and/or services in specific lines of business. At present, the concept of industrial cluster becomes very popular worldwide, policy makers at national, regional and local levels and business people in both forerunner and latecomer countries are keen to implement the cluster concept as an economic development model. Though understanding of clusters and related promoting policies varies from one place to another, the underlying benefits of clusters from collective learning and knowledge spillovers between participating actors strongly attract the attention of these people. In Thailand, a latecomer country in terms of technological catching up, the cluster concept has been used as a means to rectify weakness and fragmentation of its innovation systems. The present Thai government aspires to apply the concept to promote both high-tech manufacturing clusters, services clusters and community-based clusters at the grass-root level. This paper analyses three very different clusters in terms of technological sophistication and business objectives, i.e., hard disk drive, software and chili paste. It portrays their significant actors, the extent of interaction among them and the evolution of the clusters. Though are very dissimilar, common characteristics attributed to qualified success are found. Main driving forces of the three clusters are cluster intermediaries. Forms of these organizations are different from a government research and technology organization (RTO), an industrial association, to a self-organised community-based organization. However, they perform similar functions of stimulating information and knowledge sharing, and building trust among participating firms/individuals in the clusters. Literature in the cluster studies argues that government policies need to be cluster specific. In this case, the best way to design and implement cluster-specific policies is through working closely with intermediaries and strengthening their institutional especially in linking member firms/individuals to other actors in clusters such as universities, government R&D institutes, and financial institutions.

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Towards an Innovation-driven Nation: The 'Secondary Innovation' Framework in China

  • Wu, Xiaobo;Li, Jing
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.36-53
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    • 2015
  • The rise of latecomer countries across the world directs academic attention to their catching-up and innovation processof seizing technological opportunities and combining internal and external knowledge. Different from the developed economies as well as the newly industrialized economies, China presents a special innovation environment, wherein its technology regime, market opportunities, and institutions are complex and the globalization trend affects competition in a broader way. In thiscontext, we clarify and extend the framework of "secondary innovation". This framework describes the dynamics of those with relatively poor resources and capabilities in their efforts to capture the values of mature/emerging technology or business models by acquiringthem from across borders and then adapting to catching-up contexts. Such processes, differentiated from original innovation that involves the whole process from R&D to commercialization, has become a prevailing regime during paradigm shifts. In particular, unlike the traditional catch-up literature that focuses more on technology, the secondary innovation framework inclusively contains both technology and business model innovation, and puts forward the co-evolution between the two elements, which is more applicable to China's context. In accordance, we also provide implications towards fulfilling the goal of building an innovation-driven nation.

완전 자율주행분야 미래선도품목의 특허동향 및 협력 네트워크 분석 (Analysis of Patent Trends and Cooperative Network of Future-leading Items in the Field of Autonomous Driving)

  • 이정환;김진용;조지혁;김형석
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2022
  • In recent years, technological competition in the automobile sector is accelerating. This study analyzes the status of patents from a global perspective of three promising future items that Korea has selected as core technologies in the field of autonomous driving,. And the technological cooperation ecosystem was identified through network analysis centered on scientific metrology. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that the growth of individual technologies has been strengthened in recent years, and although key source technologies have been largely preempted in major global countries, a close cooperative ecosystem between institutions, companies, and universities in major countries has not yet been formed. Specifically, the US and Japan have the technological leadership, while China is rapidly rising, and Korea is chasing after it as a latecomer. Therefore, it is necessary to continuously strengthen technological cooperation such as R&D of core technology to overcome technological limitations and strengthening of infrastructure construction, attracting excellent foreign talents and international exchanges. This analysis is meaningful in that it explores the global status of Korea's technology and the possibility of technological cooperation from various perspectives in the future from the viewpoint of preoccupation of future technology, rather than grasping the trend of a specific technology.

