• Title/Summary/Keyword: kriging analysis

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농업용수 수요량 분석을 위한 잠재증발산량 공간 분포 추정

  • Yu, Seung-Hwan;Choe, Jin-Yong
    • KCID journal
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2006
  • Weather station based PET(Potential Evapotrarspiration) analysis has often been inadequate to meet the needs of regional-scale irrigation planning. A map of continuous PET surface would be better a solution for the spatial interpolation considering spatial variations. Using a normal PET data collected at the 54 meteorological stations in Korea, 10-days spatial distribution PET map was created using universal Kriging(UK). These estimation methods were evaluated by both visual assessments of the output maps and the quantitative comparison of error measures that were obtained from the cross validation. The universal Kriging method showed appropriate results in spatial interpolation from weather station based PET to spatial PET with low statistical errors.

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Reliability Analysis of Differential Settlement Using Stochastic FEM (추계론적 유한요소법을 이용한 지반의 부등침하 신뢰도 해석)

  • 이인모;이형주
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 1988
  • A stochastic numerical model for predictions of differential settlement of foundation Eoils is developed in this Paper. The differential settlement is highly dependent on the spatial variability of elastic modulus of soil. The Kriging method is used to account for the spatial variability of the elastic modulus. This technique provides the best linear unbiased estimator of a parameter and its minimum variance from a limited number of measured data. The stochastic finite element method, employing the first-order second-moment analysis for computations of error Propagation, is used to obtain the means, ariances, and covariances of nodal displacements. Finally, a reliability model of differential settlement is proposed by using the results of the stochastic FEM analysis. It is found that maximum differential settlement occurs when the distance between two foundations is approximately same It with the scale of fluctuation in horizontal direction, and the probability that differential settlement exceeds the allot.able vague might be significant.

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A Study on Estimation of the Greenhouse Gas Emission from the Road Transportation Infrastructure Using the Geostatistical Analysis -A Case of the Daegu- (공간통계기법을 이용한 도로교통기반의 온실가스 관한 연구 -대구광역시를 대상으로-)

  • Lee, Sang Woo;Lee, Seung Wook;Lee, Seung Yeob;Hong, Won Hwa
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2014
  • This study was intended to reliably predict the traffic green house gas emission in Daegu with the use of spatial statistical technique and calculate the traffic green house gas emission of each administrative district on the basis of the accurately predicted emission. First, with the use of the traffic actually surveyed at a traffic observation point, and traffic green house gas emission was calculated. Secondly, on the basis of the calculation, and with the use of Universal Kriging technique, this researcher set a suitable variogram modeling to accurately and reliably predict the green house gas emission at non-observation point suitable through spatial correlation, and then performed cross validation to prove the validity of the proper variogram modeling and Kriging technique. Thirdly, with the use of the validated kriging technique, traffic green gas emission was visualized, and its distribution features were analyzed to predict and calculate the traffic green house gas emission of each administrative district. As a result, regarding the traffic green house gas emission of each administration, it was found that Bukgu had the highest green house gas emission of $291,878,020kgCO_2eq/yr$.

Location Suitability Assessment on Marine Afforestation Using Habitat Evaluation Procedure(HEP) and 3D kriging: A Case Study on Jeju, Korea (서식지 평가법(HEP)과 3D 공간보간법(Kriging)을 이용한 제주도 바다숲 입지적합성 평가)

  • Lee, Jinhyung;Kim, Youngho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.771-785
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    • 2014
  • As marine desertification and chlorosis in Korean coast have been intensified over time, Korean government is promoting marine afforestation projects. However, marine afforestation location is mainly decided by administrative convenience. Also, there is limited literature on location suitability about the marine afforestation. This study aims to assess location suitability of marine afforestation considering 3 significant criteria: ecological, submarine topographical, and human-social environment. Jeju, the study area of this study, first observed chlorosis in Korean coast at the small fishery town in Seogwipo. Jeju is currently suffering from chlorosis all around the island. Habitat Evaluation Procedure (HEP), 3D kriging, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is applied as analysis methods. Especially, 3D kriging is utilized for modeling 3D ocean space reflecting ocean environment appropriately. The result shows that Jocheon coast has better location suitability than Seogwipo Pyoseon coast. Jocheon coast has the maximum 61% suitability as the habitat of Ecklonia cava Kjellman, and is highly evaluated in other criteria. The results of this study are expected to find optimal marine afforestation location, and to contribute to the restoration of the Jeju coastal ecosystem and the revitalization of Jeju fishing village societies.

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Surface Sediments Classification in Tidal Flats using Multivariate Kriging and KOMPSAT-2 Imagery (다변량 크리깅과 KOMPSAT-2 영상을 이용한 간석지 표층 퇴적물 분류)

  • LEE, Sang-Won;PARK, No-Wook;JANG, Dong-Ho;YOO, Hee Young;LIM, Hyosuk
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this paper is to propose a methodology for surface sediments classification in tidal flats that can combine ground survey data with high-resolution remote sensing data by multivariate kriging. Unlike conventional methodologies that have classified remote sensing data by using pre-classified sediment components, a new classification methodology presented in this paper first generates sediment component fraction maps and then classifies the sediments on a final stage. For generating sediment component fractions, regression kriging, as one of multivariate kriging algorithms, is applied to integrate ground survey data and remote sensing data. First, trend components of sand, silt, and clay are derived through regression analysis of ground survey data and spectral information from remote sensing data. Then, residuals at sample locations are computed and interpolated to generate residual components in the study area. Finally, the sediment component fractions are computed by adding the residuals to the trend components and are classified on a final stage. A case study at the Baramarae tidal flats with KOMPSAT-2 imagery is carried out to evaluate the classification capability of the proposed classification methodology. Through the case study, the proposed methodology showed the best classification accuracy, compared with the conventional classification methodologies. Especially, much improvement of classification accuracy for fine-grained sediments were also obtained. Therefore, it is expected that the presented classification methodology would be an effective one for surface sediments classification in tidal flats.

