• Title/Summary/Keyword: kriging analysis

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Probabilistic study on buildings with MTMD system in different seismic performance levels

  • Etedali, Sadegh
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.81 no.4
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    • pp.429-441
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    • 2022
  • A probabilistic assessment of the seismic-excited buildings with a multiple-tuned-mass-damper (MTMD) system is carried out in the presence of uncertainties of the structural model, MTMD system, and the stochastic model of the seismic excitations. A free search optimization procedure of the individual mass, stiffness and, damping parameters of the MTMD system based on the snap-drift cuckoo search (SDCS) optimization algorithm is proposed for the optimal design of the MTMD system. Considering a 10-story structure in three cases equipped with single tuned mass damper (STMS), 5-TMD and 10-TMD, sensitivity analyses are carried out using Sobol' indices based on the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method. Considering different seismic performance levels, the reliability analyses are done using MCS and kriging-based MCS methods. The results show the maximum structural responses are more affected by changes in the PGA and the stiffness coefficients of the structural floors and TMDs. The results indicate the kriging-based MCS method can estimate the accurate amount of failure probability by spending less time than the MCS. The results also show the MTMD gives a significant reduction in the structural failure probability. The effect of the MTMD on the reduction of the failure probability is remarkable in the performance levels of life safety and collapse prevention. The maximum drift of floors may be reduced for the nominal structural system by increasing the TMDs, however, the complexity of the MTMD model and increasing its corresponding uncertainty sources can be caused a slight increase in the failure probability of the structure.

Cross-Validation of SPT-N Values in Pohang Ground Using Geostatistics and Surface Wave Multi-Channel Analysis (지구통계기법과 표면파 다중채널분석을 이용한 포항 지반의 SPT-N value 교차검증)

  • Kim, Kyung-Oh;Han, Heui-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.393-405
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    • 2020
  • Various geotechnical information is required to evaluate the stability of the ground and a foundation once liquefaction occurs due to earthquakes, such as the soil strength and groundwater level. The results of the Standard Penetration Test (SPT) conducted in Korea are registered in the National Geotechnical Information Portal System. If geotechnical information for a non-drilled area is needed, geostatistics can be applied. This paper is about the feasibility of obtaining ground information by the Empirical Bayesian Kriging (EBK) method and the Inverse Distance Weighting Method (IDWM). Esri's ArcGIS Pro program was used to estimate these techniques. The soil strength parameter of the drilling area and the level of groundwater obtained from the standard penetration test were cross-validated with the results of the analysis technique. In addition, Multichannel Analysis of Surface Waves (MASW) was conducted to verify the techniques used in the analysis. The Buk-gu area of Pohang was divided into 1.0 km×1.0 km and 110 zones. The cross-validation for the SPT N value and groundwater level through EBK and IDWM showed that both techniques were suitable. MASW presented an approximate section area, making it difficult to clearly grasp the distribution pattern and groundwater level of the SPT N value.

Design of a Mechanical Joint for Zero Moment Crane By Kriging (크리깅을 이용한 제로 모멘트 크레인에 적용되는 조인트의 설계)

  • Kim, Jae-Wook;Jangn, In-Gwun;Kwak, Byung-Man
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.597-604
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    • 2010
  • This study focuses on the design of a mechanical joint for a zero moment crane (ZMC), which is a specialized loading/unloading system used in a mobile harbor (MH). The mechanical joint is based on the concept of zero moment point (ZMP), and it plays an important role in stabilizing a ZMC. For effective stabilization, it is necessary to ensure that the mechanical joint is robust to a wide variety of loads; further, the joint must allow the structures connected to it to perform rotational motion with two degrees of freedom By adopting a traditional design process, we designed a new mechanical joint; in this design, a universal joint is coupled with a spherical joint, and then, deformable rolling elements are incorporated. The rolling elements facilitate load distribution and help in decreasing power loss during loading/unloading. Because of the complexity of the proposed system, Kriging-based approximate optimization method is used for enhancing the optimization efficiency. In order to validate the design of the proposed mechanical joint, a structural analysis is performed, and a small-scale prototype is built.

