• 제목/요약/키워드: journal of weather and hydrology

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한반도·동아시아 지역의 실시간 가뭄 감시 및 전망 시스템 개발 (Development of Real-Time Drought Monitoring and Prediction System on Korea & East Asia Region)

  • 배덕효;손경환;안중배;홍자영;김광섭;정준석;정의석;김종군
    • 대기
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.267-277
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    • 2012
  • The objectives of this study are to develop a real-time drought monitoring and prediction system on the East Asia domain and to evaluate the performance of the system by using past historical drought records. The system is mainly composed of two parts: drought monitoring for providing current drought indices with meteorological and hydrological conditions; drought outlooks for suggesting future drought indices and future hydrometeorological conditions. Both parts represent the drought conditions on the East Asia domain (latitude $21.15{\sim}50.15^{\circ}$, longitude $104.40{\sim}149.65^{\circ}$), Korea domain (latitude $30.40{\sim}43.15^{\circ}$, longitude $118.65{\sim}135.65^{\circ}$) and South Korea domain (latitude $30.40{\sim}43.15^{\circ}$, longitude $118.65{\sim}135.65^{\circ}$), respectively. The observed meteorological data from ASOS (Automated Surface Observing System) and AWS (Automatic Weather System) of KMA (Korean Meteorological Administration) and model-driven hydrological data from LSM (Land Surface model) are used for the real-time drought monitoring, while the monthly and seasonal weather forecast information from UM (Unified Model) of KMA are utilized for drought outlooks. For the evaluation of the system, past historical drought records occurred in Korea are surveyed and are compared with the application results of the system. The results demonstrated that the selected drought indices such as KMA drought index, SPI (3), SPI (6), PDSI, SRI and SSI are reasonable, especially, the performance of SRI and SSI provides higher accuracy that the others.

Improvement of COMS Land Surface Temperature Retrieval Algorithm

  • Hong, Ki-Ok;Suh, Myoung-Seok;Kang, Jeon-Ho
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.507-515
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    • 2009
  • Land surface temperature (LST) is a key environmental variable in a wide range of applications, such as weather, climate, hydrology, and ecology. However, LST is one of the most difficult surface variables to observe regularly due to the strong spatio-temporal variations. So, we have developed the LST retrieval algorithm from COMS (Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite) data through the radiative transfer simulations under various atmospheric profiles (TIGR data), satellite zenith angle (SZA), spectral emissivity, and surface lapse rate conditions using MODTRAN 4. However, the LST retrieval algorithm has a tendency to overestimate and underestimate the LST for surface inversion and superadiabatic conditions, respectively. To minimize the overestimation and underestimation of LST, we also developed day/night LST algorithms separately based on the surface lapse rate (local time) and recalculated the final LST by using the weighted sum of day/night LST. The analysis results showed that the quality of weighted LST of day/night algorithms is greatly improved compared to that of LST estimated by original algorithm regardless of the surface lapse rate, spectral emissivity difference (${\Delta}{\varepsilon}$) SZA, and atmospheric conditions. In general, the improvements are greatest when the surface lapse rate and ${\Delta}{\varepsilon}$ are negatively large (strong inversion conditions and less vegetated surface).

Kompsat 영상을 이용한 수치표고모델추출 (Extracting DEM Using Kompsat Images)

  • 최현;강인준;홍순헌
    • 대한공간정보학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2002
  • 유역선정과 하도망구축에서 최근에 수치표고모델을 많이 이용한다. 수치표고모델생성방법은 지형측량, 사진측량, 지형도, 위성영상에 의한 방법등이 있다. 정확한 수치표고모델의 추출은 처리방법과 원시자료의 해상력, 공간해상도 등에 많이 의존한다. 그러나 위성영상 촬영시기상조건, 자연환경 등 여러 요인으로 인해 최상의 품질의 위성영상을 얻을 수 없고 또한 스테레오영상의 촬영시기가 다르기 때문에 자동생성 DEM에는 많은 오류를 포함하게 된다. 본 논문은 Kompsat 영상을 이용하여 수치표고모델을 형성하여 유역해석에 있어서 실시간 해석이 가능하도록 자료를 제공하는데 그 목적이 있다.

