• 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 1993년도 Fifth International Fuzzy Systems Association World Congress 93
• /
• pp.1222-1225
• /
• 1993

The purpose of this paper is to construct a prediction system on the chance of rain in a local region using a fuzzy relational model. The prediction system consists of two parts. One is a prediction part on the chance of rain. The compositional law of fuzzy inference, proposed by Zadeh, is applied to predict the chance of rain. The other is a learning part of a fuzzy relational model using input-output data. A simple and fast learning algorithm is used in this part. Simulations are carried out by the actual weather data in our city and their results show the validity of prediction by the fuzzy relational approach.

• 항공우주시스템공학회지
• /
• 제18권1호
• /
• pp.21-28
• /
• 2024

본 논문에서는 회전익 블레이드의 단면 구조 정보를 통해 블레이드의 단면 강성을 예측하고, 재료 정보를 이용하여 단면 강성을 예측할 수 있는 심층 신경망 기반 네트워크 예측 모델의 설계 및 적절성 검토를 수행하였다. 재료 정보를 네트워크 입력으로 갖는 예측 모델의 경우, 블레이드 단면 부재 재료의 탄성 계수를 네트워크의 입력으로 고려하여 단면 강성을 예측하도록 설계하였다. 또한, 단면 구조 정보를 네트워크 입력으로 갖는 예측 모델의 경우, 블레이드의 단면을 구성하는 단면 부재의 위치와 두께 정보를 네트워크 입력으로 고려하여 단면 강성을 예측하도록 설계하였다. 각 예측 모델은 심층신경망 구조를 기반으로 설계하였으며, 단면 해석 프로그램인 KSAC2D를 통한 단면 해석 결과를 네트워크의 훈련 및 검증 데이터로 사용하였다.

• Computers and Concrete
• /
• 제15권1호
• /
• pp.55-71
• /
• 2015

This paper presents a novel harmony search (HS)-based data-driven single input rule modules (SIRMs)-connected fuzzy inference system (FIS) for the prediction of stress in externally prestressed tendon. The proposed method attempts to extract causal relationship of a system from an input-output pairs of data even without knowing the complete physical knowledge of the system. The monotonicity property is then exploited as an additional qualitative information to obtain a meaningful SIRMs-connected FIS model. This method is then validated using results from test data of the literature. Several parameters, such as initial tendon depth to beam ratio; deviators spacing to the initial tendon depth ratio; and distance of a concentrated load from the nearest support to the effective beam span are considered. A computer simulation for estimating the stress increase in externally prestressed tendon, ${\Delta}f_{ps}$, is then reported. The contributions of this paper is two folds; (i) it contributes towards a new monotonicity-preserving data-driven FIS model in fuzzy modeling and (ii) it provides a novel solution for estimating the ${\Delta}f_{ps}$ even without a complete physical knowledge of unbonded tendons.

• 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국정보통신학회 2022년도 춘계학술대회
• /
• pp.491-493
• /
• 2022

세계 각지에서 집중호우, 태풍 등으로 인한 홍수 피해가 많이 발생하고 있으며, 이러한 피해를 줄이기 위해 홍수를 미리 예측하는 것은 수해 피해 관리 차원에서 필수적인 요소이다. 본 논문에서는 홍수예측을 위한 핵심 파라미터인 수위, 강수량, 그리고 습도 데이터를 입력 데이터로 활용한 수위 예측 모델을 제안한다. 많은 연구 분야에서 이미 시계열 데이터 예측 성능이 검증된 LSTM 및 GRU 모델을 기반으로 기상청에서 제공하는 종관기상관측 자료와, 방재기상관측 자료를 활용하여 입력 데이터셋을 다르게 구축하고, 성능 비교 실험을 진행하였다. 결과적으로 종관기상관측 자료를 사용했을 때 가장 좋은 결과를 얻었다. 본 논문을 통해 입력 데이터에 따른 성능 비교 실험을 진행하였고, 향후 연구로 홍수 위험도 판별 모델과 연계하여 사전에 대피 결정이 가능한 시스템 개발의 초기 연구로서 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
• /
• 제5권10호
• /
• pp.1770-1782
• /
• 2011

A brain-computer interface (BCI) is a communication system that translates brain activity into commands for computers or other devices. In other words, BCIs create a new communication channel between the brain and an output device by bypassing conventional motor output pathways consisting of nerves and muscles. This is particularly useful for facilitating communication for people suffering from paralysis. Due to the low bit rate, it takes much more time to translate brain activity into commands. Especially it takes much time to input characters by using BCI-based typewriters. In this paper, we propose a brain-operated typewriter which is accelerated by a language prediction model. The proposed system uses three kinds of strategies to improve the entry speed: word completion, next-syllable prediction, and next word prediction. We found that the entry speed of BCI-based typewriter improved about twice as much through our demonstration which utilized the language prediction model.