표준 심우주 탐사선 시스템 설계 연구 (A Study on the System Design for Deep-Space Probe Reference Model)

  • 김의근;전현진
    • 우주기술과 응용
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.44-57
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    • 2023
  • 상호 호혜적으로 진행되는 심우주 탐사 시장에서 우리나라와 같은 심우주 탐사의 후발주자가 심우주 탐사선진국과 빠르게 보조를 맞추기 위해서는 개발기간과 비용을 줄일 수 있는 표준 심우주 탐사선 모델 도출이 필수적이다. 본 논문에서는 다양한 심우주 탐사선에 요구되는 공통설계를 기반으로 하는 표준 심우주탐사선 기본형, 경량형, 및 확장형에 대한 개념 및 형상을 새롭게 제시하였다. 제시된 형상은 모듈화 설계를 바탕으로 하여 확장성 및 설계/구현 효율성을 높였다. 그리고, 표준 심우주 탐사선의 3가지 형태에 적용 가능한 경량화/확장성을 기반으로 하는 전기시스템 설계에 대해서도 기술하였다.

저임금 생산기지의 고용관계 : 폭스바겐과 현대기아 중동부유럽 자회사를 중심으로 (Employment Relations of the Low-Wage Production Base : Volkswagen and Hyundai in Central and Eastern Europe)

  • 김철식
    • 산업노동연구
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.65-105
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 중동부유럽 소재 초민족기업(TNC) 자회사들의 고용관계를 규명한다. 중동부유럽 생산의 가장 큰 비중을 차지하는 자동차산업을 대상으로 하여, 사회주의 몰락 이후 현지 자동차산업의 구조재편과 고용관계 형성을 사실상 주도해온 폭스바겐(VW)과, 후발주자로서 그린필드 투자를 통해 고용관계를 새롭게 주조하려한 현대기아 현지 자회사의 고용관계를 분석한다. 사회주의 몰락 이후 해외직접투자의 대규모 유입과 약한 노동조합이라는 사회적 유산을 배경으로 중동부유럽은 저임금 생산기지로 글로벌 생산네트워크에 편입된다. VW과 현대기아는 본국을 중심으로 형성된 자신의 고유한 특성과 글로벌 전략을 가지고 중동부유럽에 진출했다. 양자는 저임금과 불안정고용, 약한 노조라는 중동부유럽의 특징을 자신의 전략 하에 결합시키면서 현지 고용관계를 형성해왔다. 그런데 최근 들어 중동부유럽에서 저임금 노동력 풀이 줄어들고, 새로운 노조운동이 발생하면서 저임금 생산기지의 장점을 기초로 전개된 고용관계의 지속가능성에 의문이 제기되고 있다. 중동부유럽에서 나타나는 이러한 변화는 저임금 생산기지 전략의 내재적 모순을 잘 보여주고 있다.

한국형 CIPs 결제 시스템을 이용한 중소기업의 최소 물류비용 분석 (Analysis of Minimum Logistics Cost in SMEs using Korean-type CIPs Payment System)

  • 김일권;정종필
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.7-18
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    • 2021
  • 최근 한국에서는 클라우드 컴퓨팅, CPS, 빅데이터, 5G, IIoT, VR/AR, 복화 운송 AI 알고리즘 등의 신기술을 활용한 다양한 CIPs(Connected Industrial Parks) 아키텍쳐가 제안되고 있다. 한국의 중소기업들은 미국, 유럽, 일본 등의 해외 선진국 기업들 보다 기술 경쟁력에서 앞서 있지 않은 면들이 많다. 이러한 이유로 한국의 중소기업들은 기술연구 개발에 많은 비용을 투자해야 하는 필요성이 있다. 후발 주자로서 한국의 중소기업들이 지속 가능한 성장을 위해서 수익성을 개선할 필요가 있다. 재무적으로 한국의 중소기업들이 수익성을 증대시키기 위해서는 비용을 절감하는 것이 매출을 증대시키는 것 보다 레버리지 효과성이 높다. 본 논문은 한국 CIPs에 위치한 중소기업들의 비용 절감을 통한 수익성 개선을 주요 과제로 하였다. 한국 CIPs에 위치한 중소기업들의 비용 절감을 위한 방안으로서 VJP(Vehicle Junction Problem)를 주목하였다. 한국형 CIPs 결제 시스템을 통한 중소기업의 최소 물류 비용 달성 방법을 분석하였다. 새로운 한국형 CIPs결제 시스템의 세부 항목을 크게 4가지 "업무(Business)", "데이터(Data)", "기술(Technology)", "자금(Finance)"로 구분하여 정리한다. CIPs 결제 시스템의 성과 분석 방법으로 CBA(Cost Benefit Analysis)을 사용한다.