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범부처 이중편파레이더의 강우 추정 향상을 위한 경험적 방법의 적용 (Application of an empirical method to improve radar rainfall estimation using cross governmental dual-pol. radars)

  • 윤정수;석미경;남경엽;박종숙
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제49권7호
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    • pp.625-634
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    • 2016
  • 기상청, 국토교통부 및 국방부는 각 기관의 특성에 맞게 기상, 수문 및 항공 관측용 레이더를 운영하고 있다. 2015년까지 국내에는 총 8대의 이중편파레이더(백령도, 용인테스트베드, 진도, 면봉산, 비슬산, 소백산, 모후산, 서대산 레이더)가 도입되어 운영되고 있다. 레이더를 운영 중인 세개 부처는 관측목적이 달라 레이더에 대한 운영방식, 자료 처리 방식 및 활용 방안 등에서 서로 많은 차이를 보여 왔으며 이러한 차이는 각 부처에서 운영하는 레이더 자료의 정확도가 달라지게 하는 원인이 되고 있다. 이에, 세 부처는 2010년 "기상-강우 레이더 자료 공동 활용에 관한 합의서"를 체결하고, 서로 다른 부처에서 생산된 모든 레이더 자료를 공동 활용하는 체계를 마련하였다. 범부처 이중편파레이더 자료의 합성을 위해서는 부처별 레이더 간의 정확도가 서로 유사해야한다. 서로간의 정확도가 다른 상태에서 레이더 강우 자료를 합성하게 된다면 공간적으로 품질이 다른 합성 강우장이 생산될 수밖에 없다. 이에 본 연구에서는 범부처 이중편파레이더 강우량의 정확도 향상과 통합을 위해 2015년도에 용인테스트베드 레이더에서 시행되었던 경험적 방법을 이용하였다. 그 결과 2015년 5월부터 10월까지의 백령도, 비슬산 및 소백산 레이더 자료에 대한 강우량 정확도(1-NE)가 70% 수준으로 향상되었다. 또한 레이더 편파변수 조절 전에는 정확도가 30~60%까지 넓은 범위를 보이고 있으나 조절 후 65~70%로 그 범위가 줄어들었다.

고랭지 농경지의 토양유실모의를 위한 SWAT 모형의 적용성 평가 (Evaluation of SWAT Applicability to Simulate Soil Erosion at Highland Agricultural Lands)

  • 허성구;김기성;사공명;안재훈;임경재
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2005
  • The Doam watershed is located at alpine areas and the annual average precipitation, including snow accumulation, is significant higher than other areas. Thus, pollutant laden runoff and sediment discharge from the alpine agricultural fields are causing water quality degradation at the Doam watershed. To estimate soil erosion from the agricultural fields, the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) has been widely used because of its simplicity to use. In the early spring at the Doam watershed, the stream flow increases because of snow melt, which results in erosion of loosened soil experiencing freezing and thaw during the winter. Also, extremely torrential rainfall, such as the typhoons 'RUSA' in 2002 and 'MAEMI' in 2003, caused significant amounts of soil erosion and sediment at the Doam watershed. However, the USLE model cannot simulate impacts on soil erosion of freezing and thaw of the soil. It cannot estimate sediment yield from a single torrential rainfall event. Also, it cannot simulate temporal changes in USLE input parameters. Thus, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was investigated for its applicability to estimate soil erosion at the Doam watershed, instead of the widely used USLE model. The SWAT hydrology and erosion/sediment components were validated after calibration of the hydrologic component. The R$^2$ and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient values are higher enough, thus it is found the SWAT model can be efficiently used to simulate hydrology and sediment yield at the Doam watershed. The effects of snow melt on SWAT estimated stream flow and sediment were investigated using long-term precipitation and temperature data at the Doam watershed. It was found significant amount of flow and sediment in the spring are contributed by melting snow accumulated during the winter. Two typhoons in 2002 and 2003, MAEMI and RUSA, caused 33% and 22% of total sediment yields at the Doam watershed, respectively. Thus, it is recommended that the SWAT model, capable of simulating snow melt, sediment yield from a single storm event, and long-term weather data, needs to be used in estimating soil erosion at alpine agricultural areas to develop successful soil erosion management instead of the USLE.

