• Title/Summary/Keyword: input prediction system

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Development of PV Power Prediction Algorithm using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Model (적응적 뉴로-퍼지 모델을 이용한 태양광 발전량 예측 알고리즘 개발)

  • Lee, Dae-Jong;Lee, Jong-Pil;Lee, Chang-Sung;Lim, Jae-Yoon;Ji, Pyeong-Shik
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.64 no.4
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    • pp.246-250
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    • 2015
  • Solar energy will be an increasingly important part of power generation because of its ubiquity abundance, and sustainability. To manage effectively solar energy to power system, it is essential part In this paper, we develop the PV power prediction algorithm using adaptive neuro-fuzzy model considering various input factors such as temperature, solar irradiance, sunshine hours, and cloudiness. To evaluate performance of the proposed model according to input factors, we performed various experiments by using real data.

Effects of Channel Aging in Massive MIMO Systems

  • Truong, Kien T.;Heath, Robert W. Jr.
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.338-351
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    • 2013
  • Multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) communication may provide high spectral efficiency through the deployment of a very large number of antenna elements at the base stations. The gains from massive MIMO communication come from the use of multi-user MIMO on the uplink and downlink, but with a large excess of antennas at the base station compared to the number of served users. Initial work on massive MIMO did not fully address several practical issues associated with its deployment. This paper considers the impact of channel aging on the performance of massive MIMO systems. The effects of channel variation are characterized as a function of different system parameters assuming a simple model for the channel time variations at the transmitter. Channel prediction is proposed to overcome channel aging effects. The analytical results on aging show how capacity is lost due to time variation in the channel. Numerical results in a multicell network show that massive MIMO works even with some channel variation and that channel prediction could partially overcome channel aging effects.

Development of a Supporting System for Nutrient Solution Management in Hydroponics - II. Estimation of Electrical Conductivity(EC) using Neural Networks (양액재배를 위한 배양액관리 지원시스템의 개발 - II. 신경회로망에 의한 전기전도도(EC)의 추정)

  • 손정익;김문기;남상운
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 1992
  • As the automation of nutrient solution management proceeds in the field of hydroponics, effective supporting systems to manage the nutrient solution by computer become needed. This study was attempt to predict the EC of nutrient solution using the neural networks. The multilayer perceptron consisting of 3 layers with the back propagation learning algorithm was selected for EC prediction, of which nine variables in the input layer were the concentrations of each ion and one variable in the output layer the EC of nutrient solution. The meq unit in ion concentration was selected fir input variable in the input layer. After the 10,000 learning sweeps with 108 sample data, the comparison of predicted and measured ECs for 72 test data showed good agreements with the correlation coefficient of 0.998. In addition, the predicted ECs by neural network showed relatively equal or closer to the measured ones than those by current complicated models.

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Proper Arc Welding Condition Derivation of Auto-body Steel by Artificial Neural Network (신경망 알고리즘을 이용한 차체용 강판 아크 용접 조건 도출)

  • Cho, Jungho
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.43-47
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    • 2014
  • Famous artificial neural network (ANN) is applied to predict proper process window of arc welding. Target weldment is variously combined lap joint fillet welding of automotive steel plates. ANN's system variable such as number of hidden layers, perceptrons and transfer function are carefully selected through case by case test. Input variables are welding condition and steel plate combination, for example, welding machine type, shield gas composition, current, speed and strength, thickness of base material. The number of each input variable referred in welding experiment is counted and provided to make it possible to presume the qualitative precision and limit of prediction. One of experimental process windows is excluded for predictability estimation and the rest are applied for neural network training. As expected from basic ANN theory, experimental condition composed of frequently referred input variables showed relatively more precise prediction while rarely referred set showed poorer result. As conclusion, application of ANN to arc welding process window derivation showed comparatively practical feasibility while it still needs more training for higher precision.

Fault Detection of Cutting Force in Turning Process using RBF/ART-1 (RBF/ART1을 이용한 선삭에서 절삭력을 이상신호 검출)

  • 임상만;이명재;유봉환
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1994.10a
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    • pp.15-19
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    • 1994
  • The application of neural network for fault dection of cutting force in turning was introduced. This monitoring system consist of a RBF predicton model and a ART-1 pattern classifier. RBF prediction model predict a cutting force signal. Prediction error of predictor is used for a input vector of ART-1 pattern classifier. Prediction error could be successfully performed to fault signal monitoring of ART-1 pattern classifier.