A Study of Drought Spatio-Temporal Characteristics Using SPI-EOF Analysis (SPI 가뭄지수의 EOF 분석을 이용한 가뭄의 시공간적인 특성 연구)

  • Chang Yung-Yu;Kim Sang-Dan;Choi Gye-Woon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.8 s.169
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    • pp.691-702
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    • 2006
  • This study introduced a method to evaluate the probability of a specific area to be affected by a drought of a given severity and shows Its potential for investigating agricultural drought characteristics. The method was applied to South Korea as a case study. The proposed procedure included Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) time series, which were linearly transformed by the Empirical Orthogonal Functions(EOF) method. These EOFs were extended temporally with AutoRegressive Moving Average(ARMA) method and spatially with Kriging method. By performing these simulations, long time series of SPI can be simulated for each designed grid cell in whole area. The probability distribution functions of the area covered by a drought and the drought severity are then derived and combined to produce drought severity-area-frequency(SAF) curves.

Kriging Surrogate Model-based Design Optimization of Vehicle and Adaptive Cruise Control Parameters Considering Fuel Efficiency (연비를 고려한 차량 및 적응형 순항 제어 파라미터의 크리깅 대체모델 기반 최적설계)

  • Kim, Hansu;Song, Yuho;Lee, Seungha;Huh, Kunsoo;Lee, Tae Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.41 no.9
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    • pp.817-823
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    • 2017
  • In the past, research has been conducted on the development of an adaptive cruise control algorithm considering fuel efficiency, and an adaptive cruise control system considering fuel efficiency have been developed. However, research on optimizing vehicle and adaptive cruise control parameters in order to maximize performances is insufficient. In this study, the design optimization of vehicle and control parameters considering fuel efficiency, trackability, ride comfort and safe distance is performed. This paper proposes performance measures of vehicle behavior and develops an adaptive cruise control system. In addition, based on the screening of vehicle parameters that significantly influence performances, kriging surrogate models are constructed through a sequential design of experiment, and kriging surrogate model-based design optimization is performed to maximize fuel efficiency and satisfy target performances.

Sensitivity Analysis of Ordinary Kriging Interpolation According to Different Variogram Models (베리오그램 모델 변화에 따른 정규 크리깅 보간법의 민감도분석)

  • Woo, Kwang-Sung;Park, Jin-Hwan;Lee, Hui-Jeong
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.295-304
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    • 2008
  • This paper comprises two specific objectives. The first is to examine the applicability of Ordinary Kriging interpolation(OK) to finite element method that is based on variogram modeling in conjunction with different allowable limits of separation distance. The second is to investigate the accuracy according to theoretical variograms such as polynomial, Gauss, and spherical models. For this purpose, the weighted least square method is applied to obtain the estimated new stress field from the stress data at the Gauss points. The weight factor is determined by experimental and theoretical variograms for interpolation of stress data apart from the conventional interpolation methods that use an equal weight factor. The validity of the proposed approach has been tested by analyzing two numerical examples. It is noted that the numerical results by Gauss model using 25% allowable limit of separation distance show an excellent agreement with theoretical solutions in literature.

Optimization-based model correlation of satellite payload structure (위성 탑재체 구조물의 최적화 기반 모델 보정)

  • Do-hee Yoon
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.104-116
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    • 2024
  • A satellite is ultimately verified by performing a coupled load analysis with the launch vehicle. To increase the accuracy of the coupled load analysis results, it is important to have good accuracy of the finite element model. Therefore, finite element model correlation is essential. In general, model correlation is performed by changing the material properties and thickness one by one, but this process takes a lot of time and cost. The current paper proposes an efficient model correlation method using optimization. Significant variables were selected through analysis of variance, and the time and cost required for analysis and optimization were reduced by using the Kriging surrogate model. The method proposed in this paper can be applied only with the vibration test results, and it has a great advantage in terms of efficiency in that it can significantly reduce the numerical calculation cost and time required.