기후변화를 고려한 일강우량의 지역빈도해석 (Regional Frequency Analysis for Rainfall Under Climate Change)

  • 송창우;김연수;강나래;이동률;김형수
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2013
  • 기후변화에 따른 기상변화로 인하여 집중호우 및 돌발홍수 등의 빈도가 증가하고 있다. IPCC 4차 보고서(2007)는 21세기 후반까지 온도상승으로 인한 폭우 및 태풍이 점차 강력해질 것이라는 예측을 하고 있다. 영국에서 발간한 Flood Estimation Handbook(Institute of Hydrology, 1999)에 의하면 대상자료의 기간이 구하려는 재현기간보다 작은 경우에는 지점빈도해석은 적절하지 않으므로, 지역빈도해석을 추천하고 있다. 이에 본 논문은 기후변화를 고려한 빈도해석을 수행하였으며, 이에 앞서 세계기상기구에서 제시한 기후지수를 이용하여 기후변화를 평가하고, 기상청 지역기후모델(KMA-RegCM3)의 강우 자료를 이용하여 기상청 산하 58개 관측소에 대하여 지역빈도해석을 실시하였다. Hosking와 wallis(1993)이 제안한 L-moment 알고리즘을 이용하여 지역빈도해석을 수행하였으며, 그 결과 일부지역을 제외한 대부분의 지역에서 강수량이 증가하였으며, 현재 기간 대비 7~10%의 증가율을 나타내었다. 미래 기후변화의 영향으로 중 남부지방은 상대적으로 강우량이 증가할 것으로 보이며, 미래 강우량에 따른 설계빈도를 재설정 및 강수량이 증가하는 지역에 대한 확률수문량의 적용이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

상·하류 연계 모의를 통한 기후변화에 따른 농경지 침수면적 변화 분석 (Analysis of Inundation Area in the Agricultural Land under Climate Change through Coupled Modeling for Upstream and Downstream)

  • 박성재;곽지혜;김지혜;김석현;이현지;김시내;강문성
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제66권1호
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    • pp.49-66
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    • 2024
  • Extreme rainfall will become intense due to climate change, increasing inundation risk to agricultural land. Hydrological and hydraulic simulations for the entire watershed were conducted to analyze the impact of climate change. Rainfall data was collected based on past weather observation and SSP (Shared Socio-economic Pathway)5-8.5 climate change scenarios. Simulation for flood volume, reservoir operation, river level, and inundation of agricultural land was conducted through K-HAS (KRC Hydraulics & Hydrology Analysis System) and HEC-RAS (Hydrologic Engineering Center - River Analysis System). Various scenarios were selected, encompassing different periods of rainfall data, including the observed period (1973-2022), near-term future (2021-2050), mid-term future (2051-2080), and long-term future (2081-2100), in addition to probabilistic precipitation events with return periods of 20 years and 100 years. The inundation area of the Aho-Buin district was visualized through GIS (Geographic Information System) based on the results of the flooding analysis. The probabilistic precipitation of climate change scenarios was calculated higher than that of past observations, which affected the increase in reservoir inflow, river level, inundation time, and inundation area. The inundation area and inundation time were higher in the 100-year frequency. Inundation risk was high in the order of long-term future, near-term future, mid-term future, and observed period. It was also shown that the Aho and Buin districts were vulnerable to inundation. These results are expected to be used as fundamental data for assessing the risk of flooding for agricultural land and downstream watersheds under climate change, guiding drainage improvement projects, and making flood risk maps.