Statistical Analysis for Ozone Long-term Trend Stations in Seoul, Korea (통계적 기법을 적용한 서울의 오존 장기변동 대표측정소 선정)

  • Shin, Hyejung;Park, Jihoon;Son, Jungseok;Rho, Soona;Hong, Youdeong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted for the establishment of statistical method to determine the representative air quality monitoring station representing long-term ozone trends of Seoul. In this study, hourly ozone concentrations from 2002 to 2011 were used for further analysis. KZ-filter, correlation matrix, cluster analysis, and Kriging method were applied to select the representative station. The analysis based on correlation matrix found that long-term trend of ozone concentrations measured at Sinjung, Sadang, and Bun-dong showed a high correlation. The cluster analysis found that the former three stations belonged to the same cluster. The analysis based on Kriging method also showed that the former three stations were highly correlated with other stations in spatial distribution. Considering these results and the highest correlation coefficient of Sinjung station, the Sinjung station was the most suitable as the representative station used to understand the long-term ozone trend of Seoul. This result could be applied to understand long-term trend of other pollutants. Furthermore, this result can also be used to assess the appropriacy of spatial distribution of national air quality monitoring stations.

In-situ monitoring and reliability analysis of an embankment slope with soil variability

  • Bai, Tao;Yang, Han;Chen, Xiaobing;Zhang, Shoucheng;Jin, Yuanshang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.261-273
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents an efficient method utilizing user-defined computer functional codes to determine the reliability of an embankment slope with spatially varying soil properties in real time. The soils' mechanical properties varied with the soil layers that had different degrees of compaction and moisture content levels. The Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) for the degree of compaction and Kriging simulation of moisture content variation were adopted and programmed to predict their spatial distributions, respectively, that were subsequently used to characterize the spatial distribution of the soil shear strengths. The shear strength parameters were then integrated into the Geostudio command file to determine the safety factor of the embankment slope. An explicit metamodal for the performance function, using the Kriging method, was established and coded to efficiently compute the failure probability of slope with varying moisture contents. Sensitivity analysis showed that the proposed method significantly reduced the computational time compared to Monte Carlo simulation. About 300 times LHS Geostudio computations were needed to optimize precision and efficiency in determining the failure probability. The results also revealed that an embankment slope is prone to high failure risk if the degree of compaction is low and the moisture content is high.

Multi-objective optimization design for the multi-bubble pressure cabin in BWB underwater glider

  • He, Yanru;Song, Baowei;Dong, Huachao
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.439-449
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, multi-objective optimization of a multi-bubble pressure cabin in the underwater glider with Blended-Wing-Body (BWB) is carried out using Kriging and the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II). Two objective functions are considered: buoyancy-weight ratio and internal volume. Multi-bubble pressure cabin has a strong compressive capacity, and makes full use of the fuselage space. Parametric modeling of the multi-bubble pressure cabin structure is automatic generated using UG secondary development. Finite Element Analysis (FEA) is employed to study the structural performance using the commercial software ANSYS. The weight of the primary structure is determined from the volume of the Finite Element Structure (FES). The stress limit is taken into account as the constraint condition. Finally, Technique for Ordering Preferences by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method is used to find some trade-off optimum design points from all non-dominated optimum design points represented by the Pareto fronts. The best solution is compared with the initial design results to prove the efficiency and applicability of this optimization method.

Structural Optimization of an LMU Using Approximate Model (근사모델을 이용한 의 구조최적설계)

  • Han, Dong-Seop;Jang, Si-Hwan;Park, Soon-Hyeong;Lee, Kwon-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2018
  • This study suggests an optimal design process of an LMU, which is installed on the top side of offshore structures. The LMU is consist of EB(elastomeric bearing) and steel plate, and supports the vertical loads of offshore structures and assists its stable installation. The structural design requirement of the LMU is related to its stiffness. This study utilizes the finite element analysis to predict the stiffness. The stiffness of the EB depends on the size of the bearing. Thus, the design variables in this study are defined as the thickness, the width and the number of plates. Since the LMU has different loads for different locations, its stiffness should be designed differently. The multiobjective function is introduced to attain the target stiffness. In this process, the metamodel using the kriging interpolation method is adopted to replace the true stiffness.

Developing efficient model updating approaches for different structural complexity - an ensemble learning and uncertainty quantifications

  • Lin, Guangwei;Zhang, Yi;Liao, Qinzhuo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.321-336
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    • 2022
  • Model uncertainty is a key factor that could influence the accuracy and reliability of numerical model-based analysis. It is necessary to acquire an appropriate updating approach which could search and determine the realistic model parameter values from measurements. In this paper, the Bayesian model updating theory combined with the transitional Markov chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC) method and K-means cluster analysis is utilized in the updating of the structural model parameters. Kriging and polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) are employed to generate surrogate models to reduce the computational burden in TMCMC. The selected updating approaches are applied to three structural examples with different complexity, including a two-storey frame, a ten-storey frame, and the national stadium model. These models stand for the low-dimensional linear model, the high-dimensional linear model, and the nonlinear model, respectively. The performances of updating in these three models are assessed in terms of the prediction uncertainty, numerical efforts, and prior information. This study also investigates the updating scenarios using the analytical approach and surrogate models. The uncertainty quantification in the Bayesian approach is further discussed to verify the validity and accuracy of the surrogate models. Finally, the advantages and limitations of the surrogate model-based updating approaches are discussed for different structural complexity. The possibility of utilizing the boosting algorithm as an ensemble learning method for improving the surrogate models is also presented.