Fatigue Analysis based on Kriging for Flaperon Joint of Tilt Rotor Type Aircraft (틸트 로터형 항공기의 플랩퍼론 연결부에 대한 크리깅 기반 피로해석)

  • Park, Young-Chul;Jang, Byoung-Uk;Im, Jong-Bin;Lee, Jung-Jin;Lee, Soo-Yong;Park, Jung-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.541-549
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    • 2008
  • The fatigue analysis is performed to avoid structural failure in aerospace structures under repeated loads. In this paper, the fatigue life is estimated for the design of tilt rotor UAV. First of all, the fatigue load spectrum for tilt rotor UAV is generated. Fatigue analysis is done for the flaperon joint which may have FCL(fracture critical location). Tilt rotor UAV operates at two modes: helicopter mode such as taking off and landing; fixed wing mode like cruising. To make overall fatigue load spectrum, FELIX is used for helicopter mode and TWIST is used for fixed wing mode. The other hand, the Kriging meta model is used to get S-N regression curve for whole range of material life when S-N test data are analyzed. And then, the second order of S-N curve is accomplished by the least square method. In addition, the coefficient of determination method is used to ensure how accuracy it has. Finally, the fatigue life of flaperon joint is compared with that obtained by MSC. Fatigue.

Heat-Wave Data Analysis based on the Zero-Inflated Regression Models (영-과잉 회귀모형을 활용한 폭염자료분석)

  • Kim, Seong Tae;Park, Man Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2829-2840
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    • 2018
  • The random variable with an arbitrary value or more is called semi-continuous variable or zero-inflated one in case that its boundary value is more frequently observed than expected. This means the boundary value is likely to be practically observed more than it should be theoretically under certain probability distribution. When the distribution considered is continuous, the variable is defined as semi-continuous and when one of discrete distribution is assumed for the variable, we regard it as zero-inflated. In this study, we introduce the two-part model, which consists of one part for modelling the binary response and the other part for modelling the variable greater than the boundary value. Especially, the zero-inflated regression models are explained by using Poisson distribution and negative binomial distribution. In real data analysis, we employ the zero-inflated regression models to estimate the number of days under extreme heat-wave circumstances during the last 10 years in South Korea. Based on the estimation results, we create prediction maps for the estimated number of days under heat-wave advisory and heat-wave warning by using the universal kriging, which is one of the spatial prediction methods.

Kriging Analysis for Spatio-temporal Variations of Ground Level Ozone Concentration

  • Gorai, Amit Kumar;Jain, Kumar Gourav;Shaw, Neha;Tuluri, Francis;Tchounwou, Paul B.
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.247-258
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    • 2015
  • Exposure of high concentration of ground-level ozone (GLO) can trigger a variety of health problems including chest pain, coughing, throat irritation, asthma, bronchitis and congestion. There are substantial human and animal toxicological data that support health effects associated with exposure to ozone and associations have been observed with a wide range of outcomes in epidemiological studies. The aim of the present study is to estimate the spatial distributions of GLO using geostatistical method (ordinary kriging) for assessing the exposure level of ozone in the eastern part of Texas, U.S.A. GLO data were obtained from 63 U.S. EPA's monitoring stations distributed in the region of study during the period January, 2012 to December, 2012. The descriptive statistics indicate that the spatial monthly mean of daily maximum 8 hour ozone concentrations ranged from 30.33 ppb (in January) to 48.05 (in June). The monthly mean of daily maximum 8 hour ozone concentrations was relatively low during the winter months (December, January, and February) and the higher values observed during the summer months (April, May, and June). The higher level of spatial variations observed in the months of July (Standard Deviation: 10.33) and August (Standard Deviation: 10.02). This indicates the existence of regional variations in climatic conditions in the study area. The range of the semivariogram models varied from 0.372 (in November) to 15.59 (in April). The value of the range represents the spatial patterns of ozone concentrations. Kriging maps revealed that the spatial patterns of ozone concentration were not uniform in each month. This may be due to uneven fluctuation in the local climatic conditions from one region to another. Thus, the formation and dispersion processes of ozone also change unevenly from one region to another. The ozone maps clearly indicate that the concentration values found maximum in the north-east region of the study area in most of the months. Part of the coastal area also showed maximum concentrations during the months of October, November, December, and January.