RCP 배출 시나리오와 SWAT 모형을 이용한 기후변화가 용담댐 유역의 수문요소에 미치는 영향 평가 (Assessing Climate Change Impact on Hydrological Components of Yongdam Dam Watershed Using RCP Emission Scenarios and SWAT Model)

  • 박종윤;정혁;장철희;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제56권3호
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2014
  • This study was to evaluate the potential climate change impact on watershed hydrological components of evapotranspiration, surface runoff, lateral flow, return flow, and streamflow using Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). For Yongdam dam watershed (930 $km^2$), the SWAT model was calibrated for five years (2002-2006) and validated for three years (2004-2006) using daily streamflow data at three locations and daily soil moisture data at five locations. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) and coefficient of determination ($R^2$) were 0.43-0.67 and 0.48-0.70 for streamflow, and 0.16-0.65 and 0.27-0.76 for soil moisture, respectively. For future evaluation, the HadGEM3-RA climate data by Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were adopted. The biased future data were corrected using 30 years (1982-2011, baseline period) of ground weather data. The HadGEM3-RA 2080s (2060-2099) temperature and precipitation showed increase of $+4.7^{\circ}C$ and +22.5 %, respectively based on the baseline data. The impacts of future climate change on the evapotranspiration, surface runoff, baseflow, and streamflow showed changes of +11.8 %, +36.8 %, +20.5 %, and +29.2 %, respectively. Overall, the future hydrologic results by RCP emission scenarios showed increase patterns due to the overall increase of future temperature and precipitation.

도시 거점녹지유형의 그린인프라 계획요소 고찰 -ASLA 사례분석을 중심으로- (A Survey on Green Infrastructure Design Element in Urban Hub Green - Focused on ASLA's Case Studies-)

  • 권진욱;김건우
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제28권12호
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    • pp.1147-1156
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze examples of green infrastructure presented by the American Society of Landscape Architects as a part of basic research to assess hub green spaces in cities. With the specific goal of green infrasturcture in mind, the study samples were classified according to their purpose: 'humanities', 'hydrology', 'ecology', and 'environment'. Based on this we assessed the elements of planning for the target sites and obtained the following results. With regard to the aspect of humanities, planning urban hub green spaces was related to the satisfaction in leisure activities and the 'quality of life' that people expect to enjoy at parks or other green areas in general. Rather than focusing on direct and visible benefits, which might come from green infrastructure's technological elements, people hoped that parks and green areas have macroscopic values. For hydrological characteristics, the 'ecologically manages stormwater' was applied the most in planning hub green spaces in cities, and it mainly took the form of technological elements or factors. Third, the planning elements pertaining to ecological characteristics were identified as a combination of strategies and technological elements that 'reintroduces native plants' and 'habitat for wildlife'. As for the plans to instill eco-friendly aspects, the study found that the research on air, climate, weather, heat reaction, soil, energy efficiency, and use and application of resources is important. However, it was difficult to measure the potential quantitative benefits of 'reusing or recycling materials', 'reducing urban heat', and 'cooling air temperature'. The result of this study is meaningful in that it can be used for the assessment of urban hub green spaces in the future.

낙동강 수계 자연습지의 계절별 수질변화특성 분석 (Analysis of Seasonal Water Quality Variation of a Natural Wetland in the Nakdong River Basin)

  • 김영윤;이광섭;이석모;강대석;성기준
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.713-719
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    • 2009
  • A natural wetland in the Nakdong River basin which effectively removes non-point source pollutants was investigated for 2 years to understand wetland topography, vegetation types, and water quality characteristics. The water depth of the natural wetland was in the range of 0.5~1.9 m which is suitable for the growth of non-emergent hydrophytes. The wetland has a high length to width ratio (3.3:1) and a relatively large wetland to watershed area ratio (0.057). A broad-crested weir at the outlet increases the retention time of the wetland whose hydrology is mainly dependent on storm events. The concentrations of dissolved oxygen in the growing season and the winter season showed anoxic and oxic conditions, respectively. Diurnal variations of DO and pH in the growing season were also observed due to weather change and submerged plants. COD and TP concentrations were low in the winter season due to low inflow rate and increased retention time. Increased TP concentrations in the spring season were caused by degradation of dead wetland plants. Nitrogen in the wetland was mostly in organic nitrogen form (>75%). During the growing season, ammonium concentration was high but nitrate nitrogen concentration was low, possibly due to anoxic and low pH conditions which are adverse conditions for ammonificaiton and nitrification. The results of this study can be used as preliminary data for design, operation, monitoring and management of a constructed wetland which is designed to treat diffuse pollutants in the Nakdong river watershed.