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"Green Sea Ranger", an Oil-Spill Model for Korean Coastal Waters

  • Hong, Key-yong;Song, Mu-seok
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 1997
  • We reviewed various oil-spill models and condensed the integrated information into a prediction model, “Green Sea Ranger”which is applicable to Korean coastal area. The developed software consists of pre- and post-modules for environment setup and display of results and main module for the prediction of oil\`s fate. In the pre-module target areas can be selected from the included geographic information system and various environmental and optional numerical data for the prediction can be input through easy GUI or imported from the database we established. For the fate of the spilt oil we included effects of spreading, advection, evaporation, and emulsification. Preliminary numerical experiment has proved that the developed oil-spill prediction system can be easily utilized in on-site oil recovery operations which usually require a quick and reasonable prediction.

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Early Software Quality Prediction Using Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 초기 소프트웨어 품질 예측)

  • Hong, Euy-Seok
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.235-245
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    • 2011
  • Early criticality prediction models that determine whether a design entity is fault-prone or not are becoming more and more important as software development projects are getting larger. Effective predictions can reduce the system development cost and improve software quality by identifying trouble-spots at early phases and proper allocation of effort and resources. Many prediction models have been proposed using statistical and machine learning methods. This paper builds a prediction model using Support Vector Machine(SVM) which is one of the most popular modern classification methods and compares its prediction performance with a well-known prediction model, BackPropagation neural network Model(BPM). SVM is known to generalize well even in high dimensional spaces under small training data conditions. In prediction performance evaluation experiments, dimensionality reduction techniques for data set are not used because the dimension of input data is too small. Experimental results show that the prediction performance of SVM model is slightly better than that of BPM and polynomial kernel function achieves better performance than other SVM kernel functions.

Chaotic Time Series Prediction using Extended Fuzzy Entropy Clustering (확장된 퍼지엔트로피 클러스터링을 이용한 카오스 시계열 데이터 예측)

  • 박인규
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2000.06c
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    • pp.5-8
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose new algorithms for the partition of input space and the generation of fuzzy control rules. The one consists of Shannon and extended fuzzy entropy function, the other consists of adaptive fuzzy neural system with back propagation teaming rule. The focus of this scheme is to realize the optimal fuzzy rule base with the minimal number of the parameters of the rules, reducing the complexity of the system. The proposed algorithm is tested with the time series prediction problem using Mackey-Glass chaotic time series.

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A Design Method of Model Following Control System using Neural Networks

  • Nagashima, Koumei;Aida, Kazuo;Yokoyama, Makoto
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.485-485
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    • 2000
  • A design method of model following control system using neural networks is proposed. An unknown nonlinear single-input single-output plant is identified using a multilayer neural networks. A linear controller is designed fer the linear approximation model obtained by linearinzing the identification model. The identification model is also used as a plant emulator to obtain the prediction error. Deficient servo performance due to controlling nonlinear plant with only linear controller is mended by adjusting the linear controller output using the prediction output and the parameters of the identification model. An optimal preview controller is adopted as the linear controller by reason of having good servo performance lowering the peak of control input. Validity of proposed method is illustrated through a numerical simulation.

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Development of the Atomated Prediction System for Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific and its Evaluation for Early Predictability (북서태평양 태풍 진로의 계절예측시스템 자동화 구축 및 조기 예측성의 검증)

  • Jin, Chun-Sil;Ho, Chang-Hoi;Park, Doo-Sun R.;Choi, Woosuk;Kim, Dasol;Lee, Jong-Ho;Chang, Ki-Ho;Kang, Ki-Ryong
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2014
  • The automated prediction system for seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) activity is established at the National Typhoon Center of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) to provide effective operation and control of the system for user who lacks knowledge of the system. For automation of the system, two procedures which include subjective decisions by user are performed in advance, and their output data are provided as input data. To provide the capability to understand the operational processes for operational user, the input and output data are summarized with each process, and the directory structure is reconstructed following KMA's standard. We introduce a user interface using namelist input parameters to effectively control operational conditions which is fixed or should be manually set in the previous version of the prediction system. To operationally use early prediction which become available through the automation, its performances are evaluated according to initial condition dates. As a result, high correlations between the observed and predicted TC counts are kept for all track clusters even though advancing the initial condition date from May to January.