• 전기의세계
• /
• 제30권5호
• /
• pp.291-296
• /
• 1981

In the paper, in order to get the characteristics of the saccadic and the smooth pursuit movements of the oculomotor systems, a revised stochastic sampled data model suggested by Young et. al. was simulated and analyzed by using the MIMIC language. The results are summerized as follows; (1) The predictability to the sinusoidal inputs increased as the input frequency increased, but at the frequency of 1.0[Hz] the prediction started to decrease. (2) The responses of the system drifted when the system was open-looped. (3) The responses showed the transient state during the first period of the input waves, and then moved into the steady state.

• Smart Structures and Systems
• /
• 제14권6호
• /
• pp.1173-1196
• /
• 2014

Real-time dynamic substructuring tests have been conducted on a cable-deck system. The cable is representative of a full scale cable for a cable-stayed bridge and it interacts with a deck, numerically modelled as a single-degree-of-freedom system. The purpose of exciting the inclined cable at the bottom is to identify its nonlinear dynamics and to mark the stability boundary of the semi-trivial solution. The latter physically corresponds to the point at which the cable starts to have an out-of-plane response when both input and previous response were in-plane. The numerical and the physical parts of the system interact through a transfer system, which is an actuator, and the input signal generated by the numerical model is assumed to interact instantaneously with the system. However, only an ideal system manifests a perfect correspondence between the desired signal and the applied signal. In fact, the transfer system introduces into the desired input signal a delay, which considerably affects the feedback force that, in turn, is processed to generate a new input. The effectiveness of the control algorithm is measured by using the synchronization technique, while the online adaptive forward prediction algorithm is used to compensate for the delay error, which is present in the performed tests. The response of the cable interacting with the deck has been experimentally observed, both in the presence of delay and when delay is compensated for, and it has been compared with the analytical model. The effects of the interface delay in real-time dynamic substructuring tests conducted on the cable-deck system are extensively discussed.

• Water Engineering Research
• /
• 제4권2호
• /
• pp.59-68
• /
• 2003

The applicabilities and validities of two methodologies fur the prediction of THM (trihalomethane) formation in a water pipeline system were proposed and discussed. One is the multiple regression technique and the other is an artificial neural network technique. There are many factors which influence water quality, especially THMs formations in water pipeline systems. In this study, the prediction models of THM formation in water pipeline systems are developed based on the independent variables proposed by American Water Works Association(AWWA). Multiple linear/nonlinear regression models are estimated and three layer feed-forward artificial neural networks have been used to predict the THM formation in a water pipeline system. Input parameters of the models consist of organic compounds measured in water pipeline systems such as TOC, DOC and UV254. Also, the reaction time to each measuring site along pipeline is used as input parameter calculated by a hydraulic analysis. Using these variables as model parameters, four models are developed. And the predicted results from the four developed models are compared statistically to the measured THMs data set. It is shown that the artificial neural network approaches are much superior to the conventional regression approaches and that the developed models by neural network can be used more efficiently and reproduce more accurately the THMs formation in water pipeline systems, than the conventional regression methods proposed by AWWA.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제10권3호
• /
• pp.1342-1348
• /
• 2015

The objective of this study is to propose a method to calculate prediction intervals for one-day-ahead hourly forecasts of photovoltaic power generation and to evaluate its performance. One year of data of two systems, representing contrasting examples of forecast’ accuracy, were used. The method is based on the maximum likelihood estimation, the similarity between the input data of future and past forecasts of photovoltaic power, and on an assumption about the distribution of the error of the forecasts. Two assumptions for the forecast error distribution were evaluated, a Laplacian and a Gaussian distribution assumption. The results show that the proposed method models well the photovoltaic power forecast error when the Laplacian distribution is used. For both systems and intervals calculated with 4 confidence levels, the intervals contained the true photovoltaic power generation in the amount near to the expected one.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
• /
• 제14권11호
• /
• pp.1180-1188
• /
• 2008

As many systems depend on electronics, concern for fault tolerance is growing rapidly in the safety critical system such as intelligent vehicle. In order to make system fault tolerant, there has been a body of research mainly from aerospace field including predictive hybrid redundancy by Lee. Although the predictive hybrid redundancy has the fault tolerant mechanism to satisfy the fault tolerant requirement of safety crucial system such as x-by-wire system, it suffers form the variability of prediction performance according to the input feature of system. As an alternative to the prediction method of predictive hybrid redundancy for robust fault tolerant, Kalman prediction has attracted some attention because of its well-known and often-used with its structure called Kalman hybrid redundancy. In addition, several numerical simulation results are given where the Kalman hybrid redundancy outperforms with predictive smoothing voter.